Modena vs Hellas Verona 3-2 — Serie B

Serie BSerie B 26/27

Modena

3–2

HT 1–2

Hellas Verona

Sun 11 Oct·11:30·Matchday 6·Alberto Braglia·Modena won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

3Corners4
2Cards3
23Shots14
6Shots on target7
5Fouls11
26Throw-ins19
3Offsides0
4Goal kicks17
5Saves2
12Tackles15
8Interceptions10
7Dribbles7

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

11:30ModenavHellas VeronaSerie B1 won / 2 lost · −1.05u · 3 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 7−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.917 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds1.9111 Oct, 10:35

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 52.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.91
Expected value at recommendation: +0.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +0.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds1.91
Unchanged
Model chance52.5%EV+0.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate54.8%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:35
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.8%EV-1.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 11:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate54.8%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 11:02
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.8%EV-1.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate92.4%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:30
- over 6.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate85.9%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:30
- over 7.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate77.1%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:19
- over 8.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate66.5%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:19
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate54.8%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:19
- over 10.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate43.2%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:19
- over 11.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate32.5%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:19
- over 12.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate23.3%Closing EV estimate+4.9%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:30
- over 13.5odds6.10Closing chance estimate16.0%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:30
CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.8%EV-1.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate85.9%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:35
- over 7.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate77.1%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:21
- over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate66.5%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:21
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate54.8%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:21
- over 10.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate43.2%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:21
- over 11.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate32.5%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:21
KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.8%EV-1.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 11:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate54.8%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 11:03
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.8%EV+6.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate92.4%Closing EV estimate−4.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 09:32
- over 6.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate85.9%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 09:32
- over 7.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate77.1%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 09:32
- over 8.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate66.5%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 09:32
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate54.8%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 09:32
- over 10.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate43.2%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 09:32
- over 11.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate32.5%Closing EV estimate+12.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 09:32
- over 12.5odds4.70Closing chance estimate23.3%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 09:32
- over 13.5odds6.60Closing chance estimate16.0%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 09:32
SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.8%EV+4.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:39
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate96.5%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 5.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate92.4%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 6.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate85.9%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 7.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate77.1%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 8.5odds1.58Closing chance estimate66.5%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate54.8%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 10.5odds2.37Closing chance estimate43.2%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 11.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate32.5%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 12.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate23.3%Closing EV estimate−9.1%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 13.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate16.0%Closing EV estimate−16.7%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 14.5odds6.90Closing chance estimate10.5%Closing EV estimate−27.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 9.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Corners · Hellas Verona total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.257 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds2.3811 Oct, 11:02

Odds up+0.13

Model chance at recommendation: 50.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.97
Expected value at recommendation: +14.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.97. Expected value at recommendation: +14.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds2.38
Odds up+0.13
Model chance50.9%EV+14.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 11:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds2.38Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+35.4%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 11:02
KambiAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds2.38
Odds up+0.13
Model chance50.9%EV+14.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 11:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+27.6%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 11:03
- over 4.5odds2.38Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+35.4%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 11:03
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.9%EV+19.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate87.4%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:30
- over 3.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+10.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:30
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+19.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:30
- over 5.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate40.0%Closing EV estimate+22.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:30
- over 6.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate25.7%Closing EV estimate+28.3%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:30
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.9%EV+25.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate87.4%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:35
- over 3.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+14.3%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:35
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+25.2%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:35
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.9%EV+19.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate87.4%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- over 3.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+10.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 09:32
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+19.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 09:32
- over 5.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate40.0%Closing EV estimate+28.0%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 09:32
- over 6.5odds5.30Closing chance estimate25.7%Closing EV estimate+36.0%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 09:32
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.22
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.9%EV+26.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:39
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate95.8%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 2.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate87.4%Closing EV estimate+12.7%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 3.5odds1.64Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+20.9%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.22Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+26.3%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 5.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate40.0%Closing EV estimate+28.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39
- over 6.5odds4.70Closing chance estimate25.7%Closing EV estimate+20.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:39

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 4.5 at 2.25 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 13+0.95u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9510 Oct, 15:11

Closing odds1.7811 Oct, 11:02

Odds down−0.17

Model chance at recommendation: 51.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.94
Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds1.78
Odds down−0.17
Model chance51.6%EV+0.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 11:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate95.2%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 11:02
- over 5.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 11:02
- over 6.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate81.7%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 11:02
- over 7.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate71.0%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 11:02
- over 8.5odds1.78Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 11:02
- over 9.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 11:02
- over 10.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate33.8%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 11:02
- over 11.5odds4.15Closing chance estimate23.7%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 11:02
- over 12.5odds5.70Closing chance estimate15.7%Closing EV estimate−10.8%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 11:02

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 15:11: over 8.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−35.0%ROI · 3 units staked

Profit−1.05units

W / L1 / 2picks

Avg odds2.04settled picks

Recorded picks31 matches

Around this match

CompetitionSerie B Home teamModena Away teamHellas Verona RefereeAlberto Ruben Arena

Match overview

Matches

Corners · match total

Corners · Hellas Verona total

Shots on target · match total

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