Northern Ireland vs Georgia 0-0 — UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League 26/27

Northern Ireland

0–0

HT 0–0

Georgia

Mon 5 Oct·12:45·Matchday 4·Windsor Park·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

8Corners4
0Cards4
15Shots7
5Shots on target2
9Fouls14
25Throw-ins23
2Offsides0
3Goal kicks7
2Saves5
25Tackles12
7Interceptions6
14Dribbles6

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

12:45

Northern Irelandv

GeorgiaUEFA Nations League0 won / 2 lost · −2.00u · 2 picks

Fouls · Northern Ireland total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 13.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.205 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds2.204 Oct, 04:30

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 13.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds2.20
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 04:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 11.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate61.7%Closing EV estimate−7.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:30
- over 12.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−6.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:30
- over 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate42.7%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:30
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 13.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds1.95
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 08:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate79.3%Closing EV estimate−8.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40
- over 10.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate70.9%Closing EV estimate−14.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 08:30
- over 11.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate61.7%Closing EV estimate−13.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 08:30
- over 12.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−14.0%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 08:30
- over 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate42.7%Closing EV estimate−16.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 08:30
- over 14.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate34.0%Closing EV estimate−16.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 08:30
- over 15.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate26.2%Closing EV estimate−18.7%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 08:30
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 13.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds2.20
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 09:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 11.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate61.7%Closing EV estimate−10.5%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 09:01
- over 12.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−6.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 09:01
- over 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate42.7%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 09:01
- over 14.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate34.0%Closing EV estimate−15.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 07:01

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 11:45: over 13.5 at 2.20 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Northern Ireland total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.055 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds2.054 Oct, 04:30

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds2.05
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 04:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+16.9%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:30
- under 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate75.0%Closing EV estimate+12.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:30
Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV+14.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 12:20
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 12:20
BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.64
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV-6.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 02:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.64Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate−6.5%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:36
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV+11.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 08:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate35.5%Closing EV estimate+9.9%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 08:01
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+11.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 08:01
- under 4.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate75.0%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 08:01
- under 5.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate87.2%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 08:01
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.63
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV-7.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 12:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate35.5%Closing EV estimate−9.6%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 12:02
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.63Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate−7.0%margin13.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 12:02
- under 4.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate75.0%Closing EV estimate−6.2%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 12:02
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV+14.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate35.5%Closing EV estimate+18.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:31
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:31
- under 4.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate75.0%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:31
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV+14.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 12:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds14.00Closing chance estimate3.8%Closing EV estimate−47.5%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 10:02
- under 1.5odds5.80Closing chance estimate15.8%Closing EV estimate−8.3%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 12:32
- under 2.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate35.5%Closing EV estimate+13.4%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 10:02
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate57.0%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 10:02
- under 4.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate75.0%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 12:02
- under 5.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate87.2%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 12:32
- under 6.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate94.2%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 10:02

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 11:45: under 3.5 at 2.05 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−100.0%ROI · 2 units staked

Profit−2.00units

W / L0 / 2picks

Avg odds2.13settled picks

Recorded picks21 matches

Around this match

CompetitionUEFA Nations League Home teamNorthern Ireland Away teamGeorgia RefereeSebastian Gishamer

Previous meetings

Fri 25 SepGeorgia 0-1 Northern Ireland

Match overview

Matches

Fouls · Northern Ireland total

Shots on target · Northern Ireland total

This match

Around this match

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