Ireland vs Israel 1-1 — UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League 26/27

Ireland

1–1

HT 1–0

Israel

Sun 4 Oct·12:45·Matchday 4·Neutral venue·Gradski Stadion·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

3Corners3
1Cards3
16Shots10
4Shots on target2
13Fouls15
24Throw-ins12
1Offsides2
7Goal kicks6
1Saves3
11Tackles11
4Interceptions11
5Dribbles1

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

6 Free3 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match

12:45

Irelandv

IsraelUEFA Nations League2 won / 7 lost · −5.00u · 9 picks

Corners · Israel total

Open match →FreeLost

over 3.52.00 at Bet365−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 3.52.00Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate44.7%Closing EV estimate−10.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:40
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.51.80Model chance44.7%EV-19.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate84.7%Closing EV estimate−10.2%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 11:30
- over 2.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate−13.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:30
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate44.7%Closing EV estimate−19.5%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 11:30
- over 4.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate26.7%Closing EV estimate−26.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:30
- over 5.5odds4.65Closing chance estimate14.2%Closing EV estimate−33.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 11:30
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.51.70Model chance44.7%EV-24.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 3 Oct, 05:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate84.7%Closing EV estimate−11.0%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 05:31
- over 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate−14.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 05:31
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate44.7%Closing EV estimate−24.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 05:31
- over 4.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate26.7%Closing EV estimate−34.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 05:31
- over 5.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate14.2%Closing EV estimate−46.7%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 05:31
KambiClosing estimateover 3.51.80Model chance44.7%EV-19.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate−11.2%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:02
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate44.7%Closing EV estimate−19.5%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:02
- over 4.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate26.7%Closing EV estimate−31.8%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:02
- over 5.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate14.2%Closing EV estimate−48.1%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:32
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.51.80Model chance44.7%EV-19.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate84.7%Closing EV estimate−11.9%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 11:31
- over 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate−14.5%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:31
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate44.7%Closing EV estimate−19.5%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 11:31
- over 4.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate26.7%Closing EV estimate−25.1%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 11:31
- over 5.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate14.2%Closing EV estimate−28.9%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:31
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.51.83Model chance44.7%EV-18.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate−14.5%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:40
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate44.7%Closing EV estimate−18.1%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:40
- over 4.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate26.7%Closing EV estimate−25.1%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:40
- over 5.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate14.2%Closing EV estimate−36.0%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:40
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.51.90Model chance44.7%EV-15.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 07:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate96.4%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin5.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:48
- over 1.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate84.7%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin6.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 07:02
- over 2.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate−7.3%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:48
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate44.7%Closing EV estimate−15.1%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 07:02
- over 4.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate26.7%Closing EV estimate−27.8%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 07:02
- over 5.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate14.2%Closing EV estimate−43.1%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:48
- over 6.5odds6.20Closing chance estimate6.8%Closing EV estimate−57.8%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 07:02
- over 7.5odds9.50Closing chance estimate3.0%Closing EV estimate−71.8%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 07:02
- over 8.5odds16.00Closing chance estimate1.2%Closing EV estimate−81.0%margin5.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 07:02
- over 9.5odds25.00Closing chance estimate0.4%Closing EV estimate−89.0%margin3.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 07:02

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 11:49: over 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · match total

Open match →FreeLost

under 24.51.92 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 24.51.92Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 24.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate59.0%Closing EV estimate+21.0%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:31
BetliveClosing estimateunder 24.51.60Model chance59.0%EV-5.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 20.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate33.5%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 21odds2.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 21.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate39.9%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 22odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 22.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate46.4%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 23odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 23.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate52.8%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 24odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate59.0%Closing EV estimate−5.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 25odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 25.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate64.9%Closing EV estimate−6.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 26odds1.34Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 26.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate−7.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 24.51.70Model chance59.0%EV+0.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 20.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate33.5%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- under 21.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate39.9%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- under 22.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate46.4%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- under 23.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate52.8%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate59.0%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- under 25.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate64.9%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- under 26.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate−6.4%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 24.51.60Model chance59.0%EV-5.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:48
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 20.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate33.5%Closing EV estimate+15.7%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:48
- under 21.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate39.9%Closing EV estimate+7.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:48
- under 22.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate46.4%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:48
- under 23.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate52.8%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:48
- under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate59.0%Closing EV estimate−5.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:48
- under 25.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate64.9%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:48
- under 26.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate−7.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:48

