Avellino vs Sampdoria — Serie B
Serie BSerie B 26/27
Fri 9 Oct··Matchday 6·Partenio-Adriano Lombardi·Avellino won
Match overview
12 priority stats · full time- 0Corners6
- 4Cards1
- 9Shots12
- 4Shots on target3
- 11Fouls12
- 14Throw-ins25
- 3Offsides1
- 8Goal kicks5
- 2Saves0
- 21Tackles11
- 10Interceptions6
- 4Dribbles3
Board
Matches
AvellinovSampdoriaSerie B3 won / 9 lost · −5.75u · 12 picks
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 66.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.51. Expected value at recommendation: +22.8%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365At recommendationunder 4.52.10Model chance66.0%EV+38.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:51Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate67.1%Closing EV estimate+40.9%margin7.6%
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.51.85Model chance66.4%EV+22.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:39Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 0.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate2.3%Closing EV estimate−97.3%margin7.6%
- under 3.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate47.7%Closing EV estimate+23.9%margin9.9%
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate67.1%Closing EV estimate+24.1%margin7.5%
- under 5.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate81.8%Closing EV estimate+16.1%margin9.6%
BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.51.85Model chance67.1%EV+24.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:01Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 3.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate47.7%Closing EV estimate+33.5%margin13.8%
- under 4odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate67.1%Closing EV estimate+24.1%margin14.7%
- under 5odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%
- under 5.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate81.8%Closing EV estimate+18.6%margin13.4%
- under 6odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.9%
- under 6.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate91.1%Closing EV estimate+9.3%margin13.6%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.51.95Model chance67.1%EV+30.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 3.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate47.7%Closing EV estimate+33.5%margin13.8%
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate67.1%Closing EV estimate+30.8%margin13.8%
- under 5.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate81.8%Closing EV estimate+18.6%margin14.4%
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.51.75Model chance67.1%EV+17.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:04Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate27.1%Closing EV estimate+49.3%margin12.5%
- under 3.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate47.7%Closing EV estimate+19.2%margin14.1%
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate67.1%Closing EV estimate+17.4%margin14.3%
- under 5.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate81.8%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin14.0%
- under 6.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate91.1%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin13.3%
- under 7.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate96.1%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin13.1%
Recommendation record
Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 4.5 at 1.85 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 04:47. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 50.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +8.8%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 9.52.15Model chance50.6%EV+8.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 13:30Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 5.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate91.1%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin11.8%
- over 6.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate84.0%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin14.2%
- over 7.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate74.4%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin14.4%
- over 8.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate63.2%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin14.4%
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate51.2%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin13.6%
- over 10.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate39.6%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin14.0%
- over 11.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate29.2%Closing EV estimate−6.7%margin11.9%
- over 12.5odds4.35Closing chance estimate20.5%Closing EV estimate−10.8%margin12.3%
- over 13.5odds5.80Closing chance estimate13.8%Closing EV estimate−20.0%margin11.6%
CrocobetAt recommendationover 9.52.15Model chance50.6%EV+8.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 00:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 6.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate84.0%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin13.7%
- over 7.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate74.4%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin14.4%
- over 8.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate63.2%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin14.4%
- over 9.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate51.2%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin14.3%
- over 10.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate39.6%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin14.0%
- over 11.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate29.2%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin13.6%
LiderbetAt recommendationover 9.52.15Model chance50.6%EV+8.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:07Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 5.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate91.1%Closing EV estimate−7.1%margin12.7%
- over 6.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate84.0%Closing EV estimate−6.0%margin12.5%
- over 7.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate74.4%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin12.6%
- over 8.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate63.2%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin12.1%
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate51.2%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin13.2%
- over 10.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate39.6%Closing EV estimate−5.0%margin13.1%
- over 11.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate29.2%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin12.1%
- over 12.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate20.5%Closing EV estimate−7.7%margin12.3%
- over 13.5odds6.30Closing chance estimate13.8%Closing EV estimate−13.1%margin12.0%
SuperbetAt recommendationover 9.52.32Model chance50.0%EV+16.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 04:40Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate98.4%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin6.4%
- over 4.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate95.8%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin7.7%
- over 5.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate91.1%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin8.2%
- over 6.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate84.0%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin8.1%
