Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans — Ligue 1
Ligue 1Ligue 1 26/27
Sat 10 Oct··Matchday 6·Parc des Princes·Paris Saint-Germain won
Match overview
12 priority stats · full time- 4Corners4
- 0Cards5
- 22Shots11
- 8Shots on target3
- 3Fouls17
- 24Throw-ins20
- 1Offsides5
- 9Goal kicks8
- 2Saves5
- 11Tackles12
- 5Interceptions14
- 9Dribbles6
Board
Matches
Paris Saint-GermainvLe MansLigue 15 won / 8 lost · −2.84u · 13 picks
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 53.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +19.7%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365At recommendationunder 2.52.10Model chance53.2%EV+11.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:30Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin7.6%
Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.52.25Model chance53.2%EV+19.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 0.5odds6.60Closing chance estimate6.9%Closing EV estimate−54.2%margin12.2%
- under 1.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate25.4%Closing EV estimate−16.0%margin12.3%
- under 2odds2.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%
- under 2.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin11.9%
- under 3odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- under 3.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate72.1%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin11.9%
- under 4.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate86.8%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin12.3%
- under 5.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate94.6%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin12.0%
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 2.52.25Model chance53.2%EV+19.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 0.5odds5.90Closing chance estimate6.9%Closing EV estimate−59.1%margin12.2%
- under 1.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate25.4%Closing EV estimate−28.8%margin12.1%
- under 2.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate−14.8%margin12.9%
- under 3.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate72.1%Closing EV estimate−7.7%margin11.5%
- under 4.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate86.8%Closing EV estimate−5.4%margin12.2%
- under 5.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate94.6%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin12.3%
KambiAt recommendationunder 2.52.33Model chance53.2%EV+24.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin8.9%
- under 3.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate72.1%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin9.2%
- under 4.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate86.8%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin9.4%
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 2.52.25Model chance53.2%EV+19.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:03Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 0.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate6.9%Closing EV estimate−58.4%margin11.9%
- under 1.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate25.4%Closing EV estimate−26.2%margin12.0%
- under 2.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate−12.3%margin11.2%
- under 3.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate72.1%Closing EV estimate−6.3%margin12.0%
- under 4.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate86.8%Closing EV estimate−4.6%margin12.2%
- under 5.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate94.6%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin12.0%
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 2.52.27Model chance53.2%EV+20.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:11Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 0.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate6.9%Closing EV estimate−51.4%margin9.5%
- under 1.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate25.4%Closing EV estimate−23.7%margin9.1%
- under 2.5odds1.82Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate−8.7%margin7.0%
- under 3.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate72.1%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin9.1%
- under 4.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate86.8%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin9.5%
- under 5.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate94.6%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin10.1%
- under 6.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate98.1%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin7.7%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: under 2.5 at 2.25 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 58.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.72. Expected value at recommendation: +25.3%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
BetliveAt recommendationunder 1.51.85Model chance54.5%EV+0.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1odds2.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate54.0%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin11.2%
- under 2odds1.39Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%
- under 2.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate79.5%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin12.3%
KambiAt recommendationunder 1.52.28Model chance58.3%EV+32.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate54.0%Closing EV estimate+8.0%margin9.5%
- under 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate79.5%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin9.2%
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.51.90Model chance55.4%EV+5.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 01:05Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate54.0%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin11.9%
- under 2odds1.39Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%
- under 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate79.5%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin12.0%
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.52.15Model chance58.3%EV+25.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:11Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 0.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate21.2%Closing EV estimate−15.4%margin9.7%
- under 1.5odds1.82Closing chance estimate54.0%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin7.0%
- under 2.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate79.5%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin9.5%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.51.80Model chance54.0%EV-2.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 04:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 0.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate21.2%Closing EV estimate−15.4%margin12.0%
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate54.0%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin11.1%
- under 2.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate79.5%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin12.3%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: under 1.5 at 2.15 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 12:26. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 54.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +33.4%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
