Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück 2-1 — 2. Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga2. Bundesliga 26/27

Arminia Bielefeld

2–1

HT 1–1

VfL Osnabrück

Sun 18 Oct·05:30·Matchday 8·Schüco-Arena·Arminia Bielefeld won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

6Corners0
3Cards1
15Shots8
3Shots on target1
14Fouls11
17Throw-ins21
1Offsides0
8Goal kicks11
0Saves1
17Tackles20
13Interceptions10
3Dribbles3

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Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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Matches

1 match

05:30Arminia BielefeldvVfL Osnabrück2. Bundesliga1 won / 0 lost · +0.86u · 1 pick

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 10.5Actual: 6+0.86u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8612 Oct, 18:38

Closing odds1.7918 Oct, 05:01

Odds down−0.07

Model chance at recommendation: 57.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.74
Expected value at recommendation: +7.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +7.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 10.5
At recommendation1.86
Closing odds1.79
Odds down−0.07
Model chance57.8%EV+7.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 05:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 8.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate36.3%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 18 Oct, 05:01
- under 9.5odds2.23Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 18 Oct, 05:01
- under 10.5odds1.79Closing chance estimate60.5%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 18 Oct, 05:01
- under 11.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 18 Oct, 01:02
- under 12.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate80.0%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 18 Oct, 04:41
Bet365Closing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.5%EV+8.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 11:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate60.5%Closing EV estimate+8.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 18 Oct, 11:02
BetliveClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.5%EV+5.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 23:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 6.5odds6.10Closing chance estimate15.3%Closing EV estimate−6.4%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 23:04
- under 7.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate24.9%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 23:04
- under 8.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate36.3%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:51
- under 9.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:51
- under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate60.5%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:51
- under 11.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:51
- under 12.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate80.0%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:51
- under 13.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate86.8%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 23:04
- under 14.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate91.7%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 23:04
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.5%EV+5.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 09:38
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 8.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate36.3%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 09:38
- under 9.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:52
- under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate60.5%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:52
- under 11.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:52
- under 12.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate80.0%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:52
- under 13.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate86.8%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 09:38
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.5%EV+5.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 05:54
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 8.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate36.3%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:54
- under 9.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:54
- under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate60.5%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:54
- under 11.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin15.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 06:18
- under 12.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate80.0%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:54
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.5%EV+10.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 05:56
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 5.5odds8.50Closing chance estimate8.3%Closing EV estimate−29.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:56
- under 6.5odds5.70Closing chance estimate15.3%Closing EV estimate−12.5%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:56
- under 7.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate24.9%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:56
- under 8.5odds2.92Closing chance estimate36.3%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:56
- under 9.5odds2.27Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:56
- under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate60.5%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:56
- under 11.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:56
- under 12.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate80.0%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:56
- under 13.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate86.8%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:56
- under 14.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate91.7%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:56
- under 15.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate95.0%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:56

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 18:38: under 10.5 at 1.86 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+86.0%ROI · 1 unit staked

Profit+0.86units

W / L1 / 0picks

Avg odds1.86settled picks

Recorded picks11 matches

Around this match

Competition2. Bundesliga Home teamArminia Bielefeld Away teamVfL Osnabrück RefereeMichael Bacher