Pau FC vs Stade Lavallois 3-2 — Ligue 2

Ligue 2Ligue 2 26/27

Pau FC

3–2

HT 1–1

Stade Lavallois

Fri 9 Oct·12:00·Matchday 8·Nouste Camp·Pau FC won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

3Corners5
2Cards2
16Shots11
8Shots on target5
19Fouls20
25Throw-ins17
1Offsides3
7Goal kicks11
3Saves5
10Tackles10
13Interceptions9
6Dribbles4

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

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Board

Matches

1 match

12:00Pau FCvStade LavalloisLigue 23 won / 0 lost · +2.92u · 3 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeWon

under 9.51.88 at Kambi+0.88u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.75. Expected value at recommendation: +7.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 9.51.88Model chance57.3%EV+7.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 06:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 9.5odds1.89Closing chance estimate57.4%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 06:33
- under 10.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate68.6%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 06:33
- under 11.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 06:33
Bet365Closing estimateunder 9.51.80Model chance57.4%EV+3.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:50
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate57.4%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:50
BetliveClosing estimateunder 9.51.75Model chance57.4%EV+0.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 04:38
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 5.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate12.5%Closing EV estimate−14.7%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:38
- under 6.5odds4.35Closing chance estimate21.5%Closing EV estimate−6.5%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:38
- under 7.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate32.7%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:38
- under 8.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate45.0%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:38
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate57.4%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:38
- under 10.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate68.6%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:38
- under 11.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:38
- under 12.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate85.3%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:38
- under 13.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate90.6%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:38
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.51.70Model chance57.4%EV-2.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 01:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 7.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate32.7%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
- under 8.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate45.0%Closing EV estimate−5.4%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 01:32
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate57.4%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 01:32
- under 10.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate68.6%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
- under 11.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate−4.9%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.51.75Model chance57.4%EV+0.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:07
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 5.5odds7.30Closing chance estimate12.5%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:07
- under 6.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate21.5%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:07
- under 7.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate32.7%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:07
- under 8.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate45.0%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:07
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate57.4%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:07
- under 10.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate68.6%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:07
- under 11.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:07
- under 12.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate85.3%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:07
- under 13.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate90.6%Closing EV estimate−4.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:07
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 9.51.82Model chance57.4%EV+4.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:38
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5odds9.60Closing chance estimate6.3%Closing EV estimate−39.7%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 04:07
- under 5.5odds6.10Closing chance estimate12.5%Closing EV estimate−23.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:38
- under 6.5odds4.15Closing chance estimate21.5%Closing EV estimate−10.8%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:38
- under 7.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate32.7%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:38
- under 8.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate45.0%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:38
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.82Closing chance estimate57.4%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:38
- under 10.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate68.6%Closing EV estimate+4.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:38
- under 11.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:38
- under 12.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate85.3%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:38
- under 13.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate90.6%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:38
- under 14.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate94.3%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:36

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 9.5 at 1.88 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Pau FC total

Open match →FreeWon

under 4.52.00 at Bet365+1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +0.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 4.52.00Model chance50.1%EV+0.2%
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 4.52.20Model chance50.1%EV+10.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 01:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate48.9%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 01:32
- under 5.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate65.7%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
- under 6.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate79.1%Closing EV estimate+2.8%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 01:32
BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.52.30Model chance48.9%EV+12.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 04:38
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate31.1%Closing EV estimate+11.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:38
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate48.9%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:38
- under 5.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate65.7%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:38
- under 6.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate79.1%Closing EV estimate+6.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:38
- under 7.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate88.3%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:38
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.52.30Model chance48.9%EV+12.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:07
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate31.1%Closing EV estimate+14.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:07
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate48.9%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:07
- under 5.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate65.7%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:07
- under 6.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate79.1%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:07
- under 7.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate88.3%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:07
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.52.25Model chance48.9%EV+10.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 04:07
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds5.55Closing chance estimate15.7%Closing EV estimate−13.1%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 04:07
- under 3.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate31.1%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 04:07
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate48.9%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 04:07
- under 5.5odds1.69Closing chance estimate65.7%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 04:07
- under 6.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate79.1%Closing EV estimate+9.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 04:07
- under 7.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate88.3%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 04:07
- under 8.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate94.0%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 04:07

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 05:17: under 4.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 08:51. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · match total

