Middlesbrough vs Wolverhampton 1-0 — Championship

ChampionshipChampionship 26/27

Middlesbrough

1–0

HT 0–0

Wolverhampton

Sat 10 Oct·08:00·Matchday 9·Riverside·Middlesbrough won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

4Corners6
3Cards3
14Shots12
6Shots on target2
11Fouls12
16Throw-ins14
3Offsides2
9Goal kicks8
2Saves5
15Tackles22
8Interceptions8
9Dribbles12

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

8 Free2 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match

08:00MiddlesbroughvWolverhamptonChampionship3 won / 7 lost · −3.95u · 10 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeWon

over 3.51.85 at Superbet+0.85u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +3.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.51.85Model chance56.0%EV+3.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds5.85Closing chance estimate97.8%Closing EV estimate+472.1%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 1.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate89.4%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 2.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+15.2%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 3.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+21.9%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 4.5odds2.92Closing chance estimate33.6%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
Bet365Closing estimateover 3.52.20Model chance53.0%EV+16.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 16:05
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 16:05
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 3.51.81Model chance53.0%EV-4.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:55
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.81Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.52.20Model chance53.0%EV+16.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate97.8%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin13.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:01
- over 1.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate89.4%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:01
- over 2.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:01
- over 3odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:01
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:01
- over 4odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 02:01
- over 4.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate33.6%Closing EV estimate+15.8%margin13.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:01
- over 5.5odds4.40Closing chance estimate18.7%Closing EV estimate−17.7%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:31
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.52.20Model chance53.0%EV+16.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate97.8%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin13.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:03
- over 1.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate89.4%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:03
- over 2.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin15.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:03
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:03
- over 4.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate33.6%Closing EV estimate+17.5%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:03
- over 5.5odds4.40Closing chance estimate18.7%Closing EV estimate−17.7%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:03
KambiClosing estimateover 3.51.82Model chance53.0%EV-3.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.82Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.52.20Model chance53.0%EV+16.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate97.8%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin13.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:04
- over 1.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate89.4%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:04
- over 2.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:04
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:04
- over 4.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate33.6%Closing EV estimate+15.8%margin13.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:04
- over 5.5odds4.40Closing chance estimate18.7%Closing EV estimate−17.7%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.52.05Model chance53.0%EV+8.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate89.4%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:30
- over 2.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:30
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:30
- over 4.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate33.6%Closing EV estimate+17.5%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:30

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 3.5 at 1.85 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 10.51.91 at Paddy Power−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +0.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 10.51.85Model chance54.1%EV+0.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 10.5odds1.86Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate−0.0%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:30
Paddy Powerresult priceAt recommendationover 10.51.91Model chance52.7%EV+0.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:55
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 10.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 11.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate42.4%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 12.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate32.0%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
Bet365Closing estimateover 10.51.83Model chance53.7%EV-1.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:25
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:25
BetliveClosing estimateover 10.51.75Model chance53.7%EV-5.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 00:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate91.1%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 7.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate84.5%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 8.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:55
- over 9.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:55
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:55
- over 11.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate42.4%Closing EV estimate−8.8%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:55
- over 12.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate32.0%Closing EV estimate−13.5%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:55
- over 13.5odds3.85Closing chance estimate23.1%Closing EV estimate−10.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 14.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate16.0%Closing EV estimate−16.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.51.75Model chance53.7%EV-5.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate84.5%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:35
- over 8.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:56
- over 9.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:56
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:56
- over 11.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate42.4%Closing EV estimate−8.8%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:56
- over 12.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate32.0%Closing EV estimate−13.5%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:56
- over 13.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate23.1%Closing EV estimate−13.2%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:03
KambiClosing estimateover 10.51.86Model chance53.7%EV-0.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate84.5%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:57
- over 8.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:41
- over 9.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.86Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate−0.0%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:41
- over 11.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate42.4%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 12.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate32.0%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 13.5odds3.85Closing chance estimate23.1%Closing EV estimate−10.9%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 14.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate16.0%Closing EV estimate−20.0%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:57
LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.51.75Model chance53.7%EV-5.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:59
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:59
- over 9.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin15.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:59
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:59
- over 11.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate42.4%Closing EV estimate−8.8%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:59
- over 12.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate32.0%Closing EV estimate−13.5%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:59
SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.51.85Model chance53.7%EV-0.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate95.6%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 6.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate91.1%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 7.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate84.5%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 8.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 9.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 11.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate42.4%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 12.5odds2.82Closing chance estimate32.0%Closing EV estimate−9.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 13.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate23.1%Closing EV estimate−16.7%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 14.5odds4.70Closing chance estimate16.0%Closing EV estimate−24.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 15.5odds6.20Closing chance estimate10.6%Closing EV estimate−34.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 08:06: over 10.5 at 1.91 with Paddy Power. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 11:26. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Middlesbrough total

