Netherlands vs Serbia 2-1 — UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League 26/27

Netherlands

2–1

HT 1–1

Serbia

Sun 4 Oct·12:45·Matchday 4·Philips Stadion·Netherlands won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

6Corners4
1Cards4
22Shots14
7Shots on target4
14Fouls13
13Throw-ins14
1Offsides2
8Goal kicks8
3Saves4
14Tackles11
8Interceptions11
6Dribbles4

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

12 Free0 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match

12:45

Netherlandsv

SerbiaUEFA Nations League3 won / 9 lost · −4.70u · 12 picks

Corners · Netherlands total

Open match →FreeLost

over 7.52.16 at Kambi−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 7.52.16Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 2 Oct, 04:37
- over 4.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate−4.9%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:32
- over 5.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate65.3%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:32
- over 6.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate−10.9%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:32
- over 7.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate37.1%Closing EV estimate−18.3%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:32
- over 8.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate25.4%Closing EV estimate−26.4%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:32
- over 9.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate16.3%Closing EV estimate−38.0%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:32
- over 10.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate9.9%Closing EV estimate−49.5%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:32
SuperbetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 7.52.12Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 10:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate98.7%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin3.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:31
- over 2.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate95.5%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:31
- over 3.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:31
- over 4.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate−5.7%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:31
- over 5.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate65.3%Closing EV estimate−9.2%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:31
- over 6.5odds1.69Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate−14.0%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:31
- over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.12Closing chance estimate37.1%Closing EV estimate−21.3%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:31
- over 8.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate25.4%Closing EV estimate−28.9%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:31
- over 9.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate16.3%Closing EV estimate−38.8%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:31
- over 10.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate9.9%Closing EV estimate−48.6%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:31
- over 11.5odds7.20Closing chance estimate5.7%Closing EV estimate−59.1%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:31
BetliveClosing estimateover 7.51.95Model chance37.1%EV-27.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate−12.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:30
- over 5.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate65.3%Closing EV estimate−18.3%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:30
- over 6.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate−23.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:00
- over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate37.1%Closing EV estimate−27.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:30
- over 8.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate25.4%Closing EV estimate−32.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:30
- over 9.5odds3.85Closing chance estimate16.3%Closing EV estimate−37.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:30
CrocobetClosing estimateover 7.51.95Model chance37.1%EV-27.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 05:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate−13.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 05:31
- over 5.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate65.3%Closing EV estimate−16.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 05:31
- over 6.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate−21.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 05:31
- over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate37.1%Closing EV estimate−27.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 05:31
- over 8.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate25.4%Closing EV estimate−31.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 05:31
- over 9.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate16.3%Closing EV estimate−34.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 05:31
LiderbetClosing estimateover 7.51.95Model chance37.1%EV-27.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate−12.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:31
- over 5.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate65.3%Closing EV estimate−19.6%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 08:31
- over 6.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate−23.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 05:31
- over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate37.1%Closing EV estimate−27.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 08:31
- over 8.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate25.4%Closing EV estimate−31.5%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:01
- over 9.5odds3.95Closing chance estimate16.3%Closing EV estimate−35.6%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:01

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 11:49: over 7.5 at 2.16 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · match total

Open match →FreeLost

under 20.52.55 at Liderbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 20.52.50Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 19.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate+72.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 20odds2.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 21odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 21.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate69.8%Closing EV estimate+46.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 22odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 22.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate75.5%Closing EV estimate+36.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 23odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 23.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate80.6%Closing EV estimate+28.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 24odds1.48Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 24.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate84.8%Closing EV estimate+20.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 25odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 25.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate88.3%Closing EV estimate+14.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 20.52.45Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 3 Oct, 08:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 19.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate+74.8%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 08:31
- under 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 3 Oct, 08:31
- under 21.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate69.8%Closing EV estimate+46.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 08:31
- under 22.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate75.5%Closing EV estimate+36.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 08:31
- under 23.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate80.6%Closing EV estimate+28.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 08:31
- under 24.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate84.8%Closing EV estimate+18.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 08:31
- under 25.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate88.3%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 08:31
Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 20.52.55Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 09:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 18.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate49.1%Closing EV estimate+74.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 08:31
- under 19.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate+80.5%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:01
- under 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 09:01
- under 21.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate69.8%Closing EV estimate+46.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:01
- under 22.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate75.5%Closing EV estimate+36.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:01
- under 23.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate80.6%Closing EV estimate+24.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:01
- under 24.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate84.8%Closing EV estimate+17.0%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:01
- under 25.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate88.3%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 04:32
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 20.52.05Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 12:02
- under 21.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate69.8%Closing EV estimate+22.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 11:02
- under 22.5odds1.54Closing chance estimate75.5%Closing EV estimate+16.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:48

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 12:19: under 20.5 at 2.55 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · Serbia total