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 11:49: under 24.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Goal kicks · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 15.53.15 at Liderbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableover 15.52.95Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 11odds1.26Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 11.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate−16.9%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 12odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 12.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate−20.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 13odds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 13.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate39.6%Closing EV estimate−24.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 14odds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 14.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate30.3%Closing EV estimate−28.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 15odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.95Closing chance estimate22.4%Closing EV estimate−34.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 15.52.85Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 11.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate−19.9%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 12.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate−22.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 13.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate39.6%Closing EV estimate−24.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 14.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate30.3%Closing EV estimate−33.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.85Closing chance estimate22.4%Closing EV estimate−36.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 15.53.15Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:48
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 10.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate70.3%Closing EV estimate−17.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:48
- over 11.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate−18.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:48
- over 12.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate−20.4%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:48
- over 13.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate39.6%Closing EV estimate−24.8%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:48
- over 14.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate30.3%Closing EV estimate−27.2%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:48
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds3.15Closing chance estimate22.4%Closing EV estimate−29.5%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:48
- over 16.5odds4.25Closing chance estimate15.9%Closing EV estimate−32.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:48

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 11:49: over 15.5 at 3.15 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Goal kicks · Israel total

Open match →FreeLost

over 7.52.10 at Liderbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableover 7.51.95Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6odds1.36Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 6.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate−9.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 7odds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate44.4%Closing EV estimate−13.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 8odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 8.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate31.5%Closing EV estimate−16.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 7.52.00Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate−9.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate44.4%Closing EV estimate−11.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 8.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate31.5%Closing EV estimate−16.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 7.52.10Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:48
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate−6.2%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:48
- over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate44.4%Closing EV estimate−6.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:48
- over 8.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate31.5%Closing EV estimate−7.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:48

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 11:49: over 7.5 at 2.10 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPWon

over 23.52.00 at Bet365+1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Archived model estimate 50.7% · Minimum odds from archived estimate 1.98. EV from archived model estimate: +1.4%.

Original odds and result stay fixed. The model estimate was saved 4 Oct, 04:10 before the announcement.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceArchived model estimateover 23.52.00Model chance50.7%EV+1.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the archived model estimate. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 23.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate46.6%Closing EV estimate−16.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:40
BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableover 23.51.80Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 20.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate67.1%Closing EV estimate−14.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 21odds1.31Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 21.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate60.4%Closing EV estimate−15.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 22odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 22.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate−17.1%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 23odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate46.6%Closing EV estimate−16.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 24odds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 24.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate39.9%Closing EV estimate−20.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 25odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 25.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate33.6%Closing EV estimate−19.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 26odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 26.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate27.8%Closing EV estimate−20.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 23.51.80Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 04:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 20.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate67.1%Closing EV estimate−16.1%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:01
- over 21.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate60.4%Closing EV estimate−17.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:01
- over 22.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate−17.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:01
- over 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate46.6%Closing EV estimate−16.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:01
- over 24.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate39.9%Closing EV estimate−16.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:01
- over 25.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate33.6%Closing EV estimate−16.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:01
- over 26.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate27.8%Closing EV estimate−15.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:01
SuperbetArchived model estimateover 23.51.90Model chance50.7%EV-3.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the archived model estimate. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 19.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate−10.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:32
- over 20.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate67.1%Closing EV estimate−10.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:02
- over 21.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate60.4%Closing EV estimate−11.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 11:02
- over 22.5odds1.66Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate−11.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:32
- over 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate46.6%Closing EV estimate−11.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 2 Oct, 13:02
- over 24.5odds2.22Closing chance estimate39.9%Closing EV estimate−11.5%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 2 Oct, 13:02
- over 25.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate33.6%Closing EV estimate−11.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:32
- over 26.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate27.8%Closing EV estimate−11.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:02
- over 27.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate22.7%Closing EV estimate−11.6%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:02
CrocobetClosing estimateover 23.51.75Model chance46.6%EV-18.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 20.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate67.1%Closing EV estimate−16.1%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 21.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate60.4%Closing EV estimate−15.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 22.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate−17.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate46.6%Closing EV estimate−18.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 24.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate39.9%Closing EV estimate−22.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 25.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate33.6%Closing EV estimate−22.8%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 26.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate27.8%Closing EV estimate−20.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 04:38: over 23.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · Israel total

Open match →VIPLost

over 10.52.30 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveArchived model estimateover 10.52.00Model chance51.7%EV+3.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the archived model estimate. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate71.5%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 9odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 9.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate60.7%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 10odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate49.4%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 11odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 11.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate38.6%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
CrocobetArchived model estimateover 10.51.95Model chance51.7%EV+0.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the archived model estimate. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate81.0%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 8.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate71.5%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 9.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate60.7%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate49.4%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 11.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate38.6%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
LiderbetArchived model estimateover 10.52.00Model chance51.7%EV+3.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 04:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the archived model estimate. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate60.7%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:01
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate49.4%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:01
- over 11.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate38.6%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:01
Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 10.52.30Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 10:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate88.6%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:02
- over 7.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate81.0%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:02
- over 8.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate71.5%Closing EV estimate+12.3%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 07:02
- over 9.5odds1.87Closing chance estimate60.7%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 07:02
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate49.4%Closing EV estimate+13.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:32
- over 11.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate38.6%Closing EV estimate+12.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:02
- over 12.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate28.9%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:02

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 04:38: over 10.5 at 2.30 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Ireland total

Open match →FreeWon

under 4.52.00 at Bet365+1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.52.00Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate58.1%Closing EV estimate+16.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:40
SuperbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.52.00Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 11:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds9.30Closing chance estimate8.0%Closing EV estimate−25.4%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:02
- under 2.5odds4.85Closing chance estimate21.1%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:02
- under 3.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate39.2%Closing EV estimate+17.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 3 Oct, 14:32
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate58.1%Closing EV estimate+16.2%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:32
- under 5.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate74.1%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:02
- under 6.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 10:02
- under 7.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate92.7%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 11:32
BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.51.85Model chance58.1%EV+7.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 12:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate39.2%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:00
- under 4odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 12:00
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate58.1%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:00
- under 5odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 12:00
- under 5.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate74.1%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 12:00
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.51.85Model chance58.1%EV+7.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate39.2%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate58.1%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- under 5.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate74.1%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.51.80Model chance58.1%EV+4.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:48
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate39.2%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:48
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate58.1%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:48
- under 5.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate74.1%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:48

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 11:49: under 4.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Throw-ins · Ireland total

Open match →VIPLost

under 17.52.05 at Betlive−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 17.52.05Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 16.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate53.6%Closing EV estimate+36.6%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 17odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 17.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate61.9%Closing EV estimate+26.9%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 18odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 18.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate69.6%Closing EV estimate+25.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 19odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 19.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate76.3%Closing EV estimate+18.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 20odds1.42Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 20.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 17.51.95Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 17.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate61.9%Closing EV estimate+20.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- under 18.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate69.6%Closing EV estimate+21.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- under 19.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate76.3%Closing EV estimate+18.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 17.52.05Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 04:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 17.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate61.9%Closing EV estimate+26.9%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:01
- under 18.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate69.6%Closing EV estimate+18.3%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:01
- under 19.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate76.3%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:01

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 04:38: under 17.5 at 2.05 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Throw-ins · Israel total

Open match →FreeLost

over 16.52.45 at Betlive−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 16.52.45Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 13.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate63.8%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 14odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 14.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate54.7%Closing EV estimate−7.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 15odds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 15.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate45.6%Closing EV estimate−8.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 16odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimate37.0%Closing EV estimate−9.4%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 11:49: over 16.5 at 2.45 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−55.6%ROI · 9 units staked

Profit−5.00units

W / L2 / 7picks

Avg odds2.22settled picks

Recorded picks91 matches

Around this match

CompetitionUEFA Nations League Home teamIreland Away teamIsrael RefereeJuan Martinez Munuera

Previous meetings

Sun 27 SepIsrael 0-3 Ireland