Al-Hazem vs Neom SC — Saudi Pro League

Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Pro League 26/27

Al-Hazem

1–1

HT 1–0

Neom SC

Sat 10 Oct··Matchday 8·Al-Hazem Club Stadium·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 2Corners5
  • 3Cards0
  • 7Shots9
  • 3Shots on target3
  • 13Fouls8
  • 19Throw-ins26
  • 2Offsides3
  • 8Goal kicks4
  • 2Saves2
  • 23Tackles12
  • 12Interceptions8
  • 4Dribbles4
OddsOddsStatsStatsPredictionsPicksRefereeRefereeCoachCoach
0Free available0VIP available7Recorded Free2Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match
Al-HazemvNeom SCSaudi Pro League6 won / 3 lost · +3.04u · 9 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 3+1.17u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.17
Closing odds2.20
Odds up+0.03
Model chance at recommendation
53.0%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.89
Expected value at recommendation
+15.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +15.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
    At recommendation2.17
    Closing odds2.20
    Odds up+0.03
    Model chance53.0%EV+15.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:38

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate2.9%Closing EV estimate−96.7%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate52.8%Closing EV estimate+16.3%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.59Closing chance estimate71.8%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate85.3%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.8%EV+11.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 16:05

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate52.8%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.8%EV+11.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate52.8%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate71.8%Closing EV estimate+7.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate85.3%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 00:11: under 3.5 at 2.17 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 04:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Cards · Neom SC total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 0+0.97u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds1.97
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
53.0%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.89
Expected value at recommendation
+4.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +4.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Unchanged
    Model chance53.1%EV+3.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate78.7%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation1.97
    Closing odds1.97
    Unchanged
    Model chance53.0%EV+4.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate20.5%Closing EV estimate−79.1%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.97Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 00:11: under 1.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 03:29. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 7−1.00u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds1.90
Odds down−0.35
Model chance at recommendation
55.7%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.80
Expected value at recommendation
+25.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +25.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 8.5
    At recommendation2.25
    Closing odds1.90
    Odds down−0.35
    Model chance55.7%EV+25.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate94.3%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate88.3%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate79.5%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate68.4%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate55.8%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate43.2%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate31.7%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds4.35Closing chance estimate22.0%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate14.5%Closing EV estimate−13.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationover 8.5
    At recommendation2.25
    Closing odds1.90
    Odds down−0.35
    Model chance55.7%EV+25.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 05:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate88.3%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate79.5%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate68.4%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate55.8%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate43.2%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate31.7%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationover 8.5
    At recommendation2.25
    Closing odds1.90
    Odds down−0.35
    Model chance55.7%EV+25.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate88.3%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate79.5%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate68.4%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate55.8%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate43.2%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate31.7%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 8.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Unchanged
    Model chance55.7%EV+11.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate99.3%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin4.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate97.7%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate94.3%Closing EV estimate+2.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate88.3%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate79.5%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.62Closing chance estimate68.4%Closing EV estimate+10.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate55.8%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.52Closing chance estimate43.2%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate31.7%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds4.40Closing chance estimate22.0%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds5.90Closing chance estimate14.5%Closing EV estimate−14.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds7.90Closing chance estimate9.1%Closing EV estimate−28.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.8%EV+11.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:45

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate55.8%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.8%EV+11.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate88.3%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate79.5%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate68.4%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate55.8%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate43.2%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate31.7%Closing EV estimate+10.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate22.0%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 8.5 at 2.25 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 04:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Al-Hazem total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds1.95
Odds down−0.30
Model chance at recommendation
57.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.74
Expected value at recommendation
+30.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +30.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds2.14
    Odds up+0.04
    Model chance60.5%EV+27.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds2.14Closing chance estimate58.2%Closing EV estimate+24.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Unchanged
    Model chance58.8%EV+8.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate91.1%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate77.1%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate58.2%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate23.3%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.25
    Closing odds1.95
    Odds down−0.30
    Model chance57.8%EV+30.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate98.2%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin6.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate91.1%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate77.1%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate58.2%Closing EV estimate+13.4%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate+9.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate23.3%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds6.40Closing chance estimate12.5%Closing EV estimate−19.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance58.2%EV+16.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 06:05

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate58.2%Closing EV estimate+16.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance58.2%EV+4.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 05:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate77.1%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate58.2%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.14
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance58.2%EV+24.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate77.1%Closing EV estimate+15.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.14Closing chance estimate58.2%Closing EV estimate+24.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate+24.9%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance58.2%EV+4.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate91.1%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate77.1%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate58.2%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds4.70Closing chance estimate23.3%Closing EV estimate+9.7%margin13.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 3.5 at 2.25 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 7 Oct, 16:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Neom SC total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 5+0.86u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.86
Closing odds1.73
Odds down−0.13
Model chance at recommendation
56.7%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.77
Expected value at recommendation
+5.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +5.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365At recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.83
    Odds down−0.17
    Model chance54.1%EV+8.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 06:05

