Real Madrid vs Villarreal — LaLiga

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

• Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.52.25Model chance64.3%EV+44.6%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 10:09

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate62.1%Closing EV estimate+39.6%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:09
  • under 4.5odds1.64Closing chance estimate79.2%Closing EV estimate+29.9%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:39
  • under 5.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate90.0%Closing EV estimate+19.7%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:41
• Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.52.20Model chance62.1%EV+36.5%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:55

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate62.1%Closing EV estimate+36.5%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:55
• BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.52.10Model chance62.1%EV+30.3%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:35

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 1.5odds5.80Closing chance estimate18.7%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:35
  • under 2.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate+34.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:35
  • under 3odds2.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate62.1%Closing EV estimate+30.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:35
  • under 4odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • under 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate79.2%Closing EV estimate+18.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:35
  • under 5odds1.31Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • under 5.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate90.0%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:35
  • under 6.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate95.7%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:32
• CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.52.10Model chance62.1%EV+30.3%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:36

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 1.5odds5.90Closing chance estimate18.7%Closing EV estimate+10.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:36
  • under 2.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate+34.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:36
  • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate62.1%Closing EV estimate+30.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:36
  • under 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate79.2%Closing EV estimate+18.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:36
  • under 5.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate90.0%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:36
  • under 6.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate95.7%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:33
• LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.52.10Model chance62.1%EV+30.3%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:37

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 1.5odds5.80Closing chance estimate18.7%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:37
  • under 2.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate+34.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:37
  • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate62.1%Closing EV estimate+30.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:37
  • under 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate79.2%Closing EV estimate+18.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:37
  • under 5.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate90.0%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:37
  • under 6.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate95.7%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:35
• Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 3.52.05Model chance62.1%EV+27.2%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:30

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 2.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate+56.2%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30
  • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate62.1%Closing EV estimate+27.2%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30
  • under 4.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate79.2%Closing EV estimate+14.3%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30
• SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.52.20Model chance62.1%EV+36.5%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:01

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 0.5odds16.00Closing chance estimate4.6%Closing EV estimate−25.6%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:01
  • under 1.5odds6.70Closing chance estimate18.7%Closing EV estimate+25.1%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:01
  • under 2.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate+38.2%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:01
  • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate62.1%Closing EV estimate+36.5%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:01
  • under 4.5odds1.58Closing chance estimate79.2%Closing EV estimate+25.1%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:01
  • under 5.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate90.0%Closing EV estimate+14.3%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:01
  • under 6.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate95.7%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:38
  • under 7.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate98.4%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 16:36
  • under 8.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate99.4%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 15:36

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

• KambiAt recommendationunder 1.51.87Model chance62.0%EV+16.0%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 10:09

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 1.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate60.8%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:09
  • under 2.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate84.3%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:09
• LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.51.90Model chance62.0%EV+17.9%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 06:07

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 1.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate60.8%Closing EV estimate+21.7%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 06:07
  • under 2odds1.37Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.0%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 03:34
  • under 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate84.3%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 06:07
• Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.51.97Model chance60.8%EV+19.7%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:01

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 0.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate26.1%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:01
  • under 1.5odds1.71Closing chance estimate60.8%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:01
  • under 2.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate84.3%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:01
• BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.51.55Model chance60.8%EV-5.7%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:02

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 1odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimate60.8%Closing EV estimate−5.7%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
• CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.51.65Model chance60.8%EV+0.4%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 11:02

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 0.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate26.1%Closing EV estimate−19.2%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:02
  • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate60.8%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:02
  • under 2.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate84.3%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:33

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

• Bet365At recommendationover 3.52.25Model chance56.4%EV+26.8%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:15

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 3.5odds1.91Closing chance estimate59.9%Closing EV estimate+14.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:15
• BetliveAt recommendationover 3.51.85Model chance56.4%EV+4.2%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 13:01

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 1.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate91.7%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:01
  • over 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:01
  • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate59.9%Closing EV estimate+10.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:01
  • over 4.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate40.9%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:01
  • over 5.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate24.9%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:01
• CrocobetAt recommendationover 3.51.85Model chance56.4%EV+4.2%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 13:03

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 1.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate91.7%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:03
  • over 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:03
  • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate59.9%Closing EV estimate+10.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:03
  • over 4.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate40.9%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:03
  • over 5.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate24.9%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:03
• KambiAt recommendationover 3.52.10Model chance56.4%EV+18.3%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:11

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 1.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate91.7%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
  • over 2.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:11
  • over 3.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate59.9%Closing EV estimate+19.8%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:11
  • over 4.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate40.9%Closing EV estimate+18.5%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
  • over 5.5odds4.35Closing chance estimate24.9%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
• LiderbetAt recommendationover 3.51.90Model chance55.6%EV+5.6%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:40

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 1.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate91.7%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • over 2.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • over 3.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate59.9%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • over 4.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate40.9%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • over 5.5odds4.70Closing chance estimate24.9%Closing EV estimate+17.1%margin13.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
• Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.52.10Model chance54.0%EV+13.5%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:39

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 0.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate98.3%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin5.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:39
  • over 1.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate91.7%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:39
  • over 2.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:39
  • over 3.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate59.9%Closing EV estimate+10.8%margin7.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:39
  • over 4.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate40.9%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:39
  • over 5.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate24.9%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:39
  • over 6.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate13.7%Closing EV estimate−17.9%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:39
  • over 7.5odds9.10Closing chance estimate6.8%Closing EV estimate−38.0%margin6.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:39
  • over 8.5odds15.00Closing chance estimate3.1%Closing EV estimate−53.5%margin4.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:39
  • over 9.5odds24.00Closing chance estimate1.3%Closing EV estimate−68.8%margin3.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:39
• Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.52.00Model chance59.9%EV+19.8%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:30

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 2.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30
  • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate59.9%Closing EV estimate+19.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30
  • over 4.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate40.9%Closing EV estimate+30.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30
  • over 5.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate24.9%Closing EV estimate+37.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

• BetliveClosing estimateunder 20.52.85Model chance—EV—

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:02

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 08:02
  • under 21odds2.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 08:02
  • under 21.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate+76.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:02
  • under 22odds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 08:02
  • under 22.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate81.4%Closing EV estimate+62.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • under 23odds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 08:02
  • under 23.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+51.2%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • under 24odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 08:02
  • under 24.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate90.4%Closing EV estimate+35.5%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:02
  • under 25odds1.44Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 08:02
  • under 25.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate93.4%Closing EV estimate+28.8%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:02
  • under 26odds1.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 08:02
  • under 26.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate95.5%Closing EV estimate+21.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:02
• CrocobetClosing estimateunder 20.52.95Model chance—EV—

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:34

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
  • under 21.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate+84.4%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
  • under 22.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate81.4%Closing EV estimate+62.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
  • under 23.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+55.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:34
  • under 24.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate90.4%Closing EV estimate+44.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:34
  • under 25.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate93.4%Closing EV estimate+35.4%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:34
  • under 26.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate95.5%Closing EV estimate+24.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:34
• Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 20.52.80Model chance67.8%EV+89.7%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:40

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • under 21.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate+76.9%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • under 22.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate81.4%Closing EV estimate+66.9%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • under 23.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+55.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • under 24.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate90.4%Closing EV estimate+40.1%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • under 25.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate93.4%Closing EV estimate+29.8%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • under 26.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate95.5%Closing EV estimate+21.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

• CrocobetClosing estimateunder 11.52.45Model chance—EV—

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:34

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 10.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate60.7%Closing EV estimate+100.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:34
  • under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 06:34
  • under 12.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate80.6%Closing EV estimate+57.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:34
  • under 13.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate87.4%Closing EV estimate+44.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:34
  • under 14.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate92.2%Closing EV estimate+29.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:34
• Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.52.25Model chance71.5%EV+60.8%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:40

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 11.5odds2.43Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.6%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:06
  • under 12.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate80.6%Closing EV estimate+65.2%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • under 13.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate87.4%Closing EV estimate+48.6%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • under 14.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate92.2%Closing EV estimate+33.7%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
• BetliveClosing estimateunder 11.52.45Model chance—EV—

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:02

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 05:32
  • under 12odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 08:02
  • under 12.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate80.6%Closing EV estimate+69.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:02
  • under 13odds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 08:02
  • under 13.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate87.4%Closing EV estimate+52.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:02
  • under 14odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 08:02
  • under 14.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate92.2%Closing EV estimate+36.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:02
  • under 15odds1.36Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 08:02

