Nantes vs USL Dunkerque 2-3 — Ligue 2

Ligue 2Ligue 2 26/27

Nantes

2–3

HT 1–2

USL Dunkerque

Sat 17 Oct·06:00·Matchday 9·Stade de la Beaujoire·USL Dunkerque won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

8Corners7
3Cards3
19Shots12
4Shots on target4
22Fouls13
27Throw-ins14
5Offsides1
7Goal kicks9
1Saves2
14Tackles13
15Interceptions9
2Dribbles3

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Matches

1 match

06:00NantesvUSL DunkerqueLigue 21 won / 0 lost · +0.91u · 1 pick

Corners · USL Dunkerque total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 7+0.91u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9112 Oct, 18:42

Closing odds1.9114 Oct, 00:15

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 56.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.76
Expected value at recommendation: +8.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +8.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds1.91
Unchanged
Model chance56.8%EV+8.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 14 Oct, 00:15
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 00:15
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.9%EV+9.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 04:51
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate88.0%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 04:51
- over 2.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 04:51
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate+9.9%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 04:51
- over 4.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate41.9%Closing EV estimate+19.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 04:51
- over 5.5odds4.85Closing chance estimate28.1%Closing EV estimate+36.2%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 04:51
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.9%EV+7.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 04:51
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 00:34
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 04:51
- over 4.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate41.9%Closing EV estimate+17.2%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 04:51
KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.78
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.9%EV+3.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 18:20
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.78Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 18:20
- over 4.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate41.9%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 18:20
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.9%EV+9.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 05:49
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate88.0%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:49
- over 2.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:49
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate+9.9%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:49
- over 4.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate41.9%Closing EV estimate+21.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:49
- over 5.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate28.1%Closing EV estimate+43.2%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:49
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.92
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.9%EV+11.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 06:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate96.8%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin6.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 06:02
- over 1.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate88.0%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 06:02
- over 2.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 06:02
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.92Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 06:02
- over 4.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate41.9%Closing EV estimate+15.1%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 06:02
- over 5.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate28.1%Closing EV estimate+15.2%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 06:02
- over 6.5odds6.20Closing chance estimate17.4%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 06:02

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 18:42: over 3.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 10:15. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+90.9%ROI · 1 unit staked

Profit+0.91units

W / L1 / 0picks

Avg odds1.91settled picks

Recorded picks11 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLigue 2 Home teamNantes Away teamUSL Dunkerque RefereeBenoît Millot

Match overview

Matches

Corners · USL Dunkerque total

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