Open match →FreeWon

over 2.52.04 at Betfair Exchange+1.04u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +2.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betfair Exchangeresult priceAt recommendationover 2.52.04Model chance50.0%EV+2.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:55
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate92.8%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin0.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
- over 0.75odds1.09Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.4%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
- over 1odds1.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.6%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
- over 1.25odds1.23Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.0%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
- over 1.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin1.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
- over 1.75odds1.43Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin2.6%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
- over 2odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin2.3%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
- over 2.25odds1.81Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.3%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
- over 2.5odds2.08Closing chance estimate49.9%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin0.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
- over 2.75odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin2.3%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
- over 3odds2.97Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.7%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
- over 3.25odds3.38Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.0%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
- over 3.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate28.4%Closing EV estimate+8.0%margin0.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
- over 3.75odds4.83Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin2.0%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
- over 4odds7.07Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.9%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
- over 4.25odds7.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.6%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
- over 4.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate13.9%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin1.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
- over 4.75odds11.39Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin2.2%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
- over 5odds19.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.3%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
- over 5.25odds20.22Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.1%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
- over 5.5odds21.00Closing chance estimate6.0%Closing EV estimate+25.2%margin0.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
- over 5.75odds29.94Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin2.3%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
- over 6odds53.38Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.9%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
- over 6.25odds54.19Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.9%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
- over 6.5odds55.00Closing chance estimate2.3%Closing EV estimate+24.8%margin0.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
Bet365Closing estimateover 2.51.95Model chance49.9%EV-2.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:05
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate92.8%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin4.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:05
- over 1.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate−4.6%margin6.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:05
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate49.9%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin5.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:05
- over 3.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate28.4%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin6.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:05
- over 4.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate13.9%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin5.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:05
- over 5.5odds15.00Closing chance estimate6.0%Closing EV estimate−10.6%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:05
BetliveClosing estimateover 2.51.85Model chance49.9%EV-7.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 08:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate92.8%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:01
- over 1odds1.06Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 03:01
- over 1.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate−6.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:30
- over 2odds1.42Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 08:30
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate49.9%Closing EV estimate−7.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 01:00
- over 3odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 08:30
- over 3.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate28.4%Closing EV estimate−14.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:30
- over 4odds4.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 08:30
- over 4.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate13.9%Closing EV estimate−30.4%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:30
- over 5odds7.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 04:00
- over 5.5odds7.20Closing chance estimate6.0%Closing EV estimate−57.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:30
CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.51.85Model chance49.9%EV-7.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 08:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate92.8%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:02
- over 1odds1.06Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 03:32
- over 1.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate−6.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:34
- over 2odds1.42Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 08:34
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate49.9%Closing EV estimate−7.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 01:02
- over 3odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 08:34
- over 3.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate28.4%Closing EV estimate−14.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:34
- over 4odds4.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 08:34
- over 4.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate13.9%Closing EV estimate−29.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:34
- over 5odds7.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 04:02
- over 5.5odds7.20Closing chance estimate6.0%Closing EV estimate−57.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:34
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.51.85Model chance49.9%EV-7.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:07
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate92.8%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:04
- over 1odds1.06Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 03:04
- over 1.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate−6.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:42
- over 2odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.1%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 08:42
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate49.9%Closing EV estimate−7.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 01:03
- over 3odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 08:42
- over 3.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate28.4%Closing EV estimate−14.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:42
- over 4odds4.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 08:42
- over 4.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate13.9%Closing EV estimate−29.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:42
- over 5odds7.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 08:42
- over 5.5odds7.20Closing chance estimate6.0%Closing EV estimate−57.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:42
- over 120.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 03:33
- over 122.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 11:07
- over 125.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 8 Oct, 11:04
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 2.51.95Model chance49.9%EV-2.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:55
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate92.8%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
- over 1.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate−4.6%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate49.9%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
- over 3.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate28.4%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
- over 4.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate13.9%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
PinnacleClosing estimateover 2.52.00Model chance49.9%EV-0.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:55
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.25odds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin4.3%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate49.9%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin3.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
- over 2.75odds2.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin4.4%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 11:55
SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.51.97Model chance49.9%EV-1.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:38
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate92.8%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin4.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:06
- over 1.25odds1.17Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.5%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 08:45
- over 1.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin5.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:45
- over 1.75odds1.36Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 08:45
- over 2odds1.47Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.9%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 08:45
- over 2.25odds1.72Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin5.8%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 08:45
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.97Closing chance estimate49.9%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin5.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:38
- over 2.75odds2.22Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.4%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 08:45
- over 3odds2.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.2%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 08:45
- over 3.25odds2.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.4%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 08:45
- over 3.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate28.4%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin5.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:45
- over 4.5odds6.70Closing chance estimate13.9%Closing EV estimate−6.7%margin5.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:45
- over 5.5odds14.00Closing chance estimate6.0%Closing EV estimate−16.5%margin4.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:45
- over 6.5odds32.00Closing chance estimate2.3%Closing EV estimate−27.4%margin2.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:45

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 17:36: over 2.5 at 2.04 with Betfair Exchange. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 23:51. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+97.3%ROI · 3 units staked

Profit+2.92units

W / L3 / 0picks

Avg odds1.97settled picks

Recorded picks31 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLigue 2 Home teamPau FC Away teamStade Lavallois RefereeKarim Abed

Matches

Corners · match total

Corners · Pau FC total

Goals · match total

This match

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