Ipswich Town vs Fulham — Premier League

Premier LeaguePremier League 26/27

Ipswich Town

2–1

HT 0–0

Fulham

Sat 10 Oct··Matchday 6·Portman Road Stadium·Ipswich Town won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 2Corners5
  • 2Cards4
  • 11Shots13
  • 5Shots on target5
  • 8Fouls10
  • 18Throw-ins20
  • 0Offsides1
  • 9Goal kicks7
  • 3Saves3
  • 18Tackles17
  • 8Interceptions6
  • 5Dribbles3
OddsOddsStatsStatsPredictionsPicksRefereeRefereeCoachCoach
0Free available0VIP available9Recorded Free5Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match
Ipswich TownvFulhamPremier League6 won / 8 lost · −2.45u · 14 picks

Cards · Ipswich Town total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 1.5Actual: 2+0.88u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds1.90
Odds up+0.02
Model chance at recommendation
58.7%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.71
Expected value at recommendation
+10.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +10.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
    At recommendation1.88
    Closing odds1.90
    Odds up+0.02
    Model chance58.7%EV+10.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 08:46

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate89.2%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate+23.6%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate38.3%Closing EV estimate+36.0%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance65.1%EV+20.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate+20.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance65.1%EV+20.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate89.2%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate+20.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate38.3%Closing EV estimate+26.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.73
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance65.1%EV+12.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate+12.6%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate38.3%Closing EV estimate+16.8%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.55
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance65.1%EV+0.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 01:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate38.3%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 1.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 14:51. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 9.5Actual: 7+0.91u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds1.91
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
55.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.82
Expected value at recommendation
+5.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +5.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 9.5
    At recommendation1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Unchanged
    Model chance55.2%EV+5.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:25

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate+10.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.8%EV+7.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 6.5odds4.85Closing chance estimate21.3%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate32.7%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate69.2%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate86.0%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate91.3%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate94.8%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.8%EV+7.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 08:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 5.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate12.3%Closing EV estimate−16.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate21.3%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate32.7%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate69.2%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate86.0%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate91.3%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.8%EV+12.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 6.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate21.3%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate32.7%Closing EV estimate+14.4%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate+12.8%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate69.2%Closing EV estimate+10.8%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate86.0%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate91.3%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate94.8%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.8%EV+7.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 7.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate32.7%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate69.2%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.8%EV+7.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:13

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate69.2%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate86.0%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.92
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.8%EV+11.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds45.00Closing chance estimate0.8%Closing EV estimate−65.5%margin2.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds20.00Closing chance estimate2.5%Closing EV estimate−50.7%margin4.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds11.00Closing chance estimate6.1%Closing EV estimate−33.1%margin6.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate12.3%Closing EV estimate−16.3%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds4.55Closing chance estimate21.3%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate32.7%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin6.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds2.42Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.92Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.61Closing chance estimate69.2%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin7.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate+10.2%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate86.0%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate91.3%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate94.8%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate97.0%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 16.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate98.4%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin5.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 17.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate99.2%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin4.9%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: under 9.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Ipswich Town total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 4.5Actual: 2+1.05u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds2.05
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
58.5%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.72
Expected value at recommendation
+19.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.72. Expected value at recommendation: +19.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365At recommendationunder 4.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Unchanged
    Model chance58.4%EV+22.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:25

