Predictions

Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

11 matches
JapanJapanvUruguayUruguayInternational Friendly Games1 historical estimate

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 25.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 25.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance67.1%EV+30.8%
South KoreaSouth KoreavEcuadorEcuadorInternational Friendly Games3 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 24.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds1.80
Closing odds1.80

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Model chance55.9%EV+0.6%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 20.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 20.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance52.9%EV+3.2%

Throw-ins · South Korea total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 15.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.20
Closing odds2.20

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 15.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance58.9%EV+29.5%
AndorraAndorravMaltaMaltaUEFA Nations League2 historical estimates

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 18.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.15
Closing odds2.15

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveClosing estimateover 20.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance52.4%EV+20.5%
  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateover 18.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Model chance66.9%EV+43.9%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 20.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance52.4%EV+4.8%

Throw-ins · Andorra total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 23.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.20
Closing odds2.20

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 23.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance69.2%EV+52.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 23.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Model chance69.2%EV+48.9%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 23.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Model chance69.2%EV+48.9%
NetherlandsNetherlandsvGermanyGermanyUEFA Nations League1 historical estimate

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 20.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds3.50
Closing odds3.50

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 19.5
    Reference odds3.70
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance50.8%EV+88.0%
  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 20.5
    Reference odds3.50
    Closing odds3.50
    Model chance57.9%EV+102.6%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 20.5
    Reference odds2.75
    Closing odds2.75
    Model chance57.9%EV+59.2%
AustriaAustriavIsraelIsraelUEFA Nations League3 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 21.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 21.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance50.6%EV+6.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 21.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance50.6%EV+1.2%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 27.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.43
Closing odds2.43

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds2.43
    Closing odds2.43
    Model chance52.1%EV+26.6%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance52.1%EV+22.5%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance52.1%EV+19.9%

Shots · Austria total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 18.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.45
Closing odds2.45

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 18.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance50.2%EV+22.9%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 18.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance50.2%EV+12.9%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 17.5
    Reference odds2.07
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance58.1%EV+20.3%
PortugalPortugalvWalesWalesUEFA Nations League2 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 19.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.75
Closing odds2.75

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 19.5
    Reference odds2.75
    Closing odds2.75
    Model chance52.5%EV+44.5%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 19.5
    Reference odds2.50
    Closing odds2.50
    Model chance52.5%EV+31.3%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 19.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance52.5%EV+28.7%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 20.5
    Reference odds2.02
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance59.6%EV+20.3%

Shots · Portugal total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 19.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds1.91
Closing odds1.91

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateover 19.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance56.3%EV+7.5%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 19.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance56.3%EV+7.0%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 19.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance56.3%EV+7.0%
NorwayNorwayvDenmarkDenmarkUEFA Nations League1 historical estimate

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 19.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds3.10
Closing odds3.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 19.5
    Reference odds3.10
    Closing odds3.10
    Model chance50.8%EV+57.4%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 19.5
    Reference odds2.55
    Closing odds2.55
    Model chance50.8%EV+29.4%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 19.5
    Reference odds2.55
    Closing odds2.55
    Model chance50.8%EV+29.4%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 20.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance57.8%EV+27.2%
KosovoKosovovIrelandIrelandUEFA Nations League2 historical estimates

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 23.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.45
Closing odds2.45

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 23.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance51.9%EV+27.2%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 23.5
    Reference odds2.40
    Closing odds2.40
    Model chance51.9%EV+24.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 23.5
    Reference odds2.33
    Closing odds2.33
    Model chance51.9%EV+20.9%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 23.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance51.9%EV+14.2%

Shots · Kosovo total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 12.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.30
Closing odds2.30

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 12.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance51.3%EV+18.0%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 12.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance51.3%EV+18.0%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 12.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance51.3%EV+15.5%
SerbiaSerbiavGreeceGreeceUEFA Nations League3 historical estimates

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 24.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.55
Closing odds2.55

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateover 24.5
    Reference odds2.55
    Closing odds2.55
    Model chance56.3%EV+43.5%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 24.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance56.3%EV+37.8%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 24.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance56.3%EV+12.5%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 24.5
    Reference odds1.97
    Closing odds1.97
    Model chance56.3%EV+10.8%
  • KambiClosing estimateover 24.5
    Reference odds1.81
    Closing odds1.81
    Model chance56.3%EV+1.8%

Shots · Serbia total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 11.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.97
Closing odds1.97

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 11.5
    Reference odds1.97
    Closing odds1.97
    Model chance51.6%EV+1.7%

Throw-ins · Serbia total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 17.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds1.90
Closing odds1.90

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 17.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance52.9%EV+0.4%
LiechtensteinLiechtensteinvLithuaniaLithuaniaUEFA Nations League2 historical estimates

Shots · Liechtenstein total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 6.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds3.30
Closing odds3.30

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 6.5
    Reference odds3.30
    Closing odds3.30
    Model chance56.7%EV+87.2%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance70.6%EV+48.2%

Throw-ins · Liechtenstein total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 20.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.55
Closing odds2.55

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 20.5
    Reference odds2.55
    Closing odds2.55
    Model chance60.8%EV+55.1%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 20.5
    Reference odds2.40
    Closing odds2.40
    Model chance60.8%EV+46.0%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 19.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance67.8%EV+42.4%
TunisiaTunisiavUgandaUgandaAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.1 historical estimate

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 22.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.95
Closing odds2.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds2.95
    Closing odds2.95
    Model chance71.2%EV+109.9%

Selected day

Thu, 24 Sept 2026

Results for selected markets and tier

Historical estimates for this date are shown below. They are excluded from recorded results.

21 historical estimates shown below. Their calculated returns appear only in the calendar and all-date display totals.

All dates

Overall results

1,313 settled picks

One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (544 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 4 Oct 2026 – 19 Oct 2026. Totals follow your selected tier and market filters.

ROI+4.0%
Profit+52.29 u
W / L648 / 665
Avg odds2.24
How to read this board

A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.

Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.

Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.

Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.

Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.

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