Nice vs RC Strasbourg 2-1 — Ligue 1

Ligue 1Ligue 1 26/27

Nice

2–1

HT 1–1

RC Strasbourg

Sun 11 Oct·07:00·Matchday 6·Allianz Riviera·Nice won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

2Corners3
1Cards1
11Shots11
6Shots on target3
3Fouls8
17Throw-ins15
5Offsides2
11Goal kicks8
2Saves4
23Tackles20
8Interceptions11
6Dribbles10

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Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

07:00NicevRC StrasbourgLigue 15 won / 4 lost · +0.95u · 9 picks

Cards · Nice total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 1+0.95u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.959 Oct, 07:17

Closing odds2.2011 Oct, 05:34

Odds up+0.25

Model chance at recommendation: 57.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.74
Expected value at recommendation: +12.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +12.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds1.85
Unchanged
Model chance55.9%EV+3.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- under 2.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate81.4%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds1.90
Odds down−0.10
Model chance55.3%EV+10.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:31
- under 2.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate81.4%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:31
KambiAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation1.89
Closing odds1.97
Odds up+0.08
Model chance57.7%EV+9.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:06
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds1.97Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:06
- under 2.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate81.4%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:06
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.03
Closing odds1.90
Odds down−0.13
Model chance55.3%EV+12.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:03
- under 2.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate81.4%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:33
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds2.20
Odds up+0.25
Model chance57.7%EV+12.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate22.8%Closing EV estimate+18.5%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:34
- under 1.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate+24.3%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:34
- under 2.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate81.4%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 07:17: under 1.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Cards · RC Strasbourg total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 1+1.02u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.029 Oct, 07:17

Closing odds2.2011 Oct, 05:34

Odds up+0.18

Model chance at recommendation: 56.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.78
Expected value at recommendation: +13.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +13.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds1.90
Unchanged
Model chance54.4%EV+3.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- under 2.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate80.2%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds1.90
Odds down−0.10
Model chance53.8%EV+7.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:31
- under 2.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate80.2%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:31
KambiAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.40
Closing odds2.12
Odds down−0.28
Model chance56.2%EV+34.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:06
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds2.12Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+16.5%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:06
- under 2.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate80.2%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:06
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds2.10
Odds up+0.05
Model chance55.4%EV+13.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+15.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:03
- under 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate80.2%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:33
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds2.20
Odds up+0.18
Model chance56.2%EV+13.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds5.25Closing chance estimate21.8%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:34
- under 1.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+20.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:34
- under 2.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate80.2%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 07:17: under 1.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 21.5Actual: 11+1.05u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0510 Oct, 19:11

Closing odds2.0511 Oct, 04:05

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 53.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.87
Expected value at recommendation: +9.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +9.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetClosing estimateunder 21.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.5%EV+16.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 19.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate38.9%Closing EV estimate+14.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- under 20.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate47.2%Closing EV estimate+15.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- under 21.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate55.5%Closing EV estimate+16.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- under 22.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate63.4%Closing EV estimate+17.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- under 23.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate70.7%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- under 24.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate77.1%Closing EV estimate+11.8%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- under 25.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate82.6%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- under 26.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate87.1%Closing EV estimate+13.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:31
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 21.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds2.10
Unchanged
Model chance54.6%EV+14.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 19.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate38.9%Closing EV estimate+14.7%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- under 20.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate47.2%Closing EV estimate+15.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- under 21.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate55.5%Closing EV estimate+16.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- under 22.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate63.4%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- under 23.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate70.7%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- under 24.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate77.1%Closing EV estimate+8.0%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- under 25.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate82.6%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- under 26.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate87.1%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:33
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 21.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds2.05
Unchanged
Model chance53.6%EV+9.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 21.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate55.5%Closing EV estimate+13.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:05
- under 22.5odds1.76Closing chance estimate63.4%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:34
- under 23.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate70.7%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:05
BetliveClosing estimateunder 21.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.5%EV+22.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 20.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate47.2%Closing EV estimate+25.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- under 21.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate55.5%Closing EV estimate+22.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- under 22.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate63.4%Closing EV estimate+20.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- under 23.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate70.7%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- under 24.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate77.1%Closing EV estimate+11.8%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- under 25.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate82.6%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 19:11: under 21.5 at 2.05 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · RC Strasbourg total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 11.5Actual: 8+0.93u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9311 Oct, 00:06