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate71.6%Closing EV estimate+50.3%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveAt recommendationunder 4.5
    At recommendation2.05
    Closing odds2.00
    Odds down−0.05
    Model chance58.4%EV+19.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+58.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate71.6%Closing EV estimate+43.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate84.8%Closing EV estimate+27.2%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate92.8%Closing EV estimate+15.9%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate96.9%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance71.6%EV+43.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+56.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate71.6%Closing EV estimate+43.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate84.8%Closing EV estimate+31.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate92.8%Closing EV estimate+15.9%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate96.9%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.87
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance71.6%EV+33.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate31.8%Closing EV estimate+33.7%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+40.3%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.87Closing chance estimate71.6%Closing EV estimate+33.8%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate84.8%Closing EV estimate+24.7%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate92.8%Closing EV estimate+15.9%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate96.9%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationunder 4.5
    At recommendation2.05
    Closing odds2.00
    Odds down−0.05
    Model chance58.4%EV+19.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+64.2%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate71.6%Closing EV estimate+43.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate84.8%Closing EV estimate+27.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate92.8%Closing EV estimate+13.2%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate96.9%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
    At recommendation2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Unchanged
    Model chance58.5%EV+19.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds30.00Closing chance estimate3.1%Closing EV estimate−7.2%margin3.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds10.00Closing chance estimate13.6%Closing EV estimate+36.4%margin6.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate31.8%Closing EV estimate+59.2%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+58.9%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate71.6%Closing EV estimate+46.7%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.59Closing chance estimate84.8%Closing EV estimate+34.9%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate92.8%Closing EV estimate+23.4%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate96.9%Closing EV estimate+14.3%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate98.8%Closing EV estimate+7.7%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate99.6%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin6.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate99.9%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin4.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance71.6%EV+43.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:55

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate31.8%Closing EV estimate+75.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+58.9%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate71.6%Closing EV estimate+43.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate84.8%Closing EV estimate+27.2%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 4.5 at 2.05 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 21.5Actual: 18−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds1.83
Odds down−0.07
Model chance at recommendation
60.7%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.65
Expected value at recommendation
+15.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.65. Expected value at recommendation: +15.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 21.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds1.83
    Odds down−0.07
    Model chance60.7%EV+15.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 20.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate79.1%Closing EV estimate+26.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 21.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate+33.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 22.5odds2.12Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%Model unavailable
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 21.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance73.1%EV+38.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 18.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate88.7%Closing EV estimate+16.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 19.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate84.3%Closing EV estimate+22.3%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 20.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate79.1%Closing EV estimate+30.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 21.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate+38.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 22.5odds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailable
    • over 23.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate59.3%Closing EV estimate+60.0%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 21.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance73.1%EV+60.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 17.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate92.2%Closing EV estimate+19.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 18.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate88.7%Closing EV estimate+33.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 19.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate84.3%Closing EV estimate+43.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 20.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate79.1%Closing EV estimate+50.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 21.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate+60.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 22.5odds2.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailable
    • over 23.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate59.3%Closing EV estimate+95.6%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate52.0%Closing EV estimate+81.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 21.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance73.1%EV+60.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 17.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate92.2%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 18.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate88.7%Closing EV estimate+28.6%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 19.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate84.3%Closing EV estimate+34.9%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 20.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate79.1%Closing EV estimate+50.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 21.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate+60.7%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 22.5odds2.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.9%Model unavailable
    • over 23.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate59.3%Closing EV estimate+95.6%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate52.0%Closing EV estimate+71.5%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 08:11: over 21.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 04:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Ipswich Town total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds1.83
Odds down−0.07
Model chance at recommendation
55.1%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.82
Expected value at recommendation
+4.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +4.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds1.83
    Odds down−0.07
    Model chance55.1%EV+4.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 10.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate67.2%Closing EV estimate+23.0%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance67.2%EV+17.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate77.0%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate67.2%Closing EV estimate+17.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate+21.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance67.2%EV+31.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate+13.2%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate77.0%Closing EV estimate+23.2%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate67.2%Closing EV estimate+31.0%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate+38.4%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate45.6%Closing EV estimate+59.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance67.2%EV+27.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate77.0%Closing EV estimate+23.2%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate67.2%Closing EV estimate+27.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate+38.4%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 08:11: over 10.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 17:51. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · Fulham total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 7.5Actual: 7+0.90u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds2.00
Odds up+0.10
Model chance at recommendation
57.7%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.74
Expected value at recommendation
+9.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +9.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 7.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds2.00
    Odds up+0.10
    Model chance57.7%EV+9.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 7.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate58.0%Closing EV estimate+15.9%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate71.2%Closing EV estimate+17.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 7.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance58.0%EV-7.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 6.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate43.1%Closing EV estimate−9.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate58.0%Closing EV estimate−7.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate71.2%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 7.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance58.0%EV-4.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 6.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate43.1%Closing EV estimate−9.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate58.0%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate71.2%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 7.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance58.0%EV-4.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 6.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate43.1%Closing EV estimate−7.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate58.0%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate71.2%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:23: under 7.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Saves · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 5.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds2.15
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
52.4%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.91
Expected value at recommendation
+12.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +12.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
    At recommendation2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Unchanged
    Model chance52.4%EV+12.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate35.4%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate52.2%Closing EV estimate+12.1%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate80.0%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate88.6%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.2%EV+4.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:05

