Predictions

Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.

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Bookmakers, markets and sorting

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

7 matches
AzerbaijanAzerbaijanvTajikistanTajikistanInternational Friendly Games1 historical estimate

Corners · Azerbaijan total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 5.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.90
Closing odds1.90

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance60.4%EV+14.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance60.4%EV+14.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance60.4%EV+11.7%
Servette FC Chênois FémininvOlympique Lyonnais (Women)UEFA Women's Champions League3 historical estimates

Cards · Olympique Lyonnais (Women) total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 0.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.50
Closing odds2.50

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 0.5
    Reference odds2.50
    Closing odds2.50
    Model chance53.6%EV+34.0%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 0.5
    Reference odds2.50
    Closing odds2.50
    Model chance53.6%EV+34.0%

Corners · Servette FC Chênois Féminin total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.87
Closing odds1.87

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.87
    Closing odds1.87
    Model chance68.6%EV+28.3%

Fouls · Olympique Lyonnais (Women) total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 9.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 9.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance91.6%EV+92.3%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 8.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance85.5%EV+79.5%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven (Women)vAS RomaUEFA Women's Champions League2 historical estimates

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 11.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds3.25
Closing odds3.25

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance71.0%EV+45.6%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance71.0%EV+31.4%
  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateover 11.5
    Reference odds3.25
    Closing odds3.25
    Model chance52.7%EV+71.3%

Shots on target · Oud-Heverlee Leuven (Women) total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 4.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.60
Closing odds2.60

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 4.5
    Reference odds2.60
    Closing odds2.60
    Model chance52.1%EV+35.4%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    Reference odds2.55
    Closing odds2.55
    Model chance52.1%EV+32.8%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance52.1%EV+22.3%
Barcelona (Women)vParis FC (Women)UEFA Women's Champions League3 historical estimates

Cards · Barcelona (Women) total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 0.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.80
Closing odds2.80

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 0.5
    Reference odds2.80
    Closing odds2.80
    Model chance52.0%EV+45.6%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 0.5
    Reference odds2.50
    Closing odds2.50
    Model chance52.0%EV+30.0%

Goal kicks · Barcelona (Women) total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.25
Closing odds2.25

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance88.3%EV+98.7%

Goal kicks · Paris FC (Women) total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 12.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 12.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance53.8%EV+4.9%
Chelsea FCvAustria Wien (Women)UEFA Women's Champions League2 historical estimates

Fouls · Austria Wien (Women) total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 8.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.50
Closing odds2.50

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 8.5
    Reference odds2.50
    Closing odds2.50
    Model chance53.1%EV+32.8%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 8.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance53.1%EV+30.2%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance64.6%EV+29.3%

Shots on target · Chelsea FC total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 7.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds1.80
Closing odds1.80

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 7.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Model chance61.2%EV+10.1%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 7.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Model chance61.2%EV+10.1%
ArubaArubavAntigua and BarbudaAntigua and BarbudaCONCACAF Nations League1 historical estimate

Corners · Aruba total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.80
Closing odds1.80

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Model chance58.1%EV+4.5%
Seattle Sounders FCvReal Salt LakeMLS4 historical estimates

Corners · Seattle Sounders FC total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 5.5
Kambireference price
Reference odds2.18
Closing odds2.18

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambireference priceClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.18
    Closing odds2.18
    Model chance51.0%EV+11.2%
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance51.0%EV+7.2%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.07
    Closing odds2.07
    Model chance51.0%EV+5.6%
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance51.0%EV+2.1%

Fouls · Real Salt Lake total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 12.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.90
Closing odds1.90

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 12.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance56.4%EV+7.2%

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 9.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.90
Closing odds1.90

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance54.8%EV+4.1%

Shots on target · Seattle Sounders FC total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 5.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.05
Closing odds2.05

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 5.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance51.7%EV+5.9%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance51.7%EV+0.8%

Selected day

Wed, 23 Sept 2026

Results for selected markets and tier

Historical estimates for this date are shown below. They are excluded from recorded results.

16 historical estimates shown below. Their calculated returns appear only in the calendar and all-date display totals.

All dates

Overall results

3,962 settled picks

One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (1,351 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 28 Sept 2026 – 20 Oct 2026. Totals follow your selected tier and market filters.

ROI+2.2%
Profit+86.51 u
W / L1,955 / 2,007
Avg odds2.10
How to read this board

A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.

Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.

Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.

Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.

Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.

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