Saint-Étienne vs Rodez AF — Ligue 2
Ligue 2Ligue 2 26/27
Sat 10 Oct··Matchday 8·Stade Geoffroy Guichard·Saint-Étienne won
Match overview
12 priority stats · full time- 1Corners6
- 1Cards2
- 10Shots10
- 4Shots on target4
- 19Fouls12
- 17Throw-ins22
- 3Offsides4
- 9Goal kicks6
- 4Saves2
- 18Tackles6
- 6Interceptions10
- 1Dribbles2
Qualifying picks are recorded immediately. Results use StatsGem match statistics. Historical monitoring rows retain their original status.
Board
Matches
Saint-ÉtiennevRodez AFLigue 21 won / 0 lost · +0.86u · 1 pick
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 55.1%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.82
- Expected value at recommendation
- +2.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 55.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +2.5%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
- Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 10.5Model chance55.1%EV+2.5%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.86Closing odds—
Bet365Closing estimateunder 10.5
Model chance55.2%EV-4.7%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.73Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:25Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimate55.2%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin7.9%
BetliveClosing estimateunder 10.5
Model chance55.2%EV-11.7%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.60Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:01Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 6.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate13.3%Closing EV estimate−27.1%margin11.6%
- under 7.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate21.7%Closing EV estimate−20.7%margin12.1%
- under 8.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate32.1%Closing EV estimate−18.2%margin12.2%
- under 9.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate43.6%Closing EV estimate−12.8%margin12.5%
- under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate55.2%Closing EV estimate−11.7%margin12.5%
- under 11.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate66.0%Closing EV estimate−7.7%margin11.4%
- under 12.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate−7.4%margin11.6%
- under 13.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate82.8%Closing EV estimate−7.2%margin12.3%
- under 14.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate88.6%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin11.6%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 10.5
Model chance55.2%EV-11.7%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.60Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 08:35Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 9.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate43.6%Closing EV estimate−15.0%margin13.8%
- under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate55.2%Closing EV estimate−11.7%margin13.8%
- under 11.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate66.0%Closing EV estimate−11.0%margin14.1%
- under 12.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate−11.2%margin14.2%
- under 13.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate82.8%Closing EV estimate−10.6%margin13.6%
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
Model chance55.2%EV-11.7%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.60Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 01:35Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 6.5odds5.80Closing chance estimate13.3%Closing EV estimate−23.1%margin12.5%
- under 7.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate21.7%Closing EV estimate−18.6%margin12.1%
- under 8.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate32.1%Closing EV estimate−16.6%margin12.5%
- under 9.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate43.6%Closing EV estimate−12.8%margin12.5%
- under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate55.2%Closing EV estimate−11.7%margin12.5%
- under 11.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate66.0%Closing EV estimate−9.0%margin12.5%
- under 12.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate−8.9%margin12.1%
- under 13.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate82.8%Closing EV estimate−8.1%margin11.8%
- under 14.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate88.6%Closing EV estimate−7.9%margin11.8%
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
Model chance55.2%EV-5.7%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.71Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:42Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 5.5odds7.60Closing chance estimate7.1%Closing EV estimate−45.8%margin7.5%
- under 6.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate13.3%Closing EV estimate−32.4%margin8.1%
- under 7.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate21.7%Closing EV estimate−22.9%margin8.2%
- under 8.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate32.1%Closing EV estimate−15.0%margin8.2%
- under 9.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate43.6%Closing EV estimate−9.8%margin8.2%
- under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.71Closing chance estimate55.2%Closing EV estimate−5.7%margin8.0%
- under 11.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate66.0%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin8.0%
- under 12.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin7.6%
- under 13.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate82.8%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin8.1%
- under 14.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate88.6%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin7.8%
- under 15.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate92.7%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin8.4%
Recommendation record
Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 10.5 at 1.86 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.
Predictions
This match
Around this match
Previous meetings
- Fri 15 MaySaint-Étienne 0-0 Rodez AF
- Sat 2 MayRodez AF 2-1 Saint-Étienne
- Sat 16 AugSaint-Étienne 4-0 Rodez AF
- Fri 24 MaySaint-Étienne 2-0 Rodez AF
- Fri 10 MaySaint-Étienne 1-1 Rodez AF
- Sat 12 AugRodez AF 2-1 Saint-Étienne
- Sat 29 AprRodez AF 1-1 Saint-Étienne
- Sat 12 NovSaint-Étienne 0-2 Rodez AF
- Sat 29 OctSaint-Étienne 0-0 Rodez AF