Open match →FreeLost

under 11.52.05 at Betlive−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 11.52.05Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 10.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate60.4%Closing EV estimate+60.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 11odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate70.3%Closing EV estimate+44.1%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 12odds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 12.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate+33.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 13odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 13.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate+22.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 11.51.95Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 3 Oct, 08:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate70.3%Closing EV estimate+37.0%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 08:31
- under 12.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate+29.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 08:31
- under 13.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate+19.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 08:31
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 11.52.05Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 09:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 10.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate60.4%Closing EV estimate+48.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 08:31
- under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate70.3%Closing EV estimate+44.1%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:01
- under 12.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate+29.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:01
- under 13.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate+18.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 04:32

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 11:49: under 11.5 at 2.05 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Goal kicks · Netherlands total

Open match →FreeLost

under 4.52.10 at Crocobet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.52.00Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4odds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate78.1%Closing EV estimate+56.2%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 5odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 5.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate89.3%Closing EV estimate+33.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 6odds1.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.52.10Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 3 Oct, 08:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate78.1%Closing EV estimate+64.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 08:31
- under 5.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate89.3%Closing EV estimate+38.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 08:31
- under 6.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate95.3%Closing EV estimate+22.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 08:31
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.52.00Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate60.7%Closing EV estimate+85.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate78.1%Closing EV estimate+56.2%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- under 5.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate89.3%Closing EV estimate+29.4%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- under 6.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate95.3%Closing EV estimate+18.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 04:32

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 11:49: under 4.5 at 2.10 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Goal kicks · Serbia total

Open match →FreeLost

over 10.52.07 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableover 10.52.00Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate−10.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 9odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 9.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate53.1%Closing EV estimate−15.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 10odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate41.3%Closing EV estimate−17.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 11odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 11.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate30.6%Closing EV estimate−21.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 10.52.00Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 3 Oct, 08:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate−8.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 08:31
- over 9.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate53.1%Closing EV estimate−12.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 08:31
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate41.3%Closing EV estimate−17.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 08:31
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 10.52.00Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate−10.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 04:32
- over 9.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate53.1%Closing EV estimate−15.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate41.3%Closing EV estimate−17.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 11.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate30.6%Closing EV estimate−18.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 10.52.07Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 10.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate41.3%Closing EV estimate−17.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:31

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 11:49: over 10.5 at 2.07 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Saves · match total

Open match →FreeWon

over 6.52.40 at Liderbet+1.40u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 6.52.40Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate85.7%Closing EV estimate+15.7%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 5.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate75.2%Closing EV estimate+35.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.40Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+49.6%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
KambiClosing estimateover 6.51.79Model chance62.4%EV+11.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate75.2%Closing EV estimate+18.0%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 03:32
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.79Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:32
- over 7.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate48.8%Closing EV estimate+14.7%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:32

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 11:49: over 6.5 at 2.40 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · Netherlands total

Open match →FreeWon

over 20.52.10 at Crocobet+1.10u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 20.52.10Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 16.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate83.5%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 08:31
- over 17.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate78.1%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 18.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate71.9%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 19.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate65.2%Closing EV estimate+17.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate58.1%Closing EV estimate+21.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
BetliveClosing estimateover 20.51.95Model chance58.1%EV+13.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 03:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 17.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate78.1%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 03:30
- over 18odds1.37Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 03:30
- over 18.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate71.9%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 03:30
- over 19odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 03:30
- over 19.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate65.2%Closing EV estimate+10.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 03:30
- over 20odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 03:30
- over 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate58.1%Closing EV estimate+13.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 03:30
- over 21odds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 03:30
- over 21.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate50.8%Closing EV estimate+16.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 03:30
- over 22odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 03:30
- over 22.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate43.7%Closing EV estimate+22.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 03:30
KambiClosing estimateover 20.51.76Model chance58.1%EV+2.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 19.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate65.2%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin13.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:49
- over 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.76Closing chance estimate58.1%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 03:32
- over 21.5odds1.71Closing chance estimate50.8%Closing EV estimate−13.1%margin13.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:32
- over 22.5odds1.94Closing chance estimate43.7%Closing EV estimate−15.2%margin13.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:32
- over 23.5odds2.23Closing chance estimate36.9%Closing EV estimate−17.6%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:32
- over 24.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate30.6%Closing EV estimate−31.1%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 07:02
LiderbetClosing estimateover 20.51.75Model chance58.1%EV+1.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 10:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 17.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate78.1%Closing EV estimate+13.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 05:31
- over 18.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate71.9%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 03:31
- over 19.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate65.2%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:31
- over 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate58.1%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:31
- over 21.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate50.8%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:31
SuperbetClosing estimateover 20.51.62Model chance58.1%EV-5.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.62Closing chance estimate58.1%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 08:32
- over 21.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate50.8%Closing EV estimate−13.6%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:02
- over 22.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate43.7%Closing EV estimate−16.1%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:02
- over 23.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate36.9%Closing EV estimate−18.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:02

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 11:49: over 20.5 at 2.10 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · Netherlands total