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate35.4%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate52.2%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 04:48: under 5.5 at 2.15 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 27.5Actual: 24−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds2.50
Odds up+0.30
Model chance at recommendation
51.3%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.96
Expected value at recommendation
+12.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +12.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • KambiAt recommendationover 27.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.92
    Odds down−0.08
    Model chance51.3%EV+2.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 23.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate77.6%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate72.0%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate65.7%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate59.2%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate52.5%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate39.3%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate33.2%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 27.5
    At recommendation2.20
    Closing odds2.50
    Odds up+0.30
    Model chance51.3%EV+12.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 21.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate87.0%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 22.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate82.7%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate77.6%Closing EV estimate+11.8%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate72.0%Closing EV estimate+15.1%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate65.7%Closing EV estimate+20.3%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds2.12Closing chance estimate59.2%Closing EV estimate+25.5%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate52.5%Closing EV estimate+31.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds2.87Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate+31.4%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate39.3%Closing EV estimate+33.6%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate33.2%Closing EV estimate+12.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 27.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.5%EV+12.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 23.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate77.6%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate72.0%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate65.7%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate59.2%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate52.5%Closing EV estimate+12.8%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate+14.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate39.3%Closing EV estimate+15.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 27.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.30
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.5%EV+20.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 22.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate82.7%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate77.6%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate72.0%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate65.7%Closing EV estimate+11.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate59.2%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate52.5%Closing EV estimate+20.7%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate+25.9%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 27.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.5%EV+15.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 23.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate77.6%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate72.0%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate65.7%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate59.2%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate52.5%Closing EV estimate+15.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate+16.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate39.3%Closing EV estimate+19.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 27.5 at 2.20 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Ipswich Town total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 12.5Actual: 11−1.00u on one unit
BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.82
Closing odds1.80
Odds down−0.02
Model chance at recommendation
56.4%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.78
Expected value at recommendation
+2.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +2.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 12.5
    At recommendation1.82
    Closing odds1.80
    Odds down−0.02
    Model chance56.4%EV+2.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 12.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−43.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance31.3%EV-43.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:25

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−43.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance31.3%EV-46.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate41.7%Closing EV estimate−39.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−46.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate22.5%Closing EV estimate−53.9%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate15.4%Closing EV estimate−60.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance31.3%EV-46.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 10.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate53.1%Closing EV estimate−33.6%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate41.7%Closing EV estimate−39.5%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−46.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate22.5%Closing EV estimate−55.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate15.4%Closing EV estimate−59.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance31.3%EV-43.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate41.7%Closing EV estimate−34.9%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−43.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.12Closing chance estimate22.5%Closing EV estimate−52.3%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate15.4%Closing EV estimate−63.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance31.3%EV-48.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate41.7%Closing EV estimate−39.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−48.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate22.5%Closing EV estimate−55.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance31.3%EV-37.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate64.6%Closing EV estimate−16.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate53.1%Closing EV estimate−23.0%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate41.7%Closing EV estimate−29.0%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−37.3%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate22.5%Closing EV estimate−46.0%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate15.4%Closing EV estimate−55.2%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds2.72Closing chance estimate10.1%Closing EV estimate−72.4%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate6.4%Closing EV estimate−78.9%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 07:17: over 12.5 at 1.82 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 07:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Ipswich Town total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 12.5Actual: 11+0.91u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds1.91
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
69.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.45
Expected value at recommendation
+32.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 69.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.45. Expected value at recommendation: +32.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 12.5
    At recommendation1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Unchanged
    Model chance69.2%EV+32.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:25