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

• BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 4.52.75Model chance51.9%EV+42.9%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:30

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 4.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate+32.4%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30
• Bet365Closing estimateover 4.52.63Model chance51.9%EV+36.3%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:30

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate99.2%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin2.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30
  • over 1.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate95.1%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin4.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30
  • over 2.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate85.5%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin4.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30
  • over 3.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+21.2%margin5.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30
  • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.63Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate+36.3%margin4.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30
  • over 5.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate34.5%Closing EV estimate+55.0%margin5.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30
  • over 6.5odds8.00Closing chance estimate20.6%Closing EV estimate+64.5%margin4.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30
  • over 7.5odds15.00Closing chance estimate11.1%Closing EV estimate+66.4%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30
  • over 8.5odds26.00Closing chance estimate5.4%Closing EV estimate+41.4%margin2.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30
• Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 4.52.74Model chance51.9%EV+42.2%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 10:02

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate99.2%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin1.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 0.75odds1.01Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin4.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 1odds1.01Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin4.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 1.25odds1.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin2.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 1.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate95.1%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin1.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 1.75odds1.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 2odds1.11Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 2.25odds1.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate85.5%Closing EV estimate+11.2%margin0.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 2.75odds1.34Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 3odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.7%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 3.25odds1.58Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 3.5odds1.76Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+23.5%margin0.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 3.75odds1.92Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.6%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 4odds2.18Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 4.25odds2.46Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.74Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate+42.2%margin0.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 4.75odds3.22Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin2.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 5odds4.07Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 5.25odds4.46Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 5.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate34.5%Closing EV estimate+65.4%margin0.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 5.75odds6.11Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 6odds8.61Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 6.25odds9.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 6.5odds9.60Closing chance estimate20.6%Closing EV estimate+97.4%margin0.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 6.75odds12.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 7odds19.81Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 7.25odds20.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 7.5odds21.00Closing chance estimate11.1%Closing EV estimate+132.9%margin0.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 7.75odds28.82Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin2.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 8odds46.71Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 8.25odds47.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
  • over 8.5odds48.00Closing chance estimate5.4%Closing EV estimate+161.0%margin1.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:02
• BetliveClosing estimateover 4.52.40Model chance51.9%EV+24.6%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:32

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate99.2%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:01
  • over 1.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate95.1%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:01
  • over 2odds1.08Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.8%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 13:01
  • over 2.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate85.5%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:32
  • over 3odds1.34Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 05:02
  • over 3.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+15.8%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:01
  • over 4odds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:32
  • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.40Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate+24.6%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:32
  • over 5odds3.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 06:32
  • over 5.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate34.5%Closing EV estimate+29.2%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:32
  • over 6odds5.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.6%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:02
  • over 6.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate20.6%Closing EV estimate+23.4%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:32
• CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.52.70Model chance51.9%EV+40.2%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:32

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate99.2%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:02
  • over 1.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate95.1%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:32
  • over 2odds1.11Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.7%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:32
  • over 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate85.5%Closing EV estimate+11.2%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:32
  • over 3odds1.44Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:32
  • over 3.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+26.3%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:32
  • over 4odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:32
  • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.70Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate+40.2%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:32
  • over 5odds3.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:32
  • over 5.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate34.5%Closing EV estimate+48.2%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:32
  • over 6odds6.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.7%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:32
  • over 6.5odds5.90Closing chance estimate20.6%Closing EV estimate+21.3%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:33
• LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.52.60Model chance51.9%EV+35.0%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate99.2%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:05
  • over 1.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate95.1%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
  • over 2odds1.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
  • over 2.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate85.5%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
  • over 3odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.6%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
  • over 3.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+22.8%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
  • over 4odds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
  • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.60Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate+35.0%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
  • over 5odds3.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
  • over 5.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate34.5%Closing EV estimate+44.7%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
  • over 6odds6.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
  • over 6.5odds6.10Closing chance estimate20.6%Closing EV estimate+25.4%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:04
  • over 175.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:33
  • over 184.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:35
  • over 185.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 14:37
  • over 186.5odds1.86Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:06
  • over 187.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 06:07
  • over 188.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 11:07
  • over 189.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:34
• Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.52.75Model chance51.9%EV+42.8%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:30