KambiAt recommendationover 2.52.30Model chance54.5%EV+25.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate79.5%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin8.7%
- over 2.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate57.3%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin8.8%
- over 3.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate35.3%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin9.4%
- over 4.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate18.9%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin8.5%
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.52.45Model chance54.5%EV+33.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 04:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate94.7%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin7.0%
- over 1.5odds1.59Closing chance estimate79.5%Closing EV estimate+26.4%margin6.9%
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimate57.3%Closing EV estimate+40.3%margin7.0%
- over 3.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate35.3%Closing EV estimate+41.3%margin7.0%
- over 4.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate18.9%Closing EV estimate+28.4%margin7.3%
- over 5.5odds12.00Closing chance estimate8.9%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin5.4%
- over 6.5odds21.00Closing chance estimate3.7%Closing EV estimate−22.2%margin4.1%
- over 7.5odds38.00Closing chance estimate1.4%Closing EV estimate−47.0%margin2.4%
BetliveClosing estimateover 2.52.15Model chance57.3%EV+23.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate79.5%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin11.4%
- over 2odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate57.3%Closing EV estimate+23.1%margin11.0%
- over 3.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate35.3%Closing EV estimate+32.5%margin12.1%
- over 4.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate18.9%Closing EV estimate+28.4%margin11.8%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.52.20Model chance57.3%EV+26.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 04:03Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate79.5%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin12.2%
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate57.3%Closing EV estimate+26.0%margin12.1%
- over 3.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate35.3%Closing EV estimate+30.7%margin11.8%
- over 4.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate18.9%Closing EV estimate+28.4%margin11.8%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.52.15Model chance57.3%EV+23.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:40Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate79.5%Closing EV estimate+9.7%margin12.5%
- over 2odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate57.3%Closing EV estimate+23.1%margin13.2%
- over 3.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate35.3%Closing EV estimate+37.8%margin12.6%
- over 4.5odds7.50Closing chance estimate18.9%Closing EV estimate+41.6%margin12.3%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 2.5 at 2.45 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 51.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.95. Expected value at recommendation: +0.4%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 8.51.95Model chance51.5%EV+0.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 13:39Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 8.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate59.6%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin8.3%
BetliveClosing estimateover 8.51.80Model chance59.6%EV+7.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 7.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate71.9%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin12.0%
- over 8odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate59.6%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin11.1%
- over 9odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%
- over 9.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin12.4%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.51.75Model chance59.6%EV+4.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:03Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 6.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate82.4%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin11.9%
- over 7.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate71.9%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin12.4%
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate59.6%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin11.2%
- over 9.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin12.1%
- over 10.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate34.8%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin12.0%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.51.85Model chance59.6%EV+10.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:40Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 7.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate71.9%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin12.1%
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate59.6%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin12.9%
- over 9.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin13.1%
Recommendation record
Recorded 9 Oct, 00:11: over 8.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 04:26. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 61.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.63. Expected value at recommendation: +19.8%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 12.51.95Model chance61.4%EV+19.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 00:38Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 12.5odds1.97Closing chance estimate51.4%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin7.9%
BetliveClosing estimateunder 12.51.55Model chance51.4%EV-20.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 10.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate29.8%Closing EV estimate−31.5%margin12.4%
- under 11odds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- under 11.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate40.4%Closing EV estimate−25.3%margin11.2%
- under 12odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%
- under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimate51.4%Closing EV estimate−20.4%margin12.1%
- under 13odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 12.51.55Model chance51.4%EV-20.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:03Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 10.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate29.8%Closing EV estimate−31.5%margin12.4%
- under 11.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate40.4%Closing EV estimate−23.3%margin11.5%
- under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimate51.4%Closing EV estimate−20.4%margin12.1%
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 12.51.50Model chance51.4%EV-23.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:40Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 10.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate29.8%Closing EV estimate−34.5%margin12.1%
- under 11.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate40.4%Closing EV estimate−27.4%margin11.1%
