1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern — 2. Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga2. Bundesliga 26/27

Fri 9 Oct··Matchday 7·Voith-Arena·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 7Corners8
  • 13Shots16
  • 4Shots on target3
  • 10Fouls11
  • 29Throw-ins20
  • 0Offsides2
  • 10Goal kicks11
  • 3Saves4
  • 20Tackles18
  • 18Interceptions13
  • 3Dribbles5
6 Free3 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match
1. FC Heidenheimv1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga3 won / 4 lost · −0.27u · 9 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeAwaiting result
under 4.51.97 at Superbet

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +15.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 4.51.80Model chance58.8%EV+5.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate39.2%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate58.7%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate75.0%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.51.97Model chance58.7%EV+15.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate1.5%Closing EV estimate−98.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate39.2%Closing EV estimate+11.8%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.97Closing chance estimate58.7%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate75.0%Closing EV estimate+12.6%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.51.60Model chance58.7%EV-6.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3odds3.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailable
    • under 3.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate39.2%Closing EV estimate−7.8%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailable
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate58.7%Closing EV estimate−6.2%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5odds1.37Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailable
    • under 5.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate75.0%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.51.85Model chance58.7%EV+8.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds8.00Closing chance estimate7.7%Closing EV estimate−38.5%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate20.8%Closing EV estimate−27.2%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate39.2%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate58.7%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate75.0%Closing EV estimate+8.8%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate86.6%Closing EV estimate−9.1%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 00:47: under 4.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 04:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Cards · 1. FC Kaiserslautern total

Open match →VIPAwaiting result
under 2.51.90 at Superbet

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 63.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.57. Expected value at recommendation: +21.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • LiderbetAt recommendationunder 2.51.80Model chance63.9%EV+15.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate36.9%Closing EV estimate−11.5%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate63.8%Closing EV estimate+14.9%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate83.1%Closing EV estimate−10.3%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.51.90Model chance63.9%EV+21.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate11.7%Closing EV estimate−87.3%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate63.8%Closing EV estimate+22.6%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.51.55Model chance63.8%EV-1.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate36.9%Closing EV estimate−7.8%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailable
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimate63.8%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.9%Model unavailable
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.51.55Model chance63.8%EV-1.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate36.9%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimate63.8%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate83.1%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 00:47: under 2.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 03:29. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →VIPWon
over 10.51.93 at Bet365+0.93u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +6.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 10.51.93Model chance55.1%EV+6.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 10.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 10.51.75Model chance55.1%EV-3.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate91.7%Closing EV estimate−4.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate85.3%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate76.7%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate66.4%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate43.7%Closing EV estimate−6.0%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate33.2%Closing EV estimate−10.4%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate24.1%Closing EV estimate−12.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate16.7%Closing EV estimate−16.3%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.51.75Model chance55.1%EV-3.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate85.3%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate76.7%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate66.4%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate43.7%Closing EV estimate−6.0%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate33.2%Closing EV estimate−10.4%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 10.51.76Model chance55.1%EV-3.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:41

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate76.7%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate66.4%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.76Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.17Closing chance estimate43.7%Closing EV estimate−5.1%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate33.2%Closing EV estimate−10.4%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate24.1%Closing EV estimate−14.5%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.51.75Model chance55.1%EV-3.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:58

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate76.7%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate66.4%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin15.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate43.7%Closing EV estimate−6.0%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate33.2%Closing EV estimate−10.4%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.51.85Model chance55.1%EV+1.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate95.9%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate91.7%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate85.3%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate76.7%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate66.4%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.27Closing chance estimate43.7%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.82Closing chance estimate33.2%Closing EV estimate−6.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate24.1%Closing EV estimate−12.1%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds4.70Closing chance estimate16.7%Closing EV estimate−21.4%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds6.20Closing chance estimate11.1%Closing EV estimate−31.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:11: over 10.5 at 1.93 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 12:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · 1. FC Kaiserslautern total

Open match →FreeWon
over 4.52.10 at Bet365+1.10u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +13.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.52.10Model chance53.8%EV+13.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate58.5%Closing EV estimate+22.7%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 4.52.08Model chance53.8%EV+12.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 10:15

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.08Closing chance estimate58.5%Closing EV estimate+21.6%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveAt recommendationover 4.51.90Model chance53.8%EV+2.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate88.3%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate75.2%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate58.5%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate41.3%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate26.6%Closing EV estimate+11.8%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiAt recommendationover 4.52.17Model chance53.8%EV+16.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:41

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate75.2%Closing EV estimate+20.3%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.14Closing chance estimate58.5%Closing EV estimate+25.1%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationover 4.51.90Model chance53.8%EV+2.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 10:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate88.3%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate75.2%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.96Closing chance estimate58.5%Closing EV estimate+14.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate41.3%Closing EV estimate+15.8%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate26.6%Closing EV estimate+19.8%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 4.52.02Model chance53.8%EV+8.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate96.2%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate88.3%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate75.2%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.02Closing chance estimate58.5%Closing EV estimate+18.1%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate41.3%Closing EV estimate+15.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate26.6%Closing EV estimate+9.2%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate15.7%Closing EV estimate−6.0%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.51.85Model chance58.5%EV+8.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate75.2%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate58.5%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate41.3%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:32: over 4.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · 1. FC Kaiserslautern total

Open match →FreeLost
over 1.52.15 at Betlive−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +9.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 1.52.33Model chance50.7%EV+18.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 10:15

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds2.28Closing chance estimate46.6%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 1.52.15Model chance50.7%EV+9.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 10:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate79.2%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate46.6%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate20.9%Closing EV estimate−10.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds7.20Closing chance estimate7.5%Closing EV estimate−46.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate2.2%Closing EV estimate−81.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationover 1.52.15Model chance50.7%EV+9.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 10:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate79.2%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate46.6%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate20.9%Closing EV estimate−10.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds7.20Closing chance estimate7.5%Closing EV estimate−46.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate2.2%Closing EV estimate−81.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationover 1.52.20Model chance50.7%EV+11.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 10:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate79.2%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate46.6%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate20.9%Closing EV estimate−10.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds7.20Closing chance estimate7.5%Closing EV estimate−46.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate2.2%Closing EV estimate−81.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 1.52.50Model chance46.6%EV+16.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate79.2%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin5.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.50Closing chance estimate46.6%Closing EV estimate+16.4%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate20.9%Closing EV estimate+25.4%margin5.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds17.00Closing chance estimate7.5%Closing EV estimate+27.2%margin3.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds51.00Closing chance estimate2.2%Closing EV estimate+12.7%margin1.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 1.52.45Model chance46.6%EV+14.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:38

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate79.2%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin7.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimate46.6%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds5.60Closing chance estimate20.9%Closing EV estimate+17.1%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds14.00Closing chance estimate7.5%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin5.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds39.00Closing chance estimate2.2%Closing EV estimate−13.8%margin2.4%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 06:22: over 1.5 at 2.15 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 07:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPLost
over 30.52.50 at Liderbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 62.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.61. Expected value at recommendation: +55.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 30.52.50Model chance62.3%EV+55.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 26.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate83.2%Closing EV estimate+20.6%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate+25.7%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+32.1%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate67.7%Closing EV estimate+42.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.50Closing chance estimate61.6%Closing EV estimate+54.1%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 02:11: over 30.5 at 2.50 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · 1. FC Kaiserslautern total

Open match →FreeWon
over 13.52.70 at Liderbet+1.70u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 65.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.54. Expected value at recommendation: +76.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 13.52.70Model chance65.2%EV+76.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate92.7%Closing EV estimate+29.7%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate87.9%Closing EV estimate+40.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate81.5%Closing EV estimate+50.7%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate73.6%Closing EV estimate+65.6%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.70Closing chance estimate64.6%Closing EV estimate+74.4%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 02:11: over 13.5 at 2.70 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeLost
over 10.52.25 at Liderbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.81. Expected value at recommendation: +24.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetAt recommendationover 10.52.35Model chance56.6%EV+32.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate76.6%Closing EV estimate+18.7%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate66.1%Closing EV estimate+28.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+28.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.52.25Model chance55.5%EV+24.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate85.3%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate76.6%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate66.1%Closing EV estimate+15.6%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+22.7%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 02:11: over 10.5 at 2.25 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · 1. FC Kaiserslautern total

Open match →FreeLost
over 4.52.35 at Liderbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 66.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.52. Expected value at recommendation: +55.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 4.52.35Model chance66.1%EV+55.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate91.4%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate80.5%Closing EV estimate+32.8%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailable
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.52.35Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate91.4%Closing EV estimate+17.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate80.5%Closing EV estimate+32.8%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailable
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 02:11: over 4.5 at 2.35 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return−3.9%ROI · 7 units staked
Profit−0.28units
W / L3 / 4picks
Avg odds2.28settled picks
Recorded picks92 awaiting result

Around this match

Previous meetings