Levante UD vs Sevilla — LaLiga

LaLigaLaLiga 26/27

Levante UD

3–3

HT 0–1

Sevilla

Mon 12 Oct··Matchday 8·Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 5Corners2
  • 2Cards6
  • 20Shots18
  • 8Shots on target5
  • 7Fouls17
  • 26Throw-ins15
  • 7Goal kicks9
  • 2Saves5
  • 19Tackles23
  • 6Interceptions9
  • 9Dribbles10
OddsOddsStatsStatsPredictionsPicksRefereeRefereeCoachCoach
0Free available0VIP available8Recorded Free3Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match
Levante UDvSevillaLaLiga6 won / 5 lost · +1.06u · 11 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 4.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.87
Closing odds2.00
Odds up+0.13
Model chance at recommendation
63.6%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.58
Expected value at recommendation
+18.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 63.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +18.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
    At recommendation1.87
    Closing odds2.00
    Odds up+0.13
    Model chance63.6%EV+18.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 10:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds20.00Closing chance estimate2.7%Closing EV estimate−45.2%margin4.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds9.60Closing chance estimate12.2%Closing EV estimate+17.1%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds4.90Closing chance estimate28.8%Closing EV estimate+41.2%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate48.6%Closing EV estimate+40.9%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate66.7%Closing EV estimate+33.4%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.51Closing chance estimate80.5%Closing EV estimate+21.6%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate89.6%Closing EV estimate+12.1%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate95.0%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate97.8%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance66.7%EV+33.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 11:10

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate66.7%Closing EV estimate+33.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.89
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance66.7%EV+26.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.89Closing chance estimate66.7%Closing EV estimate+26.1%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance66.7%EV+26.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 10:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate28.8%Closing EV estimate+38.3%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate48.6%Closing EV estimate+40.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate66.7%Closing EV estimate+26.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate80.5%Closing EV estimate+15.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate89.6%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance66.7%EV+26.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 10:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate28.8%Closing EV estimate+38.3%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate48.6%Closing EV estimate+40.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate66.7%Closing EV estimate+26.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate80.5%Closing EV estimate+15.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate89.6%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance66.7%EV+26.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 10:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate28.8%Closing EV estimate+38.3%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate48.6%Closing EV estimate+40.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate66.7%Closing EV estimate+26.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate80.5%Closing EV estimate+16.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate89.6%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance66.7%EV+30.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds6.50Closing chance estimate28.8%Closing EV estimate+87.3%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate48.6%Closing EV estimate+55.4%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate66.7%Closing EV estimate+30.1%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 06:36: under 4.5 at 1.87 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 09:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Cards · Sevilla total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance at recommendation
64.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.55
Expected value at recommendation
+23.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 64.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.55. Expected value at recommendation: +23.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance64.8%EV+23.2%
  • LiderbetAt recommendationunder 2.5
    At recommendation1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Unchanged
    Model chance64.6%EV+19.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 00:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate39.2%Closing EV estimate+21.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate67.2%Closing EV estimate+24.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate85.7%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance67.2%EV+21.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 02:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate39.2%Closing EV estimate+17.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate67.2%Closing EV estimate+21.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate85.7%Closing EV estimate+10.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance67.2%EV+17.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 07:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate39.2%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate67.2%Closing EV estimate+17.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate85.7%Closing EV estimate+9.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance67.2%EV+31.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 10:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate12.0%Closing EV estimate−87.2%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate39.2%Closing EV estimate+37.0%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate67.2%Closing EV estimate+31.1%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate85.7%Closing EV estimate+15.7%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 01:22: under 2.5 at 1.90 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 16:11. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 7−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds1.83
Odds down−0.17
Model chance at recommendation
55.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.82
Expected value at recommendation
+10.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +10.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.83
    Odds down−0.17
    Model chance55.2%EV+10.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:20

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.88
    Odds down−0.12
    Model chance55.2%EV+10.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 10:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate99.6%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin2.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate98.6%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin4.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate96.4%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin6.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate92.3%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate85.9%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate77.1%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate66.5%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.88Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin7.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate43.4%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate32.8%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate23.7%Closing EV estimate−7.4%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds5.15Closing chance estimate16.4%Closing EV estimate−15.4%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds6.90Closing chance estimate10.9%Closing EV estimate−24.8%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds9.30Closing chance estimate6.9%Closing EV estimate−35.6%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds13.00Closing chance estimate4.2%Closing EV estimate−45.0%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds19.00Closing chance estimate2.5%Closing EV estimate−52.8%margin4.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.9%EV-1.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 10:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate92.3%Closing EV estimate−4.9%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate85.9%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate77.1%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate66.5%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate43.4%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate32.8%Closing EV estimate−6.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds3.95Closing chance estimate23.7%Closing EV estimate−6.2%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds5.30Closing chance estimate16.4%Closing EV estimate−12.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.9%EV-1.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 07:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate92.3%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate85.9%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate77.1%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate66.5%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate43.4%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate32.8%Closing EV estimate−6.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate23.7%Closing EV estimate−5.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds5.45Closing chance estimate16.4%Closing EV estimate−10.4%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.9%EV+7.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate43.4%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate32.8%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds4.40Closing chance estimate23.7%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin—Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.9%EV-1.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 07:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate77.1%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate66.5%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate43.4%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate32.8%Closing EV estimate−6.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.9%EV+7.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate43.4%Closing EV estimate+12.9%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate32.8%Closing EV estimate+18.2%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate23.7%Closing EV estimate+30.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 9.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 09:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Sevilla total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds1.91
Odds down−0.09
Model chance at recommendation
55.9%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.79
Expected value at recommendation
+11.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +11.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.91
    Odds down−0.09
    Model chance55.9%EV+11.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:20

