Predictions

Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

9 matches
AustraliaAustraliavBrazilBrazilInternational Friendly Games1 historical estimate

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 21.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.45
Closing odds2.45

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 21.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance54.7%EV+34.1%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance61.0%EV+18.9%
GeorgiaGeorgiavNorthern IrelandNorthern IrelandUEFA Nations League1 historical estimate

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 25.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.05
Closing odds2.05

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 25.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance51.1%EV+4.9%
Girona FCvAlbacete BalompiéLaLiga 22 historical estimates

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 28.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.90
Closing odds2.90

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds2.90
    Closing odds2.90
    Model chance51.7%EV+49.9%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds2.80
    Closing odds2.80
    Model chance51.7%EV+44.8%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds2.52
    Closing odds2.52
    Model chance51.7%EV+30.3%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance64.7%EV+26.1%

Shots · Girona FC total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 16.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.35
Closing odds2.35

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 16.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance63.2%EV+48.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 16.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance63.2%EV+45.5%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 16.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance63.2%EV+39.2%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 16.5
    Reference odds1.92
    Closing odds1.92
    Model chance63.2%EV+21.4%
PolandPolandvBosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia & HerzegovinaUEFA Nations League2 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 24.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.30
Closing odds2.30

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance50.3%EV+15.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance50.3%EV+0.6%

Shots · Poland total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 15.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 15.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance53.4%EV+12.1%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 15.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance53.4%EV+6.7%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 15.5
    Reference odds1.88
    Closing odds1.88
    Model chance53.4%EV+0.3%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 14.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance62.1%EV+11.8%
ItalyItalyvBelgiumBelgiumUEFA Nations League1 historical estimate

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 22.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.25
Closing odds2.25

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance54.8%EV+23.2%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance54.8%EV+15.0%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance54.8%EV+15.0%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance54.8%EV+12.2%
SwedenSwedenvRomaniaRomaniaUEFA Nations League3 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 22.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.35
Closing odds2.35

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance54.5%EV+28.2%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance54.5%EV+22.7%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 26.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.55
Closing odds2.55

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.55
    Closing odds2.55
    Model chance50.3%EV+28.4%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.40
    Closing odds2.40
    Model chance50.3%EV+20.8%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance50.3%EV+18.3%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance50.3%EV+15.8%

Shots · Sweden total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 16.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds3.10
Closing odds3.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 16.5
    Reference odds3.10
    Closing odds3.10
    Model chance56.9%EV+76.5%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 16.5
    Reference odds2.75
    Closing odds2.75
    Model chance56.9%EV+56.6%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 15.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance65.1%EV+33.5%
  • KambiClosing estimateover 16.5
    Reference odds1.92
    Closing odds1.92
    Model chance56.9%EV+9.3%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 14.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance72.8%EV+38.4%
TürkiyeTürkiyevFranceFranceUEFA Nations League1 historical estimate

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 19.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds3.45
Closing odds3.45

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 19.5
    Reference odds3.45
    Closing odds3.45
    Model chance50.7%EV+75.0%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 19.5
    Reference odds3.30
    Closing odds3.30
    Model chance50.7%EV+67.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 20.5
    Reference odds2.65
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance57.8%EV+53.1%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds1.92
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance70.6%EV+35.6%
MontenegroMontenegrovCyprusCyprusUEFA Nations League2 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 27.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.20
Closing odds2.20

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 27.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance51.6%EV+13.4%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 27.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance51.6%EV+8.3%

Shots · Montenegro total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 14.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.50
Closing odds2.50

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 14.5
    Reference odds2.50
    Closing odds2.50
    Model chance54.7%EV+36.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 14.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance54.7%EV+25.8%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 14.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance54.7%EV+14.8%
Club TijuanavAtlas FCLiga MX, Apertura2 historical estimates

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 25.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds1.91
Closing odds1.91

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateover 25.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance73.1%EV+39.6%

Shots · Club Tijuana total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 14.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds1.91
Closing odds1.91

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateover 14.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance57.9%EV+10.5%

Selected day

Fri, 25 Sept 2026

Results for selected markets and tier

Historical estimates for this date are shown below. They are excluded from recorded results.

15 historical estimates shown below. Their calculated returns appear only in the calendar and all-date display totals.

All dates

Overall results

1,329 settled picks

One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (544 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 4 Oct 2026 – 20 Oct 2026. Totals follow your selected tier and market filters.

ROI+3.7%
Profit+49.68 u
W / L655 / 674
Avg odds2.24
How to read this board

A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.

Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.

Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.

Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.

Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.

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