Inter vs Parma 3-0 — Serie A

Serie ASerie A 26/27

Inter

3–0

HT 3–0

Parma

Sat 10 Oct·10:00·Matchday 6·San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan·Inter won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

3Corners1
19Shots9
6Shots on target2
13Fouls9
9Throw-ins18
6Offsides2
8Goal kicks10
2Saves4
19Tackles18
14Interceptions10
5Dribbles5

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

9 Free4 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match

10:00IntervParmaSerie A0 won / 12 lost · −12.00u · 13 picks

Cards · Parma total

Open match →FreeAwaiting result

under 1.51.92 at Kambi

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +13.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.51.92Model chance59.0%EV+13.2%
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.51.90Model chance59.0%EV+12.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 00:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:35
- under 2odds1.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.6%Model unavailableCaptured 9 Oct, 00:05
- under 2.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:35
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 1.52.05Model chance59.0%EV+20.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:42
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds4.90Closing chance estimate24.2%Closing EV estimate+18.8%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:42
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate+20.1%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:42
- under 2.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:42
BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.51.65Model chance58.6%EV-3.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- under 2odds1.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.51.70Model chance58.6%EV-0.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:34
- under 2.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 13:19: under 1.5 at 1.92 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 06:48. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 9.52.00 at Bet365−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 62.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.61. Expected value at recommendation: +25.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.52.00Model chance62.5%EV+25.0%
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.51.60Model chance56.6%EV-9.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate−9.2%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:31
- over 7.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate78.1%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:27
- over 8.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate67.9%Closing EV estimate−8.4%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:32
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate56.6%Closing EV estimate−9.4%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:32
- over 10.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate−13.9%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:34
- over 11.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate34.7%Closing EV estimate−16.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:32
- over 12.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate25.5%Closing EV estimate−24.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
- over 13.5odds4.05Closing chance estimate18.0%Closing EV estimate−27.0%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
- over 14.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate12.2%Closing EV estimate−32.7%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.51.55Model chance56.6%EV-12.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate92.6%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 10:02
- over 6.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate−9.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:04
- over 7.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate78.1%Closing EV estimate−7.9%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:04
- over 8.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate67.9%Closing EV estimate−9.1%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:36
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimate56.6%Closing EV estimate−12.2%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:36
- over 10.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate−13.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:34
- over 11.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate34.7%Closing EV estimate−16.6%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:34
- over 12.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate25.5%Closing EV estimate−22.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:04
- over 13.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate18.0%Closing EV estimate−18.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:04
- over 14.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate12.2%Closing EV estimate−26.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:04
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.51.60Model chance56.6%EV-9.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:06
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate78.1%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:30
- over 8.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate67.9%Closing EV estimate−8.4%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:34
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate56.6%Closing EV estimate−9.4%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:34
- over 10.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate−11.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:06
- over 11.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate34.7%Closing EV estimate−16.6%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:34
- over 12.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate25.5%Closing EV estimate−22.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:34
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.51.57Model chance56.6%EV-11.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.57Closing chance estimate56.6%Closing EV estimate−11.0%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:35
- over 10.5odds1.91Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate−13.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:35
- over 11.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate34.7%Closing EV estimate−16.6%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:35
- over 12.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate25.5%Closing EV estimate−18.2%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:35
SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.51.67Model chance56.6%EV-5.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:39
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate99.6%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin1.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:32
- over 3.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate98.6%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:39
- over 4.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate96.5%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:39
- over 5.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate92.6%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:39
- over 6.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:39
- over 7.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate78.1%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:39
- over 8.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate67.9%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:39
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.67Closing chance estimate56.6%Closing EV estimate−5.4%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:39
- over 10.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:39
- over 11.5odds2.52Closing chance estimate34.7%Closing EV estimate−12.4%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:39
- over 12.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate25.5%Closing EV estimate−18.2%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:39
- over 13.5odds4.15Closing chance estimate18.0%Closing EV estimate−25.2%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:39
- over 14.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate12.2%Closing EV estimate−32.7%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:39
- over 15.5odds7.30Closing chance estimate8.0%Closing EV estimate−41.6%margin7.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:39
- over 16.5odds9.70Closing chance estimate5.0%Closing EV estimate−51.1%margin6.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:39
- over 17.5odds14.00Closing chance estimate3.1%Closing EV estimate−57.1%margin5.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:39
- over 18.5odds19.00Closing chance estimate1.8%Closing EV estimate−65.7%margin4.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:39

