Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe — UEFA Champions League

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 26/27

Today··Matchday 2·Villa Park, Birmingham

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1 match
Aston VillavFenerbahçeUEFA Champions League4 picks · 1 active

Corners · Aston Villa total

Open match →FreeActive
under 5.52.00 at Paddy Power

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Current model chance 62.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.60. Current expected value: +25.7%.

This league is still collecting results. The bookmaker’s overall market record determines the tier. View benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambirecorded bookmakerCurrentunder 5.51.90Model chance62.9%EV+19.5%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 02:20

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 3.5odds3.90Current model chance29.6%Current EV+15.6%margin9.0%Validated estimate
    • under 4.5odds2.60Current model chance46.6%Current EV+21.2%margin8.9%Validated estimate
    • under 5.5best current valueodds1.90Current model chance62.9%Current EV+19.5%margin8.8%Validated estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.52Current model chance76.3%Current EV+15.9%margin8.7%Validated estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.30Current model chance85.9%Current EV+11.7%margin9.2%Validated estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.17Current model chance92.3%Current EV+7.9%margin9.3%Validated estimate
  • Paddy Powercurrent suggestionCurrentunder 5.52.00Model chance62.9%EV+25.7%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 03:21

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 2.5odds9.00Current model chance15.1%Current EV+35.8%margin8.2%Validated estimate
    • under 3.5odds4.80Current model chance29.6%Current EV+42.3%margin8.3%Validated estimate
    • under 4.5odds2.88Current model chance46.6%Current EV+34.0%margin8.1%Validated estimate
    • under 5.5best current valueodds2.00Current model chance62.9%Current EV+25.7%margin7.9%Validated estimate
  • Bet365Currentunder 5.52.00Model chance62.9%EV+25.7%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 13:29

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 5.5best current valueodds2.00Current model chance62.9%Current EV+25.7%margin7.9%Validated estimate
  • BetliveCurrentunder 5.52.10Model chance62.9%EV+32.0%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 23:41

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 4.5odds3.05Current model chance46.6%Current EV+42.1%margin11.5%Validated estimate
    • under 5.5best current valueodds2.10Current model chance62.9%Current EV+32.0%margin12.1%Validated estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.60Current model chance76.3%Current EV+22.0%margin12.5%Validated estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.32Current model chance85.9%Current EV+13.4%margin12.1%Validated estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.14Current model chance92.3%Current EV+5.2%margin12.4%Validated estimate
  • CrocobetCurrentunder 5.52.10Model chance62.9%EV+32.0%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 02:18

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 3.5odds5.25Current model chance29.6%Current EV+55.6%margin11.6%Validated estimate
    • under 4.5odds2.95Current model chance46.6%Current EV+37.5%margin12.0%Validated estimate
    • under 5.5best current valueodds2.10Current model chance62.9%Current EV+32.0%margin12.1%Validated estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.60Current model chance76.3%Current EV+22.0%margin12.5%Validated estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.33Current model chance85.9%Current EV+14.3%margin12.2%Validated estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.15Current model chance92.3%Current EV+6.1%margin12.0%Validated estimate
  • LiderbetCurrentunder 5.52.15Model chance62.9%EV+35.2%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 00:34

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 4.5odds3.10Current model chance46.6%Current EV+44.5%margin12.3%Validated estimate
    • under 5.5best current valueodds2.15Current model chance62.9%Current EV+35.2%margin13.2%Validated estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.60Current model chance76.3%Current EV+22.0%margin11.3%Validated estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.30Current model chance85.9%Current EV+11.7%margin12.6%Validated estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.13Current model chance92.3%Current EV+4.2%margin12.0%Validated estimate
  • SuperbetCurrentunder 5.52.12Model chance62.9%EV+33.3%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 02:46