- under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimate51.4%Closing EV estimate−23.0%margin12.1%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 13:17: under 12.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 57.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +10.9%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.51.92Model chance57.7%EV+10.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:11Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 10.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate−4.6%margin8.3%
- under 11.5odds1.71Closing chance estimate61.6%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin8.5%
BetliveClosing estimateunder 11.51.65Model chance61.6%EV+1.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 9.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate37.5%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin12.2%
- under 10odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%
- under 10.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin12.5%
- under 11odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%
- under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate61.6%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin11.9%
- under 12odds1.48Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%
- under 12.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate72.2%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin11.9%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 11.51.60Model chance61.6%EV-1.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:03Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 9.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate37.5%Closing EV estimate−8.2%margin12.2%
- under 10.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin11.9%
- under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate61.6%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin12.5%
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 11.51.60Model chance61.6%EV-1.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:40Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 9.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate37.5%Closing EV estimate−10.1%margin13.1%
- under 10.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin11.9%
- under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate61.6%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin12.5%
Recommendation record
Recorded 10 Oct, 01:51: under 11.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 04:48. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 50.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +0.1%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.51.98Model chance50.6%EV+0.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate83.5%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin10.5%
- over 2.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate63.0%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin10.0%
- over 3.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate40.8%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin9.8%
- over 4.5odds4.45Closing chance estimate22.8%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin10.2%
- over 5.5odds8.85Closing chance estimate11.1%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin10.3%
SuperbetAt recommendationover 3.51.92Model chance52.3%EV+0.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate96.1%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin5.7%
- over 1.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate83.5%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin7.2%
- over 2.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate63.0%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin6.9%
- over 3.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate40.8%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin6.7%
- over 4.5odds4.35Closing chance estimate22.8%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin7.0%
- over 5.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate11.1%Closing EV estimate−8.9%margin6.5%
- over 6.5odds17.00Closing chance estimate4.8%Closing EV estimate−18.9%margin4.9%
- over 7.5odds34.00Closing chance estimate1.8%Closing EV estimate−38.0%margin2.6%
- over 8.5odds70.00Closing chance estimate0.6%Closing EV estimate−56.0%margin1.3%
Bet365Closing estimateover 3.52.25Model chance40.8%EV-8.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 11:40Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate96.1%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin3.3%
- over 1.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate83.5%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin5.7%
- over 2.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate63.0%Closing EV estimate−5.5%margin6.7%
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate40.8%Closing EV estimate−8.1%margin8.1%
- over 4.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate22.8%Closing EV estimate−14.4%margin6.7%
- over 5.5odds8.00Closing chance estimate11.1%Closing EV estimate−11.1%margin4.8%
- over 6.5odds15.00Closing chance estimate4.8%Closing EV estimate−28.5%margin3.8%
- over 7.5odds29.00Closing chance estimate1.8%Closing EV estimate−47.1%margin2.8%
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.52.20Model chance40.8%EV-10.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:35Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate83.5%Closing EV estimate−4.8%margin10.4%
- over 2.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate63.0%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin9.7%
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate40.8%Closing EV estimate−10.1%margin10.0%
- over 4.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate22.8%Closing EV estimate−16.7%margin10.0%
- over 5.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate11.1%Closing EV estimate−33.3%margin10.1%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.52.40Model chance40.8%EV-2.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate83.5%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin10.5%
- over 2.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate63.0%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin11.0%
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.40Closing chance estimate40.8%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin10.6%
- over 4.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate22.8%Closing EV estimate−8.7%margin10.5%
- over 5.5odds6.60Closing chance estimate11.1%Closing EV estimate−26.7%margin10.4%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 15:48: over 3.5 at 1.98 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 16:47. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 63.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.57. Expected value at recommendation: +25.9%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
KambiClosing estimateover 30.52.45Model chance57.0%EV+39.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 25.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate83.6%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin11.0%
- over 26.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate79.2%Closing EV estimate+18.8%margin11.1%
- over 27.5odds1.66Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate+23.2%margin11.3%
- over 28.5odds1.87Closing chance estimate68.8%Closing EV estimate+28.6%margin10.9%
- over 29.5odds2.12Closing chance estimate63.0%Closing EV estimate+33.6%margin11.3%
- over 30.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+39.6%margin10.7%