- over 7.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate74.4%Closing EV estimate+13.9%margin7.9%
- over 8.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate63.2%Closing EV estimate+16.9%margin8.1%
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.32Closing chance estimate51.2%Closing EV estimate+18.8%margin8.0%
- over 10.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate39.6%Closing EV estimate+18.7%margin8.0%
- over 11.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate29.2%Closing EV estimate+13.8%margin8.3%
- over 12.5odds5.25Closing chance estimate20.5%Closing EV estimate+7.7%margin8.3%
- over 13.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate13.8%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin7.7%
Recommendation record
Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 9.5 at 2.15 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 51.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +13.5%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.52.20Model chance51.6%EV+13.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:51Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+15.2%margin7.4%
BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 4.52.17Model chance51.6%EV+12.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:55Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin9.1%
BetliveAt recommendationover 4.52.00Model chance51.2%EV+2.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 13:30Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin12.3%
- over 3.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate70.0%Closing EV estimate−4.8%margin12.0%
- over 4.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate−8.4%margin12.7%
- over 5.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate35.5%Closing EV estimate−11.3%margin11.4%
- over 6.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate21.9%Closing EV estimate−17.9%margin12.1%
KambiAt recommendationover 4.52.20Model chance51.6%EV+13.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 06:39Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate70.0%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin9.2%
- over 4.5odds1.98Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin9.0%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.51.75Model chance52.3%EV-8.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 01:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate70.0%Closing EV estimate−5.5%margin14.1%
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate−8.4%margin14.3%
- over 5.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate35.5%Closing EV estimate−11.3%margin14.1%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.51.75Model chance52.3%EV-8.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:07Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate−7.3%margin12.6%
- over 3.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate70.0%Closing EV estimate−6.9%margin12.9%
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate−8.4%margin12.7%
- over 5.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate35.5%Closing EV estimate−11.3%margin13.0%
- over 6.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate21.9%Closing EV estimate−14.7%margin12.6%
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.52.15Model chance52.3%EV+12.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 04:40Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate94.8%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin8.0%
- over 2.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate+8.0%margin7.7%
- over 3.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate70.0%Closing EV estimate+12.0%margin8.0%
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+12.6%margin8.2%
- over 5.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate35.5%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin8.0%
- over 6.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate21.9%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin7.7%
- over 7.5odds6.70Closing chance estimate12.3%Closing EV estimate−17.3%margin7.5%
Recommendation record
Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 4.5 at 2.20 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 55.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +10.1%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.52.00Model chance55.1%EV+10.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:51Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate55.2%Closing EV estimate+10.4%margin7.9%
BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 4.52.00Model chance55.1%EV+10.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:55Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5odds1.97Closing chance estimate55.2%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin8.9%
BetliveAt recommendationover 4.51.90Model chance54.6%EV+3.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 13:30Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate86.5%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin12.3%
- over 3.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin12.2%
- over 4.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate55.2%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin11.1%
- over 5.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate38.3%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin12.5%
- over 6.5odds3.85Closing chance estimate24.2%Closing EV estimate−6.8%margin12.2%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.51.75Model chance55.2%EV-3.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 01:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin14.1%
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate55.2%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin14.3%
- over 5.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate38.3%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin14.1%
KambiAt recommendationover 4.51.96Model chance55.1%EV+7.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 06:39Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5odds1.97Closing chance estimate55.2%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin8.9%
SuperbetAt recommendationover 4.52.00Model chance55.1%EV+10.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 04:40Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate95.4%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin7.7%
- over 2.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate86.5%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin8.0%
- over 3.5odds1.54Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin8.0%
- over 4.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate55.2%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin8.0%
- over 5.5odds2.87Closing chance estimate38.3%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin7.8%
- over 6.5odds4.15Closing chance estimate24.2%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin8.1%
- over 7.5odds6.10Closing chance estimate14.0%Closing EV estimate−14.5%margin8.1%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.51.80Model chance55.2%EV-0.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:07Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate86.5%Closing EV estimate−5.7%margin13.0%
- over 3.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin12.5%
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate55.2%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin12.7%