Open match →FreeLost

under 21.52.02 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 21.52.02Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 20.5odds2.17Closing chance estimate41.9%Closing EV estimate−9.0%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:02
- under 21.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate49.2%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:31
- under 22.5odds1.78Closing chance estimate56.3%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:02
- under 23.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate63.1%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:31
BetliveClosing estimateunder 21.51.45Model chance49.2%EV-28.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 03:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 17.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate21.9%Closing EV estimate−39.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 03:30
- under 18odds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 03:30
- under 18.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate28.1%Closing EV estimate−36.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 03:30
- under 19odds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 03:30
- under 19.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate34.8%Closing EV estimate−33.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 03:30
- under 20odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 03:30
- under 20.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate41.9%Closing EV estimate−30.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 03:30
- under 21odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 03:30
- under 21.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.45Closing chance estimate49.2%Closing EV estimate−28.7%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 03:30
- under 22odds1.36Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 03:30
- under 22.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate56.3%Closing EV estimate−26.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 03:30
KambiClosing estimateunder 21.51.81Model chance49.2%EV-11.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 19.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate34.8%Closing EV estimate−30.3%margin13.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:49
- under 20.5odds1.76Closing chance estimate41.9%Closing EV estimate−26.2%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 03:32
- under 21.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.81Closing chance estimate49.2%Closing EV estimate−11.0%margin13.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:32
- under 22.5odds1.61Closing chance estimate56.3%Closing EV estimate−9.4%margin13.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:32
- under 23.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate63.1%Closing EV estimate−7.9%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:32
- under 24.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 07:02
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 21.51.55Model chance49.2%EV-23.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 10:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 17.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate21.9%Closing EV estimate−49.6%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 05:31
- under 18.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate28.1%Closing EV estimate−34.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 03:31
- under 19.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate34.8%Closing EV estimate−23.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:31
- under 20.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate41.9%Closing EV estimate−24.5%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:31
- under 21.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimate49.2%Closing EV estimate−23.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:31

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 11:49: under 21.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Netherlands total

Open match →FreeLost

over 7.52.25 at Betlive−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 7.52.25Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 6odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 12:00
- over 6.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate66.5%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:00
- over 7odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 12:00
- over 7.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate52.9%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:00
- over 8odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 12:00
- over 8.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate39.6%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:00
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 7.52.20Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 3 Oct, 08:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 08:31
- over 6.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate66.5%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 08:31
- over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate52.9%Closing EV estimate+16.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 08:31
SuperbetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 7.52.05Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 08:02
- over 6.5odds1.62Closing chance estimate66.5%Closing EV estimate+7.7%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:31
- over 7.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate52.9%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:31
- over 8.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate39.6%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 11:32
Bet365Closing estimateover 7.52.00Model chance52.9%EV+5.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate52.9%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:40
KambiClosing estimateover 7.51.67Model chance52.9%EV-11.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate66.5%Closing EV estimate−9.6%margin13.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:32
- over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.67Closing chance estimate52.9%Closing EV estimate−11.6%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:32
- over 8.5odds2.18Closing chance estimate39.6%Closing EV estimate−13.6%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:32
- over 9.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate27.9%Closing EV estimate−17.6%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:32
LiderbetClosing estimateover 7.51.85Model chance52.9%EV-2.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:31
- over 6.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate66.5%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:31
- over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate52.9%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:31
- over 8.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate39.6%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:31

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 11:49: over 7.5 at 2.25 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Serbia total

Open match →FreeLost

under 2.51.90 at Crocobet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 2.51.85Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2odds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 12:00
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate+20.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 3odds1.48Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 12:00
- under 3.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:00
Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 2.51.90Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 3 Oct, 08:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate38.5%Closing EV estimate+27.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 08:31
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate+23.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 08:31
- under 3.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 08:31
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 2.51.85Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds3.85Closing chance estimate38.5%Closing EV estimate+48.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:31
- under 2.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate+30.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:31
- under 3.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate+14.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:31
SuperbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 2.51.72Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate38.5%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:31
- under 2.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:31
- under 3.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:31
Bet365Closing estimateunder 2.51.53Model chance65.1%EV-0.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.53Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:40
BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 2.51.58Model chance65.1%EV+2.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.58Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:40
KambiClosing estimateunder 2.51.58Model chance65.1%EV+2.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate38.5%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:32
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.58Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:32

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 11:49: under 2.5 at 1.90 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →FreeWon

under 30.52.80 at Liderbet+1.80u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 30.52.80Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 30.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.80Closing chance estimate69.6%Closing EV estimate+94.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 04:32
- under 31.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate74.5%Closing EV estimate+78.9%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:01
- under 32.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+61.9%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:01
- under 33.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate+49.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:01
- under 34.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate86.2%Closing EV estimate+38.0%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:01
- under 35.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate89.1%Closing EV estimate+24.7%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:01
- under 36.5odds1.32Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 12:01
- under 37.5odds1.29Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.6%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 06:01

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 12:05: under 30.5 at 2.80 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Throw-ins · Serbia total

Open match →FreeLost

under 13.52.65 at Betlive−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 13.52.65Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.65Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate+86.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 14odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 14.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+64.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 15odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 15.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate84.7%Closing EV estimate+52.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 16odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 16.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate89.6%Closing EV estimate+34.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 17odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46