Roma vs Real Madrid — UEFA Champions League

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 26/27

Roma

13:00

Real Madrid

Today··Matchday 2·Stadio Olimpico, Rome

4 Free4 VIP1 Free Active2 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match
RomavReal MadridUEFA Champions League4 picks · 1 active

Corners · Roma total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended
over 4.52.05 at Superbet

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 51.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.95. Expected value at recommendation: +5.4%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 104 settled picks and +0.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • KambiAt recommendationover 4.52.00Model chance51.4%EV+2.8%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 08:00

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 2.5odds1.26Current model chance78.7%Current EV−0.8%margin9.2%Validated estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.60Current model chance61.3%Current EV−1.9%margin8.8%Validated estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.17Current model chance43.1%Current EV−6.4%margin8.6%Validated estimate
    • over 5.5odds3.05Current model chance27.5%Current EV−16.1%margin8.5%Validated estimate
    • over 6.5odds4.35Current model chance16.1%Current EV−30.2%margin9.2%Validated estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 4.52.05Model chance51.4%EV+5.4%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 07:32

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 0.5odds1.01Current model chance98.3%Current EV−1.1%margin3.9%Validated estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.06Current model chance91.7%Current EV−2.8%margin7.2%Validated estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.22Current model chance78.7%Current EV−3.9%margin7.0%Validated estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.50Current model chance61.3%Current EV−8.1%margin7.2%Validated estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.97Current model chance43.1%Current EV−15.1%margin6.9%Validated estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.72Current model chance27.5%Current EV−25.1%margin7.2%Validated estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.90Current model chance16.1%Current EV−37.4%margin6.9%Validated estimate
    • over 7.5odds5.80Current model chance8.6%Current EV−50.0%margin7.3%Validated estimate
    • over 8.5odds8.60Current model chance4.3%Current EV−63.0%margin6.9%Validated estimate
    • over 9.5odds14.00Current model chance2.0%Current EV−71.9%margin5.2%Validated estimate
    • over 10.5odds21.00Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin4.1%Model unavailable
  • Bet365Currentover 4.52.10Model chance43.1%EV-9.5%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 13:29

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 4.5same line and oddsodds2.10Current model chance43.1%Current EV−9.5%margin7.6%Validated estimate
  • BetliveCurrentover 4.51.80Model chance43.1%EV-22.4%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 04:01

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 2.5odds1.11Current model chance78.7%Current EV−12.6%margin12.3%Validated estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.37Current model chance61.3%Current EV−16.0%margin12.2%Validated estimate
    • over 4.5same line and oddsodds1.80Current model chance43.1%Current EV−22.4%margin12.7%Validated estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.55Current model chance27.5%Current EV−29.8%margin11.7%Validated estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.95Current model chance16.1%Current EV−36.6%margin12.3%Validated estimate
  • CrocobetCurrentover 4.51.90Model chance43.1%EV-18.1%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 07:13

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 2.5odds1.18Current model chance78.7%Current EV−7.1%margin11.4%Validated estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.45Current model chance61.3%Current EV−11.1%margin12.4%Validated estimate
    • over 4.5same line and oddsodds1.90Current model chance43.1%Current EV−18.1%margin11.5%Validated estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.70Current model chance27.5%Current EV−25.7%margin12.2%Validated estimate
    • over 6.5odds4.50Current model chance16.1%Current EV−27.7%margin11.5%Validated estimate
  • LiderbetCurrentover 4.51.80Model chance43.1%EV-22.4%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 04:02

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 2.5odds1.10Current model chance78.7%Current EV−13.4%margin12.2%Validated estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.35Current model chance61.3%Current EV−17.3%margin12.5%Validated estimate
    • over 4.5same line and oddsodds1.80Current model chance43.1%Current EV−22.4%margin12.7%Validated estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.60Current model chance27.5%Current EV−28.4%margin12.0%Validated estimate
    • over 6.5odds4.10Current model chance16.1%Current EV−34.2%margin12.1%Validated estimate
  • Paddy PowerCurrentover 4.52.10Model chance43.1%EV-9.5%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 07:41

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 2.5odds1.20Current model chance78.7%Current EV−5.5%margin8.3%Validated estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.50Current model chance61.3%Current EV−8.1%margin8.3%Validated estimate
    • over 4.5same line and oddsodds2.10Current model chance43.1%Current EV−9.5%margin8.2%Validated estimate
    • over 5.5odds3.00Current model chance27.5%Current EV−17.4%margin8.4%Validated estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 10:15: over 4.5 at 2.05 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 10:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Roma total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended
under 11.52.00 at Liderbet