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 9.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 04:34. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Inter total

Open match →FreeLost

over 7.52.10 at Bet365−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.85. Expected value at recommendation: +13.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 7.52.10Model chance54.2%EV+13.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:45
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate49.3%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:45
BetliveAt recommendationover 7.51.85Model chance54.2%EV+0.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate−10.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:31
- over 6.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate62.8%Closing EV estimate−13.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
- over 7.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate49.3%Closing EV estimate−16.2%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:31
- over 8.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate36.4%Closing EV estimate−21.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
- over 9.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate25.4%Closing EV estimate−26.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
SuperbetAt recommendationover 7.52.12Model chance54.2%EV+14.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate99.4%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin3.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:42
- over 2.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate97.6%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin5.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:32
- over 3.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate93.4%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:39
- over 4.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate86.1%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 5.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 6.5odds1.61Closing chance estimate62.8%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin7.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 7.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate49.3%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:39
- over 8.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate36.4%Closing EV estimate−5.3%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 9.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate25.4%Closing EV estimate−12.2%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:39
- over 10.5odds4.70Closing chance estimate16.8%Closing EV estimate−21.1%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 11.5odds6.50Closing chance estimate10.5%Closing EV estimate−31.7%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 12.5odds9.00Closing chance estimate6.3%Closing EV estimate−43.7%margin6.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
CrocobetClosing estimateover 7.51.75Model chance49.3%EV-13.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate−9.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:32
- over 6.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate62.8%Closing EV estimate−12.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:32
- over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate49.3%Closing EV estimate−13.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:32
- over 8.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate36.4%Closing EV estimate−19.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:32
- over 9.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate25.4%Closing EV estimate−25.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:32
LiderbetClosing estimateover 7.51.70Model chance49.3%EV-16.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate−12.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:34
- over 6.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate62.8%Closing EV estimate−14.5%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:34
- over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate49.3%Closing EV estimate−16.2%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:37
- over 8.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate36.4%Closing EV estimate−19.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:34
- over 9.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate25.4%Closing EV estimate−23.7%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:23: over 7.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Parma total

Open match →FreeLost

over 2.52.25 at Bet365−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 62.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.60. Expected value at recommendation: +40.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 2.52.25Model chance62.6%EV+40.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:45
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.91Closing chance estimate49.1%Closing EV estimate−6.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:45
BetliveClosing estimateover 2.51.80Model chance49.1%EV-11.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate−6.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate49.1%Closing EV estimate−11.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:31
- over 3.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate27.8%Closing EV estimate−20.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:31
- over 4.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate13.5%Closing EV estimate−32.3%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
- over 5.5odds8.30Closing chance estimate5.8%Closing EV estimate−51.9%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:01
CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.51.85Model chance49.1%EV-9.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate−6.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:04
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate49.1%Closing EV estimate−9.2%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:04
- over 3.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate27.8%Closing EV estimate−18.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:04
- over 4.5odds5.45Closing chance estimate13.5%Closing EV estimate−26.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:04
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.51.80Model chance49.1%EV-11.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate−8.9%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:04
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate49.1%Closing EV estimate−11.7%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:04
- over 3.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate27.8%Closing EV estimate−19.5%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:34
- over 4.5odds5.40Closing chance estimate13.5%Closing EV estimate−26.8%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:34
- over 5.5odds10.00Closing chance estimate5.8%Closing EV estimate−42.0%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:04
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 2.51.75Model chance49.1%EV-14.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate49.1%Closing EV estimate−14.1%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:35
- over 3.5odds2.88Closing chance estimate27.8%Closing EV estimate−20.2%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:35
- over 4.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate13.5%Closing EV estimate−25.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:35
- over 5.5odds9.00Closing chance estimate5.8%Closing EV estimate−47.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:35
SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.51.80Model chance49.1%EV-11.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate92.4%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin7.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 1.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate49.1%Closing EV estimate−11.7%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 3.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate27.8%Closing EV estimate−25.0%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 4.5odds4.25Closing chance estimate13.5%Closing EV estimate−42.4%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 5.5odds6.90Closing chance estimate5.8%Closing EV estimate−60.0%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 6.5odds11.00Closing chance estimate2.2%Closing EV estimate−75.7%margin6.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:39
- over 7.5odds19.00Closing chance estimate0.8%Closing EV estimate−85.5%margin4.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:39
- over 8.5odds33.00Closing chance estimate0.2%Closing EV estimate−92.1%margin2.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 2.5 at 2.25 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 23:51. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →VIPLost