Closing odds1.7011 Oct, 05:33

Odds down−0.23

Model chance at recommendation: 60.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.67
Expected value at recommendation: +15.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +15.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.5
At recommendation1.93
Closing odds1.70
Odds down−0.23
Model chance60.0%EV+15.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 10.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- under 11.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate61.3%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- under 12.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate71.7%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
BetliveClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.3%EV+7.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 10.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate61.3%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- under 12.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate71.7%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.3%EV+4.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 9.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate37.8%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- under 10.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate61.3%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- under 12.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate71.7%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31
- under 13.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate80.3%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:31

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 00:06: under 11.5 at 1.93 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 02:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 15.5Actual: 19+1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0011 Oct, 03:09

Closing odds2.0211 Oct, 06:05

Odds up+0.02

Model chance at recommendation: 52.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.90
Expected value at recommendation: +5.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +5.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 15.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.02
Odds up+0.02
Model chance52.8%EV+5.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 14.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate63.3%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 15.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:05
BetliveClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.4%EV-3.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 13.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate72.6%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 14.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate63.3%Closing EV estimate−5.0%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 16.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate43.5%Closing EV estimate−8.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 17.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate34.1%Closing EV estimate−11.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
CrocobetClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.4%EV-3.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 13.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate72.6%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:31
- over 14.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate63.3%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:31
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:31
- over 16.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate43.5%Closing EV estimate−8.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:31
- over 17.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate34.1%Closing EV estimate−9.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:31
LiderbetClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.4%EV-3.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 13.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate72.6%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 14.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate63.3%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 16.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate43.5%Closing EV estimate−6.5%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 17.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate34.1%Closing EV estimate−9.5%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: over 15.5 at 2.00 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 06:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 27.5Actual: 22−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.129 Oct, 07:17

Closing odds2.0511 Oct, 06:34

Odds down−0.07

Model chance at recommendation: 53.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.87
Expected value at recommendation: +13.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +13.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetClosing estimateover 27.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.7%EV+31.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 23.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate84.2%Closing EV estimate+12.0%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:31
- over 24.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate79.6%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:31
- over 25.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate74.5%Closing EV estimate+22.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:31
- over 26.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate68.8%Closing EV estimate+30.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:31
- over 27.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate62.7%Closing EV estimate+31.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:31
- over 28.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate+38.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:31
- over 29.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate+55.3%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:31
KambiAt recommendationover 27.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds1.91
Odds down−0.24
Model chance53.7%EV+15.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:06
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 24.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate79.6%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:36
- over 25.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate74.5%Closing EV estimate+13.2%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:06
- over 26.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate68.8%Closing EV estimate+17.0%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:06
- over 27.5odds1.91Closing chance estimate62.7%Closing EV estimate+19.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:06
- over 28.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate+24.2%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:06
LiderbetClosing estimateover 27.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.7%EV+34.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 24.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate79.6%Closing EV estimate+19.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 25.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate74.5%Closing EV estimate+22.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 26.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate68.8%Closing EV estimate+27.3%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 27.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate62.7%Closing EV estimate+34.9%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 28.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate+41.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 27.5
At recommendation2.12
Closing odds2.05
Odds down−0.07
Model chance53.7%EV+13.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 22.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate88.1%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 23.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate84.2%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 24.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate79.6%Closing EV estimate+13.9%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 25.5odds1.59Closing chance estimate74.5%Closing EV estimate+18.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 26.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate68.8%Closing EV estimate+23.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 27.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate62.7%Closing EV estimate+28.6%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 28.5odds2.37Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate+33.8%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 29.5odds2.77Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate+38.7%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 30.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate+48.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
BetliveClosing estimateover 27.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.7%EV+34.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 23.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate84.2%Closing EV estimate+12.0%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 24.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate79.6%Closing EV estimate+17.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 25.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate74.5%Closing EV estimate+22.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 26.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate68.8%Closing EV estimate+27.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 27.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate62.7%Closing EV estimate+34.9%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 28.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate+41.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 29.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate+47.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 07:17: over 27.5 at 2.12 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 19:11. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Nice total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 14.5Actual: 11−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.979 Oct, 07:17

