Blackburn Rovers vs Cardiff City 2-1 — Championship

ChampionshipChampionship 26/27

Blackburn Rovers

2–1

HT 2–0

Cardiff City

Sat 10 Oct·08:00·Matchday 9·Ewood Park·Blackburn Rovers won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

11Corners6
1Cards0
17Shots10
8Shots on target1
9Fouls6
27Throw-ins19
4Offsides1
12Goal kicks9
0Saves5
23Tackles19
12Interceptions11
5Dribbles4

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

8 Free2 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match

08:00Blackburn RoversvCardiff CityChampionship6 won / 4 lost · +2.86u · 10 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeWon

over 11.52.25 at Superbet+1.25u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +18.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 11.52.15Model chance51.3%EV+10.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate93.4%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 7.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate88.0%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 8.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate80.5%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:55
- over 9.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:55
- over 10.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate60.4%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:55
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate49.3%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:55
- over 12.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate38.5%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:55
- over 13.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate28.9%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:01
- over 14.5odds4.85Closing chance estimate20.8%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:01
- over 15.5odds6.40Closing chance estimate14.3%Closing EV estimate−8.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:01
CrocobetAt recommendationover 11.52.15Model chance51.3%EV+10.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate80.5%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:34
- over 9.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:56
- over 10.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate60.4%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:56
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate49.3%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:56
- over 12.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate38.5%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:34
- over 13.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate28.9%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:34
LiderbetAt recommendationover 11.52.15Model chance51.3%EV+10.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:59
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate80.5%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:59
- over 9.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin15.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:59
- over 10.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate60.4%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:59
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate49.3%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:59
- over 12.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate38.5%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:59
Paddy PowerAt recommendationover 11.52.25Model chance51.3%EV+15.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:55
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 10.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate60.4%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate49.3%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 12.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate38.5%Closing EV estimate+15.6%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 11.52.25Model chance52.7%EV+18.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate96.8%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 6.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate93.4%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 7.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate88.0%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 8.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate80.5%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 9.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate+10.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 10.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate60.4%Closing EV estimate+11.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate49.3%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 12.5odds2.82Closing chance estimate38.5%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 13.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate28.9%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 14.5odds4.70Closing chance estimate20.8%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 15.5odds6.10Closing chance estimate14.3%Closing EV estimate−12.6%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
KambiClosing estimateover 11.52.25Model chance49.3%EV+10.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate88.0%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:33
- over 8.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate80.5%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:33
- over 9.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate+8.0%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:39
- over 10.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate60.4%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 08:05
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate49.3%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:39
- over 12.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate38.5%Closing EV estimate+11.8%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:39
- over 13.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate28.9%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 14.5odds4.90Closing chance estimate20.8%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 15.5odds5.30Closing chance estimate14.3%Closing EV estimate−24.0%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:57

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 11.5 at 2.25 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 04:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Blackburn Rovers total

Open match →FreeWon

over 5.51.91 at Bet365+0.91u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +1.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 5.51.91Model chance53.2%EV+1.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:25
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate52.5%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:25
Paddy PowerAt recommendationover 5.51.91Model chance52.6%EV+0.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:55
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate92.5%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 3.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate82.6%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 4.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate68.6%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 5.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate52.5%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
BetliveClosing estimateover 5.52.05Model chance52.5%EV+7.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate82.6%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
- over 4.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate68.6%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate52.5%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
- over 6.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate36.9%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
- over 7.5odds4.45Closing chance estimate23.9%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.51.75Model chance52.5%EV-8.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate68.6%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:34
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate52.5%Closing EV estimate−8.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:34
- over 6.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate36.9%Closing EV estimate−13.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:34
KambiClosing estimateover 5.51.98Model chance52.5%EV+4.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate68.6%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.98Closing chance estimate52.5%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 6.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate36.9%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:43
- over 7.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate23.9%Closing EV estimate−16.2%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:43
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.51.95Model chance52.5%EV+2.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate82.6%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:34
- over 4.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate68.6%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:34
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate52.5%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:34
- over 6.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate36.9%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:34
- over 7.5odds4.40Closing chance estimate23.9%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:34
SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.52.07Model chance52.5%EV+8.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate92.5%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 3.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate82.6%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 4.5odds1.59Closing chance estimate68.6%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.07Closing chance estimate52.5%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 6.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate36.9%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 7.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate23.9%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 8.5odds5.65Closing chance estimate14.3%Closing EV estimate−19.0%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 5.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Cardiff City total

