Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama — Brasileirão Série A

Brasileirão Série ABrasileiro Serie A 2026

Wed 7 Oct··Matchday 29·Estádio Nilton Santos·Vasco da Gama won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 7Corners14
  • 1Cards0
  • 11Shots17
  • 2Shots on target8
  • 10Fouls12
  • 22Throw-ins13
  • 3Offsides2
  • 5Goal kicks8
  • 5Saves1
  • 16Tackles10
  • 11Interceptions15
  • 1Dribbles5
7 Free1 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match
BotafogovVasco da GamaBrasileirão Série A6 won / 2 lost · +10.08u · 8 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeWon
under 4.52.77 at Superbet+1.77u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.52.75Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 01:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate29.1%Closing EV estimate+25.1%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.75Closing chance estimate47.2%Closing EV estimate+29.8%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailable
    • under 5.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate64.7%Closing EV estimate+22.9%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailable
    • under 6.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate78.8%Closing EV estimate+12.6%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7odds1.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailable
    • under 7.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate88.4%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.52.75Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 02:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate29.1%Closing EV estimate+25.1%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.75Closing chance estimate47.2%Closing EV estimate+29.8%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate64.7%Closing EV estimate+22.9%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate78.8%Closing EV estimate+12.6%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate88.4%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.52.77Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 14:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate0.8%Closing EV estimate−99.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds4.35Closing chance estimate29.1%Closing EV estimate+26.5%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.77Closing chance estimate47.2%Closing EV estimate+30.8%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate64.7%Closing EV estimate+29.4%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate78.8%Closing EV estimate+22.1%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate88.4%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 4.52.48Model chance47.2%EV+17.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 16:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.48Closing chance estimate47.2%Closing EV estimate+17.1%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.79Closing chance estimate64.7%Closing EV estimate+15.8%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate78.8%Closing EV estimate+12.6%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate88.4%Closing EV estimate+10.6%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.52.75Model chance47.2%EV+29.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 02:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate29.1%Closing EV estimate+25.1%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.75Closing chance estimate47.2%Closing EV estimate+29.8%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate64.7%Closing EV estimate+22.9%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate78.8%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate88.4%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 4.52.70Model chance47.2%EV+27.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 16:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds8.50Closing chance estimate14.0%Closing EV estimate+19.4%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate29.1%Closing EV estimate+30.9%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.70Closing chance estimate47.2%Closing EV estimate+27.5%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:30: under 4.5 at 2.77 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Cards · Botafogo total

Open match →FreeWon
under 2.52.17 at Superbet+1.17u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 2.52.17Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 14:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate6.4%Closing EV estimate−93.0%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate23.9%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.17Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.52.05Model chance48.0%EV-1.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 01:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailable
    • under 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.52.00Model chance48.0%EV-4.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 04:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate23.9%Closing EV estimate−10.5%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 2.52.05Model chance48.0%EV-1.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 13:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:30: under 2.5 at 2.17 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Cards · Vasco da Gama total

Open match →FreeWon
under 1.53.80 at Superbet+2.80u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 1.53.80Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 14:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate12.7%Closing EV estimate−86.1%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds3.80Closing chance estimate38.8%Closing EV estimate+47.5%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate65.9%Closing EV estimate+36.3%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate84.5%Closing EV estimate+19.1%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.53.40Model chance38.8%EV+32.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 04:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds3.40Closing chance estimate38.8%Closing EV estimate+32.0%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate65.9%Closing EV estimate+28.4%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate84.5%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 1.53.20Model chance38.8%EV+24.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 16:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds3.20Closing chance estimate38.8%Closing EV estimate+24.2%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.86Closing chance estimate65.9%Closing EV estimate+22.5%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate84.5%Closing EV estimate+14.9%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:30: under 1.5 at 3.80 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Corners · Vasco da Gama total