- over 5.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate38.3%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin12.7%
- over 6.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate24.2%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin12.7%
Recommendation record
Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 4.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 51.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +2.2%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 2.52.00Model chance51.1%EV+2.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:51Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate93.9%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin4.3%
- over 1.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate76.9%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin6.7%
- over 2.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin5.3%
- over 3.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate30.8%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin5.8%
- over 4.5odds6.50Closing chance estimate15.2%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin5.4%
- over 5.5odds13.00Closing chance estimate6.5%Closing EV estimate−15.6%margin3.8%
- over 6.5odds26.00Closing chance estimate2.4%Closing EV estimate−36.8%margin2.9%
BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 2.52.10Model chance51.1%EV+7.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:55Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin8.8%
PinnacleAt recommendationover 2.52.06Model chance51.1%EV+5.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:20Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.25odds1.69Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin3.7%
- over 2.5odds1.94Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin3.4%
- over 2.75odds2.19Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin3.8%
SuperbetAt recommendationover 2.52.05Model chance50.6%EV+3.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:39Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate93.9%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin4.3%
- over 1.25odds1.17Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%
- over 1.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate76.9%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin4.9%
- over 1.75odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.4%
- over 2odds1.42Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.5%
- over 2.25odds1.66Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.3%
- over 2.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin4.7%
- over 2.75odds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin5.7%
- over 3odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.1%
- over 3.25odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.1%
- over 3.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate30.8%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin5.3%
- over 4.5odds6.30Closing chance estimate15.2%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin5.2%
- over 5.5odds13.00Closing chance estimate6.5%Closing EV estimate−15.6%margin3.8%
- over 6.5odds28.00Closing chance estimate2.4%Closing EV estimate−31.9%margin2.7%
Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 2.52.02Model chance53.0%EV+7.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:20Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate93.9%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin0.6%
- over 0.75odds1.08Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.9%
- over 1odds1.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.1%
- over 1.25odds1.22Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.5%
- over 1.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate76.9%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin0.8%
- over 1.75odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.8%
- over 2odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.8%
- over 2.25odds1.76Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.1%
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.02Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin0.5%
- over 2.75odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin2.3%
- over 3odds2.81Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.8%
- over 3.25odds3.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.7%
- over 3.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate30.8%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin0.8%
- over 3.75odds4.58Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.2%
- over 4odds6.77Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.0%
- over 4.25odds7.38Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.5%
- over 4.5odds8.00Closing chance estimate15.2%Closing EV estimate+21.6%margin1.0%
- over 4.75odds10.77Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.0%
- over 5odds17.18Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.1%
- over 5.25odds17.84Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.8%
- over 5.5odds18.50Closing chance estimate6.5%Closing EV estimate+20.1%margin0.6%
- over 5.75odds26.68Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin2.8%
- over 6odds49.24Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.0%
- over 6.25odds50.12Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.0%
- over 6.5odds50.00Closing chance estimate2.4%Closing EV estimate+21.6%margin1.0%
BetliveClosing estimateover 2.51.80Model chance53.0%EV-4.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate93.9%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin11.8%
- over 1odds1.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%
- over 1.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate76.9%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin11.9%
- over 2odds1.38Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate−4.6%margin11.1%
- over 3odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%
- over 3.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate30.8%Closing EV estimate−12.4%margin12.0%
- over 4odds4.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%
- over 4.5odds4.90Closing chance estimate15.2%Closing EV estimate−25.5%margin12.2%
- over 5odds6.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%
- over 5.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate6.5%Closing EV estimate−54.6%margin12.3%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.51.80Model chance53.0%EV-4.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 10:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate93.9%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin11.8%
- over 1odds1.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%
- over 1.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate76.9%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin11.9%
- over 2odds1.38Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate−4.6%margin11.1%
- over 3odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%
- over 3.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate30.8%Closing EV estimate−12.4%margin12.0%
- over 4odds4.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%
- over 4.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate15.2%Closing EV estimate−27.1%margin12.6%
- over 5odds6.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%
- over 5.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate6.5%Closing EV estimate−54.6%margin12.3%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.51.80Model chance53.0%EV-4.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:07Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate93.9%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin11.8%