Open match →FreeWon

over 5.52.30 at Kambi+1.30u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +26.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 5.52.30Model chance55.1%EV+26.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:39
- over 4.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate68.0%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:39
- over 5.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate51.7%Closing EV estimate+13.8%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 6.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 7.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate23.3%Closing EV estimate−24.2%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:57
Paddy PowerAt recommendationover 5.52.25Model chance55.1%EV+23.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:55
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate92.3%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 3.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 4.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate68.0%Closing EV estimate+12.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate51.7%Closing EV estimate+16.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
BetliveClosing estimateover 5.51.90Model chance51.7%EV-1.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
- over 4.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate68.0%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate51.7%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
- over 6.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate−7.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
- over 7.5odds3.85Closing chance estimate23.3%Closing EV estimate−10.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.52.10Model chance51.7%EV+8.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:34
- over 4.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate68.0%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:34
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate51.7%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:34
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.51.95Model chance51.7%EV+0.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:34
- over 4.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate68.0%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:34
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate51.7%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:34
- over 6.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:34
- over 7.5odds4.40Closing chance estimate23.3%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:34
SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.52.07Model chance51.7%EV+7.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate97.7%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 2.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate92.3%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 3.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate+6.8%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 4.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate68.0%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.07Closing chance estimate51.7%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 6.5odds2.82Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 7.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate23.3%Closing EV estimate−6.7%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 8.5odds5.65Closing chance estimate13.9%Closing EV estimate−21.6%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:36: over 5.5 at 2.30 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 11:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · Blackburn Rovers total

Open match →FreeWon

over 1.52.12 at BetMGM UK+1.12u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +7.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 1.52.12Model chance50.5%EV+7.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:55
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate25.3%Closing EV estimate−44.4%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
BetliveAt recommendationover 1.52.00Model chance50.5%EV+1.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate62.0%Closing EV estimate−24.3%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
- over 1.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate25.3%Closing EV estimate−47.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:01
- over 2.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate7.5%Closing EV estimate−68.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:01
- over 3.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate1.7%Closing EV estimate−88.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
- over 4.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate0.3%Closing EV estimate−97.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:01
CrocobetAt recommendationover 1.52.00Model chance50.5%EV+1.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate62.0%Closing EV estimate−24.3%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:33
- over 1.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate25.3%Closing EV estimate−47.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:33
- over 2.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate7.5%Closing EV estimate−68.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:33
- over 3.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate1.7%Closing EV estimate−88.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:33
- over 4.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate0.3%Closing EV estimate−97.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:03
LiderbetAt recommendationover 1.52.00Model chance50.5%EV+1.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate62.0%Closing EV estimate−24.3%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:34
- over 1.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate25.3%Closing EV estimate−47.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:04
- over 2.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate7.5%Closing EV estimate−68.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:04
- over 3.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate1.7%Closing EV estimate−88.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:34
- over 4.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate0.3%Closing EV estimate−97.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:04
Bet365Closing estimateover 1.52.20Model chance25.3%EV-44.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:15
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate62.0%Closing EV estimate−22.5%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:15
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate25.3%Closing EV estimate−44.4%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:15
- over 2.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate7.5%Closing EV estimate−62.7%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:15
- over 3.5odds13.00Closing chance estimate1.7%Closing EV estimate−77.8%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:15
- over 4.5odds34.00Closing chance estimate0.3%Closing EV estimate−89.1%margin2.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:15
SuperbetClosing estimateover 1.52.20Model chance25.3%EV-44.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate62.0%Closing EV estimate−22.5%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate25.3%Closing EV estimate−44.4%margin7.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 2.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate7.5%Closing EV estimate−64.2%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 3.5odds11.00Closing chance estimate1.7%Closing EV estimate−81.2%margin6.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 4.5odds30.00Closing chance estimate0.3%Closing EV estimate−90.4%margin3.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:42: over 1.5 at 2.12 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · Cardiff City total

