Predictions

Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

StatsGem is independent. We are not a bookmaker, gambling operator, betting broker or bookmaker affiliate. We accept no bets or gambling deposits, hold no player funds and offer no cash prizes or withdrawals. Subscriptions pay for research access. Bookmaker names and logos identify data sources; they do not imply a partnership or endorsement.

Simulated performance does not predict real-world profit. Models can be wrong, odds can change, and historical results can overstate an apparent advantage. Gambling can cause financial harm and addiction. Get support

PredictionsPredictions MonitoringMonitoring Player propsProps FantasyFantasy BenchmarksBenchmarks

0Free available0VIP available1Recorded Free0Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

10:45FC Iberia 1999vMjällby AIFUEFA Conference League1 pick· 0 available

Goals · Mjällby AIF total

Open match →FreePrevious modelPrevious model retired

This recommendation was retired when the model changed. It remains here as a record, even if the bookmaker now offers better odds.

over 1.5

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1018 Oct, 18:12

Current odds2.1021 Oct, 07:00

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 57.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.75
Expected value at recommendation: +20.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Load bookmaker comparisons and the recommendation record.

Open complete comparison

Selected day

Thu, 22 Oct 2026

Recorded results

No settled results yet. 0 active suggestions across 1 listed match.

All dates

Overall results

31 settled picks

One unit per pick at its recorded odds. Earlier estimated history is excluded. Results: 15 Oct 2026 – 15 Oct 2026.

ROI−31.9%

Profit−9.88 u

W / L10 / 21

Avg odds2.08

How to read this board

A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.

Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.

Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.

Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.

Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.