Predictions

Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.

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Bookmakers, markets and sorting

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

21 matches
SpVgg Greuther Fürthv1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga5 historical estimates

Cards · 1. FC Magdeburg total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 2.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.87
Closing odds1.87

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds1.87
    Closing odds1.87
    Model chance60.6%EV+13.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Model chance60.6%EV+9.2%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Model chance60.6%EV+9.2%

Corners · SpVgg Greuther Fürth total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.05
Closing odds2.05

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance57.4%EV+17.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance57.4%EV+17.6%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance57.4%EV+14.7%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance57.4%EV+11.9%
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance57.4%EV+9.5%

Fouls · 1. FC Magdeburg total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 11.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.25
Closing odds2.25

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 11.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance55.7%EV+25.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 12.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance66.4%EV+22.9%

Offsides · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 4.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.80
Closing odds2.80

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 4.5
    Reference odds2.80
    Closing odds2.80
    Model chance50.4%EV+41.0%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
    Reference odds2.80
    Closing odds2.80
    Model chance50.4%EV+41.0%

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 10.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 10.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance58.9%EV+23.6%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance58.9%EV+17.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance58.9%EV+8.9%
VfL WolfsburgvDarmstadt 982. Bundesliga2 historical estimates

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 10.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.80
Closing odds2.80

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 10.5
    Reference odds2.80
    Closing odds2.80
    Model chance59.7%EV+67.3%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance70.7%EV+41.4%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance59.7%EV+10.5%

Shots on target · VfL Wolfsburg total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 6.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.60
Closing odds2.60

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 6.5
    Reference odds2.60
    Closing odds2.60
    Model chance57.7%EV+50.0%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 6.5
    Reference odds2.50
    Closing odds2.50
    Model chance57.7%EV+44.3%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 6.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance57.7%EV+6.8%
KasımpaşavKonyasporTrendyol Süper Lig3 historical estimates

Corners · Kasımpaşa total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.97
Closing odds1.97

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.97
    Closing odds1.97
    Model chance52.1%EV+2.6%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance52.1%EV+1.6%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance52.1%EV+1.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance52.1%EV+1.6%
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.92
    Closing odds1.92
    Model chance52.1%EV+0.0%

Fouls · Konyaspor total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 13.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.05
Closing odds2.05

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 13.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance52.1%EV+6.7%

Offsides · Kasımpaşa total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance54.1%EV+13.6%
Stade de ReimsvMontpellierLigue 21 historical estimate

Corners · Stade de Reims total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.05
Closing odds2.05

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance52.9%EV+8.4%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance52.9%EV+8.4%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance52.9%EV+8.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance52.9%EV+5.8%
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance52.9%EV+0.9%
Stade LavalloisvSochauxLigue 21 historical estimate

Corners · Stade Lavallois total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance53.6%EV+12.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance53.6%EV+12.7%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance53.6%EV+10.0%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.02
    Closing odds2.02
    Model chance53.6%EV+8.4%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance53.6%EV+7.3%
FC GroningenvPEC ZwolleEredivisie3 historical estimates

Fouls · PEC Zwolle total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 9.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.50
Closing odds2.50

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 9.5
    Reference odds2.50
    Closing odds2.50
    Model chance50.8%EV+27.0%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance50.8%EV+19.4%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
    Reference odds1.92
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance62.3%EV+19.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance62.3%EV+18.4%

Goals · PEC Zwolle total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 1.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds2.63
Closing odds2.63

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateover 1.5
    Reference odds2.63
    Closing odds2.63
    Model chance60.2%EV+57.9%

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 11.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.60
Closing odds2.60

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 11.5
    Reference odds2.60
    Closing odds2.60
    Model chance55.7%EV+44.8%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance55.7%EV+22.5%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 11.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance55.7%EV+17.0%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 11.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance55.7%EV+17.0%
FC Rapid BucureștivFC Argeș PiteștiRomanian Super Liga1 historical estimate

Goals · FC Argeș Pitești total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 0.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds1.91
Closing odds1.91

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateover 0.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance54.4%EV+3.8%
Albacete BalompiévCórdobaLaLiga 23 historical estimates

Cards · Albacete Balompié total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 2.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds1.80
Closing odds1.80

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Model chance61.4%EV+10.5%

Corners · Albacete Balompié total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance53.4%EV+12.2%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance53.4%EV+6.9%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance53.4%EV+6.9%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance53.4%EV+6.9%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance53.4%EV+4.2%