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 1.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate95.1%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30
  • over 2.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate85.5%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30
  • over 3.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+21.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30
  • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.75Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate+42.8%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30
  • over 5.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate34.5%Closing EV estimate+65.4%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30
  • over 6.5odds8.00Closing chance estimate20.6%Closing EV estimate+64.5%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30
• SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.52.62Model chance51.9%EV+36.0%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:09

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate99.2%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin2.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 1.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate95.1%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin4.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:07
  • over 2odds1.08Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 2.25odds1.17Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 10:07
  • over 2.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate85.5%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin4.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 2.75odds1.31Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 3odds1.38Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 3.25odds1.54Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 3.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+21.4%margin5.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 3.75odds1.88Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin5.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 4odds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 4.25odds2.32Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.62Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate+36.0%margin4.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 4.75odds2.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 5odds3.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 5.25odds3.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 5.5odds4.35Closing chance estimate34.5%Closing EV estimate+49.9%margin5.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 6.5odds7.80Closing chance estimate20.6%Closing EV estimate+60.4%margin4.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 7.5odds15.00Closing chance estimate11.1%Closing EV estimate+66.4%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 8.5odds30.00Closing chance estimate5.4%Closing EV estimate+63.1%margin2.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 9.5odds65.00Closing chance estimate2.4%Closing EV estimate+58.4%margin1.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 10.5odds125.00Closing chance estimate1.0%Closing EV estimate+25.6%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:07

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

• Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 31.52.00Model chance56.8%EV+13.6%
• CrocobetClosing estimateover 31.51.90Model chance61.0%EV+15.9%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:34

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 27.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
  • over 28.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate77.4%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
  • over 29.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate72.3%Closing EV estimate+12.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
  • over 30.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate66.8%Closing EV estimate+13.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
  • over 31.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate61.0%Closing EV estimate+15.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
  • over 32.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate55.0%Closing EV estimate+21.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
  • over 33.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate49.0%Closing EV estimate+29.7%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
• KambiClosing estimateover 31.51.86Model chance61.0%EV+13.5%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:11

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 27.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:33
  • over 28.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate77.4%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
  • over 29.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate72.3%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
  • over 30.5odds1.67Closing chance estimate66.8%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
  • over 31.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.86Closing chance estimate61.0%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
  • over 32.5odds2.08Closing chance estimate55.0%Closing EV estimate+14.4%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:11
  • over 33.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate49.0%Closing EV estimate+17.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
  • over 34.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate43.0%Closing EV estimate+18.3%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:04
  • over 35.5odds2.88Closing chance estimate37.3%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:43
• LiderbetClosing estimateover 31.51.85Model chance61.0%EV+12.9%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:40

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 27.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • over 28.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate77.4%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • over 29.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate72.3%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • over 30.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate66.8%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • over 31.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate61.0%Closing EV estimate+12.9%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • over 32.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate55.0%Closing EV estimate+18.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • over 33.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate49.0%Closing EV estimate+22.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
• SuperbetClosing estimateover 31.51.82Model chance61.0%EV+11.0%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:09

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 27.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 28.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate77.4%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 29.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate72.3%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:09
  • over 30.5odds1.61Closing chance estimate66.8%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:38
  • over 31.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.82Closing chance estimate61.0%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:07
  • over 32.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate55.0%Closing EV estimate+12.8%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 13:40
  • over 33.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate49.0%Closing EV estimate+15.0%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:01
  • over 34.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate43.0%Closing EV estimate+16.1%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 35.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate37.3%Closing EV estimate+21.2%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:09
• BetliveClosing estimateover 31.51.90Model chance61.0%EV+15.9%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:02

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 27.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 28odds1.31Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 28.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate77.4%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 29odds1.42Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 29.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate72.3%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 30odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 30.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate66.8%Closing EV estimate+13.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 31odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 31.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate61.0%Closing EV estimate+15.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 32odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 32.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate55.0%Closing EV estimate+18.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 33odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 33.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate49.0%Closing EV estimate+24.8%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 34odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 34.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate43.0%Closing EV estimate+26.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

• BetliveClosing estimateover 19.51.60Model chance70.6%EV+12.9%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:02