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.91Closing chance estimate48.3%Closing EV estimate−7.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.88
    Odds down−0.12
    Model chance55.9%EV+11.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.88Closing chance estimate48.3%Closing EV estimate−9.2%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate34.6%Closing EV estimate−11.9%margin—Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation1.95
    Closing odds1.88
    Odds down−0.07
    Model chance55.9%EV+9.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 10:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate97.8%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate90.8%Closing EV estimate−4.6%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate−6.3%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate63.6%Closing EV estimate−7.7%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.88Closing chance estimate48.3%Closing EV estimate−9.2%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.57Closing chance estimate34.6%Closing EV estimate−11.2%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate23.4%Closing EV estimate−14.7%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds5.40Closing chance estimate14.9%Closing EV estimate−19.5%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds7.90Closing chance estimate8.9%Closing EV estimate−29.4%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds12.00Closing chance estimate5.0%Closing EV estimate−39.5%margin5.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds19.00Closing chance estimate2.7%Closing EV estimate−49.2%margin4.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.88
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance48.3%EV-9.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.88Closing chance estimate48.3%Closing EV estimate−9.2%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance48.3%EV-13.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 10:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate−11.8%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate63.6%Closing EV estimate−12.2%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate48.3%Closing EV estimate−13.1%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate34.6%Closing EV estimate−11.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.95Closing chance estimate23.4%Closing EV estimate−7.7%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance48.3%EV-8.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate−7.1%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate63.6%Closing EV estimate−7.7%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate48.3%Closing EV estimate−8.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate34.6%Closing EV estimate−5.0%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate23.4%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance48.3%EV-13.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 10:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate−13.4%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate63.6%Closing EV estimate−13.5%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate48.3%Closing EV estimate−13.1%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate34.6%Closing EV estimate−10.1%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate23.4%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance48.3%EV-3.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate−8.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate63.6%Closing EV estimate−7.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate48.3%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.88Closing chance estimate34.6%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 4.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 24.5Actual: 24+1.02u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds2.20
Odds up+0.18
Model chance at recommendation
55.6%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.80
Expected value at recommendation
+12.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +12.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 24.5
    At recommendation2.02
    Closing odds2.20
    Odds up+0.18
    Model chance55.6%EV+12.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 24.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate47.4%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds2.12Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+16.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate62.1%Closing EV estimate+13.7%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27.5odds1.62Closing chance estimate68.9%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 24.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance47.4%EV-2.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 06:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 22.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate32.6%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate39.9%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate47.4%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate62.1%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate68.9%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 28.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate74.9%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 29.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate80.2%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 24.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance47.4%EV+4.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 07:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 22.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate32.6%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate39.9%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate47.4%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate62.1%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate68.9%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 28.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate74.9%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 29.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate80.2%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 24.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance47.4%EV-0.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 08:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 22.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate32.6%Closing EV estimate−7.1%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate39.9%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate47.4%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate62.1%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate68.9%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin14.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 28.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate74.9%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 29.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate80.2%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 01:17: under 24.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 02:03. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Sevilla total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 13.5Actual: 17−1.00u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds1.75
Odds down−0.15
Model chance at recommendation
59.0%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.70
Expected value at recommendation
+12.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +12.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 13.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds1.80
    Odds down−0.10
    Model chance57.3%EV+8.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 07:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate32.6%Closing EV estimate−7.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate43.1%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate63.9%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate72.9%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 13.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds1.75
    Odds down−0.15
    Model chance59.0%EV+12.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 08:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 12.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate43.1%Closing EV estimate−9.5%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate63.9%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationunder 13.5
    At recommendation1.83
    Closing odds1.90
    Odds up+0.07
    Model chance57.3%EV+4.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 13.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate63.9%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 13.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.7%EV-3.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 06:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 12.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate43.1%Closing EV estimate−7.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate53.7%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate63.9%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate72.9%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 04:04: under 13.5 at 1.90 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 02:41. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 6+1.06u on one unit
Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.06
Closing odds2.10
Odds up+0.04
Model chance at recommendation
57.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.75
Expected value at recommendation
+17.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.75. Expected value at recommendation: +17.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
    At recommendation2.06
    Closing odds2.10
    Odds up+0.04
    Model chance57.2%EV+17.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate43.0%Closing EV estimate−9.7%margin2.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance43.0%EV-5.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:15

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate90.9%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin4.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate69.1%Closing EV estimate−5.7%margin4.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate43.0%Closing EV estimate−5.4%margin5.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate22.1%Closing EV estimate−11.6%margin5.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds8.00Closing chance estimate9.6%Closing EV estimate−23.5%margin4.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds17.00Closing chance estimate3.6%Closing EV estimate−39.5%margin3.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance43.0%EV-14.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate43.0%Closing EV estimate−14.0%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.16
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance43.0%EV-7.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate90.9%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin0.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate69.1%Closing EV estimate−5.3%margin0.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.16Closing chance estimate43.0%Closing EV estimate−7.1%margin0.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate22.1%Closing EV estimate−11.6%margin0.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds8.80Closing chance estimate9.6%Closing EV estimate−15.8%margin0.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds22.00Closing chance estimate3.6%Closing EV estimate−21.7%margin0.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds65.00Closing chance estimate1.2%Closing EV estimate−24.9%margin0.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance43.0%EV-18.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate90.9%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate69.1%Closing EV estimate−10.8%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate43.0%Closing EV estimate−18.3%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate22.1%Closing EV estimate−30.4%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds5.60Closing chance estimate9.6%Closing EV estimate−46.4%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds8.40Closing chance estimate3.6%Closing EV estimate−70.1%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance43.0%EV-18.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate90.9%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate69.1%Closing EV estimate−10.8%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate43.0%Closing EV estimate−18.3%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate22.1%Closing EV estimate−30.4%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds5.60Closing chance estimate9.6%Closing EV estimate−46.4%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds8.40Closing chance estimate3.6%Closing EV estimate−70.1%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance43.0%EV-18.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate90.9%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate69.1%Closing EV estimate−10.8%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate43.0%Closing EV estimate−18.3%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate22.1%Closing EV estimate−30.4%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds5.60Closing chance estimate9.6%Closing EV estimate−46.4%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds8.40Closing chance estimate3.6%Closing EV estimate−70.1%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 113.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailable
    • over 119.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailable
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance43.0%EV-14.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:15

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate90.9%Closing EV estimate−6.4%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate69.1%Closing EV estimate−11.1%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate43.0%Closing EV estimate−14.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate22.1%Closing EV estimate−16.0%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds7.50Closing chance estimate9.6%Closing EV estimate−28.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.02
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance43.0%EV-13.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate90.9%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin4.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate69.1%Closing EV estimate−8.1%margin5.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.02Closing chance estimate43.0%Closing EV estimate−13.2%margin5.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate22.1%Closing EV estimate−22.7%margin4.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds7.10Closing chance estimate9.6%Closing EV estimate−32.1%margin5.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds15.00Closing chance estimate3.6%Closing EV estimate−46.6%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds34.00Closing chance estimate1.2%Closing EV estimate−60.7%margin2.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds80.00Closing chance estimate0.3%Closing EV estimate−73.4%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds150.00Closing chance estimate0.1%Closing EV estimate−87.1%margin—Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: over 2.5 at 2.06 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 25.5Actual: 38+1.15u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds2.10
Odds down−0.05
Model chance at recommendation
59.5%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.69
Expected value at recommendation
+28.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.69. Expected value at recommendation: +28.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 25.5
    At recommendation2.15
    Closing odds2.10
    Odds down−0.05
    Model chance59.5%EV+28.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 11:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 20.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate77.3%Closing EV estimate−7.2%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 21.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate−7.6%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 22.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate64.3%Closing EV estimate−8.1%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds1.59Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate−9.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.82Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate−9.3%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate42.7%Closing EV estimate−10.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds2.47Closing chance estimate35.8%Closing EV estimate−11.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate29.5%Closing EV estimate−12.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate23.9%Closing EV estimate−14.1%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 25.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance42.7%EV-10.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 04:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 21.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate−6.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 22.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate64.3%Closing EV estimate−7.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate−8.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate−7.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate42.7%Closing EV estimate−10.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate35.8%Closing EV estimate−10.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate29.5%Closing EV estimate−12.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 25.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance42.7%EV-14.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 01:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 21.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate−9.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 22.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate64.3%Closing EV estimate−10.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate−8.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate−7.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate42.7%Closing EV estimate−14.7%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate35.8%Closing EV estimate−12.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate29.5%Closing EV estimate−12.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 25.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.96
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance42.7%EV-16.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 21.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate−8.3%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 22.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate64.3%Closing EV estimate−11.3%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds1.54Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate−12.1%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate−13.8%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.96Closing chance estimate42.7%Closing EV estimate−16.4%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds2.28Closing chance estimate35.8%Closing EV estimate−18.3%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate29.5%Closing EV estimate−21.8%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 25.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance42.7%EV-12.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 08:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 21.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate−7.6%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 22.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate64.3%Closing EV estimate−10.0%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate57.1%Closing EV estimate−11.5%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate−10.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate42.7%Closing EV estimate−12.5%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate35.8%Closing EV estimate−14.0%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate29.5%Closing EV estimate−15.8%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 14:22: over 25.5 at 2.15 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Levante UD total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 12.5Actual: 20+0.93u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.93
Closing odds2.00
Odds up+0.07
Model chance at recommendation
62.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.61
Expected value at recommendation
+20.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 62.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.61. Expected value at recommendation: +20.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 12.5
    At recommendation1.93
    Closing odds2.00
    Odds up+0.07
    Model chance62.2%EV+20.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5odds1.72Closing chance estimate60.8%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate39.8%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance50.1%EV-17.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 08:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate60.8%Closing EV estimate−14.9%margin14.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate−17.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate39.8%Closing EV estimate−20.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 12.5
    At recommendation1.95
    Closing odds1.90
    Odds down−0.05