- over 31.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate+45.0%margin10.8%
- over 32.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate44.8%Closing EV estimate+50.2%margin11.2%
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 30.51.97Model chance63.9%EV+25.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 25.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate83.6%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin7.9%
- over 26.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate79.2%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin8.1%
- over 27.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin8.2%
- over 28.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate68.8%Closing EV estimate+8.0%margin8.1%
- over 29.5odds1.76Closing chance estimate63.0%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin8.1%
- over 30.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin8.1%
- over 31.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate+17.0%margin8.0%
- over 32.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate44.8%Closing EV estimate+21.1%margin8.0%
- over 33.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate+22.9%margin8.1%
BetliveClosing estimateover 30.52.00Model chance57.0%EV+14.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 26.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate79.2%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin12.1%
- over 27odds1.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%
- over 27.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin12.0%
- over 28odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- over 28.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate68.8%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin12.5%
- over 29odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%
- over 29.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate63.0%Closing EV estimate+13.4%margin11.1%
- over 30odds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%
- over 30.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin12.5%
- over 31odds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- over 31.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate+19.6%margin12.0%
- over 32odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%
- over 32.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate44.8%Closing EV estimate+23.3%margin11.6%
- over 33odds3.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 30.52.00Model chance57.0%EV+14.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:03Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 26.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate79.2%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin12.0%
- over 27.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin12.2%
- over 28.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate68.8%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin12.5%
- over 29.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate63.0%Closing EV estimate+13.4%margin11.1%
- over 30.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin12.5%
- over 31.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate+17.0%margin12.4%
- over 32.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate44.8%Closing EV estimate+23.3%margin11.6%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 30.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 73.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.37. Expected value at recommendation: +42.4%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
KambiAt recommendationover 22.52.17Model chance73.0%EV+58.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 18.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+16.9%margin11.0%
- over 19.5odds1.63Closing chance estimate72.7%Closing EV estimate+18.5%margin11.3%
- over 20.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate+20.5%margin11.5%
- over 21.5odds2.08Closing chance estimate58.5%Closing EV estimate+21.7%margin11.4%
- over 22.5odds2.48Closing chance estimate51.0%Closing EV estimate+26.5%margin11.2%
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 22.51.95Model chance73.0%EV+42.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 17.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate84.4%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin8.1%
- over 18.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+12.9%margin8.1%
- over 19.5odds1.58Closing chance estimate72.7%Closing EV estimate+14.9%margin7.7%
- over 20.5odds1.78Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate+17.2%margin8.3%
- over 21.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate58.5%Closing EV estimate+18.2%margin8.7%
- over 22.5odds2.32Closing chance estimate51.0%Closing EV estimate+18.4%margin9.3%
- over 23.5odds2.67Closing chance estimate43.6%Closing EV estimate+16.5%margin9.9%
- over 24.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate36.6%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin10.4%
- over 25.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate30.0%Closing EV estimate−8.3%margin8.0%
BetliveClosing estimateover 22.51.60Model chance51.0%EV-18.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 20.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate−13.8%margin12.1%
- over 21odds1.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%
- over 21.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate58.5%Closing EV estimate−15.2%margin12.4%
- over 22odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%
- over 22.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate51.0%Closing EV estimate−18.4%margin12.5%
- over 23odds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%
- over 23.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate43.6%Closing EV estimate−19.3%margin11.2%
- over 24odds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%
- over 24.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate36.6%Closing EV estimate−21.4%margin13.2%
- over 25odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- over 25.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate30.0%Closing EV estimate−23.4%margin12.2%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 22.51.60Model chance51.0%EV-18.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:03Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 21.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate58.5%Closing EV estimate−18.1%margin12.2%
- over 22.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate51.0%Closing EV estimate−18.4%margin12.5%
- over 23.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate43.6%Closing EV estimate−21.5%margin11.1%
- over 24.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate36.6%Closing EV estimate−26.9%margin12.5%
- over 25.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate30.0%Closing EV estimate−26.4%margin12.2%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 22.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 17:58. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 60.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.65. Expected value at recommendation: +16.1%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 7.51.91Model chance60.8%EV+16.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate67.0%Closing EV estimate+27.8%margin7.9%
KambiAt recommendationover 7.51.88Model chance60.8%EV+14.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 6.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate+19.1%margin11.7%