- over 1odds1.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%
- over 1.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate76.9%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin11.9%
- over 2odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.6%
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate−4.6%margin11.1%
- over 3odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%
- over 3.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate30.8%Closing EV estimate−12.4%margin12.0%
- over 4odds4.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%
- over 4.5odds4.85Closing chance estimate15.2%Closing EV estimate−26.3%margin12.4%
- over 5odds6.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%
- over 5.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate6.5%Closing EV estimate−54.6%margin12.3%
- over 120.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%
- over 123.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 2.51.91Model chance53.0%EV+1.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:55Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate93.9%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin8.0%
- over 1.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate76.9%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin8.1%
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin7.9%
- over 3.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate30.8%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin8.1%
- over 4.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate15.2%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin7.7%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: over 2.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 59.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +55.5%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 1.52.63Model chance59.1%EV+55.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:55Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate41.3%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin9.6%
Bet365Closing estimateover 1.52.38Model chance41.3%EV-2.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:05Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin6.3%
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.38Closing chance estimate41.3%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin7.3%
- over 2.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate17.0%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin5.6%
- over 3.5odds15.00Closing chance estimate5.5%Closing EV estimate−17.2%margin3.8%
- over 4.5odds41.00Closing chance estimate1.5%Closing EV estimate−39.4%margin2.0%
BetliveClosing estimateover 1.52.25Model chance41.3%EV-7.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 10:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin11.6%
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate41.3%Closing EV estimate−7.2%margin12.0%
- over 2.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate17.0%Closing EV estimate−22.0%margin11.8%
- over 3.5odds7.40Closing chance estimate5.5%Closing EV estimate−59.2%margin11.6%
- over 4.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate1.5%Closing EV estimate−87.9%margin11.2%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 1.52.25Model chance41.3%EV-7.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 10:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin11.6%
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate41.3%Closing EV estimate−7.2%margin12.5%
- over 2.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate17.0%Closing EV estimate−22.0%margin11.8%
- over 3.5odds7.40Closing chance estimate5.5%Closing EV estimate−59.2%margin11.6%
- over 4.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate1.5%Closing EV estimate−87.9%margin11.2%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 1.52.25Model chance41.3%EV-7.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:07Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin11.6%
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate41.3%Closing EV estimate−7.2%margin11.1%
- over 2.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate17.0%Closing EV estimate−22.0%margin11.8%
- over 3.5odds7.40Closing chance estimate5.5%Closing EV estimate−59.2%margin11.6%
- over 4.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate1.5%Closing EV estimate−87.9%margin11.2%
SuperbetClosing estimateover 1.52.35Model chance41.3%EV-3.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:40Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin7.1%
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimate41.3%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin7.1%
- over 2.5odds5.45Closing chance estimate17.0%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin6.8%
- over 3.5odds14.00Closing chance estimate5.5%Closing EV estimate−22.7%margin5.2%
- over 4.5odds37.00Closing chance estimate1.5%Closing EV estimate−45.3%margin2.5%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: over 1.5 at 2.63 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 17:36. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 52.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +15.8%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
LiderbetAt recommendationover 27.52.00Model chance51.1%EV+2.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:04Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 25.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate67.2%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin14.5%
- over 26.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate60.8%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin14.3%
- over 27.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin14.5%
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 27.52.20Model chance52.6%EV+15.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:40Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 22.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate83.5%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin8.0%
- over 23.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin8.0%
- over 24.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate73.2%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin8.2%
- over 25.5odds1.64Closing chance estimate67.2%Closing EV estimate+10.2%margin8.1%
- over 26.5odds1.87Closing chance estimate60.8%Closing EV estimate+13.8%margin7.5%
- over 27.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate+16.7%margin8.6%
- over 28.5odds2.47Closing chance estimate47.7%Closing EV estimate+17.7%margin9.9%
- over 29.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate41.2%Closing EV estimate+19.5%margin10.2%
- over 30.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate35.1%Closing EV estimate+21.1%margin11.0%
Recommendation record
Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 27.5 at 2.20 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 00:11. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 60.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.65. Expected value at recommendation: +36.6%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.52.25Model chance60.7%EV+36.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:40Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 9.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate13.6%Closing EV estimate−48.4%margin7.6%
- under 10.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate20.7%Closing EV estimate−39.9%margin8.0%
- under 11.5odds2.32Closing chance estimate29.3%Closing EV estimate−31.9%margin8.0%