Closing odds1.9011 Oct, 06:34

Odds down−0.07

Model chance at recommendation: 54.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.84
Expected value at recommendation: +7.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +7.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365At recommendationover 14.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds1.80
Odds down−0.20
Model chance54.6%EV+9.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:15
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 14.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate61.6%Closing EV estimate+10.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:15
BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 14.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds1.77
Odds down−0.23
Model chance58.3%EV+16.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:15
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 14.5odds1.77Closing chance estimate61.6%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:15
KambiAt recommendationover 14.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds1.77
Odds down−0.23
Model chance58.3%EV+16.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:06
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 13.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:36
- over 14.5odds1.77Closing chance estimate61.6%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:06
- over 15.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:06
LiderbetAt recommendationover 14.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds1.95
Unchanged
Model chance58.3%EV+13.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 13.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate+16.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate61.6%Closing EV estimate+20.1%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 14.5
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds1.90
Odds down−0.07
Model chance54.6%EV+7.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 10.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate90.4%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 19:04
- over 11.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 12.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 13.5odds1.64Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 14.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate61.6%Closing EV estimate+17.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 15.5odds2.22Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+16.2%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 16.5odds2.62Closing chance estimate43.2%Closing EV estimate+13.2%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 17.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate34.6%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
BetliveClosing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.6%EV+23.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 12.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate+13.6%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 13.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate+19.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate61.6%Closing EV estimate+23.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 15.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+30.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
CrocobetClosing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.6%EV+20.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 11.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:31
- over 12.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate78.4%Closing EV estimate+9.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:31
- over 13.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate+16.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:31
- over 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate61.6%Closing EV estimate+20.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:31
- over 15.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+28.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:31

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 07:17: over 14.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · RC Strasbourg total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 12.5Actual: 11−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0511 Oct, 03:09

Closing odds2.0211 Oct, 06:06

Odds down−0.03

Model chance at recommendation: 59.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.68
Expected value at recommendation: +22.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +22.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 12.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds2.02
Odds down−0.03
Model chance59.9%EV+22.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:06
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 11.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate70.6%Closing EV estimate+22.2%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:06
- over 12.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate61.0%Closing EV estimate+23.2%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:06
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.02
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.0%EV+23.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:15
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.02Closing chance estimate61.0%Closing EV estimate+23.2%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:15
BetliveClosing estimateover 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.0%EV+15.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 10.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate79.2%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 11.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate70.6%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate61.0%Closing EV estimate+15.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 13.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate+19.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
CrocobetClosing estimateover 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.0%EV+18.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 10.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate79.2%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:31
- over 11.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate70.6%Closing EV estimate+16.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:31
- over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate61.0%Closing EV estimate+18.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:31
- over 13.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate+24.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:31
- over 14.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate41.1%Closing EV estimate+35.6%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:31
LiderbetClosing estimateover 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.0%EV+18.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 11.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate70.6%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate61.0%Closing EV estimate+18.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
SuperbetClosing estimateover 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.0%EV+22.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate86.3%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 10.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate79.2%Closing EV estimate+16.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 11.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate70.6%Closing EV estimate+20.1%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate61.0%Closing EV estimate+22.0%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 13.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate+22.2%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 14.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate41.1%Closing EV estimate+23.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 15.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate32.0%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:05

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: over 12.5 at 2.05 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.059 Oct, 07:17

Closing odds2.0711 Oct, 04:34

Odds up+0.02

Model chance at recommendation: 50.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.99
Expected value at recommendation: +3.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +3.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

LiderbetAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance52.0%EV+4.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate86.6%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 7.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 8.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 10.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate43.9%Closing EV estimate+12.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 11.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate33.1%Closing EV estimate+15.7%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- over 12.5odds4.90Closing chance estimate23.7%Closing EV estimate+16.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds2.07
Odds up+0.02
Model chance50.3%EV+3.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate92.9%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 6.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate86.6%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 7.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
- over 8.5odds1.63Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate+9.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
- over 9.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+15.3%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
- over 10.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate43.9%Closing EV estimate+16.4%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:03
- over 11.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate33.1%Closing EV estimate+20.6%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 12.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate23.7%Closing EV estimate+18.6%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 13.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate16.3%Closing EV estimate+10.6%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.7%EV+8.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 8.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
- over 10.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate43.9%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:00
CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.7%EV+11.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:31
- over 8.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:31
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:31
- over 10.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate43.9%Closing EV estimate+16.4%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:31
- over 11.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate33.1%Closing EV estimate+22.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:31
KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.82
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.7%EV+1.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:06
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:06
- over 8.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:06
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.82Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:06
- over 10.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate43.9%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:06
- over 11.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate33.1%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:06

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 07:17: over 9.5 at 2.05 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+10.6%ROI · 9 units staked

Profit+0.95units

W / L5 / 4picks

Avg odds2.02settled picks

Recorded picks91 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLigue 1 Home teamNice Away teamRC Strasbourg RefereeJeremie Pignard

Match overview

Matches

Cards · Nice total

Cards · RC Strasbourg total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · RC Strasbourg total

Goal kicks · match total

Shots · match total

Shots · Nice total

Shots · RC Strasbourg total

Shots on target · match total

This match

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