Lazio vs Monza 3-1 — Serie A

Serie ASerie A 26/27

Lazio

3–1

HT 2–0

Monza

Sun 11 Oct·07:00·Matchday 6·Stadio Olimpico, Rome·Lazio won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

7Corners6
3Cards1
17Shots14
7Shots on target6
10Fouls9
18Throw-ins14
0Offsides2
6Goal kicks14
5Saves4
14Tackles13
6Interceptions13
4Dribbles10

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

7 Free4 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match

07:00LaziovMonzaSerie A9 won / 2 lost · +9.64u · 11 picks

Cards · Lazio total

Open match →FreeLost

under 1.52.20 at Liderbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +22.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 1.52.05Model chance59.3%EV+21.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate60.5%Closing EV estimate+24.1%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 2odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 2.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate84.3%Closing EV estimate+14.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.52.00Model chance59.3%EV+18.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate60.5%Closing EV estimate+27.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:32
- under 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate84.3%Closing EV estimate+13.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:32
- under 3.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate95.1%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:32
KambiAt recommendationunder 1.52.05Model chance55.6%EV+14.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 23:05
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate60.5%Closing EV estimate+22.3%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:05
- under 2.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate84.3%Closing EV estimate+12.1%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:05
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.52.20Model chance55.6%EV+22.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:07
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate60.5%Closing EV estimate+33.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:07
- under 2.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate84.3%Closing EV estimate+18.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:07
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 1.52.05Model chance55.6%EV+14.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:05
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate25.6%Closing EV estimate+23.1%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:05
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate60.5%Closing EV estimate+24.1%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:05
- under 2.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate84.3%Closing EV estimate+10.4%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:05

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 07:17: under 1.5 at 2.20 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Cards · Monza total

Open match →FreeWon

under 1.52.85 at Crocobet+1.85u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +56.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 1.52.80Model chance54.9%EV+53.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.80Closing chance estimate56.6%Closing EV estimate+58.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 2odds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 2.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate81.5%Closing EV estimate+38.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 3odds1.36Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 3.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate93.7%Closing EV estimate+17.2%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.52.85Model chance54.8%EV+56.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate56.6%Closing EV estimate+55.6%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:32
- under 2.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate81.5%Closing EV estimate+30.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:32
- under 3.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate93.7%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:32
KambiAt recommendationunder 1.52.85Model chance54.8%EV+56.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:06
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.85Closing chance estimate56.6%Closing EV estimate+61.3%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:06
- under 2.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate81.5%Closing EV estimate+34.4%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:35
- under 3.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate93.7%Closing EV estimate+18.1%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 10:09
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.52.10Model chance54.8%EV+15.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate56.6%Closing EV estimate+58.4%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- under 2.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate81.5%Closing EV estimate+38.5%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- under 3odds1.19Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.6%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
- under 3.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate93.7%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:33
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 1.53.15Model chance54.8%EV+72.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:05
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate22.9%Closing EV estimate−75.8%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:10
- under 1.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate56.6%Closing EV estimate+81.1%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:05
- under 2.5odds1.82Closing chance estimate81.5%Closing EV estimate+48.3%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:05
- under 3.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate93.7%Closing EV estimate+20.9%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:05

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 08:27: under 1.5 at 2.85 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Corners · Monza total

Open match →FreeWon

over 3.52.10 at Bet365+1.10u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +17.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.52.10Model chance56.0%EV+17.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:20
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate64.8%Closing EV estimate+36.0%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:20
BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 3.51.94Model chance56.0%EV+8.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:10
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate64.8%Closing EV estimate+24.3%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:10
KambiAt recommendationover 3.51.93Model chance56.0%EV+8.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:06
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate93.1%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:35
- over 2.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate81.4%Closing EV estimate+15.6%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:36
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.93Closing chance estimate64.8%Closing EV estimate+25.0%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:06
- over 4.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate46.5%Closing EV estimate+27.9%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:06
- over 5.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate30.2%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:36
SuperbetAt recommendationover 3.52.02Model chance56.0%EV+13.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:10
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate98.7%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin5.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:10
- over 1.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate93.1%Closing EV estimate+9.9%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:10
- over 2.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate81.4%Closing EV estimate+21.3%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:10
- over 3.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate64.8%Closing EV estimate+32.7%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:10
- over 4.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate46.5%Closing EV estimate+39.5%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:10
- over 5.5odds4.55Closing chance estimate30.2%Closing EV estimate+37.4%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:10
- over 6.5odds7.10Closing chance estimate17.8%Closing EV estimate+26.6%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:10
- over 7.5odds11.00Closing chance estimate9.6%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin6.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:10
- over 8.5odds18.00Closing chance estimate4.8%Closing EV estimate−13.4%margin4.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:10
- over 9.5odds30.00Closing chance estimate2.2%Closing EV estimate−33.1%margin3.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:10
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.51.90Model chance64.8%EV+23.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 23:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate93.1%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:30
- over 2.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate81.4%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:30
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate64.8%Closing EV estimate+23.0%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:30
- over 4.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate46.5%Closing EV estimate+32.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:30
- over 5.5odds4.85Closing chance estimate30.2%Closing EV estimate+46.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:30
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.51.90Model chance64.8%EV+23.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate93.1%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:33
- over 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate81.4%Closing EV estimate+9.9%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:33
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate64.8%Closing EV estimate+23.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:33
- over 4.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate46.5%Closing EV estimate+32.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:33
- over 5.5odds4.75Closing chance estimate30.2%Closing EV estimate+43.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:33
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.51.90Model chance64.8%EV+23.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate93.1%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 2.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate81.4%Closing EV estimate+10.8%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate64.8%Closing EV estimate+23.0%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 4.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate46.5%Closing EV estimate+34.8%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 5.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate30.2%Closing EV estimate+54.0%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.52.10Model chance64.8%EV+36.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate81.4%Closing EV estimate+18.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:03
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate64.8%Closing EV estimate+36.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:03
- over 4.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate46.5%Closing EV estimate+53.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:03
- over 5.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate30.2%Closing EV estimate+66.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 3.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →VIPWon

under 24.51.92 at Superbet+0.92u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 65.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.52. Expected value at recommendation: +26.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 24.52.10Model chance75.5%EV+58.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 22.5odds3.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 23odds2.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 23.5odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 24odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate78.8%Closing EV estimate+65.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 25odds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 25.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate84.1%Closing EV estimate+55.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 26odds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 26.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate88.3%Closing EV estimate+41.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 27odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 27.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate91.7%Closing EV estimate+32.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 28odds1.37Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 28.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate94.2%Closing EV estimate+25.3%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 29odds1.26Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 24.52.00Model chance75.5%EV+51.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 22.5odds2.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 01:02
- under 23.5odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 01:02
- under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate78.8%Closing EV estimate+57.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:02
- under 25.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate84.1%Closing EV estimate+47.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:02
- under 26.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate88.3%Closing EV estimate+41.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:02
- under 27.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate91.7%Closing EV estimate+28.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:02
- under 28.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate94.2%Closing EV estimate+22.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:02
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 24.52.00Model chance78.8%EV+57.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 22.5odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.7%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- under 23.5odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate78.8%Closing EV estimate+57.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- under 25.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate84.1%Closing EV estimate+51.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- under 26.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate88.3%Closing EV estimate+36.9%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- under 27.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate91.7%Closing EV estimate+28.3%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- under 28.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate94.2%Closing EV estimate+21.5%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 24.51.92Model chance65.9%EV+26.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 23.5odds2.27Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:35
- under 24.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate78.8%Closing EV estimate+53.7%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:35
- under 25.5odds1.71Closing chance estimate84.1%Closing EV estimate+43.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 01:47: under 24.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Monza total

Open match →FreeWon

under 11.52.40 at Liderbet+1.40u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.66. Expected value at recommendation: +45.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 11.52.65Model chance60.5%EV+60.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 12odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 12.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate+50.8%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 13odds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 13.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate81.8%Closing EV estimate+43.2%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 14odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 14.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate88.1%Closing EV estimate+30.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 11.52.45Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 10.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate+70.9%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:02
- under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 01:02
- under 12.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate+43.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:02
- under 13.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate81.8%Closing EV estimate+35.0%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:02
- under 14.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate88.1%Closing EV estimate+23.4%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:02
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.52.40Model chance60.5%EV+45.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 11.5odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- under 12.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate+39.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- under 13.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate81.8%Closing EV estimate+30.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 00:06: under 11.5 at 2.40 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · Monza total