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 0.5odds50.00Current model chance1.0%Current EV−48.2%margin—Validated estimate
    • under 1.5odds18.00Current model chance5.4%Current EV−2.1%margin4.6%Validated estimate
    • under 2.5odds8.10Current model chance15.1%Current EV+22.2%margin6.7%Validated estimate
    • under 3.5odds4.65Current model chance29.6%Current EV+37.8%margin7.0%Validated estimate
    • under 4.5odds2.95Current model chance46.6%Current EV+37.5%margin7.4%Validated estimate
    • under 5.5best current valueodds2.12Current model chance62.9%Current EV+33.3%margin7.1%Validated estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.66Current model chance76.3%Current EV+26.6%margin6.8%Validated estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.39Current model chance85.9%Current EV+19.5%margin6.8%Validated estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.22Current model chance92.3%Current EV+12.5%margin7.0%Validated estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.12Current model chance96.0%Current EV+7.5%margin7.1%Validated estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.06Current model chance98.1%Current EV+3.9%margin7.0%Validated estimate

Use another bookmaker? Match this exact statistic, scope, direction and line. Compare your odds with the minimum above; another line needs its own model price.

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:36: under 5.5 at 2.02 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 10:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Fenerbahçe total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended
over 3.51.92 at Kambi

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +3.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 3.51.92Model chance53.6%EV+3.0%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 02:20

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 2.5odds1.25Current model chance80.4%Current EV+0.4%margin9.4%Weak evidence
    • over 3.5odds1.58Current model chance63.6%Current EV+0.4%margin9.2%Weak evidence
    • over 4.5odds2.14Current model chance45.6%Current EV−2.4%margin8.8%Weak evidence
    • over 5.5odds3.05Current model chance29.7%Current EV−9.3%margin8.5%Weak evidence
    • over 6.5odds4.40Current model chance17.8%Current EV−21.9%margin8.9%Weak evidence
  • Bet365Currentover 3.51.61Model chance63.6%EV+2.7%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 13:29

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 3.5same line and oddsodds1.61Current model chance63.6%Current EV+2.7%margin7.4%Weak evidence
  • BetliveCurrentover 3.51.55Model chance63.6%EV-1.5%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 00:33

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 2.5odds1.22Current model chance80.4%Current EV−2.0%margin11.8%Weak evidence
    • over 3.5same line and oddsodds1.55Current model chance63.6%Current EV−1.5%margin13.3%Weak evidence
    • over 4.5odds2.20Current model chance45.6%Current EV+0.3%margin12.1%Weak evidence
    • over 5.5odds3.40Current model chance29.7%Current EV+1.1%margin12.1%Weak evidence
    • over 6.5odds5.50Current model chance17.8%Current EV−2.4%margin11.6%Weak evidence
  • CrocobetCurrentover 3.51.60Model chance63.6%EV+1.7%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 05:29

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 1.5odds1.05Current model chance92.5%Current EV−2.9%margin11.9%Weak evidence
    • over 2.5odds1.25Current model chance80.4%Current EV+0.4%margin12.3%Weak evidence
    • over 3.5same line and oddsodds1.60Current model chance63.6%Current EV+1.7%margin12.5%Weak evidence
    • over 4.5odds2.20Current model chance45.6%Current EV+0.3%margin12.1%Weak evidence
    • over 5.5odds3.30Current model chance29.7%Current EV−1.9%margin12.3%Weak evidence
    • over 6.5odds6.00Current model chance17.8%Current EV+6.5%margin11.9%Weak evidence
  • LiderbetCurrentover 3.51.55Model chance63.6%EV-1.5%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 00:34

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 2.5odds1.20Current model chance80.4%Current EV−3.6%margin11.9%Weak evidence
    • over 3.5same line and oddsodds1.55Current model chance63.6%Current EV−1.5%margin12.1%Weak evidence
    • over 4.5odds2.25Current model chance45.6%Current EV+2.6%margin11.1%Weak evidence
    • over 5.5odds3.50Current model chance29.7%Current EV+4.1%margin12.6%Weak evidence
    • over 6.5odds5.80Current model chance17.8%Current EV+3.0%margin12.5%Weak evidence
  • Paddy PowerCurrentover 3.51.60Model chance63.6%EV+1.7%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 03:21

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 2.5odds1.22Current model chance80.4%Current EV−1.8%margin8.1%Weak evidence
    • over 3.5same line and oddsodds1.60Current model chance63.6%Current EV+1.7%margin8.0%Weak evidence
    • over 4.5odds2.25Current model chance45.6%Current EV+2.6%margin8.1%Weak evidence
    • over 5.5odds3.60Current model chance29.7%Current EV+7.1%margin7.8%Weak evidence
  • SuperbetCurrentover 3.51.69Model chance63.6%EV+7.4%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 02:46

