Boca Juniors vs Vasco da Gama — CONMEBOL Sudamericana
CONMEBOL SudamericanaCONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026
Yesterday··Semi final·Vasco da Gama won
Match overview
12 priority stats · full time- 9Corners1
- 1Cards4
- 18Shots9
- 2Shots on target2
- 8Fouls11
- 28Throw-ins19
- 1Offsides1
- 7Goal kicks14
- 1Saves2
- 17Tackles17
- 13Interceptions9
- 11Dribbles18
Board
Matches
Boca JuniorsvVasco da GamaCONMEBOL Sudamericana4 won / 3 lost · +2.21u · 7 picks
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 60.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.65. Expected value at recommendation: +27.5%.
At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 99 settled picks and +6.8% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
BetliveAt recommendationunder 2.52.25Model chance60.7%EV+36.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 05:28Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate60.7%Closing EV estimate+36.5%margin13.4%
- under 3odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.4%
- under 3.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate83.2%Closing EV estimate+24.7%margin14.3%
- under 4odds1.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%
Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.52.10Model chance60.7%EV+27.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 05:03Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate60.7%Closing EV estimate+27.4%margin14.3%
- under 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate83.2%Closing EV estimate+16.4%margin14.0%
KambiClosing estimateunder 2.52.60Model chance60.7%EV+57.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 15:06Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.60Closing chance estimate60.7%Closing EV estimate+57.7%margin8.9%
- under 3.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate83.2%Closing EV estimate+41.4%margin8.8%
- under 4.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate94.1%Closing EV estimate+22.4%margin9.7%
Recommendation record
Recorded 13 Oct, 15:10: under 2.5 at 2.10 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 15:34. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 52.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +0.4%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 3.51.91Model chance52.6%EV+0.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 13:03Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate52.7%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin7.9%
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 3.51.95Model chance52.5%EV+2.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 18:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 0.5odds15.00Closing chance estimate5.3%Closing EV estimate−20.7%margin5.7%
- under 1.5odds5.45Closing chance estimate17.9%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin8.4%
- under 2.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate35.2%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin8.0%
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate52.7%Closing EV estimate+2.8%margin8.1%
- under 4.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate67.9%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin7.9%
- under 5.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate79.6%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin7.8%
- under 6.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate88.0%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin8.0%
- under 7.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate93.4%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin7.7%
- under 8.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate96.6%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin5.7%
- under 9.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate98.4%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin4.6%
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.51.70Model chance52.7%EV-10.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 16:19Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate17.9%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin11.6%
- under 2.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate35.2%Closing EV estimate−8.6%margin12.0%
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate52.7%Closing EV estimate−10.4%margin11.5%
- under 4.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate67.9%Closing EV estimate−13.1%margin12.0%
- under 5.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate79.6%Closing EV estimate−13.2%margin11.7%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.51.70Model chance52.7%EV-10.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 05:03Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate35.2%Closing EV estimate−5.1%margin14.0%
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate52.7%Closing EV estimate−10.4%margin14.4%
- under 4.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate67.9%Closing EV estimate−11.7%margin14.0%
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.51.65Model chance52.7%EV-13.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 16:21Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1.5odds5.80Closing chance estimate17.9%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin12.5%
- under 2.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate35.2%Closing EV estimate−6.8%margin12.9%
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate52.7%Closing EV estimate−13.0%margin13.2%
- under 4.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate67.9%Closing EV estimate−14.5%margin12.7%
- under 5.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate79.6%Closing EV estimate−15.6%margin12.9%
Recommendation record
Recorded 12 Oct, 04:32: under 3.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 16:48. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 75.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.33. Expected value at recommendation: +51.2%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 12.52.00Model chance75.6%EV+51.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 07:13Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 10.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate57.6%Closing EV estimate+18.1%margin13.3%
- under 11.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate+11.2%margin13.2%
- under 12.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate+13.6%margin13.2%
- under 13.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate82.4%Closing EV estimate+23.6%margin12.1%
BetliveClosing estimateunder 12.51.50Model chance75.7%EV+13.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 17:37Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 10odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.1%
- under 10.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate57.6%Closing EV estimate+29.6%margin13.4%
- under 11odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%
- under 11.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate+21.3%margin14.4%
- under 12odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%
- under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate+13.6%margin14.3%
- under 13odds1.37Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%
- under 13.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate82.4%Closing EV estimate+23.6%margin14.3%
- under 14odds1.37Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 12.51.35Model chance75.7%EV+2.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 07:13Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 10.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate57.6%Closing EV estimate+20.9%margin14.3%
- under 11.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin13.8%
- under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.35Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin14.1%
- under 13.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate82.4%Closing EV estimate+23.6%margin14.3%
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 12.52.00Model chance75.7%EV+51.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 18:06Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate+51.4%margin10.2%
- under 13.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate82.4%Closing EV estimate+44.2%margin7.9%
- under 14.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate87.6%Closing EV estimate+24.4%margin12.1%
Recommendation record
Recorded 13 Oct, 03:42: under 12.5 at 2.00 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 10:15. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 60.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.65. Expected value at recommendation: +21.9%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 10.52.00Model chance60.9%EV+21.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 18:03Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate59.4%Closing EV estimate+18.8%margin7.9%