Open match →VIPLost

under 8.52.00 at Betlive−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +4.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 8.52.00Model chance52.3%EV+4.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 7.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate37.4%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 8odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate51.0%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 9odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 9.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate64.1%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 10odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- under 10.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 8.51.95Model chance51.5%EV+0.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 7.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate37.4%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:32
- under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate51.0%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:32
- under 9.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate64.1%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:32
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 8.51.95Model chance51.0%EV-0.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 7.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate37.4%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate51.0%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- under 9.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate64.1%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 00:32: under 8.5 at 2.00 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 01:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPWon

over 26.52.20 at Superbet+1.20u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 63.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +39.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetAt recommendationover 26.52.45Model chance71.7%EV+75.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 21.5odds1.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 01:32
- over 22.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate90.9%Closing EV estimate+27.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:32
- over 23.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate87.7%Closing EV estimate+40.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:32
- over 24.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate83.9%Closing EV estimate+55.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:32
- over 25.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate+66.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:32
- over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+82.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:32
- over 27.5odds2.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 01:32
KambiClosing estimateover 26.52.14Model chance74.3%EV+59.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 21.5odds1.24Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.4%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 01:35
- over 22.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate90.9%Closing EV estimate+22.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:36
- over 23.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate87.7%Closing EV estimate+29.8%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:36
- over 24.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate83.9%Closing EV estimate+38.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:36
- over 25.5odds1.87Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate+48.5%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:36
- over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.14Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+59.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:36
- over 27.5odds2.48Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 04:36
LiderbetClosing estimateover 26.52.40Model chance74.3%EV+78.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 21.5odds1.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.6%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 22.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate90.9%Closing EV estimate+27.3%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 23.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate87.7%Closing EV estimate+35.9%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 24.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate83.9%Closing EV estimate+51.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 25.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate+62.8%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.40Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+78.4%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 27.5odds2.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.6%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 26.52.20Model chance63.4%EV+39.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 21.5odds1.22Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.3%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:04
- over 22.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate90.9%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 23.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate87.7%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 24.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate83.9%Closing EV estimate+25.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 25.5odds1.68Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate+33.4%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 26.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+42.8%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 27.5odds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 28.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate62.9%Closing EV estimate+60.4%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 29.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate56.8%Closing EV estimate+70.4%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 30.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate50.6%Closing EV estimate+79.5%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
BetliveClosing estimateover 26.52.40Model chance74.3%EV+78.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 21.5odds1.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 22odds1.31Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 22.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate90.9%Closing EV estimate+27.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 23odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 23.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate87.7%Closing EV estimate+35.9%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 24odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 24.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate83.9%Closing EV estimate+51.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 25odds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 25.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate+58.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 26odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.40Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+78.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 27odds2.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 27.5odds2.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 07:17: over 26.5 at 2.20 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 08:27. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Lazio total

Open match →VIPWon

over 15.51.97 at Superbet+0.97u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 63.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.59. Expected value at recommendation: +24.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 15.52.10Model chance50.8%EV+6.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:10
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 15.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate54.8%Closing EV estimate+17.8%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:10
KambiAt recommendationover 15.52.20Model chance63.1%EV+38.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 13.5odds1.61Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:35
- over 14.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate63.9%Closing EV estimate+18.2%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:35
- over 15.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate54.8%Closing EV estimate+17.8%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:35
LiderbetAt recommendationover 15.52.05Model chance50.8%EV+4.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 13.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 14.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate63.9%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate54.8%Closing EV estimate+12.3%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 15.51.97Model chance63.1%EV+24.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 11.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:35
- over 12.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate80.0%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 13.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 14.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate63.9%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.97Closing chance estimate54.8%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 16.5odds2.32Closing chance estimate45.7%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 17.5odds2.72Closing chance estimate37.0%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 18.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate29.1%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
BetliveClosing estimateover 15.52.00Model chance54.8%EV+9.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 13odds1.32Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 13.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 14odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 14.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate63.9%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 15odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate54.8%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 16odds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 16.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate45.7%Closing EV estimate+9.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 17odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
CrocobetClosing estimateover 15.52.10Model chance54.8%EV+15.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 12.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate80.0%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:32
- over 13.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:32
- over 14.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate63.9%Closing EV estimate+11.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:32
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate54.8%Closing EV estimate+15.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:32
- over 16.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate45.7%Closing EV estimate+21.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:32

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 07:17: over 15.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Monza total