Open match →FreeLost

over 1.51.90 at Betlive−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +0.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 1.51.90Model chance53.1%EV+0.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:01
- over 1.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate67.7%Closing EV estimate+32.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
- over 2.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate41.3%Closing EV estimate+55.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:31
- over 3.5odds6.60Closing chance estimate20.8%Closing EV estimate+37.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:01
- over 4.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate8.8%Closing EV estimate−27.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:01
CrocobetAt recommendationover 1.51.90Model chance53.1%EV+0.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:33
- over 1.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate67.7%Closing EV estimate+32.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:33
- over 2.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate41.3%Closing EV estimate+55.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:33
- over 3.5odds6.60Closing chance estimate20.8%Closing EV estimate+37.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:33
- over 4.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate8.8%Closing EV estimate−27.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:33
LiderbetAt recommendationover 1.51.90Model chance53.1%EV+0.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:04
- over 1.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate67.7%Closing EV estimate+32.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:34
- over 2.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate41.3%Closing EV estimate+55.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:34
- over 3.5odds6.60Closing chance estimate20.8%Closing EV estimate+37.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:04
- over 4.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate8.8%Closing EV estimate−27.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:06
Bet365Closing estimateover 1.51.91Model chance67.7%EV+29.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:15
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate+6.8%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:15
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate67.7%Closing EV estimate+29.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:15
- over 2.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate41.3%Closing EV estimate+65.3%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:15
- over 3.5odds10.00Closing chance estimate20.8%Closing EV estimate+107.9%margin4.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:15
- over 4.5odds26.00Closing chance estimate8.8%Closing EV estimate+128.7%margin2.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:15
SuperbetClosing estimateover 1.52.02Model chance67.7%EV+36.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate+9.3%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.02Closing chance estimate67.7%Closing EV estimate+36.8%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 2.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate41.3%Closing EV estimate+73.6%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 3.5odds9.80Closing chance estimate20.8%Closing EV estimate+103.8%margin6.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 4.5odds25.00Closing chance estimate8.8%Closing EV estimate+119.9%margin3.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:36: over 1.5 at 1.90 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPLost

over 31.53.30 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +68.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 31.53.30Model chance51.1%EV+68.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 22.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate90.4%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 23.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate87.0%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 24.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate83.0%Closing EV estimate+17.0%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 25.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+25.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 26.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate+31.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 27.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate+39.5%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 28.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate61.3%Closing EV estimate+47.2%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 29.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate+54.3%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 30.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate48.8%Closing EV estimate+61.1%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 31.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate42.6%Closing EV estimate+51.4%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:37

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 04:06: over 31.5 at 3.30 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 06:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Blackburn Rovers total

