England vs Czechia 3-0 — UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League 26/27

England

3–0

HT 2–0

Czechia

Tue 6 Oct·12:45·Matchday 4·Wembley Stadium·England won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

6Corners2
1Cards2
17Shots5
3Shots on target0
10Fouls17
18Throw-ins11
3Goal kicks11
0Saves1
5Tackles17
4Interceptions4
12Dribbles4

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

12:45

Englandv

CzechiaUEFA Nations League2 won / 3 lost · −0.55u · 5 picks

Fouls · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 21.5Actual: 27−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.156 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds2.156 Oct, 04:01

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 21.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds2.15
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 05:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 21.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+58.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 04:01
- under 22.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+46.2%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 13:01
- under 23.5odds1.62Closing chance estimate83.6%Closing EV estimate+35.4%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 05:01
BetliveClosing estimateunder 21.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance73.7%EV+36.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 07:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 18.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+65.6%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 07:30
- under 19.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate60.7%Closing EV estimate+54.9%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 07:30
- under 20.5odds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 07:30
- under 21.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+36.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 07:30
- under 22.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+26.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 07:30
- under 23.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate83.6%Closing EV estimate+18.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 07:30
- under 24.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate87.4%Closing EV estimate+12.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 07:30
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 21.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance73.7%EV+36.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 08:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 18.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+76.3%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 08:31
- under 19.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate60.7%Closing EV estimate+48.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 08:31
- under 20.5odds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 5 Oct, 08:31
- under 21.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+36.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 08:31
- under 22.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+26.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 08:31
- under 23.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate83.6%Closing EV estimate+17.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 08:31
- under 24.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate87.4%Closing EV estimate+11.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 08:31
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 21.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance73.7%EV+32.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 08:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 18.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+79.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 08:01
- under 19.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate60.7%Closing EV estimate+60.9%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 08:01
- under 20.5odds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 6 Oct, 08:01
- under 21.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+32.6%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 08:01
- under 22.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+22.5%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 08:01
- under 23.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate83.6%Closing EV estimate+16.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 08:01
- under 24.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate87.4%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 08:01

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 11:45: under 21.5 at 2.15 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Saves · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 6.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.156 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds2.156 Oct, 04:31

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 6.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds2.15
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 04:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate89.3%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 04:31
- over 4.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate79.2%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 04:31
- over 5.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate66.0%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 04:31
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate51.6%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 04:31
- over 7.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 04:31
CrocobetClosing estimateover 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.6%EV-7.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 02:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate66.0%Closing EV estimate−7.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate51.6%Closing EV estimate−7.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 7.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate−13.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
KambiClosing estimateover 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.82
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.6%EV-6.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 12:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate79.2%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 06:32
- over 5.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate66.0%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:32
- over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.82Closing chance estimate51.6%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:32
- over 7.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate−9.5%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:32

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 11:45: over 6.5 at 2.15 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Saves · England total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 0+1.30u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.306 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds2.306 Oct, 02:30

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 1.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds2.30
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 02:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate49.2%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 11:45: under 1.5 at 2.30 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · England total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.476 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds2.476 Oct, 10:32

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableover 8.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds2.20
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 02:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate67.2%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
- over 7.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate53.8%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 07:30
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate40.5%Closing EV estimate−11.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 02:30
KambiOriginal model estimate unavailableover 8.5
At recommendation2.28
Closing odds2.32
Odds up+0.04
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 12:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate−6.4%margin13.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:32
- over 6.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate67.2%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:01
- over 7.5odds1.76Closing chance estimate53.8%Closing EV estimate−5.4%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:32
- over 8.5odds2.32Closing chance estimate40.5%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin13.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:01
- over 9.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate28.7%Closing EV estimate−8.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:01
- over 10.5odds4.40Closing chance estimate19.1%Closing EV estimate−15.8%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:32
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 8.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds2.30
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 08:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate67.2%Closing EV estimate−7.2%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 08:01
- over 7.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate53.8%Closing EV estimate−8.6%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 08:01
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate40.5%Closing EV estimate−6.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 08:01
Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 8.5
At recommendation2.47
Closing odds2.47
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 12:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 07:01
- over 6.5odds1.67Closing chance estimate67.2%Closing EV estimate+12.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:31
- over 7.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate53.8%Closing EV estimate+15.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 12:31
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.47Closing chance estimate40.5%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 10:32
CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance40.5%EV-11.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 08:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate67.2%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 08:31
- over 7.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate53.8%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 08:31
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate40.5%Closing EV estimate−11.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 08:31

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 11:45: over 8.5 at 2.47 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Throw-ins · Czechia total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 12.5Actual: 11+1.15u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.156 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds2.155 Oct, 07:30

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 12.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds2.15
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 07:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate64.3%Closing EV estimate+38.2%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 07:30
- under 13.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate73.3%Closing EV estimate+31.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 07:30
- under 14.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate+21.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 07:30
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.3%EV+25.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 08:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate64.3%Closing EV estimate+25.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 08:31
- under 13.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate73.3%Closing EV estimate+28.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 08:31
- under 14.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate+25.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 08:31
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.92
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.3%EV+23.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 10:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.92Closing chance estimate64.3%Closing EV estimate+23.4%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 10:01

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 11:45: under 12.5 at 2.15 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−11.0%ROI · 5 units staked

Profit−0.55units

W / L2 / 3picks

Avg odds2.24settled picks

Recorded picks51 matches

Around this match

CompetitionUEFA Nations League Home teamEngland Away teamCzechia RefereeGozubuyuk, Serdar

Match overview

Matches

Fouls · match total

Saves · match total

Saves · England total

Shots on target · England total

Throw-ins · Czechia total

This match

Around this match

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