- over 7.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate67.0%Closing EV estimate+23.9%margin11.2%
- over 8.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate+25.0%margin11.5%
SuperbetAt recommendationover 7.51.87Model chance60.8%EV+13.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate93.8%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin10.9%
- over 5.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate87.5%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin7.7%
- over 6.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin10.6%
- over 7.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate67.0%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin7.9%
- over 8.5odds1.77Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin7.8%
- over 9.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate41.8%Closing EV estimate−10.2%margin8.6%
- over 10.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate30.4%Closing EV estimate−19.4%margin9.7%
- over 11.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate21.0%Closing EV estimate−24.4%margin7.8%
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 7.51.75Model chance67.0%EV+17.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 11:40Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate67.0%Closing EV estimate+17.2%margin11.2%
BetliveClosing estimateover 7.52.75Model chance67.0%EV+84.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 5odds1.32Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- over 5.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate87.5%Closing EV estimate+31.2%margin13.2%
- over 6odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%
- over 6.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate+56.8%margin12.5%
- over 7odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.75Closing chance estimate67.0%Closing EV estimate+84.2%margin11.6%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 7.52.75Model chance67.0%EV+84.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate93.8%Closing EV estimate+17.3%margin12.3%
- over 5.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate87.5%Closing EV estimate+40.0%margin12.5%
- over 6.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate+64.6%margin12.1%
- over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.75Closing chance estimate67.0%Closing EV estimate+84.2%margin11.6%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: over 7.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 16:17. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 63.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +33.5%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 11.52.10Model chance63.6%EV+33.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:51Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate+17.9%margin7.6%
SuperbetAt recommendationover 11.52.12Model chance63.6%EV+34.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 6.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate95.0%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin11.6%
- over 7.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate90.7%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin8.1%
- over 8.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate84.5%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin8.4%
- over 9.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate76.3%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin7.7%
- over 10.5odds1.78Closing chance estimate66.7%Closing EV estimate+18.7%margin7.5%
- over 11.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate+26.3%margin7.7%
- over 12.5odds2.82Closing chance estimate45.5%Closing EV estimate+28.4%margin10.6%
- over 13.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate35.5%Closing EV estimate+33.1%margin10.7%
- over 14.5odds5.40Closing chance estimate26.6%Closing EV estimate+43.8%margin7.8%
BetliveClosing estimateover 11.52.00Model chance56.2%EV+12.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 9odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%
- over 9.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate76.3%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin11.7%
- over 10odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%
- over 10.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate66.7%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin11.9%
- over 11odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate+12.3%margin12.5%
- over 12odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%
- over 12.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate45.5%Closing EV estimate+13.8%margin11.9%
- over 13odds3.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 11.51.95Model chance56.2%EV+9.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:03Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 9.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate76.3%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin11.8%
- over 10.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate66.7%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin12.5%
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin11.9%
- over 12.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate45.5%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin12.2%
- over 13.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate35.5%Closing EV estimate+17.2%margin12.3%
KambiClosing estimateover 11.52.10Model chance56.2%EV+17.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:11Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 7.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate90.7%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin12.2%
- over 8.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate84.5%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin11.4%
- over 9.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate76.3%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin11.4%
- over 10.5odds1.68Closing chance estimate66.7%Closing EV estimate+12.0%margin11.1%
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate+17.9%margin11.3%
- over 12.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate45.5%Closing EV estimate+22.9%margin11.1%
- over 13.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate35.5%Closing EV estimate+26.0%margin11.5%
- over 14.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate26.6%Closing EV estimate+27.8%margin12.6%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.51.90Model chance56.2%EV+6.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:40Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 8.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate84.5%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin12.6%
- over 9.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate76.3%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin12.2%
- over 10.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate66.7%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin11.3%
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin11.5%
- over 12.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate45.5%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin14.0%
- over 13.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate35.5%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin12.2%
- over 14.5odds4.15Closing chance estimate26.6%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin11.8%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 11.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 76.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.32. Expected value at recommendation: +45.7%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 8.51.91Model chance76.3%EV+45.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:51Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate54.0%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin7.9%
BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 8.51.94Model chance60.5%EV+17.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 11:15Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 8.5odds2.28Closing chance estimate54.0%Closing EV estimate+23.0%margin11.4%
KambiClosing estimateover 8.51.98Model chance54.0%EV+6.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 5.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate87.2%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin12.0%
- over 6.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin11.4%
- over 7.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate66.6%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin10.9%
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.98Closing chance estimate54.0%Closing EV estimate+6.8%margin11.1%
- over 9.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate41.5%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin10.9%
- over 10.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate30.2%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin11.9%
SuperbetAt recommendationover 8.51.90Model chance76.3%EV+45.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate93.6%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin11.2%
- over 5.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate87.2%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin11.1%
- over 6.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+10.8%margin8.2%
- over 7.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate66.6%Closing EV estimate+16.5%margin7.9%
- over 8.5odds2.27Closing chance estimate54.0%Closing EV estimate+22.5%margin7.7%
- over 9.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate41.5%Closing EV estimate+26.5%margin8.0%
- over 10.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate30.2%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin11.2%
- over 11.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate20.9%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin10.9%
BetliveClosing estimateover 8.51.85Model chance54.0%EV-0.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 7odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%
- over 7.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate66.6%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin12.1%
- over 8odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate54.0%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin11.2%
- over 9odds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%
- over 9.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate41.5%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin12.1%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.51.80Model chance54.0%EV-2.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:03Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 7.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate66.6%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin12.4%
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate54.0%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin11.1%
- over 9.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate41.5%Closing EV estimate−4.6%margin12.4%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.51.75Model chance54.0%EV-5.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:40Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 7.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate66.6%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin12.4%
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate54.0%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin12.7%
- over 9.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate41.5%Closing EV estimate−6.7%margin13.4%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 8.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 59.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +12.8%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 2.51.91Model chance59.1%EV+12.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:51Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate63.1%Closing EV estimate+20.4%margin7.9%
BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 2.51.93Model chance59.1%EV+14.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 11:15Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.5odds1.63Closing chance estimate63.1%Closing EV estimate+2.8%margin11.3%
SuperbetAt recommendationover 2.52.05Model chance59.1%EV+21.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:11Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate96.0%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin11.1%
- over 1.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate83.3%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin11.2%
- over 2.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate63.1%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin8.3%
- over 3.5odds2.57Closing chance estimate41.3%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin9.8%
- over 4.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate23.6%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin11.3%
- over 5.5odds6.60Closing chance estimate11.8%Closing EV estimate−21.8%margin11.3%
BetliveClosing estimateover 2.51.80Model chance63.1%EV+13.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2odds1.42Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate63.1%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin11.1%
- over 3odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.51.80Model chance63.1%EV+13.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:03Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate83.3%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin12.3%
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate63.1%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin11.1%
- over 3.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate41.3%Closing EV estimate+17.8%margin12.0%
KambiClosing estimateover 2.51.84Model chance63.1%EV+16.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate83.3%Closing EV estimate+4.9%margin11.6%
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.84Closing chance estimate63.1%Closing EV estimate+16.1%margin11.2%
- over 3.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate41.3%Closing EV estimate+24.0%margin11.5%
- over 4.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate23.6%Closing EV estimate+17.9%margin12.6%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.51.80Model chance63.1%EV+13.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:40Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate83.3%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin12.0%
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate63.1%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin11.1%
- over 3.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate41.3%Closing EV estimate+17.8%margin12.0%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: over 2.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 16:17. The original pick remains in the results.
Predictions