Kosovo vs Austria 1-1 — UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League 26/27

Kosovo

1–1

HT 0–0

Austria

Sun 4 Oct·10:00·Matchday 4·Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

3Corners5
1Cards0
10Shots13
5Shots on target4
6Fouls15
21Throw-ins27
1Offsides4
8Goal kicks3
3Saves4
20Tackles23
15Interceptions3
16Dribbles6

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

10:00

Kosovov

AustriaUEFA Nations League3 won / 4 lost · +0.10u · 7 picks

Corners · Austria total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 5+1.10u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.104 Oct, 09:08

Closing odds2.104 Oct, 09:40

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 4.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds2.10
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 09:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate47.6%Closing EV estimate−0.0%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:40
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance47.6%EV-4.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate−6.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate65.7%Closing EV estimate−4.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate47.6%Closing EV estimate−4.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 5.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 6.5odds4.85Closing chance estimate18.7%Closing EV estimate−9.1%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance47.6%EV-4.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 3 Oct, 05:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 05:31
- over 3.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate65.7%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 05:31
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate47.6%Closing EV estimate−4.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 05:31
- over 5.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−7.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 05:31
- over 6.5odds5.25Closing chance estimate18.7%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 05:31
KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.92
No saved recommendation
Model chance47.6%EV-8.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 09:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate65.7%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:32
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.92Closing chance estimate47.6%Closing EV estimate−8.6%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:32
- over 5.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−17.1%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:32
- over 6.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate18.7%Closing EV estimate−28.8%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 14:32
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance47.6%EV-4.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate−8.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate65.7%Closing EV estimate−8.0%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate47.6%Closing EV estimate−4.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 5.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 6.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate18.7%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance47.6%EV+2.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 09:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:40
- over 3.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate65.7%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:40
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate47.6%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:40
- over 5.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:40
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance47.6%EV-7.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 2 Oct, 11:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate93.4%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 2 Oct, 11:33
- over 2.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 2 Oct, 11:33
- over 3.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate65.7%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 2 Oct, 11:33
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate47.6%Closing EV estimate−7.2%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 2 Oct, 11:33
- over 5.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−15.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 2 Oct, 11:33
- over 6.5odds3.85Closing chance estimate18.7%Closing EV estimate−27.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 2 Oct, 11:33
- over 7.5odds5.65Closing chance estimate10.3%Closing EV estimate−41.8%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 2 Oct, 11:33

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:08: over 4.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 24.5Actual: 21+1.75u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.754 Oct, 09:38

Closing odds2.754 Oct, 09:31

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 24.5
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds2.35
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 23.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate+31.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate+25.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 25.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate59.2%Closing EV estimate+18.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 26.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate65.0%Closing EV estimate+17.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 27.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate70.3%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 28.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate75.1%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 29.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate79.5%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 24.5
At recommendation2.45
Closing odds2.45
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 22.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate40.6%Closing EV estimate+25.9%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 08:30
- under 23.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate+45.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate+30.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- under 25.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate59.2%Closing EV estimate+18.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- under 26.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate65.0%Closing EV estimate+17.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- under 27.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate70.3%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- under 28.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate75.1%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- under 29.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate79.5%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 24.5
At recommendation2.75
Closing odds2.75
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 09:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 22.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate40.6%Closing EV estimate+27.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 06:01
- under 23.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate+43.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.75Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate+46.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:31
- under 25.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate59.2%Closing EV estimate+36.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:31
- under 26.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate65.0%Closing EV estimate+26.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:31
- under 27.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate70.3%Closing EV estimate+19.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:31
- under 28.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate75.1%Closing EV estimate+12.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:31
- under 29.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate79.5%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:31
- under 30.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate83.2%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:31

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:38: under 24.5 at 2.75 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · Kosovo total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 12.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.254 Oct, 09:08

Closing odds2.254 Oct, 02:46

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 12.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds2.25
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 10.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate66.9%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 11.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate57.2%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate47.4%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 12.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds2.20
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate75.9%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 10.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate66.9%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 11.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate57.2%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate47.4%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 13.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate38.0%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 12.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds2.00
Odds down−0.20
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 09:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 10.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate66.9%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 11.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate57.2%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:31
- over 12.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate47.4%Closing EV estimate−5.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:31
- over 13.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate38.0%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:31

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:08: over 12.5 at 2.25 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · Austria total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 12.5Actual: 15−1.00u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation3.104 Oct, 09:08

Closing odds3.104 Oct, 02:47

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 12.5
At recommendation3.10
Closing odds3.10
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds3.10Closing chance estimate58.9%Closing EV estimate+82.7%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- under 13.5odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- under 14.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate75.8%Closing EV estimate+47.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- under 15.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate82.3%Closing EV estimate+35.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- under 16.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate87.5%Closing EV estimate+22.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:08: under 12.5 at 3.10 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Goal kicks · Kosovo total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 6.5Actual: 8+1.25u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.254 Oct, 09:08

Closing odds2.254 Oct, 02:46

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 6.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds2.25
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate83.0%Closing EV estimate+11.2%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 5.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate70.8%Closing EV estimate+20.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate56.7%Closing EV estimate+27.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:08: over 6.5 at 2.25 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 36.5Actual: 48−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.404 Oct, 09:08

Closing odds2.403 Oct, 06:01

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 36.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds2.30
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 36.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate81.6%Closing EV estimate+87.7%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 37.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate84.9%Closing EV estimate+74.1%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 38.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate87.8%Closing EV estimate+62.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 39.5odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 40.5odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 41.5odds1.39Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 36.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds2.20
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 3 Oct, 08:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 36.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate81.6%Closing EV estimate+79.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 08:30
- under 37.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate84.9%Closing EV estimate+65.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 08:30
- under 38.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate87.8%Closing EV estimate+58.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 08:30
- under 39.5odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 3 Oct, 08:30
- under 40.5odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 3 Oct, 08:30
Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 36.5
At recommendation2.40
Closing odds2.40
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 3 Oct, 06:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 36.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.40Closing chance estimate81.6%Closing EV estimate+95.9%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 06:01
- under 37.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate84.9%Closing EV estimate+78.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 06:01
- under 38.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate87.8%Closing EV estimate+58.1%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 06:01
- under 39.5odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 3 Oct, 06:01
- under 40.5odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 3 Oct, 06:01

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:08: under 36.5 at 2.40 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Throw-ins · Kosovo total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 19.5Actual: 21−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.004 Oct, 09:04

Closing odds2.004 Oct, 02:46

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 19.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 18.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate84.8%Closing EV estimate+103.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 19.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate89.2%Closing EV estimate+78.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 20.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate92.5%Closing EV estimate+62.0%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 21.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate95.0%Closing EV estimate+42.5%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 22.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate96.7%Closing EV estimate+31.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 19.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds1.90
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 3 Oct, 08:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 19.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate89.2%Closing EV estimate+69.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 08:30
- under 20.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate92.5%Closing EV estimate+57.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 08:30
- under 21.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate95.0%Closing EV estimate+42.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 08:30
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 19.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 3 Oct, 06:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 19.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate89.2%Closing EV estimate+78.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 06:01
- under 20.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate92.5%Closing EV estimate+57.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 06:01

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:04: under 19.5 at 2.00 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+1.4%ROI · 7 units staked

Profit+0.10units

W / L3 / 4picks

Avg odds2.41settled picks

Recorded picks71 matches

Around this match

CompetitionUEFA Nations League Home teamKosovo Away teamAustria RefereeAntonio Nobre

Previous meetings

Sun 27 SepAustria 3-1 Kosovo

Match overview

Matches

Corners · Austria total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · Kosovo total

Fouls · Austria total

Goal kicks · Kosovo total

Throw-ins · match total

Throw-ins · Kosovo total

This match

Around this match

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