Mallorca vs Las Palmas 3-1 — LaLiga 2

LaLiga 2LaLiga 2 26/27

Mallorca

3–1

HT 1–0

Las Palmas

Sun 11 Oct·10:30·Matchday 9·Estadi de Son Moix·Mallorca won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

7Corners2
1Cards3
12Shots4
6Shots on target2
14Fouls15
15Throw-ins15
6Offsides0
4Goal kicks7
1Saves3
15Tackles22
12Interceptions9
8Dribbles1

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

4 Free2 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match

10:30MallorcavLas PalmasLaLiga 22 won / 4 lost · −1.78u · 6 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeLost

under 8.52.28 at BetMGM UK−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +22.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationunder 8.52.28Model chance53.8%EV+22.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:45
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 8.5odds2.33Closing chance estimate51.0%Closing EV estimate+18.7%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 09:45
BetliveClosing estimateunder 8.51.95Model chance51.0%EV-0.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 5.5odds6.10Closing chance estimate15.0%Closing EV estimate−8.4%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:31
- under 6.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate25.3%Closing EV estimate−13.9%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:18
- under 7.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:18
- under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate51.0%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:18
- under 9.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate63.6%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:18
- under 10.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate74.4%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin13.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:18
- under 11.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate83.1%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:31
- under 12.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate89.4%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:31
- under 13.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate93.7%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:31
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 8.51.95Model chance51.0%EV-0.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 6.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate25.3%Closing EV estimate−13.9%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:21
- under 7.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:21
- under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate51.0%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:21
- under 9.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate63.6%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:21
- under 10.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate74.4%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:21
- under 11.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate83.1%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:32
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 8.51.95Model chance51.0%EV-0.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 6.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate25.3%Closing EV estimate−13.9%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:33
- under 7.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:33
- under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate51.0%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:33
- under 9.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate63.6%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:33
- under 10.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate74.4%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:33
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 8.52.07Model chance51.0%EV+5.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5odds8.30Closing chance estimate7.6%Closing EV estimate−36.7%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 5.5odds5.40Closing chance estimate15.0%Closing EV estimate−18.9%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 6.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate25.3%Closing EV estimate−6.3%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 7.5odds2.67Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.07Closing chance estimate51.0%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 9.5odds1.69Closing chance estimate63.6%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 10.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate74.4%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 11.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate83.1%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 12.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate89.4%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 13.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate93.7%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 14.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate96.4%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 8.5 at 2.28 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Las Palmas total

Open match →FreeWon

under 3.52.00 at Bet365+1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +7.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 3.52.00Model chance53.9%EV+7.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate54.6%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:04
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.51.95Model chance54.6%EV+6.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate33.1%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:31
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate54.6%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:31
- under 4.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:31
- under 5.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate85.9%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:31
- under 6.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate93.5%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:31
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.51.95Model chance54.6%EV+6.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate33.1%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:32
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate54.6%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:32
- under 4.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:32
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.51.94Model chance54.6%EV+5.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 10:09
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.94Closing chance estimate54.6%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:09
- under 4.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:22
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.51.95Model chance54.6%EV+6.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate33.1%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate54.6%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- under 4.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- under 5.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate85.9%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
- under 6.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate93.5%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:03
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.52.00Model chance54.6%EV+9.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds15.00Closing chance estimate3.3%Closing EV estimate−50.6%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 1.5odds5.70Closing chance estimate14.4%Closing EV estimate−18.1%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 2.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate33.1%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate54.6%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 4.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 5.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate85.9%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 6.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate93.5%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPLost

over 25.52.17 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +26.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 25.52.17Model chance58.1%EV+26.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 20.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate87.1%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:35
- over 21.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate82.7%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:05
- over 22.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate77.6%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:04
- over 23.5odds1.51Closing chance estimate71.8%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:04
- over 24.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:04
- over 25.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate58.8%Closing EV estimate+14.7%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:05
- over 26.5odds2.27Closing chance estimate52.0%Closing EV estimate+18.1%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 09:33
- over 27.5odds2.67Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:04
- over 28.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate38.7%Closing EV estimate+23.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 29.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate32.6%Closing EV estimate+18.9%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:34
LiderbetClosing estimateover 25.51.90Model chance58.8%EV+11.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 22.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate77.6%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
- over 23.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate71.8%Closing EV estimate+7.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
- over 24.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
- over 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate58.8%Closing EV estimate+11.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
- over 26.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate52.0%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
- over 27.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate+17.7%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 05:47: over 25.5 at 2.17 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 11:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Mallorca total

Open match →VIPLost

over 15.52.00 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +11.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 15.52.00Model chance55.8%EV+11.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 07:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 12.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate83.5%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:35
- over 13.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate76.6%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 14.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate68.6%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:34
- over 15.5odds1.69Closing chance estimate59.9%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:34
- over 16.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate50.8%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:05
- over 17.5odds2.27Closing chance estimate42.0%Closing EV estimate−4.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:34
- over 18.5odds2.72Closing chance estimate33.6%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:34
- over 19.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate26.2%Closing EV estimate−13.5%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:34
LiderbetClosing estimateover 15.51.70Model chance59.9%EV+1.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 13.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate76.6%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
- over 14.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate68.6%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate59.9%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
- over 16.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate50.8%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
- over 17.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate42.0%Closing EV estimate−7.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 05:47: over 15.5 at 2.00 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 8.52.00 at Crocobet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +19.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 8.52.00Model chance59.7%EV+19.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate73.8%Closing EV estimate+18.1%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:32
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+24.9%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:32
- over 9.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate50.4%Closing EV estimate+26.1%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:32
LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.51.90Model chance62.4%EV+18.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate83.5%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
- over 7.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate73.8%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+18.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
- over 9.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate50.4%Closing EV estimate+31.2%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.52.07Model chance62.4%EV+29.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate95.6%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:35
- over 5.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate90.8%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:04
- over 6.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate83.5%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 09:04
- over 7.5odds1.62Closing chance estimate73.8%Closing EV estimate+19.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 08:34
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.07Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+29.3%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:35
- over 9.5odds2.82Closing chance estimate50.4%Closing EV estimate+42.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:04
- over 10.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate38.9%Closing EV estimate+45.7%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:35
- over 11.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate28.5%Closing EV estimate+48.4%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:35
- over 12.5odds7.30Closing chance estimate20.0%Closing EV estimate+46.1%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 07:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 05:18: over 8.5 at 2.00 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 06:18. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Mallorca total

Open match →FreeWon

over 5.52.22 at Superbet+1.22u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +16.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 5.52.22Model chance52.3%EV+16.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 10:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate93.2%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:05
- over 3.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate84.1%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:05
- over 4.5odds1.58Closing chance estimate70.9%Closing EV estimate+12.0%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 10:04
- over 5.5odds2.12Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate+17.5%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:05
- over 6.5odds2.92Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate+17.1%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:05
- over 7.5odds4.25Closing chance estimate26.9%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:05
- over 8.5odds6.20Closing chance estimate16.7%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:05
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.52.00Model chance55.4%EV+10.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate70.9%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:32
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:32
- over 6.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:32
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.52.05Model chance55.4%EV+13.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate84.1%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
- over 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate70.9%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate+13.7%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34
- over 6.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate+16.3%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 05:47: over 5.5 at 2.22 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−29.7%ROI · 6 units staked

Profit−1.78units

W / L2 / 4picks

Avg odds2.11settled picks

Recorded picks61 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLaLiga 2 Home teamMallorca Away teamLas Palmas RefereeGorka Etayo Herrera

Matches

Corners · match total

Corners · Las Palmas total

Shots · match total

Shots · Mallorca total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · Mallorca total

This match

Around this match

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