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 10.51.61Model chance59.4%EV-4.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 18:28Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.61Closing chance estimate59.4%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin11.6%
KambiClosing estimateover 10.51.61Model chance59.4%EV-4.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 18:07Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 9.5odds1.61Closing chance estimate69.9%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin11.6%
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.61Closing chance estimate59.4%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin11.6%
- over 11.5odds1.88Closing chance estimate48.6%Closing EV estimate−8.7%margin11.3%
- over 12.5odds2.23Closing chance estimate38.2%Closing EV estimate−14.8%margin11.5%
SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.51.62Model chance59.4%EV-3.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 18:06Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 7.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate87.0%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin7.6%
- over 8.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate79.3%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin7.8%
- over 9.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate69.9%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin8.2%
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.62Closing chance estimate59.4%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin7.8%
- over 11.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate48.6%Closing EV estimate−7.7%margin8.2%
- over 12.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate38.2%Closing EV estimate−12.1%margin8.0%
- over 13.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate28.9%Closing EV estimate−17.6%margin8.1%
- over 14.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate21.0%Closing EV estimate−25.3%margin8.2%
Recommendation record
Recorded 12 Oct, 00:06: over 10.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 02:28. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 58.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +67.8%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.52.85Model chance58.9%EV+67.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 18:20Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 3.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate44.3%Closing EV estimate+24.0%margin9.2%
- under 4.5odds1.91Closing chance estimate61.9%Closing EV estimate+18.2%margin9.2%
- under 5.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate76.5%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin8.8%
- under 6.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin9.5%
- under 7.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate93.3%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin9.3%
- under 8.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate96.9%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin9.3%
Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.52.00Model chance61.9%EV+23.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 14:08Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate61.9%Closing EV estimate+23.7%margin7.9%
BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.51.70Model chance61.9%EV+5.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 18:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 3.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate44.3%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin14.1%
- under 4odds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate61.9%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin14.4%
- under 5odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%
- under 5.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate76.5%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin13.6%
- under 6odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.51.80Model chance61.9%EV+11.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 05:55Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 3.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate44.3%Closing EV estimate+15.1%margin13.6%
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate61.9%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin14.4%
- under 5.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate76.5%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin14.1%
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.51.85Model chance61.9%EV+14.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 05:29Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate61.9%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin12.9%
- under 5.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate76.5%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin12.2%
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.51.58Model chance61.9%EV-2.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 18:06Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1.5odds6.70Closing chance estimate11.7%Closing EV estimate−21.6%margin11.1%
- under 2.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate26.4%Closing EV estimate−7.7%margin11.2%
- under 3.5odds2.22Closing chance estimate44.3%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin8.7%
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.58Closing chance estimate61.9%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin8.7%
- under 5.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate76.5%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin10.6%
- under 6.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin10.9%
- under 7.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate93.3%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin11.0%
Recommendation record
Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 4.5 at 2.85 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 7 Oct, 16:32. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 59.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.69. Expected value at recommendation: +45.0%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 44.52.45Model chance59.2%EV+45.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 05:28Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 39.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate79.8%Closing EV estimate+15.7%margin13.4%
- over 40.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate+18.4%margin13.3%
- over 41.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate72.7%Closing EV estimate+23.6%margin14.4%
- over 42.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate68.8%Closing EV estimate+34.2%margin13.8%
- over 43.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate64.8%Closing EV estimate+36.0%margin14.3%
- over 44.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimate60.6%Closing EV estimate+48.4%margin13.8%
Recommendation record
Recorded 13 Oct, 05:36: over 44.5 at 2.45 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 58.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.72. Expected value at recommendation: +22.4%.
At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 30 settled picks and +9.5% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 20.52.10Model chance58.3%EV+22.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 05:28Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 17.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin13.8%
- over 18odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%
- over 18.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate70.1%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin13.3%
- over 19odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%
- over 19.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate64.3%Closing EV estimate+15.7%margin14.4%
- over 20odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%
- over 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+22.4%margin14.3%
- over 21odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 20.52.00Model chance58.3%EV+16.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 05:03Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 18.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate70.1%Closing EV estimate+12.1%margin13.8%
- over 19.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate64.3%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin14.3%
- over 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin14.5%
Recommendation record
Recorded 13 Oct, 15:34: over 20.5 at 2.10 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 17:26. The original pick remains in the results.
Predictions