- under 12.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate−25.1%margin7.6%
- under 13.5odds1.64Closing chance estimate49.1%Closing EV estimate−19.5%margin8.1%
- under 14.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate59.0%Closing EV estimate−14.4%margin7.9%
- under 15.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate68.1%Closing EV estimate−10.8%margin8.1%
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 11.52.10Model chance29.3%EV-38.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:04Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate29.3%Closing EV estimate−38.4%margin14.3%
- under 12.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate−31.7%margin14.3%
- under 13.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate49.1%Closing EV estimate−23.9%margin14.5%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: under 11.5 at 2.25 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 17:36. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 56.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +6.9%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 13.51.88Model chance56.9%EV+6.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:40Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 10.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate84.3%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin8.0%
- over 11.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate76.9%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin8.1%
- over 12.5odds1.63Closing chance estimate68.2%Closing EV estimate+11.2%margin7.9%
- over 13.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate58.7%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin8.2%
- over 14.5odds2.27Closing chance estimate48.9%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin7.7%
- over 15.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate39.4%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin7.8%
- over 16.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate30.7%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin8.0%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 13.51.75Model chance58.7%EV+2.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:04Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 12.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate68.2%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin14.5%
- over 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate58.7%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin14.3%
- over 14.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate48.9%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin14.5%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 08:11: over 13.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 11:22. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 54.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +6.5%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 8.51.95Model chance54.6%EV+6.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:40Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate95.1%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin11.2%
- over 5.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate89.7%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin7.9%
- over 6.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate81.4%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin11.0%
- over 7.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate70.6%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin8.0%
- over 8.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate58.2%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin8.1%
- over 9.5odds2.37Closing chance estimate45.4%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin9.3%
- over 10.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate33.4%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin10.5%
- over 11.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate23.3%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin11.0%
- over 12.5odds5.90Closing chance estimate15.4%Closing EV estimate−9.2%margin11.3%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.51.80Model chance58.2%EV+4.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:04Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 7.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate70.6%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin14.3%
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate58.2%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin14.4%
- over 9.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate45.4%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin14.0%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 04:48: over 8.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 07:36. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 57.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +21.1%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.52.12Model chance57.1%EV+21.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:40Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 0.5odds16.00Closing chance estimate1.0%Closing EV estimate−83.8%margin—
- under 1.5odds7.10Closing chance estimate5.6%Closing EV estimate−60.3%margin11.2%
- under 2.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate16.1%Closing EV estimate−41.4%margin11.4%
- under 3.5odds2.27Closing chance estimate32.1%Closing EV estimate−27.2%margin9.4%
- under 4.5odds1.62Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate−18.2%margin8.9%
- under 5.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate−13.4%margin10.9%
- under 6.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate80.9%Closing EV estimate−9.4%margin11.5%
- under 7.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate89.8%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin10.9%
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.52.00Model chance32.1%EV-35.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:04Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate32.1%Closing EV estimate−35.9%margin14.5%
- under 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate−24.2%margin14.3%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: under 3.5 at 2.12 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 17:36. The original pick remains in the results.
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 51.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +56.0%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 5.53.05Model chance51.1%EV+56.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:40Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate94.5%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin11.2%
- over 2.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate84.1%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin10.7%
- over 3.5odds1.51Closing chance estimate68.2%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin9.3%
- over 4.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin8.6%
- over 5.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate32.7%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin10.3%
- over 6.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate19.3%Closing EV estimate−13.0%margin11.5%
- over 7.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate10.4%Closing EV estimate−29.5%margin10.9%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: over 5.5 at 3.05 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 17:36. The original pick remains in the results.
Predictions