under 20.52.05 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 82.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.22. Expected value at recommendation: +68.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveClosing estimateunder 20.52.15Model chance80.6%EV+73.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 19odds3.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- under 19.5odds2.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- under 20odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- under 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate80.6%Closing EV estimate+73.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- under 21odds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- under 21.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate86.0%Closing EV estimate+63.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- under 22odds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- under 22.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate+44.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- under 23odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- under 23.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate93.4%Closing EV estimate+35.4%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- under 24odds1.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- under 24.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate95.7%Closing EV estimate+25.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 20.52.20Model chance82.1%EV+80.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 18.5odds3.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
- under 19.5odds2.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
- under 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate80.6%Closing EV estimate+77.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
- under 21.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate86.0%Closing EV estimate+63.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
- under 22.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate+48.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
- under 23.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate93.4%Closing EV estimate+35.4%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
- under 24.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate95.7%Closing EV estimate+24.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 20.52.20Model chance82.1%EV+80.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 18.5odds3.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:37
- under 19.5odds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.7%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:37
- under 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate80.6%Closing EV estimate+77.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:37
- under 21.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate86.0%Closing EV estimate+63.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:37
- under 22.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate+44.4%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:37
- under 23.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate93.4%Closing EV estimate+35.4%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:37
- under 24.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate95.7%Closing EV estimate+25.3%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:37
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 20.52.05Model chance82.1%EV+68.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 20.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate80.6%Closing EV estimate+69.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- under 21.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate86.0%Closing EV estimate+54.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- under 22.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate+41.7%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 01:51: under 20.5 at 2.05 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · Inter total

Open match →FreeLost

under 9.51.95 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 62.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.61. Expected value at recommendation: +21.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 9.51.95Model chance62.5%EV+21.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 9.5odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.6%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- under 10.5odds1.71Closing chance estimate80.0%Closing EV estimate+36.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
BetliveClosing estimateunder 9.52.55Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- under 10odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- under 10.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate80.0%Closing EV estimate+60.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- under 11odds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- under 11.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate87.5%Closing EV estimate+44.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- under 12odds1.48Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- under 12.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate92.7%Closing EV estimate+29.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.52.30Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 8.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate57.5%Closing EV estimate+89.7%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
- under 10.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate80.0%Closing EV estimate+52.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
- under 11.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate87.5%Closing EV estimate+35.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
- under 12.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate92.7%Closing EV estimate+23.3%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.52.35Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:37
- under 10.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate80.0%Closing EV estimate+60.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:01
- under 11.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate87.5%Closing EV estimate+44.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:01
- under 12.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate92.7%Closing EV estimate+29.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:01

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: under 9.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Saves · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 7.52.40 at Liderbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +24.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 7.52.40Model chance52.0%EV+24.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 05:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate79.5%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 05:35
- over 6.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate+21.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 05:35
- over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.40Closing chance estimate53.8%Closing EV estimate+29.1%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 05:35
CrocobetClosing estimateover 7.51.90Model chance53.8%EV+2.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:06
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:06
- over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate53.8%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:06
- over 8.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate40.4%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:06
KambiClosing estimateover 7.52.10Model chance53.8%EV+13.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate79.5%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:04
- over 6.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate+11.2%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:04
- over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate53.8%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:04
- over 8.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate40.4%Closing EV estimate+23.2%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:04

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 05:42: over 7.5 at 2.40 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPLost

over 31.52.20 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 67.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.50. Expected value at recommendation: +47.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 31.52.55Model chance69.3%EV+76.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 25.5odds1.27Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 26odds1.29Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 26.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate88.2%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 27odds1.42Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 27.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate84.7%Closing EV estimate+27.1%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 28odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 28.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+37.2%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 29odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 29.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate76.2%Closing EV estimate+44.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 30odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 30.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate71.2%Closing EV estimate+56.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 31odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 31.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 32odds2.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 32.5odds3.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
CrocobetClosing estimateover 31.52.65Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 25.5odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
- over 26.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate88.2%Closing EV estimate+19.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
- over 27.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate84.7%Closing EV estimate+27.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
- over 28.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+33.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
- over 29.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate76.2%Closing EV estimate+44.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
- over 30.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate71.2%Closing EV estimate+56.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
- over 31.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
KambiClosing estimateover 31.52.20Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 27.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate84.7%Closing EV estimate+20.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:04
- over 28.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+25.9%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:04
- over 29.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate76.2%Closing EV estimate+31.8%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:04
- over 30.5odds1.94Closing chance estimate71.2%Closing EV estimate+38.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:04
- over 31.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 09:04
- over 32.5odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.4%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 09:04
- over 33.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+58.2%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:04
LiderbetClosing estimateover 31.52.55Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 25.5odds1.27Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:37
- over 26.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate88.2%Closing EV estimate+22.6%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:37
- over 27.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate84.7%Closing EV estimate+27.1%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:37
- over 28.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+37.2%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:37
- over 29.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate76.2%Closing EV estimate+44.8%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:37
- over 30.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate71.2%Closing EV estimate+56.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:37
- over 31.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.7%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:37
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 31.52.20Model chance67.0%EV+47.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 25.5odds1.23Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 26.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate88.2%Closing EV estimate+17.3%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 27.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate84.7%Closing EV estimate+26.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 28.5odds1.64Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+32.4%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 29.5odds1.87Closing chance estimate76.2%Closing EV estimate+42.5%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 30.5odds2.12Closing chance estimate71.2%Closing EV estimate+51.0%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 31.5odds2.42Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.8%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 32.5odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 33.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+85.4%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 31.5 at 2.20 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 10:11. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Inter total

Open match →FreeLost

over 23.52.17 at Kambi−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 70.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.43. Expected value at recommendation: +52.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 23.52.75Model chance75.0%EV+106.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 18.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate93.1%Closing EV estimate+23.8%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 19odds1.38Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 19.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate90.1%Closing EV estimate+33.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 20odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 20.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+46.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 21odds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 21.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate81.9%Closing EV estimate+59.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 22odds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 22.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate76.7%Closing EV estimate+76.3%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 23odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 23.52.17Model chance70.2%EV+52.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 20.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+33.8%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:41
- over 21.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate81.9%Closing EV estimate+49.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:04
- over 22.5odds2.06Closing chance estimate76.7%Closing EV estimate+57.9%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:04
- over 23.5odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 09:04
SuperbetClosing estimateover 23.52.60Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 18.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate93.1%Closing EV estimate+27.5%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 19.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate90.1%Closing EV estimate+37.8%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 20.5odds1.71Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+47.7%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 21.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate81.9%Closing EV estimate+59.6%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 22.5odds2.22Closing chance estimate76.7%Closing EV estimate+70.2%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 24.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate+90.2%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:36: over 23.5 at 2.17 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 17:58. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Parma total

Open match →VIPLost

under 7.52.00 at Bet365−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +6.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 7.52.00Model chance53.2%EV+6.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:15
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 7.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate50.6%Closing EV estimate−8.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:15
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 7.51.97Model chance53.2%EV+4.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate13.2%Closing EV estimate−32.8%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- under 5.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate23.7%Closing EV estimate−17.2%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- under 6.5odds2.62Closing chance estimate36.7%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- under 7.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate50.6%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- under 8.5odds1.64Closing chance estimate63.9%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- under 9.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate75.2%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- under 10.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate84.0%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
BetliveClosing estimateunder 7.52.00Model chance50.6%EV+1.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 6.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate36.7%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- under 7odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate50.6%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- under 8odds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- under 8.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate63.9%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- under 9odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- under 9.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate75.2%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 7.52.10Model chance50.6%EV+6.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate50.6%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
- under 8.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate63.9%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
- under 9.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate75.2%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
KambiClosing estimateunder 7.52.00Model chance50.6%EV+1.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate50.6%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:04
- under 8.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate63.9%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:04
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 7.52.05Model chance50.6%EV+3.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate50.6%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:37
- under 8.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate63.9%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:37
- under 9.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate75.2%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:37

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:23: under 7.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 11:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 11.52.47 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +30.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 11.52.47Model chance52.7%EV+30.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate98.0%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 6.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate95.4%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 7.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate91.1%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 8.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate84.7%Closing EV estimate+15.2%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 9.5odds1.63Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate+24.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 10.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate+32.9%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 11.5odds2.57Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+40.2%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 12.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate43.2%Closing EV estimate+47.0%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 13.5odds4.55Closing chance estimate32.7%Closing EV estimate+48.9%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 14.5odds6.10Closing chance estimate23.6%Closing EV estimate+44.2%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
BetliveClosing estimateover 11.52.40Model chance54.5%EV+30.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate84.7%Closing EV estimate+11.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 9odds1.39Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 9.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate+18.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 10odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 10.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate+25.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 11odds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.40Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+30.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 12odds2.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 12.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate43.2%Closing EV estimate+34.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
CrocobetClosing estimateover 11.52.30Model chance54.5%EV+25.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate84.7%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
- over 9.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate+18.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
- over 10.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate+25.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+25.4%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
- over 12.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate43.2%Closing EV estimate+42.6%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.52.30Model chance54.5%EV+25.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate91.1%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:04
- over 8.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate84.7%Closing EV estimate+11.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:04
- over 9.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:04
- over 10.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate+18.4%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:04
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+25.4%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:04
- over 12.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate43.2%Closing EV estimate+31.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:04
- over 13.5odds4.15Closing chance estimate32.7%Closing EV estimate+35.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:04

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 11.5 at 2.47 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 15:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Inter total

Open match →FreeLost

over 8.52.35 at Betlive−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.69. Expected value at recommendation: +39.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 8.52.35Model chance59.4%EV+39.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate+15.1%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 7odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 7.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate67.8%Closing EV estimate+22.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 8odds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimate54.7%Closing EV estimate+28.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
CrocobetAt recommendationover 8.52.30Model chance59.4%EV+36.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate+15.1%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
- over 7.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate67.8%Closing EV estimate+22.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate54.7%Closing EV estimate+25.8%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
LiderbetAt recommendationover 8.52.30Model chance59.4%EV+36.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate+15.1%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:04
- over 7.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate67.8%Closing EV estimate+22.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:04
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate54.7%Closing EV estimate+25.8%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:04
KambiClosing estimateover 8.52.48Model chance54.7%EV+35.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate88.4%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:04
- over 6.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate+16.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:04
- over 7.5odds1.87Closing chance estimate67.8%Closing EV estimate+26.7%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:04
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.48Closing chance estimate54.7%Closing EV estimate+35.7%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:04
- over 9.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate41.6%Closing EV estimate+41.6%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:04
- over 10.5odds4.70Closing chance estimate29.8%Closing EV estimate+40.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:04
SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.52.35Model chance54.7%EV+28.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate94.5%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 5.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate88.4%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 6.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate+15.1%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 7.5odds1.82Closing chance estimate67.8%Closing EV estimate+23.3%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimate54.7%Closing EV estimate+28.6%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 9.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate41.6%Closing EV estimate+29.1%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 10.5odds4.25Closing chance estimate29.8%Closing EV estimate+26.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 03:06: over 8.5 at 2.35 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Parma total

Open match →VIPLost

over 2.51.91 at Bet365−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.81. Expected value at recommendation: +6.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 2.51.91Model chance55.5%EV+6.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:25
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate+11.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:25
KambiAt recommendationover 2.51.81Model chance55.5%EV+0.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate80.6%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:04
- over 2.5odds1.77Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:04
- over 3.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate36.3%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:04
SuperbetAt recommendationover 2.52.02Model chance55.5%EV+12.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate95.2%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 1.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate80.6%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 2.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate+20.1%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 3.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate36.3%Closing EV estimate+17.8%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 4.5odds5.40Closing chance estimate19.3%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
- over 5.5odds8.90Closing chance estimate8.9%Closing EV estimate−20.9%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:03
BetliveClosing estimateover 2.51.75Model chance58.6%EV+2.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2odds1.36Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 3odds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
- over 3.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate36.3%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:01
CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.51.70Model chance58.6%EV-0.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate80.6%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
- over 3.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate36.3%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:34
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.51.70Model chance58.6%EV-0.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate80.6%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:04
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:04
- over 3.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate36.3%Closing EV estimate−5.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:04

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:23: over 2.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 14:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−100.0%ROI · 12 units staked

Profit−12.00units

W / L0 / 12picks

Avg odds2.15settled picks

Recorded picks131 awaiting result

Around this match

CompetitionSerie A Home teamInter Away teamParma RefereeBonacina, Kevin

Matches

Cards · Parma total

Corners · match total

Corners · Inter total

Corners · Parma total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · Inter total

Saves · match total

Shots · match total

Shots · Inter total

Shots · Parma total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · Inter total

Shots on target · Parma total

This match

Around this match

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