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 18odds1.32Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 18.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate77.2%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 19odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 19.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate70.6%Closing EV estimate+12.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 20odds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 20.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate63.3%Closing EV estimate+17.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 21odds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 21.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+19.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 22odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 22.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate+24.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
• CrocobetClosing estimateover 19.51.70Model chance70.6%EV+20.0%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:34

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 17.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate83.0%Closing EV estimate+10.4%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
  • over 18.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate77.2%Closing EV estimate+15.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
  • over 19.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate70.6%Closing EV estimate+20.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
  • over 20.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate63.3%Closing EV estimate+23.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
  • over 21.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+28.1%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
• Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 19.51.97Model chance70.4%EV+38.7%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:11

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 16.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate87.9%Closing EV estimate+23.0%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:33
  • over 17.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate83.0%Closing EV estimate+22.8%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:43
  • over 18.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate77.2%Closing EV estimate+21.2%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
  • over 19.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate70.6%Closing EV estimate+23.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
  • over 20.5odds1.98Closing chance estimate63.3%Closing EV estimate+25.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
  • over 21.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+25.3%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
• LiderbetClosing estimateover 19.51.65Model chance70.6%EV+16.4%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:40

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 18.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate77.2%Closing EV estimate+11.9%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • over 19.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate70.6%Closing EV estimate+16.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • over 20.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate63.3%Closing EV estimate+20.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
• SuperbetClosing estimateover 19.51.82Model chance70.6%EV+28.4%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:09

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 16.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate87.9%Closing EV estimate+16.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 17.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate83.0%Closing EV estimate+19.5%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 18.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate77.2%Closing EV estimate+23.5%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 19.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.82Closing chance estimate70.6%Closing EV estimate+28.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 20.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate63.3%Closing EV estimate+31.0%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 21.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+33.6%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 22.5odds2.77Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate+32.9%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

• Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.51.80Model chance64.4%EV+16.0%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:11

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 10.5odds1.93Closing chance estimate45.2%Closing EV estimate−12.8%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
  • under 11.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate−6.7%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
  • under 12.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate67.1%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
  • under 13.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate+12.7%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:43
• SuperbetAt recommendationunder 11.51.88Model chance64.4%EV+21.1%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:09

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 8.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate23.4%Closing EV estimate−14.5%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • under 9.5odds2.82Closing chance estimate33.8%Closing EV estimate−4.6%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • under 10.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate45.2%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.88Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • under 12.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate67.1%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • under 13.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • under 14.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate83.5%Closing EV estimate+7.7%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
• Bet365Closing estimateunder 11.51.83Model chance56.5%EV+3.6%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:30

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30
• BetliveClosing estimateunder 11.51.50Model chance56.5%EV-15.2%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:02

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 9odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • under 9.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate33.8%Closing EV estimate−23.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • under 10odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • under 10.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate45.2%Closing EV estimate−16.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • under 11odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate−15.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • under 12odds1.37Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • under 12.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate67.1%Closing EV estimate−12.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
• CrocobetClosing estimateunder 11.51.60Model chance56.5%EV-9.5%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:34

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 8.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate23.4%Closing EV estimate−18.0%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
  • under 9.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate33.8%Closing EV estimate−17.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
  • under 10.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate45.2%Closing EV estimate−11.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
  • under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate−9.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
  • under 12.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate67.1%Closing EV estimate−9.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
• LiderbetClosing estimateunder 11.51.60Model chance56.5%EV-9.5%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:40

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • under 9.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate33.8%Closing EV estimate−18.8%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • under 10.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate45.2%Closing EV estimate−14.2%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate−9.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

• Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 10.52.00Model chance67.0%EV+34.1%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:30

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 10.5odds1.67Closing chance estimate70.1%Closing EV estimate+16.9%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:30
• SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.51.78Model chance70.1%EV+24.8%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:09

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 6.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate96.1%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:01
  • over 7.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate92.4%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:09
  • over 8.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate86.8%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:09
  • over 9.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate79.3%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 13:07
  • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.78Closing chance estimate70.1%Closing EV estimate+24.8%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:01
  • over 11.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate59.7%Closing EV estimate+34.4%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 11:09
  • over 12.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate49.0%Closing EV estimate+39.6%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 13.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate38.6%Closing EV estimate+44.7%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:01
  • over 14.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate29.2%Closing EV estimate+49.0%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
• BetliveClosing estimateover 10.51.50Model chance70.1%EV+5.1%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:02