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate68.7%Closing EV estimate+31.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiAt recommendationunder 12.5
    At recommendation1.87
    Closing odds1.80
    Odds down−0.07
    Model chance69.2%EV+29.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+22.3%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate68.7%Closing EV estimate+23.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate77.5%Closing EV estimate+20.9%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate84.6%Closing EV estimate+22.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationunder 12.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.71
    Odds down−0.29
    Model chance69.2%EV+38.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 9.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate35.4%Closing EV estimate+13.2%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate+14.9%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+17.7%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.71Closing chance estimate68.7%Closing EV estimate+17.4%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate77.5%Closing EV estimate+14.7%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate84.6%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate+22.2%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 16.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate93.6%Closing EV estimate+16.1%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance68.7%EV+23.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate68.7%Closing EV estimate+23.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance68.7%EV+30.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+36.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate68.7%Closing EV estimate+30.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate77.5%Closing EV estimate+20.1%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate84.6%Closing EV estimate+15.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance68.7%EV+30.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 10.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate+45.3%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+34.0%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate68.7%Closing EV estimate+30.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate77.5%Closing EV estimate+24.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate84.6%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance68.7%EV+30.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+36.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate68.7%Closing EV estimate+30.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate77.5%Closing EV estimate+24.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:23: under 12.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Fulham total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 13.5Actual: 13−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds1.70
Odds down−0.15
Model chance at recommendation
60.0%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.67
Expected value at recommendation
+11.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +11.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 13.5
    At recommendation1.85
    Closing odds1.70
    Odds down−0.15
    Model chance60.0%EV+11.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 12.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate85.4%Closing EV estimate+36.6%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate78.9%Closing EV estimate+34.2%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds1.97Closing chance estimate71.3%Closing EV estimate+40.5%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate62.8%Closing EV estimate+44.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 13.5
    At recommendation1.88
    Closing odds1.95
    Odds up+0.07
    Model chance60.0%EV+12.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 10.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate94.2%Closing EV estimate+20.6%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate90.4%Closing EV estimate+30.2%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds1.66Closing chance estimate85.4%Closing EV estimate+41.7%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate78.9%Closing EV estimate+53.9%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.32Closing chance estimate71.3%Closing EV estimate+65.4%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate62.8%Closing EV estimate+72.7%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate53.9%Closing EV estimate+80.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 13.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance78.9%EV+34.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate78.9%Closing EV estimate+34.2%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 13.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance78.9%EV+49.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate90.4%Closing EV estimate+23.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate85.4%Closing EV estimate+32.3%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate78.9%Closing EV estimate+49.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate71.3%Closing EV estimate+64.0%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 13.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance78.9%EV+53.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 10.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate94.2%Closing EV estimate+14.9%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate90.4%Closing EV estimate+26.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate85.4%Closing EV estimate+40.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate78.9%Closing EV estimate+53.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate71.3%Closing EV estimate+74.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 13.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance78.9%EV+53.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate90.4%Closing EV estimate+26.6%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate85.4%Closing EV estimate+36.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate78.9%Closing EV estimate+53.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:36: over 13.5 at 1.85 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 14:51. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 8.5Actual: 10−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds1.92
Odds down−0.10
Model chance at recommendation
51.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.96
Expected value at recommendation
+3.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +3.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • KambiAt recommendationunder 8.5
    At recommendation1.98
    Closing odds2.04
    Odds up+0.06
    Model chance51.2%EV+1.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 6.5odds3.95Closing chance estimate26.5%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate39.5%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds2.04Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.62Closing chance estimate65.9%Closing EV estimate+6.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate76.8%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 8.5
    At recommendation2.02
    Closing odds1.92
    Odds down−0.10
    Model chance51.2%EV+3.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5odds8.30Closing chance estimate7.9%Closing EV estimate−34.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds5.25Closing chance estimate15.7%Closing EV estimate−17.6%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate26.5%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds2.52Closing chance estimate39.5%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate65.9%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate76.8%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate91.0%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.91
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.2%EV+1.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:45