Open match →FreeWon
over 7.55.30 at Liderbet+4.30u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableover 7.55.00Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 06:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate81.3%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate66.8%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate35.1%Closing EV estimate+10.4%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds5.00Closing chance estimate22.4%Closing EV estimate+12.0%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 7.55.30Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 06:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate81.3%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate66.8%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate35.1%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds5.30Closing chance estimate22.4%Closing EV estimate+18.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 7.53.90Model chance22.4%EV-12.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 16:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate91.8%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate81.3%Closing EV estimate+4.9%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate66.8%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.08Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate35.1%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds3.90Closing chance estimate22.4%Closing EV estimate−12.7%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 7.54.00Model chance22.4%EV-10.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 16:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate99.6%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin2.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate97.5%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin6.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate91.8%Closing EV estimate+2.8%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate81.3%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate66.8%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.82Closing chance estimate35.1%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds4.00Closing chance estimate22.4%Closing EV estimate−10.4%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds5.65Closing chance estimate13.2%Closing EV estimate−25.3%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds8.10Closing chance estimate7.2%Closing EV estimate−41.4%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds12.00Closing chance estimate3.7%Closing EV estimate−55.7%margin6.4%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:30: over 7.5 at 5.30 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · match total

Open match →FreeWon
under 25.52.07 at Superbet+1.07u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 25.52.07Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 15:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.07Closing chance estimate60.5%Closing EV estimate+25.3%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.78Closing chance estimate67.3%Closing EV estimate+19.7%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27.5odds1.61Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+18.1%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 25.51.80Model chance60.5%EV+9.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 05:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 22.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate38.6%Closing EV estimate+11.9%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate46.0%Closing EV estimate+12.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+12.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate60.5%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate67.3%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 28.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate78.8%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:30: under 25.5 at 2.07 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · Vasco da Gama total

Open match →FreeWon
under 12.51.97 at Superbet+0.97u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 12.51.97Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 09:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5odds2.47Closing chance estimate46.0%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.97Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+12.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.62Closing chance estimate67.0%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 12.51.80Model chance56.9%EV+2.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 05:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate46.0%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate67.0%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:30: under 12.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPLost
over 31.52.50 at Liderbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 31.52.50Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 05:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • over 27.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate71.0%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate58.8%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+9.9%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 31.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.50Closing chance estimate45.9%Closing EV estimate+14.8%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 31.52.05Model chance45.9%EV-5.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 16:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 28.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds1.64Closing chance estimate58.8%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5odds1.82Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 31.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate45.9%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 32.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate39.7%Closing EV estimate−6.7%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 31.52.17Model chance45.9%EV-0.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 16:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 25.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate81.5%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate76.6%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate71.0%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds1.51Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds1.69Closing chance estimate58.8%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 31.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.17Closing chance estimate45.9%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 32.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate39.7%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 33.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate33.8%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 34.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate28.3%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 11:35: over 31.5 at 2.50 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Botafogo total

Open match →FreeLost
over 5.52.85 at BetMGM UK−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 5.52.85Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 16:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.85Closing chance estimate24.8%Closing EV estimate−29.4%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiOriginal model estimate unavailableover 5.52.85Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 13:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate60.5%Closing EV estimate−13.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate41.1%Closing EV estimate−19.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.85Closing chance estimate24.8%Closing EV estimate−29.4%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.52.50Model chance24.8%EV-38.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 00:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate60.5%Closing EV estimate−18.3%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate41.1%Closing EV estimate−26.0%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.50Closing chance estimate24.8%Closing EV estimate−38.0%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.52.50Model chance24.8%EV-38.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 05:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate60.5%Closing EV estimate−18.3%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate41.1%Closing EV estimate−26.0%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.50Closing chance estimate24.8%Closing EV estimate−38.0%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.52.47Model chance24.8%EV-38.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 14:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate92.2%Closing EV estimate−6.9%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate−11.5%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate60.5%Closing EV estimate−18.3%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate41.1%Closing EV estimate−26.0%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.47Closing chance estimate24.8%Closing EV estimate−38.8%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate13.3%Closing EV estimate−52.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds5.30Closing chance estimate6.4%Closing EV estimate−65.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:30: over 5.5 at 2.85 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return+126.0%ROI · 8 units staked
Profit+10.08units
W / L6 / 2picks
Avg odds2.93settled picks
Recorded picks81 matches

Around this match

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