Open match →FreeWon

under 5.52.10 at Bet365+1.10u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +12.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 5.52.10Model chance53.4%EV+12.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:25
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate52.6%Closing EV estimate+10.4%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:25
BetliveAt recommendationunder 5.52.00Model chance53.3%EV+6.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 00:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate35.9%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate52.6%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- under 6.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate67.9%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- under 7.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate80.0%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- under 8.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate88.6%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 5.52.00Model chance51.0%EV+2.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate35.9%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:03
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate52.6%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:35
- under 6.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate67.9%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:35
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 5.52.00Model chance53.3%EV+6.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 14:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate35.9%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 14:36
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate52.6%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 14:36
- under 6.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate67.9%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 14:36
- under 7.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate80.0%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 14:36
- under 8.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate88.6%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 14:36
Paddy PowerAt recommendationunder 5.52.20Model chance53.4%EV+17.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:55
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds10.00Closing chance estimate9.2%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- under 3.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate20.6%Closing EV estimate+13.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- under 4.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate35.9%Closing EV estimate+18.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate52.6%Closing EV estimate+15.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
KambiClosing estimateunder 5.51.98Model chance52.6%EV+4.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate35.9%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:41
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.98Closing chance estimate52.6%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- under 6.5odds1.58Closing chance estimate67.9%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- under 7.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate80.0%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.52.07Model chance52.6%EV+8.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds7.70Closing chance estimate9.2%Closing EV estimate−28.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 3.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate20.6%Closing EV estimate−7.3%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 4.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate35.9%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.07Closing chance estimate52.6%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 6.5odds1.63Closing chance estimate67.9%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 7.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate80.0%Closing EV estimate+9.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 8.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate88.6%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: under 5.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Wolverhampton total

Open match →FreeWon

over 4.52.10 at Bet365+1.10u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 62.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.59. Expected value at recommendation: +32.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.52.10Model chance62.9%EV+32.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:25
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate63.6%Closing EV estimate+33.6%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:25
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.51.90Model chance63.6%EV+20.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 00:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate90.6%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 3.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate63.6%Closing EV estimate+20.9%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 5.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate+28.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 6.5odds4.35Closing chance estimate31.6%Closing EV estimate+37.5%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.51.85Model chance63.6%EV+17.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 08:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:35
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate63.6%Closing EV estimate+17.7%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:35
- over 5.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate+26.6%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:35
KambiClosing estimateover 4.52.07Model chance63.6%EV+31.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+23.3%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:41
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.07Closing chance estimate63.6%Closing EV estimate+31.7%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 5.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate+35.9%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.51.90Model chance63.6%EV+20.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 14:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate90.6%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 14:36
- over 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 14:36
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate63.6%Closing EV estimate+20.9%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 14:36
- over 5.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate+31.3%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 14:36
- over 6.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate31.6%Closing EV estimate+45.4%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 14:36
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.52.00Model chance63.6%EV+27.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:55
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate90.6%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+14.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate63.6%Closing EV estimate+27.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 5.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate+40.6%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.52.00Model chance63.6%EV+27.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate97.1%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 2.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate90.6%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 3.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+20.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate63.6%Closing EV estimate+27.2%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 5.5odds2.77Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate+29.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 6.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate31.6%Closing EV estimate+26.5%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 7.5odds5.90Closing chance estimate19.6%Closing EV estimate+15.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 4.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · Middlesbrough total

Open match →FreeLost

over 1.51.85 at Betlive−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +1.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 1.51.85Model chance54.6%EV+1.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate84.4%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:31
- over 1.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 2.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate28.4%Closing EV estimate−9.0%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:31
- over 3.5odds5.80Closing chance estimate11.8%Closing EV estimate−31.6%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:31
- over 4.5odds7.80Closing chance estimate4.1%Closing EV estimate−68.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
CrocobetAt recommendationover 1.51.85Model chance54.6%EV+1.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate84.4%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:03
- over 1.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:35
- over 2.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate28.4%Closing EV estimate−9.0%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:03
- over 3.5odds5.80Closing chance estimate11.8%Closing EV estimate−31.6%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:03
- over 4.5odds7.80Closing chance estimate4.1%Closing EV estimate−68.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:03
LiderbetAt recommendationover 1.51.85Model chance54.6%EV+1.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate84.4%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- over 1.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:39
- over 2.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate28.4%Closing EV estimate−9.0%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- over 3.5odds5.80Closing chance estimate11.8%Closing EV estimate−31.6%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- over 4.5odds7.80Closing chance estimate4.1%Closing EV estimate−68.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:39
SuperbetAt recommendationover 1.51.92Model chance54.2%EV+4.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:38
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate84.4%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 1.5odds1.82Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 2.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate28.4%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 3.5odds7.70Closing chance estimate11.8%Closing EV estimate−9.2%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 4.5odds18.00Closing chance estimate4.1%Closing EV estimate−26.9%margin4.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
Bet365Closing estimateover 1.51.80Model chance55.4%EV-0.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate84.4%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:02
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:02
- over 2.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate28.4%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin6.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:02
- over 3.5odds9.00Closing chance estimate11.8%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin4.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:02
- over 4.5odds21.00Closing chance estimate4.1%Closing EV estimate−14.7%margin3.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:02
- over 5.5odds51.00Closing chance estimate1.2%Closing EV estimate−39.3%margin1.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:02

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:11: over 1.5 at 1.85 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 13:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · Wolverhampton total

Open match →FreeLost

over 1.52.05 at Betlive−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +2.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 1.52.05Model chance50.0%EV+2.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:31
- over 1.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate49.0%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:31
- over 2.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate22.9%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:31
- over 3.5odds7.40Closing chance estimate8.5%Closing EV estimate−36.8%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:31
- over 4.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate2.6%Closing EV estimate−78.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:02
CrocobetAt recommendationover 1.52.05Model chance50.0%EV+2.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:03
- over 1.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate49.0%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:03
- over 2.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate22.9%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:03
- over 3.5odds7.40Closing chance estimate8.5%Closing EV estimate−36.8%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:03
- over 4.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate2.6%Closing EV estimate−78.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:03
LiderbetAt recommendationover 1.52.05Model chance50.0%EV+2.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- over 1.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate49.0%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- over 2.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate22.9%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- over 3.5odds7.40Closing chance estimate8.5%Closing EV estimate−36.8%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- over 4.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate2.6%Closing EV estimate−78.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:04
Bet365Closing estimateover 1.52.38Model chance49.0%EV+16.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin6.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:02
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.38Closing chance estimate49.0%Closing EV estimate+16.4%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:02
- over 2.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate22.9%Closing EV estimate+25.9%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:02
- over 3.5odds15.00Closing chance estimate8.5%Closing EV estimate+28.1%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:02
- over 4.5odds41.00Closing chance estimate2.6%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin2.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:02
SuperbetClosing estimateover 1.52.35Model chance49.0%EV+15.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:38
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimate49.0%Closing EV estimate+15.2%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 2.5odds5.30Closing chance estimate22.9%Closing EV estimate+21.3%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 3.5odds13.00Closing chance estimate8.5%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:42
- over 4.5odds36.00Closing chance estimate2.6%Closing EV estimate−5.1%margin2.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:36: over 1.5 at 2.05 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 18:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPLost

over 28.52.05 at Liderbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 63.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +30.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 28.52.05Model chance63.6%EV+30.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 25.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate80.0%Closing EV estimate+12.0%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- over 26.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate75.0%Closing EV estimate+20.0%margin2.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- over 27.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate69.5%Closing EV estimate+25.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- over 28.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate63.6%Closing EV estimate+30.4%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
SuperbetClosing estimateover 28.51.97Model chance63.6%EV+25.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:38
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 23.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate88.2%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:40
- over 24.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate84.4%Closing EV estimate+8.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 25.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate80.0%Closing EV estimate+11.2%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 26.5odds1.54Closing chance estimate75.0%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 27.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate69.5%Closing EV estimate+20.2%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 28.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.97Closing chance estimate63.6%Closing EV estimate+25.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 29.5odds2.27Closing chance estimate57.5%Closing EV estimate+30.4%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 30.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate51.2%Closing EV estimate+38.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:38
- over 31.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate45.0%Closing EV estimate+37.3%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 32.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate+42.5%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 05:42: over 28.5 at 2.05 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · Middlesbrough total

Open match →VIPLost

over 15.52.25 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +32.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

LiderbetClosing estimateover 15.52.20Model chance54.9%EV+20.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 12.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate80.2%Closing EV estimate+12.3%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- over 13.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate72.6%Closing EV estimate+16.1%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- over 14.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate64.0%Closing EV estimate+21.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+20.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 15.52.25Model chance58.7%EV+32.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:38
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 11.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate86.5%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 12.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate80.2%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 13.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate72.6%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 14.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate64.0%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 15.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 16.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate45.7%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 17.5odds2.87Closing chance estimate37.0%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 09:47: over 15.5 at 2.25 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 9.52.05 at Liderbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +10.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetAt recommendationover 9.52.10Model chance53.7%EV+12.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate77.0%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:03
- over 8.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate65.9%Closing EV estimate+12.0%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:03
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate+12.8%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:03
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.52.05Model chance53.7%EV+10.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate77.0%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- over 8.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate65.9%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- over 10.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate41.6%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
KambiClosing estimateover 9.51.85Model chance53.7%EV-0.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate77.0%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 8.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate65.9%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 10.5odds2.38Closing chance estimate41.6%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:41
- over 11.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate30.6%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:41
SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.52.02Model chance53.7%EV+8.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:38
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate92.6%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:39
- over 6.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate86.1%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 7.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate77.0%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 8.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate65.9%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.02Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 10.5odds2.62Closing chance estimate41.6%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 11.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate30.6%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 12.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate21.4%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 13.5odds6.50Closing chance estimate14.2%Closing EV estimate−7.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 05:42: over 9.5 at 2.05 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Wolverhampton total

Open match →FreeLost

over 4.52.08 at Kambi−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +7.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 4.52.08Model chance51.6%EV+7.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate68.7%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:41
- over 4.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 5.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate33.4%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:41
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.52.20Model chance50.5%EV+11.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate84.4%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:03
- over 3.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate68.7%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:03
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:03
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.52.05Model chance50.5%EV+3.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate68.7%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.52.07Model chance50.5%EV+4.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:38
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate94.6%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:39
- over 2.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate84.4%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 3.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate68.7%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:38
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.07Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 5.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate33.4%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 6.5odds4.45Closing chance estimate19.9%Closing EV estimate−11.3%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 7.5odds6.70Closing chance estimate10.8%Closing EV estimate−27.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:36: over 4.5 at 2.08 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−39.5%ROI · 10 units staked

Profit−3.95units

W / L3 / 7picks

Avg odds2.03settled picks

Recorded picks101 matches

Around this match

CompetitionChampionship Home teamMiddlesbrough Away teamWolverhampton RefereeFarai Hallam