Predictions

Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

16 matches
Albacete BalompiévEibarLaLiga 21 historical estimate

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 25.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 25.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance62.4%EV+24.8%
FinlandFinlandvAlbaniaAlbaniaUEFA Nations League1 historical estimate

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 23.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.50
Closing odds2.50

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds2.50
    Closing odds2.50
    Model chance51.6%EV+29.1%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance51.6%EV+26.5%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance51.6%EV+21.3%
IndiaIndiavBrazilBrazilInternational Friendly Games1 historical estimate

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 30.5
Kambireference price
Reference odds1.86
Closing odds1.86

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambireference priceClosing estimateover 30.5
    Reference odds1.86
    Closing odds1.86
    Model chance58.3%EV+8.3%
AlmeríavBurgos Club de FútbolLaLiga 21 historical estimate

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 25.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 25.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance57.5%EV+12.1%
CroatiaCroatiavEnglandEnglandUEFA Nations League1 historical estimate

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 19.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds3.20
Closing odds3.20

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 19.5
    Reference odds3.20
    Closing odds3.20
    Model chance50.6%EV+62.1%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 19.5
    Reference odds3.10
    Closing odds3.10
    Model chance50.6%EV+57.0%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 19.5
    Reference odds3.00
    Closing odds3.00
    Model chance50.6%EV+51.9%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 20.5
    Reference odds2.07
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance57.7%EV+19.5%
IcelandIcelandvBulgariaBulgariaUEFA Nations League1 historical estimate

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 24.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.15
Closing odds2.15

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Model chance53.4%EV+14.9%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance53.4%EV+12.2%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance53.4%EV+6.9%
EstoniaEstoniavLuxembourgLuxembourgUEFA Nations League1 historical estimate

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 27.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 27.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance53.3%EV+6.7%
BelarusBelarusvSan MarinoSan MarinoUEFA Nations League2 historical estimates

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 25.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.40
Closing odds2.40

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateover 25.5
    Reference odds2.40
    Closing odds2.40
    Model chance51.7%EV+24.0%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 25.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance51.7%EV+18.8%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 25.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance51.7%EV+18.8%

Shots · Belarus total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 19.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.25
Closing odds2.25

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 19.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance52.3%EV+17.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 19.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Model chance52.3%EV+12.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 19.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance52.3%EV+9.8%
CádizvLeganésLaLiga 22 historical estimates

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 24.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.12
Closing odds2.12

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 24.5
    Reference odds2.12
    Closing odds2.12
    Model chance52.8%EV+12.0%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 24.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance52.8%EV+8.3%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 24.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance52.8%EV+3.0%

Shots · Cádiz total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 12.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.17
Closing odds2.17

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 12.5
    Reference odds2.17
    Closing odds2.17
    Model chance51.2%EV+11.1%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 12.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance51.2%EV+5.0%
Defensa y JusticiavSan LorenzoLiga Profesional de Fútbol1 historical estimate

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 23.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance53.4%EV+4.1%
CanadaCanadavPeruPeruInternational Friendly Games1 historical estimate

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 24.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.80
Closing odds2.80

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.80
    Closing odds2.80
    Model chance53.9%EV+51.0%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 26.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance65.1%EV+26.9%
SpainSpainvCzech RepublicCzechiaUEFA Nations League1 historical estimate

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 18.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds3.25
Closing odds3.25

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 18.5
    Reference odds3.25
    Closing odds3.25
    Model chance53.9%EV+75.2%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 18.5
    Reference odds3.10
    Closing odds3.10
    Model chance53.9%EV+67.1%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 18.5
    Reference odds2.80
    Closing odds2.80
    Model chance53.9%EV+50.9%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 18.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance53.9%EV+24.0%
North MacedoniaNorth MacedoniavScotlandScotlandUEFA Nations League2 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 24.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.90
Closing odds1.90

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance57.5%EV+9.3%

Shots · North Macedonia total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 8.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.92
Closing odds1.92

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds1.92
    Closing odds1.92
    Model chance53.1%EV+1.9%
SwitzerlandSwitzerlandvSloveniaSloveniaUEFA Nations League1 historical estimate

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 21.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.30
Closing odds2.30

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 21.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance53.7%EV+23.5%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 21.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Model chance53.7%EV+15.5%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance60.3%EV+14.6%
Newell's Old BoysvLanúsLiga Profesional de Fútbol1 historical estimate

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 24.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.92
Closing odds1.92

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds1.92
    Closing odds1.92
    Model chance53.8%EV+3.2%
Atlético MineirovRed Bull BragantinoBrasileirão Série A1 historical estimate

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 25.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.07
Closing odds2.07

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 25.5
    Reference odds2.07
    Closing odds2.07
    Model chance71.0%EV+47.0%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance64.4%EV+19.2%

Selected day

Sat, 3 Oct 2026

Results for selected markets and tier

Historical estimates for this date are shown below. They are excluded from recorded results.

19 historical estimates shown below. Their calculated returns appear only in the calendar and all-date display totals.

All dates

Overall results

1,492 settled picks

One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (544 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 4 Oct 2026 – 20 Oct 2026. Totals follow your selected tier and market filters.

ROI+3.9%
Profit+57.98 u
W / L747 / 745
Avg odds2.20
How to read this board

A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.

Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.

Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.

Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.

Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.

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