Algeria vs Niger 2-1 — International Friendly Games

International Friendly GamesInt. Friendly Games 2026

Algeria

2–1

HT 0–1

Niger

Tue 6 Oct·11:00·Hocine Ait Ahmed Stadium·Algeria won

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Board

Matches

1 match

11:00

Algeriav

NigerInternational Friendly Games1 pick· 0 available

Corners · Niger total

Open match →FreePrevious modelAwaiting result

Awaiting a verified result for this recorded pick.

over 2.5

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.006 Oct, 02:47

Closing odds2.026 Oct, 16:00

Odds up+0.02

Model chance at recommendation: 52.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.92
Expected value at recommendation: +4.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +4.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.02
Odds up+0.02
Model chance52.2%EV+4.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 16:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 16:00
CrocobetAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds2.35
Unchanged
Model chance50.7%EV+19.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 09:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate72.9%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 09:00
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate+13.9%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 09:00
- over 3.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate27.3%Closing EV estimate+9.2%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 09:00
KambiAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.02
Odds up+0.02
Model chance52.2%EV+4.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 10:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 10:32
BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.45
No saved recommendation
Model chance48.5%EV+18.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 09:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate72.9%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 09:00
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate+18.7%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 09:00
- over 3.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate27.3%Closing EV estimate+22.8%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 09:00
- over 4.5odds8.30Closing chance estimate13.3%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 09:00
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.45
No saved recommendation
Model chance48.5%EV+18.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 09:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate72.9%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 09:00
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate+18.7%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 09:00
- over 3.5odds4.70Closing chance estimate27.3%Closing EV estimate+28.3%margin13.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 09:00
- over 4.5odds9.40Closing chance estimate13.3%Closing EV estimate+24.6%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 6 Oct, 09:00

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 02:47: over 2.5 at 2.00 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

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This match

Recorded results

No settled results yet. 0 active suggestions across 1 listed match.

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CompetitionInternational Friendly Games Home teamAlgeria Away teamNiger

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Corners · Niger total

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