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 0.5odds1.01Current model chance98.5%Current EV−0.6%margin4.9%Weak evidence
    • over 1.5odds1.10Current model chance92.5%Current EV+1.7%margin7.0%Weak evidence
    • over 2.5odds1.31Current model chance80.4%Current EV+5.3%margin7.1%Weak evidence
    • over 3.5same line and oddsodds1.69Current model chance63.6%Current EV+7.4%margin6.8%Weak evidence
    • over 4.5odds2.32Current model chance45.6%Current EV+5.8%margin6.8%Weak evidence
    • over 5.5odds3.35Current model chance29.7%Current EV−0.4%margin6.8%Weak evidence
    • over 6.5odds5.00Current model chance17.8%Current EV−11.2%margin7.0%Weak evidence
    • over 7.5odds7.60Current model chance9.8%Current EV−25.7%margin6.6%Weak evidence
    • over 8.5odds12.00Current model chance5.0%Current EV−40.1%margin5.4%Weak evidence
    • over 9.5odds19.00Current model chance2.4%Current EV−54.6%margin4.3%Weak evidence
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:36: over 3.5 at 1.92 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 10:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Aston Villa total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended
under 15.51.91 at Bet365

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +2.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 15.51.91Model chance53.6%EV+2.4%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 13:29

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 15.5best current valueodds1.91Current model chance52.6%Current EV+0.4%margin7.9%Validated estimate
  • BetliveCurrentunder 15.51.75Model chance52.6%EV-8.0%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 00:33

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 13.5odds2.60Current model chance37.9%Current EV−1.4%margin12.0%Validated estimate
    • under 14odds2.40Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin12.1%Model unavailable
    • under 14.5odds2.10Current model chance45.2%Current EV−5.1%margin12.1%Validated estimate
    • under 15odds1.95Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin11.9%Model unavailable
    • under 15.5same line and oddsodds1.75Current model chance52.6%Current EV−8.0%margin11.2%Validated estimate
    • under 16odds1.60Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin12.5%Model unavailable
    • under 16.5odds1.50Current model chance59.8%Current EV−10.3%margin13.2%Validated estimate
    • under 17odds1.39Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin11.9%Model unavailable
    • under 17.5odds1.34Current model chance66.7%Current EV−10.6%margin11.7%Validated estimate
  • CrocobetCurrentunder 15.51.70Model chance52.6%EV-10.6%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 00:59

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 12.5odds3.30Current model chance30.9%Current EV+1.9%margin12.3%Validated estimate
    • under 13.5odds2.65Current model chance37.9%Current EV+0.5%margin11.8%Validated estimate
    • under 14.5odds2.00Current model chance45.2%Current EV−9.6%margin12.5%Validated estimate
    • under 15.5same line and oddsodds1.70Current model chance52.6%Current EV−10.6%margin11.5%Validated estimate
    • under 16.5odds1.50Current model chance59.8%Current EV−10.3%margin12.1%Validated estimate
    • under 17.5odds1.30Current model chance66.7%Current EV−13.3%margin12.0%Validated estimate
    • under 18.5odds1.18Current model chance73.1%Current EV−13.7%margin11.8%Validated estimate
  • KambiCurrentunder 15.51.75Model chance52.6%EV-8.0%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 02:20

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 14.5odds2.04Current model chance45.2%Current EV−7.8%margin11.5%Validated estimate
    • under 15.5same line and oddsodds1.75Current model chance52.6%Current EV−8.0%margin11.8%Validated estimate
    • under 16.5odds1.55Current model chance59.8%Current EV−7.3%margin11.7%Validated estimate
  • LiderbetCurrentunder 15.51.70Model chance52.6%EV-10.6%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 10:18

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 14.5odds2.00Current model chance45.2%Current EV−9.6%margin12.5%Validated estimate
    • under 15.5same line and oddsodds1.70Current model chance52.6%Current EV−10.6%margin11.5%Validated estimate
  • SuperbetCurrentunder 15.52.02Model chance52.6%EV+6.2%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 03:12

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • under 13.5odds2.85Current model chance37.9%Current EV+8.1%margin10.3%Validated estimate
    • under 14.5odds2.40Current model chance45.2%Current EV+8.5%margin7.9%Validated estimate
    • under 15.5best current valueodds2.02Current model chance52.6%Current EV+6.2%margin8.0%Validated estimate
    • under 16.5odds1.74Current model chance59.8%Current EV+4.1%margin8.2%Validated estimate
    • under 17.5odds1.52Current model chance66.7%Current EV+1.4%margin9.3%Validated estimate
    • under 18.5odds1.37Current model chance73.1%Current EV+0.1%margin10.0%Validated estimate
    • under 19.5odds1.26Current model chance78.8%Current EV−0.7%margin10.6%Validated estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 18:18: under 15.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 13:25. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Fenerbahçe total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended
over 3.51.94 at BetMGM UK

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.72. Expected value at recommendation: +13.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 3.51.94Model chance58.4%EV+13.2%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 02:16

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 3.5odds1.63Current model chance57.1%Current EV−7.0%margin10.9%Validated estimate
  • Bet365Currentover 3.51.73Model chance57.1%EV-1.4%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 13:29

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 3.5same line and oddsodds1.73Current model chance57.1%Current EV−1.4%margin7.9%Validated estimate
  • BetliveCurrentover 3.51.70Model chance57.1%EV-3.0%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 00:33

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 3odds1.40Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin12.2%Model unavailable
    • over 3.5same line and oddsodds1.70Current model chance57.1%Current EV−3.0%margin11.5%Validated estimate
    • over 4odds2.05Current model chanceModel unavailableCurrent EV—margin13.3%Model unavailable
    • over 4.5odds2.45Current model chance38.1%Current EV−6.6%margin12.2%Validated estimate
  • CrocobetCurrentover 3.51.70Model chance57.1%EV-3.0%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 00:59

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 1.5odds1.04Current model chance90.6%Current EV−5.8%margin11.5%Validated estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.28Current model chance76.1%Current EV−2.6%margin12.0%Validated estimate
    • over 3.5same line and oddsodds1.70Current model chance57.1%Current EV−3.0%margin11.5%Validated estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.45Current model chance38.1%Current EV−6.6%margin12.2%Validated estimate
    • over 5.5odds4.50Current model chance22.8%Current EV+2.4%margin11.5%Validated estimate
  • KambiCurrentover 3.51.63Model chance57.1%EV-7.0%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 02:20

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 2.5odds1.24Current model chance76.1%Current EV−5.7%margin11.4%Validated estimate
    • over 3.5same line and oddsodds1.63Current model chance57.1%Current EV−7.0%margin10.9%Validated estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.35Current model chance38.1%Current EV−10.4%margin11.0%Validated estimate
    • over 5.5odds3.55Current model chance22.8%Current EV−19.2%margin11.5%Validated estimate
  • LiderbetCurrentover 3.51.70Model chance57.1%EV-3.0%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 10:18

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 3.5same line and oddsodds1.70Current model chance57.1%Current EV−3.0%margin11.5%Validated estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.45Current model chance38.1%Current EV−6.6%margin12.2%Validated estimate
  • SuperbetCurrentover 3.51.74Model chance57.1%EV-0.7%
    Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 02:20

    Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.

    • over 1.5odds1.07Current model chance90.6%Current EV−3.1%margin10.8%Validated estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.29Current model chance76.1%Current EV−1.9%margin10.3%Validated estimate
    • over 3.5same line and oddsodds1.74Current model chance57.1%Current EV−0.7%margin8.2%Validated estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.50Current model chance38.1%Current EV−4.7%margin9.4%Validated estimate
    • over 5.5odds3.75Current model chance22.8%Current EV−14.7%margin10.7%Validated estimate
    • over 6.5odds5.75Current model chance12.2%Current EV−29.6%margin10.8%Validated estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:36: over 3.5 at 1.94 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

5 additional VIP picks on this match.Unlock VIP details

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

No settled results yet. 3 active suggestions across 1 listed match.

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