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 9.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate79.3%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 10odds1.36Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimate70.1%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 11odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 11.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate59.7%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 12odds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 12.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate49.0%Closing EV estimate+7.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 13odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 13.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate38.6%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
• CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.51.50Model chance70.1%EV+5.1%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:34

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 9.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate79.3%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
  • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimate70.1%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
  • over 11.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate59.7%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
  • over 12.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate49.0%Closing EV estimate+7.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
  • over 13.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate38.6%Closing EV estimate+13.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
• KambiClosing estimateover 10.51.65Model chance70.1%EV+15.7%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:11

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 7.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate92.4%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:33
  • over 8.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate86.8%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
  • over 9.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate79.3%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
  • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate70.1%Closing EV estimate+15.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
  • over 11.5odds2.04Closing chance estimate59.7%Closing EV estimate+21.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
  • over 12.5odds2.63Closing chance estimate49.0%Closing EV estimate+28.8%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
  • over 13.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate38.6%Closing EV estimate+31.2%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
  • over 14.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate29.2%Closing EV estimate+31.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
• LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.51.50Model chance70.1%EV+5.1%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:40

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 8.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate86.8%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • over 9.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate79.3%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimate70.1%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • over 11.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate59.7%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • over 12.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate49.0%Closing EV estimate+7.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • over 13.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate38.6%Closing EV estimate+8.0%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • over 14.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate29.2%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

• BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 8.52.75Model chance51.1%EV+40.4%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:30

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.75Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate+33.4%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:30
• BetliveAt recommendationover 8.52.20Model chance51.6%EV+13.4%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:02

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 6.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 7odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 7.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate61.8%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 8odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate+6.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 9odds2.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
• CrocobetAt recommendationover 8.52.20Model chance51.6%EV+13.4%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:34

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 6.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
  • over 7.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate61.8%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
  • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate+6.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
• LiderbetAt recommendationover 8.52.20Model chance51.6%EV+13.4%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:40

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 6.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • over 7.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate61.8%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate+6.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
• KambiClosing estimateover 8.52.75Model chance48.5%EV+33.4%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:11

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 4.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate92.2%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:43
  • over 5.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate84.7%Closing EV estimate+9.3%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
  • over 6.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+16.7%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
  • over 7.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate61.8%Closing EV estimate+24.8%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
  • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.75Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate+33.4%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
  • over 9.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate35.9%Closing EV estimate+33.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
• SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.53.00Model chance48.5%EV+45.6%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:09

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 3.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate96.8%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 4.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate92.2%Closing EV estimate+8.8%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:07
  • over 5.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate84.7%Closing EV estimate+17.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 6.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+28.5%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 7.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate61.8%Closing EV estimate+39.0%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds3.00Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate+45.6%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 9.5odds4.15Closing chance estimate35.9%Closing EV estimate+49.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

• Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.52.00Model chance52.0%EV+3.9%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:15

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 3.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate56.8%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:15
• BetliveClosing estimateover 3.51.75Model chance56.8%EV-0.5%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:02

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 3odds1.42Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate56.8%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 4odds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
  • over 4.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate37.6%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:02
• CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.51.75Model chance56.8%EV-0.5%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:34

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
  • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate56.8%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
  • over 4.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate37.6%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
• KambiClosing estimateover 3.51.73Model chance56.8%EV-1.7%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:11

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 2.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
  • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimate56.8%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
  • over 4.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate37.6%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
  • over 5.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate22.2%Closing EV estimate−13.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:11
• LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.51.70Model chance56.8%EV-3.4%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:40

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 2.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate56.8%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
  • over 4.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate37.6%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin13.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:40
• SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.51.76Model chance56.8%EV+0.0%

  Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:09

  Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

  lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured

  • over 1.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate90.7%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:39
  • over 2.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.76Closing chance estimate56.8%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 4.5odds2.52Closing chance estimate37.6%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 5.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate22.2%Closing EV estimate−15.8%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09
  • over 6.5odds5.85Closing chance estimate11.7%Closing EV estimate−31.6%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 12:09