Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys 1-0 — Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Liga Profesional de FútbolPrimera LPF 2026

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

1–0

HT 0–0

Newell's Old Boys

Mon 12 Oct·15:30·Matchday 12·Víctor Legrotaglie·Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

1Corners7
2Cards2
9Shots15
2Shots on target1
15Fouls17
12Throw-ins25
0Offsides9
9Goal kicks7
1Saves1
10Tackles11
10Interceptions11
6Dribbles5

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Board

Matches

1 match

15:30Gimnasia y Esgrima MendozavNewell's Old BoysLiga Profesional de Fútbol3 won / 2 lost · +1.01u · 5 picks

Cards · Newell's Old Boys total

Open match →VIPWon

under 2.51.90 at Superbet+0.90u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +1.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.51.90Model chance53.3%EV+1.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate4.5%Closing EV estimate−95.0%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 23:02
- under 2.5odds2.12Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 12:32
BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.52.10Model chance48.5%EV+1.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 05:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 05:01
- under 3odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.4%Model unavailableCaptured 12 Oct, 05:01
- under 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate73.9%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 05:01
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.52.10Model chance48.5%EV+1.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 03:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate21.2%Closing EV estimate−15.0%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 03:01
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 03:01
- under 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate73.9%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 03:01
KambiClosing estimateunder 2.51.78Model chance48.5%EV-13.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 15:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.78Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate−13.6%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:02
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.52.20Model chance48.5%EV+6.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 08:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate21.2%Closing EV estimate−29.9%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 08:01
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate+6.8%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 06:31
- under 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate73.9%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 06:31
- under 4.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate89.4%Closing EV estimate+2.8%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 06:31

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 06:06: under 2.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 05:37. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza total

Open match →FreeWon

under 4.52.20 at BetMGM UK+1.20u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +10.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.52.20Model chance50.3%EV+10.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 15:20
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5odds2.18Closing chance estimate45.5%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:20
BetliveAt recommendationunder 4.52.10Model chance50.3%EV+5.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 01:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 00:30
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate45.5%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 01:01
- under 5.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate59.1%Closing EV estimate−8.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 01:01
- under 6.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate−11.2%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 01:01
- under 7.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate−11.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 00:30
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.52.00Model chance45.5%EV-9.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 03:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate45.5%Closing EV estimate−9.1%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 03:01
- under 5.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate59.1%Closing EV estimate−8.4%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 03:01
- under 6.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate−11.2%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 03:01
KambiClosing estimateunder 4.52.23Model chance45.5%EV+1.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 15:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:02
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.23Closing chance estimate45.5%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:02
- under 5.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate59.1%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:02
- under 6.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:22
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.52.10Model chance45.5%EV-4.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 08:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 08:01
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate45.5%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 08:01
- under 5.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate59.1%Closing EV estimate−11.4%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 08:01
- under 6.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate−13.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 08:01
- under 7.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate−13.5%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 08:01
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.52.42Model chance45.5%EV+10.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 15:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds6.20Closing chance estimate18.2%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:02
- under 3.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate+14.4%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:02
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.42Closing chance estimate45.5%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:02
- under 5.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate59.1%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:02
- under 6.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:02
- under 7.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:02
- under 8.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate88.1%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:02

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 00:06: under 4.5 at 2.20 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Newell's Old Boys total

Open match →FreeWon

over 3.51.91 at Bet365+0.91u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +9.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.51.91Model chance57.1%EV+9.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate56.6%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:04
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 3.51.90Model chance56.6%EV+7.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 15:20
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate56.6%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:20
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.51.70Model chance56.6%EV-3.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 01:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate87.4%Closing EV estimate−9.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 00:30
- over 2.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate−8.7%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 01:01
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate56.6%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 01:01
- over 4.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate40.8%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 01:01
- over 5.5odds4.05Closing chance estimate27.4%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 00:30
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.51.65Model chance56.6%EV-6.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 03:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate−6.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 03:01
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate56.6%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 03:01
- over 4.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate40.8%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 03:01
KambiClosing estimateover 3.51.95Model chance56.6%EV+10.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 15:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:22
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate56.6%Closing EV estimate+10.4%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:02
- over 4.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate40.8%Closing EV estimate+14.3%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:02
- over 5.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate27.4%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:02
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.51.65Model chance56.6%EV-6.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 08:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate87.4%Closing EV estimate−11.7%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 08:01
- over 2.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate−10.1%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 08:01
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate56.6%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 08:01
- over 4.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate40.8%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin13.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 08:01
- over 5.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate27.4%Closing EV estimate+15.3%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 08:01
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.51.80Model chance56.6%EV+1.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 15:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate96.6%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin6.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:02
- over 1.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate87.4%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:02
- over 2.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:02
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate56.6%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:02
- over 4.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate40.8%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:02
- over 5.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate27.4%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:02
- over 6.5odds5.65Closing chance estimate17.2%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:02

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: over 3.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →FreeLost

under 24.51.88 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 61.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.63. Expected value at recommendation: +15.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 24.51.88Model chance61.5%EV+15.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 04:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.88Closing chance estimate58.2%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 04:02
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 24.51.75Model chance58.2%EV+1.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 04:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 23.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate50.4%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 04:01
- under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate58.2%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 04:01
- under 25.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate65.7%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 04:01

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 00:06: under 24.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 02:41. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Newell's Old Boys total

Open match →FreeLost

under 12.51.90 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +10.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 12.51.90Model chance58.1%EV+10.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 05:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 12.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate54.6%Closing EV estimate+4.9%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 05:32
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 12.51.85Model chance54.6%EV+1.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 04:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate54.6%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 04:01
- under 13.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate64.9%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 04:01

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 00:06: under 12.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 06:02. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+20.2%ROI · 5 units staked

Profit+1.01units

W / L3 / 2picks

Avg odds1.96settled picks

Recorded picks51 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol Home teamGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza Away teamNewell's Old Boys RefereeJuan Cruz Robledo

Previous meetings

Sat 21 MarNewell's Old Boys 1-0 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza