Predictions

Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.

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Bookmakers, markets and sorting

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

25 matches
AustraliaAustraliavBrazilBrazilInternational Friendly Games1 historical estimate

Cards · Australia total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.92
Closing odds1.92

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.92
    Closing odds1.92
    Model chance55.8%EV+7.2%
TanzaniaTanzaniavGuinea-BissauGuinea-BissauAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.3 historical estimates

Cards · Tanzania total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.15
Closing odds2.15

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Model chance55.4%EV+19.1%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance55.4%EV+2.5%

Cards · Guinea-Bissau total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.92
Closing odds1.92

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.92
    Closing odds1.92
    Model chance59.6%EV+14.4%

Corners · Tanzania total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 3.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.55
Closing odds2.55

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 3.5
    Reference odds2.55
    Closing odds2.55
    Model chance51.9%EV+32.3%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    Reference odds2.50
    Closing odds2.50
    Model chance51.9%EV+29.7%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    Reference odds2.40
    Closing odds2.40
    Model chance51.9%EV+24.5%
NigerNigervLesothoLesothoAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.2 historical estimates

Cards · Lesotho total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.80
Closing odds2.80

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.80
    Closing odds2.80
    Model chance56.4%EV+57.8%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.70
    Closing odds2.70
    Model chance56.4%EV+52.2%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.60
    Closing odds2.60
    Model chance56.4%EV+46.6%

Corners · Niger total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance62.2%EV+30.5%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance62.2%EV+30.5%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance62.2%EV+24.3%
RwandaRwandavLiberiaLiberiaAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.3 historical estimates

Cards · Rwanda total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.30
Closing odds2.30

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance67.7%EV+55.6%

Cards · Liberia total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.25
Closing odds2.25

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance60.6%EV+36.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance60.6%EV+33.3%

Corners · Rwanda total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.07
Closing odds2.07

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.07
    Closing odds2.07
    Model chance57.4%EV+18.7%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance57.4%EV+11.9%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance57.4%EV+11.9%
TogoTogovBurundiBurundiAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.3 historical estimates

Cards · Togo total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.07
Closing odds2.07

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.07
    Closing odds2.07
    Model chance63.0%EV+30.4%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance63.0%EV+29.1%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance63.0%EV+26.0%

Corners · Togo total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 5.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.90
Closing odds1.90

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance65.7%EV+24.8%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance65.7%EV+21.5%

Goals · Burundi total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 0.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds1.91
Closing odds1.91

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateover 0.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance60.1%EV+14.7%
ArmeniaArmeniavLatviaLatviaUEFA Nations League4 historical estimates

Corners · Armenia total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 5.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.90
Closing odds1.90

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance65.1%EV+23.6%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance65.1%EV+23.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance65.1%EV+23.6%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds1.87
    Closing odds1.87
    Model chance65.1%EV+21.7%

Goal kicks · Armenia total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 6.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.90
Closing odds1.90

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance53.8%EV+2.1%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance53.8%EV+2.1%

Goal kicks · Latvia total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 8.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.90
Closing odds1.90

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 8.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance62.7%EV+19.1%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 8.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance62.7%EV+19.1%

Offsides · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 2.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.30
Closing odds2.30

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 2.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance58.0%EV+33.4%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance58.0%EV+30.5%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Model chance58.0%EV+24.7%
GambiaGambiavSomaliaSomaliaAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.1 historical estimate

Corners · Gambia total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 5.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds3.10
Closing odds3.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds3.10
    Closing odds3.10
    Model chance58.0%EV+79.8%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds3.05
    Closing odds3.05
    Model chance58.0%EV+76.9%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.80
    Closing odds2.80
    Model chance58.0%EV+62.4%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.50
    Closing odds2.50
    Model chance58.0%EV+45.0%
GeorgiaGeorgiavNorthern IrelandNorthern IrelandUEFA Nations League3 historical estimates

Corners · Georgia total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance54.0%EV+13.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance54.0%EV+10.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance54.0%EV+10.6%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance54.0%EV+10.6%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance54.0%EV+7.9%
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance54.0%EV+7.9%

Goal kicks · Northern Ireland total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 7.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.35
Closing odds2.35

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 7.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance56.5%EV+32.8%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 7.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance56.5%EV+29.9%

Offsides · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 2.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 2.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance54.1%EV+8.1%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance54.1%EV+8.1%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance54.1%EV+5.4%
MalawiMalawivSouth SudanSouth SudanAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.1 historical estimate

