Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands 2-2 — UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League 26/27

Kazakhstan

2–2

HT 0–1

Faroe Islands

Tue 6 Oct·08:00·Matchday 4·Astana Arena·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

5Corners8
1Cards3
24Shots15
4Shots on target4
8Fouls9
19Throw-ins19
3Offsides1
6Goal kicks13
2Saves2
7Tackles14
5Interceptions5
9Dribbles7

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

08:00

Kazakhstanv

Faroe IslandsUEFA Nations League1 won / 4 lost · −1.75u · 5 picks

Fouls · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 25.5Actual: 17−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation3.356 Oct, 07:00

Closing odds3.356 Oct, 04:31

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableover 25.5
At recommendation3.00
Closing odds3.00
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 04:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 18.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate87.7%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 19.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate83.8%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 04:30
- over 20.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate79.3%Closing EV estimate+12.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 04:30
- over 21.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+19.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 04:30
- over 22.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate68.9%Closing EV estimate+27.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 04:30
- over 23.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate63.1%Closing EV estimate+32.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 04:30
- over 24.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate57.2%Closing EV estimate+42.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 04:30
- over 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds3.00Closing chance estimate51.2%Closing EV estimate+53.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 04:30
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 25.5
At recommendation3.30
Closing odds3.30
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 05:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 18.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate87.7%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 19.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate83.8%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 05:30
- over 20.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate79.3%Closing EV estimate+15.1%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 05:30
- over 21.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+22.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 05:30
- over 22.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate68.9%Closing EV estimate+30.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 05:30
- over 23.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate63.1%Closing EV estimate+38.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 05:30
- over 24.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate57.2%Closing EV estimate+51.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 05:30
- over 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds3.30Closing chance estimate51.2%Closing EV estimate+68.8%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 05:30
Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 25.5
At recommendation3.35
Closing odds3.35
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 04:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 19.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate83.8%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 04:31
- over 20.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate79.3%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 04:31
- over 21.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+19.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 04:31
- over 22.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate68.9%Closing EV estimate+30.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 03:31
- over 23.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate63.1%Closing EV estimate+38.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 04:31
- over 24.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate57.2%Closing EV estimate+54.4%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 04:31
- over 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds3.35Closing chance estimate51.2%Closing EV estimate+71.4%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 04:31

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 07:00: over 25.5 at 3.35 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Goal kicks · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 16.5Actual: 19+2.25u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation3.256 Oct, 07:00

Closing odds2.756 Oct, 07:31

Odds down−0.50

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 16.5
At recommendation3.25
Closing odds2.75
Odds down−0.50
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 07:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 11.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate71.5%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 03:31
- over 12.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate62.0%Closing EV estimate−19.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 07:31
- over 13.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate52.0%Closing EV estimate−21.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 07:31
- over 14.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate42.2%Closing EV estimate−24.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 07:31
- over 15.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate33.1%Closing EV estimate−27.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 07:31
- over 16.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate25.1%Closing EV estimate−30.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 07:31

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 07:00: over 16.5 at 3.25 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Goal kicks · Kazakhstan total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 7.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.306 Oct, 07:00

Closing odds2.306 Oct, 05:30

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 7.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds2.30
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 05:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 5.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate67.7%Closing EV estimate−5.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 05:30
- over 6.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate−4.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 05:30
- over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate38.7%Closing EV estimate−10.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 05:30
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 7.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds2.20
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 05:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+4.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 5.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate67.7%Closing EV estimate−8.7%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 05:30
- over 6.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate−9.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 05:30
- over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate38.7%Closing EV estimate−14.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 05:30
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 7.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds2.10
Odds down−0.15
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 07:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate67.7%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 03:31
- over 6.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate−15.2%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 07:31
- over 7.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate38.7%Closing EV estimate−18.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 07:31

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 07:00: over 7.5 at 2.30 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Kazakhstan total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.306 Oct, 07:00

Closing odds2.306 Oct, 02:30

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds2.25
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 02:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate+16.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- under 4.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate70.6%Closing EV estimate+12.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds2.30
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 02:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate+19.4%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- under 4.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate70.6%Closing EV estimate+12.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- under 5.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate84.0%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds2.30
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 02:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate+19.4%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- under 4.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate70.6%Closing EV estimate+12.9%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- under 5.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate84.0%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 07:00: under 3.5 at 2.30 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 47.5Actual: 38−1.00u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.206 Oct, 07:00

Closing odds1.956 Oct, 07:00

Odds down−0.25

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 47.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds1.95
Odds down−0.25
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 07:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 42.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate38.2%Closing EV estimate−42.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 43.5odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 6 Oct, 03:00
- over 44.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate29.8%Closing EV estimate−55.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 07:00
- over 45.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate26.0%Closing EV estimate−57.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 07:00
- over 46.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate22.5%Closing EV estimate−59.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 07:00
- over 47.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate19.3%Closing EV estimate−62.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 07:00
- over 48.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate16.4%Closing EV estimate−63.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 07:00
- over 49.5odds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 6 Oct, 07:31
BetliveClosing estimateover 47.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance19.3%EV-65.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 07:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 42.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate38.2%Closing EV estimate−47.3%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 43.5odds1.39Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 6 Oct, 06:30
- over 44.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate29.8%Closing EV estimate−58.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 07:00
- over 45.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate26.0%Closing EV estimate−61.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 07:00
- over 46.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate22.5%Closing EV estimate−64.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 07:00
- over 47.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate19.3%Closing EV estimate−65.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 07:00
- over 48.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate16.4%Closing EV estimate−68.0%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 07:00
- over 49.5odds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 6 Oct, 07:00
- over 50.5odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 6 Oct, 07:00
LiderbetClosing estimateover 47.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance19.3%EV-65.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 07:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 43.5odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 44.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate29.8%Closing EV estimate−56.8%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 06:31
- over 45.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate26.0%Closing EV estimate−62.4%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 07:31
- over 46.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate22.5%Closing EV estimate−64.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 07:31
- over 47.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate19.3%Closing EV estimate−65.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 07:31
- over 48.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate16.4%Closing EV estimate−67.2%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 07:31
- over 49.5odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 6 Oct, 07:31

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 07:00: over 47.5 at 2.20 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−35.0%ROI · 5 units staked

Profit−1.75units

W / L1 / 4picks

Avg odds2.68settled picks

Recorded picks51 matches

Around this match

CompetitionUEFA Nations League Home teamKazakhstan Away teamFaroe Islands RefereeKristo Tohver

Match overview

Matches

Fouls · match total

Goal kicks · match total

Goal kicks · Kazakhstan total

Shots on target · Kazakhstan total

Throw-ins · match total

This match

Around this match

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