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds1.70
    Odds down−0.20
    Model chance55.8%EV+6.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate87.4%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate73.6%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate39.3%Closing EV estimate−9.5%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate24.9%Closing EV estimate−12.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation1.86
    Closing odds1.73
    Odds down−0.13
    Model chance56.7%EV+5.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate73.6%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate39.3%Closing EV estimate−7.6%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate24.9%Closing EV estimate−17.8%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation2.02
    Closing odds1.85
    Odds down−0.17
    Model chance56.7%EV+14.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate95.8%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate87.4%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate73.6%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.52Closing chance estimate39.3%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate24.9%Closing EV estimate−10.4%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate14.4%Closing EV estimate−25.2%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.5%EV-6.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 05:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate73.6%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate−6.8%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate39.3%Closing EV estimate−7.6%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.5%EV-6.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate87.4%Closing EV estimate−6.5%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate73.6%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate−6.8%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate39.3%Closing EV estimate−7.6%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate24.9%Closing EV estimate−10.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 4.5 at 1.86 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 2+1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds1.95
Odds down−0.05
Model chance at recommendation
51.0%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.96
Expected value at recommendation
+2.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +2.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.95
    Odds down−0.05
    Model chance51.0%EV+2.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds12.00Closing chance estimate7.5%Closing EV estimate−10.5%margin4.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate26.8%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin5.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin6.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate87.8%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin5.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate95.1%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate98.3%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin2.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • Betfair ExchangeAt recommendationunder 2.5
    At recommendation2.14
    Closing odds2.10
    Odds down−0.04
    Model chance51.0%EV+9.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds15.50Closing chance estimate7.5%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin0.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate26.8%Closing EV estimate+12.6%margin1.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin0.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin1.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate87.8%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin0.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate95.1%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin0.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate98.3%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin1.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerAt recommendationunder 2.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds1.95
    Odds down−0.15
    Model chance51.0%EV+7.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds11.00Closing chance estimate7.5%Closing EV estimate−18.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate26.8%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate87.8%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate95.1%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • PinnacleAt recommendationunder 2.5
    At recommendation2.08
    Closing odds2.01
    Odds down−0.07
    Model chance51.0%EV+6.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds2.01Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin4.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationunder 2.5
    At recommendation2.05
    Closing odds2.02
    Odds down−0.03
    Model chance51.0%EV+4.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:38

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds12.00Closing chance estimate7.5%Closing EV estimate−10.5%margin4.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate26.8%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin5.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate+4.9%margin5.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin5.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate87.8%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin5.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate95.1%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin4.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate98.3%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin3.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.9%EV-1.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate7.5%Closing EV estimate−49.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate26.8%Closing EV estimate−10.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate87.8%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate95.1%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.9%EV-1.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate7.5%Closing EV estimate−49.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate26.8%Closing EV estimate−10.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate87.8%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate95.1%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.9%EV-1.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:06

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate7.5%Closing EV estimate−49.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate26.8%Closing EV estimate−10.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate51.9%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate87.8%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate95.1%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 131.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailable
    • under 132.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailable
    • under 136.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailable
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: under 2.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · Neom SC total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 1+0.97u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds2.10
Odds up+0.13
Model chance at recommendation
52.4%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.91
Expected value at recommendation
+3.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +3.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation1.97
    Closing odds2.10
    Odds up+0.13
    Model chance52.4%EV+3.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds5.30Closing chance estimate18.8%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate50.3%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate76.5%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate91.1%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate97.2%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin4.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance50.3%EV+0.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate18.8%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate50.3%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate76.5%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin5.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate91.1%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin5.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate97.2%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin3.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate99.3%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin2.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance50.3%EV-2.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds4.40Closing chance estimate18.8%Closing EV estimate−17.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate50.3%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate76.5%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate91.1%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate97.2%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance50.3%EV+0.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds4.40Closing chance estimate18.8%Closing EV estimate−17.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate50.3%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate76.5%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate91.1%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate97.2%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance50.3%EV-2.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds4.40Closing chance estimate18.8%Closing EV estimate−17.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate50.3%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate76.5%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate91.1%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate97.2%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: under 1.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 23:51. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Al-Hazem total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 7−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.87
Closing odds2.17
Odds up+0.30
Model chance at recommendation
57.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.74
Expected value at recommendation
+8.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +8.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
    At recommendation1.87
    Closing odds2.17
    Odds up+0.30
    Model chance57.8%EV+8.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate92.0%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate85.8%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.51Closing chance estimate77.5%Closing EV estimate+17.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.78Closing chance estimate67.5%Closing EV estimate+20.1%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.17Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate+22.4%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate+22.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate34.8%Closing EV estimate+18.2%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate25.6%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 00:11: over 10.5 at 1.87 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 8.5Actual: 6+1.07u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.07
Closing odds1.85
Odds down−0.22
Model chance at recommendation
51.1%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.96
Expected value at recommendation
+5.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +5.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 8.5
    At recommendation2.07
    Closing odds1.85
    Odds down−0.22
    Model chance51.1%EV+5.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 7.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate40.4%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate53.8%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate66.3%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate76.8%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationunder 8.5
    At recommendation1.92
    Closing odds1.75
    Odds down−0.17
    Model chance53.1%EV+2.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5odds7.40Closing chance estimate8.6%Closing EV estimate−36.5%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds4.70Closing chance estimate16.6%Closing EV estimate−22.0%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate27.5%Closing EV estimate−13.3%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds2.27Closing chance estimate40.4%Closing EV estimate−8.2%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate53.8%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate66.3%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate76.8%Closing EV estimate−6.3%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate84.9%Closing EV estimate−5.7%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate90.7%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 8.5 at 2.07 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 03:29. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return+33.8%ROI · 9 units staked
Profit+3.04units
W / L6 / 3picks
Avg odds2.05settled picks
Recorded picks91 matches

Around this match

CompetitionSaudi Pro LeagueHome teamAl-HazemAway teamNeom SCRefereeFareeh Al Jaloud

Previous meetings

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