FC Botoșani vs UTA Arad 2-0 — Romanian Super Liga

Romanian Super LigaSuperliga 26/27

FC Botoșani

2–0

HT 2–0

UTA Arad

Sat 10 Oct·08:15·Matchday 11·Stadionul Municipal·FC Botoșani won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

7Corners9
2Cards4
19Shots12
9Shots on target3
9Fouls20
28Throw-ins18
2Offsides0
12Goal kicks7
3Saves6
21Tackles24
6Interceptions7
8Dribbles7

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

08:15FC BotoșanivUTA AradRomanian Super Liga5 won / 2 lost · +3.05u · 7 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 16+0.95u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.959 Oct, 00:11

Closing odds1.959 Oct, 00:09

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 52.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.92
Expected value at recommendation: +1.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +1.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds1.95
Unchanged
Model chance52.2%EV+1.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 00:09
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate83.4%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:22
- over 7.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:22
- over 8.5odds1.58Closing chance estimate62.3%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:22
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate50.3%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:09
- over 10.5odds2.48Closing chance estimate38.6%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:09
- over 11.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate28.3%Closing EV estimate−8.0%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:09
- over 12.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate19.8%Closing EV estimate−14.9%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:22
Bet365Closing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.3%EV-4.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:05
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate50.3%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin5.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:05
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.3%EV-12.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate83.4%Closing EV estimate−9.1%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 7.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate−7.1%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:18
- over 8.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate62.3%Closing EV estimate−9.0%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:18
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate50.3%Closing EV estimate−12.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:18
- over 10.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate38.6%Closing EV estimate−16.9%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:18
- over 11.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate28.3%Closing EV estimate−22.2%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:18
- over 12.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate19.8%Closing EV estimate−30.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 13.5odds4.65Closing chance estimate13.2%Closing EV estimate−38.6%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 14.5odds6.40Closing chance estimate8.4%Closing EV estimate−46.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.3%EV-12.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:20
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate−7.1%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:20
- over 8.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate62.3%Closing EV estimate−9.7%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:20
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate50.3%Closing EV estimate−12.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:20
- over 10.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate38.6%Closing EV estimate−16.9%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:20
- over 11.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate28.3%Closing EV estimate−22.2%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:20
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.3%EV-12.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate−7.1%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:32
- over 8.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate62.3%Closing EV estimate−9.7%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:32
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate50.3%Closing EV estimate−12.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:32
- over 10.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate38.6%Closing EV estimate−16.9%margin15.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:32
- over 11.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate28.3%Closing EV estimate−22.2%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:32
SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.88
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.3%EV-5.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate98.3%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin4.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 4.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate95.6%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin6.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 5.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate90.8%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 6.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate83.4%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 7.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 8.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate62.3%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin7.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.88Closing chance estimate50.3%Closing EV estimate−5.5%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 10.5odds2.32Closing chance estimate38.6%Closing EV estimate−10.4%margin7.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 11.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate28.3%Closing EV estimate−16.5%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 12.5odds3.85Closing chance estimate19.8%Closing EV estimate−23.8%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 13.5odds5.15Closing chance estimate13.2%Closing EV estimate−32.0%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 14.5odds6.90Closing chance estimate8.4%Closing EV estimate−41.8%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 15.5odds9.20Closing chance estimate5.2%Closing EV estimate−52.4%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 00:11: over 9.5 at 1.95 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 04:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · UTA Arad total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 9+1.10u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.108 Oct, 11:22

Closing odds2.109 Oct, 09:25

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 51.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.93
Expected value at recommendation: +9.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +9.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds2.10
Unchanged
Model chance51.9%EV+9.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:25
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate50.7%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:25
Bet365Closing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.7%EV-3.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:25
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate50.7%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:25
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.7%EV-11.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate84.2%Closing EV estimate−7.4%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 3.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate68.7%Closing EV estimate−7.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate50.7%Closing EV estimate−11.2%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 5.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate33.9%Closing EV estimate−16.9%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- over 6.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate20.6%Closing EV estimate−24.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.7%EV+6.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 00:09
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.58Closing chance estimate68.7%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:09
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate50.7%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:22
- over 5.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate33.9%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:22
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.7%EV-13.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:39
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate84.2%Closing EV estimate−9.1%margin13.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:39
- over 3.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate68.7%Closing EV estimate−9.4%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:39
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate50.7%Closing EV estimate−13.7%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:39
- over 5.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate33.9%Closing EV estimate−16.9%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:39
- over 6.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate20.6%Closing EV estimate−21.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:39
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.7%EV-3.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate99.0%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin3.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:42
- over 1.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate94.4%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin6.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 2.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate84.2%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 3.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate68.7%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate50.7%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 5.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate33.9%Closing EV estimate−11.8%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 6.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate20.6%Closing EV estimate−22.7%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 7.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate11.5%Closing EV estimate−37.0%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 8.5odds8.10Closing chance estimate5.8%Closing EV estimate−52.6%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 9.5odds13.00Closing chance estimate2.8%Closing EV estimate−64.0%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:42
- over 10.5odds20.00Closing chance estimate1.2%Closing EV estimate−75.6%margin4.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: over 4.5 at 2.10 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 23.5Actual: 29−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0210 Oct, 05:47