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.2%EV-9.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 6.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate26.5%Closing EV estimate−21.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate39.5%Closing EV estimate−15.1%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate−9.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate65.9%Closing EV estimate−7.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.2%EV-12.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 6.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate26.5%Closing EV estimate−21.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate39.5%Closing EV estimate−17.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate−12.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate65.9%Closing EV estimate−7.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate76.8%Closing EV estimate−7.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.2%EV-9.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 5.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate15.7%Closing EV estimate−34.1%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate26.5%Closing EV estimate−24.4%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate39.5%Closing EV estimate−15.1%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate−9.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate65.9%Closing EV estimate−8.3%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate76.8%Closing EV estimate−7.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate−7.2%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 8.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 00:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Ipswich Town total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit
BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.65
Closing odds2.38
Odds down−0.27
Model chance at recommendation
56.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.77
Expected value at recommendation
+50.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +50.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
    At recommendation2.65
    Closing odds2.38
    Odds down−0.27
    Model chance56.8%EV+50.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds2.38Closing chance estimate58.2%Closing EV estimate+38.5%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance58.2%EV+13.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate58.2%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate76.3%Closing EV estimate+9.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance58.2%EV+13.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate58.2%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate76.3%Closing EV estimate+6.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.38
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance58.2%EV+38.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate+44.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.38Closing chance estimate58.2%Closing EV estimate+38.5%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.64Closing chance estimate76.3%Closing EV estimate+25.2%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate88.3%Closing EV estimate+13.9%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate94.9%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance58.2%EV+13.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate58.2%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate76.3%Closing EV estimate+6.8%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.12
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance58.2%EV+23.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds15.00Closing chance estimate3.8%Closing EV estimate−43.5%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds6.30Closing chance estimate16.1%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate+21.2%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.12Closing chance estimate58.2%Closing EV estimate+23.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate76.3%Closing EV estimate+16.0%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate88.3%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate94.9%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate98.0%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:23: under 3.5 at 2.65 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Fulham total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 5+0.90u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds1.88
Odds down−0.02
Model chance at recommendation
60.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.67
Expected value at recommendation
+14.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +14.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365At recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation1.91
    Closing odds2.20
    Odds up+0.29
    Model chance60.2%EV+15.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:45

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate58.4%Closing EV estimate+28.5%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds1.88
    Odds down−0.02
    Model chance60.2%EV+14.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:38

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate96.3%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate88.6%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.88Closing chance estimate58.4%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.62Closing chance estimate41.0%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.85Closing chance estimate26.1%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds5.75Closing chance estimate15.1%Closing EV estimate−13.2%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance58.4%EV+11.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate58.4%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate41.0%Closing EV estimate+12.8%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance58.4%EV+11.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate58.4%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate41.0%Closing EV estimate+12.8%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.76
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance58.4%EV+2.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate88.6%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.76Closing chance estimate58.4%Closing EV estimate+2.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate41.0%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate26.1%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance58.4%EV+8.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate58.4%Closing EV estimate+8.0%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate41.0%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:23: over 4.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return−17.5%ROI · 14 units staked
Profit−2.45units
W / L6 / 8picks
Avg odds2.00settled picks
Recorded picks141 matches

Around this match

CompetitionPremier LeagueHome teamIpswich TownAway teamFulhamRefereeLewis Smith

Previous meetings

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