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 75.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.32. Expected value at recommendation: +51.7%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 31 settled picks and +3.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 11.51.95Model chance75.9%EV+47.9%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 07:03

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 8.5odds4.75Current model chance42.3%Current EV+101.1%margin12.0%Validated estimate
    • under 9.5best current valueodds3.30Current model chance54.6%Current EV+80.3%margin12.3%Validated estimate
    • under 10.5odds2.45Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin12.2%Model unavailable
    • under 11.5same line and oddsodds1.95Current model chance75.9%Current EV+47.9%margin11.9%Validated estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.65Current model chance83.6%Current EV+38.0%margin11.9%Validated estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.35Current model chance89.4%Current EV+20.7%margin11.8%Validated estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.20Current model chance93.5%Current EV+12.2%margin11.9%Validated estimate
  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.52.00Model chance75.9%EV+51.7%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 07:04

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 10.5odds2.45Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin12.2%Model unavailable
    • under 11.5best current valueodds2.00Current model chance75.9%Current EV+51.7%margin12.5%Validated estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.65Current model chance83.6%Current EV+38.0%margin11.9%Validated estimate
  • BetliveCurrentunder 11.51.95Model chance75.9%EV+47.9%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 03:09

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 10.5odds2.50Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin11.9%Model unavailable
    • under 11odds2.25Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • under 11.5best current valueodds1.95Current model chance75.9%Current EV+47.9%margin11.9%Validated estimate
    • under 12odds1.80Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin11.1%Model unavailable
    • under 12.5odds1.65Current model chance83.6%Current EV+38.0%margin11.9%Validated estimate
    • under 13odds1.48Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • under 13.5odds1.40Current model chance89.4%Current EV+25.2%margin12.2%Validated estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:25: under 11.5 at 2.00 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 16:52. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · Roma total

Open match →FreeActive
under 7.52.30 at Betlive

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Current model chance 73.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.36. Current expected value: +70.1%.

This league is still collecting results. The bookmaker’s overall market record determines the tier. View benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivecurrent suggestionCurrentunder 7.52.30Model chance73.9%EV+70.1%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 06:37

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 7.5best current valueodds2.30Current model chance73.9%Current EV+70.1%margin12.4%Validated estimate
    • under 8odds2.00Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin12.5%Model unavailable
    • under 8.5odds1.80Current model chance82.9%Current EV+49.2%margin11.1%Validated estimate
    • under 9odds1.55Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin13.3%Model unavailable
    • under 9.5odds1.45Current model chance89.4%Current EV+29.7%margin12.4%Validated estimate
    • under 10odds1.31Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin12.1%Model unavailable
  • CrocobetCurrentunder 7.52.20Model chance73.9%EV+62.7%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 08:57

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 6.5best current valueodds3.10Current model chance62.5%Current EV+93.7%margin12.3%Validated estimate
    • under 7.5same line and oddsodds2.20Current model chance73.9%Current EV+62.7%margin12.1%Validated estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.70Current model chance82.9%Current EV+40.9%margin11.5%Validated estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.40Current model chance89.4%Current EV+25.2%margin12.2%Validated estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.20Current model chance93.8%Current EV+12.6%margin11.9%Validated estimate
  • Liderbetrecorded bookmakerCurrentunder 7.52.15Model chance73.9%EV+59.0%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 15:55

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 7.5best current valueodds2.15Current model chance73.9%Current EV+59.0%margin13.2%Validated estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.70Current model chance82.9%Current EV+40.9%margin11.5%Validated estimate

Use another bookmaker? Match this exact statistic, scope, direction and line. Compare your odds with the minimum above; another line needs its own model price.

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 07:03: under 7.5 at 2.15 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Offsides · Real Madrid total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended
under 0.54.00 at Crocobet

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 51.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +104.3%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 30 settled picks and +4.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 0.54.00Model chance51.1%EV+104.3%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 08:57

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 0.5best current valueodds4.00Current model chance51.1%Current EV+104.3%margin12.0%Validated estimate
    • under 1.5odds1.75Current model chance82.6%Current EV+44.5%margin11.2%Validated estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.20Current model chance95.1%Current EV+14.2%margin11.9%Validated estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 13:25: under 0.5 at 4.00 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 17:30. The original pick remains in the results.

4 additional VIP picks on this match.Unlock VIP details

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

No settled results yet. 3 active suggestions across 1 listed match.

Around this match