Closing odds2.0210 Oct, 05:38

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 57.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.74
Expected value at recommendation: +16.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +16.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 23.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds2.02
Unchanged
Model chance57.7%EV+16.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.02Closing chance estimate57.7%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- under 24.5odds1.76Closing chance estimate64.3%Closing EV estimate+13.2%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- under 25.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- under 26.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate75.9%Closing EV estimate+7.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 15:35

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 05:47: under 23.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Goals · FC Botoșani total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 1.5Actual: 2+0.95u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.958 Oct, 11:36

Closing odds2.0010 Oct, 08:01

Odds up+0.05

Model chance at recommendation: 51.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.94
Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds2.00
Odds up+0.05
Model chance51.6%EV+0.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate−4.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:01
- over 1.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate−8.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:01
- over 2.5odds3.95Closing chance estimate20.4%Closing EV estimate−19.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:01
- over 3.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate7.3%Closing EV estimate−50.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 08:01
- over 4.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate2.1%Closing EV estimate−82.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:02
CrocobetAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds2.05
Odds up+0.10
Model chance51.6%EV+0.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:05
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:35
- over 1.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:35
- over 2.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate20.4%Closing EV estimate−16.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 02:05
- over 3.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate7.3%Closing EV estimate−49.1%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:35
- over 4.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate2.1%Closing EV estimate−82.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:03
LiderbetAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds2.05
Odds up+0.10
Model chance51.6%EV+0.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:39
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:39
- over 1.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:39
- over 2.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate20.4%Closing EV estimate−16.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:39
- over 3.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate7.3%Closing EV estimate−49.1%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:39
- over 4.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate2.1%Closing EV estimate−82.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:05
Bet365Closing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.8%EV-3.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:13
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:13
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:13
- over 2.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate20.4%Closing EV estimate−8.2%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:13
- over 3.5odds13.00Closing chance estimate7.3%Closing EV estimate−5.5%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:13
- over 4.5odds29.00Closing chance estimate2.1%Closing EV estimate−37.8%margin2.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:13
SuperbetClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.8%EV+3.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:42
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin4.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:42
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin4.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:42
- over 2.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate20.4%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin4.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:42
- over 3.5odds13.00Closing chance estimate7.3%Closing EV estimate−5.5%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:42
- over 4.5odds35.00Closing chance estimate2.1%Closing EV estimate−24.9%margin2.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:42

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:36: over 1.5 at 1.95 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 18:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · FC Botoșani total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 15.5Actual: 19+0.95u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.957 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds1.9510 Oct, 03:40

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 75.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.34
Expected value at recommendation: +46.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 75.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.34. Expected value at recommendation: +46.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 15.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds1.95
Unchanged
Model chance75.0%EV+46.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 14.5odds1.68Closing chance estimate78.1%Closing EV estimate+31.2%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:38
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate71.3%Closing EV estimate+39.0%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 16.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate63.8%Closing EV estimate+46.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 15.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 17:58. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 12+1.10u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.107 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds2.1010 Oct, 03:40

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 59.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.69
Expected value at recommendation: +24.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.69. Expected value at recommendation: +24.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds2.10
Unchanged
Model chance59.5%EV+24.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate79.2%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 8.5odds1.64Closing chance estimate68.9%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate57.4%Closing EV estimate+20.4%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 10.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate45.6%Closing EV estimate+27.6%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:38
- over 11.5odds3.85Closing chance estimate34.6%Closing EV estimate+33.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:38

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 9.5 at 2.10 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 03:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · UTA Arad total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.027 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds1.9510 Oct, 03:40

Odds down−0.07

Model chance at recommendation: 51.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.94
Expected value at recommendation: +4.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +4.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds1.95
Odds down−0.07
Model chance51.8%EV+4.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:38
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate70.5%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:38
- over 4.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate52.8%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 5.5odds2.72Closing chance estimate35.8%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 4.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+43.6%ROI · 7 units staked

Profit+3.05units

W / L5 / 2picks

Avg odds2.01settled picks

Recorded picks71 matches

Around this match

CompetitionRomanian Super Liga Home teamFC Botoșani Away teamUTA Arad RefereeKovacs, Szabolcs

Match overview

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