Athletico vs Atlético Mineiro 2-2 — Brasileirão Série A

Brasileirão Série ABrasileiro Serie A 2026

Athletico

2–2

HT 1–1

Atlético Mineiro

Thu 8 Oct·17:00·Matchday 29·Ligga Arena·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

10Corners3
0Cards2
31Shots15
10Shots on target9
13Fouls11
18Throw-ins17
0Offsides1
6Goal kicks13
7Saves8
12Tackles9
8Interceptions11
3Dribbles4

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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0Free available0VIP available12Recorded Free3Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

17:00AthleticovAtlético MineiroBrasileirão Série A11 won / 4 lost · +6.86u · 15 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 4.5Actual: 2+1.10u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.106 Oct, 17:03

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.77
Expected value at recommendation: +19.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +19.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.2%EV+15.2%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.2%EV+18.0%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation1.98
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.2%EV+11.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.2%EV+15.2%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.7%EV+19.1%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.5%EV+1.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 17:03: under 4.5 at 2.10 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 16:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Cards · Atlético Mineiro total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 2+1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.006 Oct, 17:03

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 62.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.62
Expected value at recommendation: +23.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 62.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.62. Expected value at recommendation: +23.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance62.0%EV+14.6%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance62.0%EV+20.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation1.96
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance61.5%EV+20.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance62.0%EV+23.9%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 17:03: under 2.5 at 2.00 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 10:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 10.5Actual: 13−1.00u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.956 Oct, 17:03

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.81
Expected value at recommendation: +8.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.81. Expected value at recommendation: +8.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationunder 10.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.4%EV+8.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.73
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.9%EV-12.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.9%EV-16.0%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.9%EV-16.0%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.9%EV-18.6%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.9%EV-16.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.67
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.9%EV-15.2%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.73
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.9%EV-12.0%
17 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 17:03: under 10.5 at 1.95 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 04:48. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Athletico total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 5.5Actual: 10−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.006 Oct, 17:03

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.94
Expected value at recommendation: +3.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +3.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.6%EV+3.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.8%EV+6.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.8%EV+3.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.7%EV+5.4%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.2%EV-5.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.72
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.2%EV-12.0%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.2%EV+2.3%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 17:03: under 5.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Corners · Atlético Mineiro total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.007 Oct, 09:17

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.99
Expected value at recommendation: +0.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +0.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.3%EV+0.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.96
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.2%EV+6.3%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.3%EV+0.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.12
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.8%EV+14.1%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.6%EV+3.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.6%EV+22.4%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 09:17: over 4.5 at 2.00 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 7 Oct, 15:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 26.5Actual: 24+0.88u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.888 Oct, 04:48

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 61.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.62
Expected value at recommendation: +16.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 61.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.62. Expected value at recommendation: +16.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetClosing estimateunder 26.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.7%EV+15.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 26.5
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance61.9%EV+16.4%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:48: under 26.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · Atlético Mineiro total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 13.5Actual: 11+0.90u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.907 Oct, 05:03

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 71.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.40
Expected value at recommendation: +35.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 71.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.40. Expected value at recommendation: +35.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetClosing estimateunder 13.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance72.6%EV+30.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 13.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance72.6%EV+23.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 13.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance71.5%EV+35.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 05:03: under 13.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 4+1.05u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.058 Oct, 10:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.92
Expected value at recommendation: +7.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +7.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.3%EV+7.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.3%EV+7.3%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.2%EV+4.0%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.96
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.2%EV+10.2%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.2%EV+1.2%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.2%EV+1.2%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.2%EV+1.2%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.2%EV+4.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:42: over 2.5 at 2.05 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 16:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 27.5Actual: 46+1.38u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.386 Oct, 17:03

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.97
Expected value at recommendation: +20.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.97. Expected value at recommendation: +20.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetAt recommendationover 27.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.7%EV+6.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 27.5
At recommendation2.38
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.8%EV+20.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 27.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.0%EV+11.9%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 27.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.0%EV+3.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 17:03: over 27.5 at 2.38 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · Athletico total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 14.5Actual: 31+0.90u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.906 Oct, 17:03

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 59.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.69
Expected value at recommendation: +12.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.69. Expected value at recommendation: +12.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 14.5
At recommendation1.89
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.4%EV+8.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 14.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.4%EV+12.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 14.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.8%EV+17.6%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.4%EV+7.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.4%EV-0.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.4%EV+2.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 17:03: over 14.5 at 1.90 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · Atlético Mineiro total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 11.5Actual: 15+1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.006 Oct, 17:03

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.82
Expected value at recommendation: +10.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +10.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 11.5
At recommendation1.86
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.3%EV+3.0%
CrocobetAt recommendationover 11.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.1%EV+3.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 11.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.1%EV+10.1%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 11.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.1%EV+15.1%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.1%EV+17.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.1%EV+12.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 17:03: over 11.5 at 2.00 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 19+0.85u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.858 Oct, 08:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 57.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.75
Expected value at recommendation: +5.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.75. Expected value at recommendation: +5.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.4%EV+17.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.2%EV+5.7%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.4%EV+11.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.4%EV+16.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.02
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.4%EV+28.1%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 08:22: over 8.5 at 1.85 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 10:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Athletico total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 10+0.88u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.888 Oct, 06:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 59.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.68
Expected value at recommendation: +12.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +12.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.6%EV+12.0%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.6%EV+9.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.6%EV+6.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.63
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.6%EV-1.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.6%EV+3.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 06:06: over 4.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Atlético Mineiro total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 9+0.92u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.927 Oct, 05:03

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.85
Expected value at recommendation: +4.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.85. Expected value at recommendation: +4.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.7%EV+2.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.3%EV+4.2%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.8%EV+16.6%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.73
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.8%EV+12.1%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.8%EV+13.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 05:03: over 3.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 16:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 37.5Actual: 35−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.108 Oct, 09:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 63.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.59
Expected value at recommendation: +32.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 63.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.59. Expected value at recommendation: +32.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 37.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance63.1%EV+32.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 09:42: over 37.5 at 2.10 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 13:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+45.7%ROI · 15 units staked

Profit+6.86units

W / L11 / 4picks

Avg odds1.99settled picks

Recorded picks151 matches

Around this match

CompetitionBrasileirão Série A Home teamAthletico Away teamAtlético Mineiro RefereeAbel, Ramon Abatti

Match overview

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