Dijon vs Metz 4-2 — Ligue 2

Ligue 2Ligue 2 26/27

Dijon

4–2

HT 3–1

Metz

Mon 12 Oct·12:45·Matchday 8·Stade Gaston Gerard·Dijon won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

3Corners3
0Cards3
17Shots13
7Shots on target4
17Fouls17
11Throw-ins20
2Offsides5
5Goal kicks8
2Saves3
28Tackles11
8Interceptions13
3Dribbles10

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Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

12:45DijonvMetzLigue 21 won / 1 lost · −0.10u · 2 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.007 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds2.0011 Oct, 15:35

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 54.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.84
Expected value at recommendation: +8.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +8.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance54.4%EV+8.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 15:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate56.0%Closing EV estimate+12.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 15:35
BetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.0%EV-2.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 00:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate93.7%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 01:31
- over 5.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate87.6%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 00:00
- over 6.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate78.9%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 00:00
- over 7.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate68.0%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 00:00
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate56.0%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 00:00
- over 9.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate43.9%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 00:00
- over 10.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate32.8%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 00:00
- over 11.5odds3.95Closing chance estimate23.3%Closing EV estimate−8.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 00:00
- over 12.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate15.8%Closing EV estimate−13.3%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 00:00
- over 13.5odds7.20Closing chance estimate10.2%Closing EV estimate−26.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 00:00
CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.0%EV-2.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 08:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate78.9%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 01:31
- over 7.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate68.0%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 01:31
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate56.0%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 01:31
- over 9.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate43.9%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 01:31
- over 10.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate32.8%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 08:31
KambiClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.88
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.0%EV+5.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate68.0%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.88Closing chance estimate56.0%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 12:02
- over 9.5odds2.43Closing chance estimate43.9%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 12:02
LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.0%EV-2.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 09:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate93.7%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 09:02
- over 5.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate87.6%Closing EV estimate−6.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 09:31
- over 6.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate78.9%Closing EV estimate−5.3%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 09:31
- over 7.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate68.0%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 09:31
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate56.0%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 09:31
- over 9.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate43.9%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 09:31
- over 10.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate32.8%Closing EV estimate−4.9%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 09:31
- over 11.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate23.3%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 09:31
- over 12.5odds5.80Closing chance estimate15.8%Closing EV estimate−8.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 09:31
- over 13.5odds8.00Closing chance estimate10.2%Closing EV estimate−18.5%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 09:31
SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.82
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.0%EV+2.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 23:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate97.4%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 14:13
- over 4.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate93.7%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 23:32
- over 5.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate87.6%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 23:32
- over 6.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate78.9%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 23:32
- over 7.5odds1.51Closing chance estimate68.0%Closing EV estimate+2.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 23:32
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.82Closing chance estimate56.0%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 23:32
- over 9.5odds2.27Closing chance estimate43.9%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 23:32
- over 10.5odds2.92Closing chance estimate32.8%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 23:32
- over 11.5odds3.85Closing chance estimate23.3%Closing EV estimate−10.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 23:32
- over 12.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate15.8%Closing EV estimate−19.6%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 23:32
- over 13.5odds6.90Closing chance estimate10.2%Closing EV estimate−29.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 23:32

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 8.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Dijon total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 4.5Actual: 3+0.90u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9011 Oct, 01:36

Closing odds1.8512 Oct, 00:00

Odds down−0.05

Model chance at recommendation: 55.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.81
Expected value at recommendation: +5.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.81. Expected value at recommendation: +5.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds1.85
Odds down−0.05
Model chance55.5%EV+5.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 00:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds4.65Closing chance estimate36.7%Closing EV estimate+70.6%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 00:00
- under 3.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate55.5%Closing EV estimate+47.1%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 00:00
- under 4.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate71.7%Closing EV estimate+32.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 00:00
- under 5.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate+18.0%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 00:00
- under 6.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate91.5%Closing EV estimate+8.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 00:00
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance71.7%EV+32.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 23:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds8.10Closing chance estimate18.5%Closing EV estimate+50.1%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 23:32
- under 2.5odds4.25Closing chance estimate36.7%Closing EV estimate+55.9%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 23:32
- under 3.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate55.5%Closing EV estimate+44.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 17:32
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate71.7%Closing EV estimate+32.6%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 17:32
- under 5.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate+22.2%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 23:32
- under 6.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate91.5%Closing EV estimate+14.4%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 23:32
- under 7.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate96.0%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 23:32
Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance71.7%EV+29.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 04:29
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate71.7%Closing EV estimate+29.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:29
BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.64
No saved recommendation
Model chance71.7%EV+17.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.64Closing chance estimate71.7%Closing EV estimate+17.6%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 12:03
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance71.7%EV+29.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 01:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate55.5%Closing EV estimate+44.3%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 01:31
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate71.7%Closing EV estimate+29.0%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 01:31
- under 5.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate+17.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 01:31
KambiClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.71
No saved recommendation
Model chance71.7%EV+22.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 12:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.71Closing chance estimate71.7%Closing EV estimate+22.6%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 12:32
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance71.7%EV+29.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 09:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds4.95Closing chance estimate36.7%Closing EV estimate+81.6%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 09:31
- under 3.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate55.5%Closing EV estimate+49.9%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 09:31
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate71.7%Closing EV estimate+29.0%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 09:31
- under 5.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate+16.3%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 09:31
- under 6.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate91.5%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 09:31

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 01:36: under 4.5 at 1.90 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 22:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−5.0%ROI · 2 units staked

Profit−0.10units

W / L1 / 1picks

Avg odds1.95settled picks

Recorded picks21 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLigue 2 Home teamDijon Away teamMetz RefereeMarc Bollengier

Match overview

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Corners · match total

Corners · Dijon total

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