Goals · South Sudan total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 0.5
BetMGM UKreference price
Reference odds1.80
Closing odds1.80

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKreference priceClosing estimateover 0.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Model chance60.6%EV+9.0%
Girona FCvAlbacete BalompiéLaLiga 22 historical estimates

Saves · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 6.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateover 6.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance59.8%EV+16.6%

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 9.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.02
Closing odds2.02

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.02
    Closing odds2.02
    Model chance56.0%EV+13.2%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance56.0%EV+12.0%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance56.0%EV+12.0%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance56.0%EV+9.2%
SwedenSwedenvRomaniaRomaniaUEFA Nations League5 historical estimates

Cards · Sweden total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.25
Closing odds2.25

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance50.4%EV+13.3%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance50.4%EV+13.3%
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance50.4%EV+5.8%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance50.4%EV+0.7%

Fouls · Romania total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 11.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.20
Closing odds2.20

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 11.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance57.1%EV+25.7%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 11.5
    Reference odds2.07
    Closing odds2.07
    Model chance57.1%EV+18.3%

Goal kicks · Sweden total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 6.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance73.7%EV+47.3%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance73.7%EV+43.7%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance73.7%EV+40.0%

Offsides · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 3.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.05
Closing odds2.05

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 3.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance51.7%EV+6.1%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance51.7%EV+3.5%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance51.7%EV+0.9%

Saves · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 6.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance59.7%EV+19.3%
ItalyItalyvBelgiumBelgiumUEFA Nations League3 historical estimates

Corners · Italy total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Paddy Powerreference price
Reference odds2.20
Closing odds2.20

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Paddy Powerreference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance51.6%EV+13.6%
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance51.6%EV+8.4%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance51.6%EV+8.4%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance51.6%EV+8.4%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance51.6%EV+8.4%
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.04
    Closing odds2.04
    Model chance51.6%EV+5.3%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance51.6%EV+3.2%

Fouls · Belgium total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 11.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 11.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance60.2%EV+17.3%

Goal kicks · Belgium total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 7.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.07
Closing odds2.07

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance51.2%EV+25.4%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance51.2%EV+15.2%
  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 7.5
    Reference odds2.07
    Closing odds2.07
    Model chance65.3%EV+35.3%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 7.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance65.3%EV+20.9%
HungaryHungaryvUkraineUkraineUEFA Nations League2 historical estimates

Corners · Hungary total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.17
Closing odds2.17

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.17
    Closing odds2.17
    Model chance57.4%EV+24.6%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance57.4%EV+17.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance57.4%EV+17.7%
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance57.4%EV+17.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance57.4%EV+14.9%
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance57.4%EV+9.7%
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.86
    Closing odds1.86
    Model chance57.4%EV+6.8%

Saves · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 5.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds1.85
Closing odds1.85

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance55.3%EV+2.3%
PolandPolandvBosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia & HerzegovinaUEFA Nations League2 historical estimates

Fouls · Bosnia & Herzegovina total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 12.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.45
Closing odds2.45

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 12.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance55.5%EV+35.8%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 12.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance55.5%EV+24.8%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 12.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance55.5%EV+24.8%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 13.5
    Reference odds1.97
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance64.7%EV+27.4%

Saves · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 5.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance51.1%EV+7.2%
TürkiyeTürkiyevFranceFranceUEFA Nations League3 historical estimates

Fouls · France total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 9.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.45
Closing odds2.45

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 9.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance50.6%EV+23.9%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 9.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance50.6%EV+18.8%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 10.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance61.6%EV+17.0%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
    Reference odds1.87
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance61.6%EV+15.1%

Goal kicks · Türkiye total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 8.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.05
Closing odds2.05

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 8.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance54.9%EV+12.5%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 8.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance54.9%EV+9.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 8.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance54.9%EV+9.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 8.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance54.9%EV+7.0%

Goal kicks · France total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 6.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds1.80
Closing odds1.80

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Model chance56.3%EV+1.3%
EgyptEgyptvAngolaAngolaAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.3 historical estimates

Cards · Egypt total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.35
Closing odds2.35

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance60.5%EV+42.1%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance60.5%EV+36.0%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance60.5%EV+33.0%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Model chance60.5%EV+30.0%

Corners · Egypt total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 5.5
BetMGM UKreference price
Reference odds1.91
Closing odds1.91

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKreference priceClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance65.8%EV+25.7%
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance65.8%EV+25.7%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance65.8%EV+25.0%

Goals · Angola total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 0.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds2.38
Closing odds2.38

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateover 0.5
    Reference odds2.38
    Closing odds2.38
    Model chance54.7%EV+29.9%
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 0.5
    Reference odds2.12
    Closing odds2.12
    Model chance54.7%EV+16.0%
MoroccoMoroccovGabonGabonAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.3 historical estimates

Cards · Morocco total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.87
Closing odds1.87

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.87
    Closing odds1.87
    Model chance70.5%EV+31.8%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance70.5%EV+30.4%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance70.5%EV+30.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Model chance70.5%EV+26.9%

Cards · Gabon total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.25
Closing odds2.25

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance53.4%EV+20.1%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance53.4%EV+17.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance53.4%EV+12.1%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance53.4%EV+12.1%

Corners · Morocco total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 7.5
BetMGM UKreference price
Reference odds1.86
Closing odds1.86

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKreference priceClosing estimateunder 7.5
    Reference odds1.86
    Closing odds1.86
    Model chance62.3%EV+15.9%
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 7.5
    Reference odds1.86
    Closing odds1.86
    Model chance62.3%EV+15.9%
Burkina FasoBurkina FasovBeninBeninAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.3 historical estimates

Cards · Benin total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.80
Closing odds2.80

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.80
    Closing odds2.80
    Model chance54.1%EV+51.4%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.65
    Closing odds2.65
    Model chance54.1%EV+43.3%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.50
    Closing odds2.50
    Model chance54.1%EV+35.2%

Corners · Burkina Faso total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds3.20
Closing odds3.20

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds3.20
    Closing odds3.20
    Model chance52.3%EV+67.2%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds3.10
    Closing odds3.10
    Model chance52.3%EV+62.0%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.57
    Closing odds2.57
    Model chance52.3%EV+34.3%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance68.7%EV+37.4%

Goals · Benin total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 0.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateover 0.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance56.7%EV+19.1%
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 0.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance56.7%EV+4.9%
BermudaBermudavGuadeloupeGuadeloupeCONCACAF Nations League1 historical estimate

Corners · Bermuda total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.35
Closing odds2.35

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance54.2%EV+27.3%
AlgeriaAlgeriavZambiaZambiaAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.1 historical estimate

Corners · Algeria total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 5.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.42
Closing odds2.42

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.42
    Closing odds2.42
    Model chance52.7%EV+27.6%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance52.7%EV+23.9%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance52.7%EV+23.9%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance52.7%EV+23.9%
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance52.7%EV+18.6%
MaliMalivCabo VerdeCape VerdeAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.1 historical estimate

Corners · Mali total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.05
Closing odds2.05

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance64.2%EV+31.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance64.2%EV+28.4%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance64.2%EV+25.2%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance64.2%EV+25.2%
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance64.2%EV+18.8%
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance64.2%EV+18.8%
HondurasHondurasvSurinameSurinameCONCACAF Nations League2 historical estimates

Corners · Honduras total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 5.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance55.9%EV+17.4%

Goals · Suriname total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 0.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateover 0.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance56.5%EV+12.9%
Atlante FCvCF MonterreyLiga MX, Apertura1 historical estimate

Goals · CF Monterrey total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 1.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds1.91
Closing odds1.91

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateover 1.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance59.4%EV+13.4%
El SalvadorEl SalvadorvMartiniqueMartiniqueCONCACAF Nations League1 historical estimate

Corners · El Salvador total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 5.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance54.0%EV+8.1%
Club TijuanavAtlas FCLiga MX, Apertura1 historical estimate

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 8.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance59.8%EV+25.5%

Selected day

Fri, 25 Sept 2026

Results for selected markets and tier

Historical estimates for this date are shown below. They are excluded from recorded results.

55 historical estimates shown below. Their calculated returns appear only in the calendar and all-date display totals.

All dates

Overall results

3,852 settled picks

One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (1,351 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 28 Sept 2026 – 20 Oct 2026. Totals follow your selected tier and market filters.

ROI+2.2%
Profit+85.04 u
W / L1,896 / 1,956
Avg odds2.11
How to read this board

A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.

Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.

Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.

Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.

Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.

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