    Model chance61.8%EV+20.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate80.0%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate71.0%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds1.62Closing chance estimate60.8%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.27Closing chance estimate39.8%Closing EV estimate−9.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate30.3%Closing EV estimate−18.1%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate22.3%Closing EV estimate−26.6%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance50.1%EV-14.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 04:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 10.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate71.0%Closing EV estimate−6.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate60.8%Closing EV estimate−12.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate−14.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate39.8%Closing EV estimate−20.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate30.3%Closing EV estimate−22.6%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance50.1%EV-7.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 01:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 10.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate71.0%Closing EV estimate−7.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate60.8%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate−7.2%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate39.8%Closing EV estimate−12.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate30.3%Closing EV estimate−13.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 01:22: over 12.5 at 1.93 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Sevilla total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 12.5Actual: 18+1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
52.4%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.91
Expected value at recommendation
+4.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +4.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 12.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Unchanged
    Model chance52.4%EV+4.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate42.6%Closing EV estimate−14.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.81
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance42.6%EV-22.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.81Closing chance estimate42.6%Closing EV estimate−22.8%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.30
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance42.6%EV-1.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 04:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate68.7%Closing EV estimate−9.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate60.0%Closing EV estimate−7.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate51.2%Closing EV estimate−5.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate42.6%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate34.6%Closing EV estimate−15.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance42.6%EV-16.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 01:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate68.7%Closing EV estimate−16.1%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate60.0%Closing EV estimate−16.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate51.2%Closing EV estimate−15.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate42.6%Closing EV estimate−16.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate34.6%Closing EV estimate−8.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.81
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance42.6%EV-22.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate51.2%Closing EV estimate−19.6%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.81Closing chance estimate42.6%Closing EV estimate−22.8%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.12Closing chance estimate34.6%Closing EV estimate−26.6%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance42.6%EV-4.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 08:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 10.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate60.0%Closing EV estimate−10.0%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate51.2%Closing EV estimate−7.8%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate42.6%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.07
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance42.6%EV-11.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate76.9%Closing EV estimate−10.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate68.7%Closing EV estimate−9.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate60.0%Closing EV estimate−10.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate51.2%Closing EV estimate−11.4%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.07Closing chance estimate42.6%Closing EV estimate−11.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.47Closing chance estimate34.6%Closing EV estimate−14.5%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate27.4%Closing EV estimate−15.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 00:06: over 12.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 02:41. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 13+0.90u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds1.97
Odds up+0.07
Model chance at recommendation
56.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.78
Expected value at recommendation
+6.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +6.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365At recommendationover 8.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Unchanged
    Model chance54.3%EV+8.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 19:20

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate55.5%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 8.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds1.97
    Odds up+0.07
    Model chance56.2%EV+6.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate94.3%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate88.3%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate68.1%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.97Closing chance estimate55.5%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate42.8%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate31.2%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate21.6%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds7.40Closing chance estimate14.1%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.5%EV+8.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 00:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate68.1%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate55.5%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate42.8%Closing EV estimate+9.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.5%EV+16.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 01:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate88.3%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate68.1%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate55.5%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate42.8%Closing EV estimate+22.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.5%EV+11.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 08:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate88.3%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate68.1%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate55.5%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate42.8%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate31.2%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate21.6%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 14:22: over 8.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 16:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return+9.6%ROI · 11 units staked
Profit+1.06units
W / L6 / 5picks
Avg odds1.98settled picks
Recorded picks111 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLaLigaHome teamLevante UDAway teamSevillaRefereeAdrian Cordero Vega

Previous meetings

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