Open match →FreeWon

over 11.52.85 at Crocobet+1.85u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 74.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.35. Expected value at recommendation: +112.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 11.52.85Model chance74.5%EV+112.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate96.9%Closing EV estimate+18.3%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:32
- over 8.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate94.2%Closing EV estimate+36.6%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:32
- over 9.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate90.0%Closing EV estimate+57.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:32
- over 10.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate84.2%Closing EV estimate+85.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:32
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.85Closing chance estimate76.9%Closing EV estimate+119.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:32
SuperbetClosing estimateover 11.52.12Model chance76.9%EV+62.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:05
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate96.9%Closing EV estimate+15.3%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:35
- over 8.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate94.2%Closing EV estimate+24.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:35
- over 9.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate90.0%Closing EV estimate+35.0%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:05
- over 10.5odds1.77Closing chance estimate84.2%Closing EV estimate+49.0%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:34
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.12Closing chance estimate76.9%Closing EV estimate+62.9%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:04
- over 12.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate68.2%Closing EV estimate+77.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:35
- over 13.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate58.8%Closing EV estimate+91.0%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: over 11.5 at 2.85 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeWon

over 9.52.30 at Superbet+1.30u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +18.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.52.30Model chance51.6%EV+18.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate97.6%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:34
- over 5.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate94.3%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 6.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate88.8%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 7.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 8.5odds1.63Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 9.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+20.7%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 10.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate46.0%Closing EV estimate+24.1%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 11.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate34.4%Closing EV estimate+23.8%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 12.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate24.4%Closing EV estimate+21.9%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 13.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate16.4%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.52.25Model chance58.3%EV+31.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7odds1.29Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 7.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+17.0%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 8odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 8.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+26.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 9odds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+31.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 10odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 10.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate46.0%Closing EV estimate+37.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.52.30Model chance58.3%EV+34.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate88.8%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:02
- over 7.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+17.0%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:02
- over 8.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+29.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:02
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+34.1%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:02
- over 10.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate46.0%Closing EV estimate+51.7%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:02
KambiClosing estimateover 9.52.40Model chance58.3%EV+39.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:06
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate94.3%Closing EV estimate+2.8%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:05
- over 6.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate88.8%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:05
- over 7.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+18.6%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:05
- over 8.5odds1.84Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+29.2%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:05
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.40Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+39.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:06
- over 10.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate46.0%Closing EV estimate+49.4%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 23:05
- over 11.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate34.4%Closing EV estimate+47.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:22
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.52.30Model chance58.3%EV+34.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate94.3%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 6.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate88.8%Closing EV estimate+11.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 7.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+17.0%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 8.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+26.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+34.1%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 10.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate46.0%Closing EV estimate+40.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 11.5odds4.35Closing chance estimate34.4%Closing EV estimate+49.5%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 08:27: over 9.5 at 2.30 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Lazio total

Open match →FreeWon

over 5.52.05 at Superbet+1.05u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.85. Expected value at recommendation: +11.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365At recommendationover 5.52.20Model chance54.3%EV+19.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:20
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate+17.7%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:20
LiderbetAt recommendationover 5.51.90Model chance58.8%EV+11.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate69.8%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
- over 6.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate37.5%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:33
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 5.52.05Model chance54.3%EV+11.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate93.2%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 3.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 4.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate69.8%Closing EV estimate+6.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 5.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 6.5odds2.77Closing chance estimate37.5%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 7.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate24.1%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
- over 8.5odds5.85Closing chance estimate14.2%Closing EV estimate−16.8%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 06:34
BetliveClosing estimateover 5.51.90Model chance53.5%EV+1.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate69.8%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 5odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 6odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
- over 6.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate37.5%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:30
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.51.90Model chance53.5%EV+1.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate69.8%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:02
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:02
- over 6.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate37.5%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:02
KambiClosing estimateover 5.52.50Model chance53.5%EV+33.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate93.2%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:35
- over 3.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:35
- over 4.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate69.8%Closing EV estimate+22.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:35
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.50Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate+33.7%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:35
- over 6.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate37.5%Closing EV estimate+38.9%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 05:35
- over 7.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate24.1%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:22

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 07:17: over 5.5 at 2.05 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+87.6%ROI · 11 units staked

Profit+9.64units

W / L9 / 2picks

Avg odds2.26settled picks

Recorded picks111 matches

Around this match

CompetitionSerie A Home teamLazio Away teamMonza RefereeGiuseppe Collu

Matches

Cards · Lazio total

Cards · Monza total

Corners · Monza total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · Monza total

Goal kicks · Monza total

Shots · match total

Shots · Lazio total

Shots · Monza total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · Lazio total

This match

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