Open match →VIPWon

over 14.52.32 at Superbet+1.32u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +27.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 14.52.32Model chance55.1%EV+27.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:38
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate71.7%Closing EV estimate−12.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 10.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate61.1%Closing EV estimate−17.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 11.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate50.0%Closing EV estimate−23.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 12.5odds1.77Closing chance estimate39.3%Closing EV estimate−30.4%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 13.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate29.6%Closing EV estimate−37.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 14.5odds2.52Closing chance estimate21.4%Closing EV estimate−46.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 15.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate14.9%Closing EV estimate−53.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 16.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate9.9%Closing EV estimate−65.8%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
LiderbetClosing estimateover 14.52.20Model chance21.4%EV-52.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 11.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate50.0%Closing EV estimate−29.9%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- over 12.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate39.3%Closing EV estimate−37.1%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- over 13.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate29.6%Closing EV estimate−43.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- over 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate21.4%Closing EV estimate−52.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 09:47: over 14.5 at 2.32 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 9.52.00 at Crocobet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +17.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.52.00Model chance58.7%EV+17.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:07
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:07
- over 8.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate62.6%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:07
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:07
KambiAt recommendationover 9.52.07Model chance50.1%EV+3.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:39
- over 8.5odds1.62Closing chance estimate62.6%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:39
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.07Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 10.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate38.0%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
SuperbetAt recommendationover 9.52.12Model chance50.1%EV+6.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate91.4%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:38
- over 6.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate84.1%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:37
- over 7.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 8.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate62.6%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:37
- over 9.5odds2.17Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:37
- over 10.5odds2.82Closing chance estimate38.0%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:37
- over 11.5odds3.85Closing chance estimate27.4%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:37
- over 12.5odds5.25Closing chance estimate18.7%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:37
- over 13.5odds6.70Closing chance estimate12.2%Closing EV estimate−18.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.52.05Model chance50.1%EV+2.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- over 8.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate62.6%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- over 10.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate38.0%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 05:18: over 9.5 at 2.00 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 06:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Blackburn Rovers total

Open match →FreeWon

over 4.51.96 at Kambi+0.96u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +5.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 4.51.96Model chance53.7%EV+5.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:39
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate−24.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:39
- over 4.5odds2.04Closing chance estimate32.4%Closing EV estimate−34.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:39
- over 5.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate18.0%Closing EV estimate−46.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:39
SuperbetAt recommendationover 4.51.95Model chance54.7%EV+6.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate88.5%Closing EV estimate−9.7%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 2.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate72.0%Closing EV estimate−15.8%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 3.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate−23.8%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 4.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate32.4%Closing EV estimate−33.7%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 5.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate18.0%Closing EV estimate−47.9%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 6.5odds4.35Closing chance estimate8.9%Closing EV estimate−61.2%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 7.5odds6.50Closing chance estimate4.0%Closing EV estimate−74.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.51.80Model chance32.4%EV-41.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:07
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate−30.5%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:07
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate32.4%Closing EV estimate−41.8%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:07
- over 5.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate18.0%Closing EV estimate−55.1%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:07
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.51.90Model chance32.4%EV-38.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate−27.9%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate32.4%Closing EV estimate−38.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- over 5.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate18.0%Closing EV estimate−47.9%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:36: over 4.5 at 1.96 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 08:11. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Cardiff City total

Open match →FreeLost

over 4.51.88 at BetMGM UK−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +5.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 4.51.88Model chance56.2%EV+5.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:55
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+26.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:55
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.51.80Model chance70.2%EV+26.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:07
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate83.8%Closing EV estimate+13.2%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:07
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+26.4%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:07
- over 5.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate+35.6%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:07
KambiClosing estimateover 4.51.80Model chance70.2%EV+26.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate83.8%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:37
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+26.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:39
- over 5.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate+41.1%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:39
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.51.80Model chance70.2%EV+26.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate83.8%Closing EV estimate+13.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+26.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
- over 5.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate+35.6%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 05:33
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.51.92Model chance70.2%EV+34.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate98.0%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 2.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate93.2%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 3.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate83.8%Closing EV estimate+18.2%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.92Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+34.8%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 5.5odds2.67Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate+44.9%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 6.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate38.5%Closing EV estimate+50.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36
- over 7.5odds5.85Closing chance estimate25.1%Closing EV estimate+47.1%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 07:36

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 4.5 at 1.88 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+28.6%ROI · 10 units staked

Profit+2.86units

W / L6 / 4picks

Avg odds2.19settled picks

Recorded picks101 matches

Around this match

CompetitionChampionship Home teamBlackburn Rovers Away teamCardiff City RefereeTom Nield

Matches

Corners · match total

Corners · Blackburn Rovers total

Corners · Cardiff City total

Goals · Blackburn Rovers total

Goals · Cardiff City total

Shots · match total

Shots · Blackburn Rovers total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · Blackburn Rovers total

Shots on target · Cardiff City total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings