Predictions

Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.

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Bookmakers, markets and sorting

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

9 matches
SeychellesSeychellesvSri LankaSri LankaInternational Friendly Games1 historical estimate

Goals · Sri Lanka total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 1.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds2.20
Closing odds2.20

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateover 1.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance50.3%EV+10.6%
EritreaEritreavSouth AfricaSouth AfricaAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.1 historical estimate

Cards · Eritrea total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.35
Closing odds2.35

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance72.6%EV+70.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance72.6%EV+70.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance72.6%EV+67.0%
LithuaniaLithuaniavAndorraAndorraInternational Friendly Games4 historical estimates

Fouls · Andorra total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 15.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 15.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance73.8%EV+54.9%

Goal kicks · Andorra total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 7.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 7.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance53.9%EV+5.1%

Goals · Andorra total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 0.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateover 0.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance56.1%EV+12.3%
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 0.5
    Reference odds1.82
    Closing odds1.82
    Model chance56.1%EV+2.2%

Offsides · Lithuania total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 2.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds1.80
Closing odds1.80

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Model chance71.3%EV+28.3%
AS RomavBarcelona (Women)UEFA Women's Champions League2 historical estimates

Cards · AS Roma total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.17
Closing odds2.17

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.17
    Closing odds2.17
    Model chance73.0%EV+58.4%

Corners · AS Roma total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 2.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.07
Closing odds2.07

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds2.07
    Closing odds2.07
    Model chance71.4%EV+47.9%
BK Häcken FFvJuventus (Women)UEFA Women's Champions League3 historical estimates

Offsides · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 3.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.35
Closing odds2.35

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 3.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance60.4%EV+42.0%

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 9.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance61.0%EV+22.1%

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 39.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 39.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance62.8%EV+22.5%
Paris FC (Women)vArsenal (Women)UEFA Women's Champions League1 historical estimate

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 41.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 41.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance56.8%EV+10.8%
Benfica (Women)vFC Bayern München (Women)UEFA Women's Champions League3 historical estimates

Cards · Benfica (Women) total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.02
Closing odds2.02

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.02
    Closing odds2.02
    Model chance61.5%EV+24.1%

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 10.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.50
Closing odds2.50

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 10.5
    Reference odds2.50
    Closing odds2.50
    Model chance51.3%EV+28.2%

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 37.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 37.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance64.8%EV+26.4%
New York Red BullsvSt.Louis CityMLS2 historical estimates

Corners · New York Red Bulls total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Paddy Powerreference price
Reference odds2.25
Closing odds2.25

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Paddy Powerreference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance56.9%EV+28.1%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance56.9%EV+16.7%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.02
    Closing odds2.02
    Model chance56.9%EV+15.0%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance56.9%EV+13.9%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance56.9%EV+13.9%
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.96
    Closing odds1.96
    Model chance56.9%EV+11.6%
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.96
    Closing odds1.96
    Model chance56.9%EV+11.6%

Goals · St.Louis City total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 2.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds2.75
Closing odds2.75

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateover 2.5
    Reference odds2.75
    Closing odds2.75
    Model chance50.2%EV+38.2%
ArgentinaArgentinavBoliviaBoliviaInternational Friendly Games2 historical estimates

Cards · Bolivia total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.37
Closing odds2.37

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.37
    Closing odds2.37
    Model chance52.3%EV+24.0%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance52.3%EV+17.7%
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance52.3%EV+17.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance52.3%EV+17.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance52.3%EV+15.1%

Fouls · Bolivia total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 12.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 12.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance71.3%EV+49.8%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 12.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance71.3%EV+49.8%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 12.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance71.3%EV+49.8%

Selected day

Wed, 30 Sept 2026

Results for selected markets and tier

Historical estimates for this date are shown below. They are excluded from recorded results.

19 historical estimates shown below. Their calculated returns appear only in the calendar and all-date display totals.

All dates

Overall results

3,773 settled picks

One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (1,351 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 28 Sept 2026 – 19 Oct 2026. Totals follow your selected tier and market filters.

ROI+2.1%
Profit+81.30 u
W / L1,851 / 1,922
Avg odds2.12
How to read this board

A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.

Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.

Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.

Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.

Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.