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 9.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.97
Closing odds1.97

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds1.97
    Closing odds1.97
    Model chance53.5%EV+5.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance53.5%EV+4.3%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance53.5%EV+4.3%
FC Bayern Münchenv1. FC Union BerlinBundesliga5 historical estimates

Cards · 1. FC Union Berlin total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.05
Closing odds2.05

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance57.0%EV+16.8%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance57.0%EV+14.0%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.97
    Closing odds1.97
    Model chance57.0%EV+12.3%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance57.0%EV+11.1%

Fouls · 1. FC Union Berlin total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 9.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 9.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance60.4%EV+26.8%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance60.4%EV+17.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance60.4%EV+17.7%

Saves · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 8.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance50.6%EV+1.1%

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 14.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds3.50
Closing odds3.50

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 14.5
    Reference odds3.50
    Closing odds3.50
    Model chance55.1%EV+93.0%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 14.5
    Reference odds3.30
    Closing odds3.30
    Model chance55.1%EV+82.0%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 14.5
    Reference odds3.15
    Closing odds3.15
    Model chance55.1%EV+73.7%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 12.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance74.5%EV+56.4%

Shots on target · FC Bayern München total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 12.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds4.65
Closing odds4.65

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 12.5
    Reference odds4.65
    Closing odds4.65
    Model chance51.5%EV+139.5%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance81.9%EV+59.8%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance81.9%EV+55.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance81.9%EV+55.7%
Juve StabiavCesenaSerie B3 historical estimates

Corners · Juve Stabia total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 5.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds1.80
Closing odds1.80

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Model chance58.1%EV+4.6%

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 8.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance59.5%EV+16.1%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds1.88
    Closing odds1.88
    Model chance59.5%EV+11.9%

Shots on target · Juve Stabia total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 4.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.90
Closing odds1.90

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 4.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance54.5%EV+3.6%
KAA GentvStandard LiègePro League3 historical estimates

Cards · KAA Gent total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance57.0%EV+19.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance57.0%EV+11.2%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance57.0%EV+11.2%

Cards · Standard Liège total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.27
Closing odds2.27

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.27
    Closing odds2.27
    Model chance51.6%EV+17.1%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance51.6%EV+8.3%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance51.6%EV+8.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance51.6%EV+5.7%

Corners · KAA Gent total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 5.5
BetMGM UKreference price
Reference odds1.85
Closing odds1.85

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKreference priceClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance63.7%EV+17.8%
AS MonacovRC LensLigue 13 historical estimates

Cards · AS Monaco total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance52.7%EV+5.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance52.7%EV+0.1%

Corners · AS Monaco total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance51.4%EV+7.9%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance51.4%EV+5.3%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.02
    Closing odds2.02
    Model chance51.4%EV+3.8%
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance51.4%EV+2.8%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance51.4%EV+0.2%

Offsides · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 3.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 3.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance50.2%EV+5.5%
MonzavSassuoloSerie A7 historical estimates

Cards · Monza total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.02
Closing odds2.02

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.02
    Closing odds2.02
    Model chance54.3%EV+9.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance54.3%EV+8.6%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance54.3%EV+3.2%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance54.3%EV+3.2%

Cards · Sassuolo total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.07
Closing odds2.07

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.07
    Closing odds2.07
    Model chance51.3%EV+6.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance51.3%EV+2.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance51.3%EV+2.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance51.3%EV+0.1%

Fouls · Sassuolo total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 10.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.85
Closing odds2.85

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 10.5
    Reference odds2.85
    Closing odds2.85
    Model chance57.4%EV+63.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 11.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance68.7%EV+51.1%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 11.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance68.7%EV+44.2%

Offsides · Monza total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.65
Closing odds2.65

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.65
    Closing odds2.65
    Model chance50.2%EV+33.1%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance50.2%EV+18.1%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance50.2%EV+10.5%

Saves · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 6.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 6.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance55.6%EV+8.4%

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 8.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.05
Closing odds2.05

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance72.2%EV+47.9%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance72.2%EV+44.3%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance72.2%EV+40.7%

Shots on target · Monza total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 4.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.45
Closing odds2.45

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 4.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance60.2%EV+47.5%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance60.2%EV+38.4%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance60.2%EV+38.4%
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 4.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance60.2%EV+14.4%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance60.2%EV+14.4%
EspanyolvElcheLaLiga5 historical estimates

Cards · Elche total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 2.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance58.9%EV+14.8%

Fouls · Elche total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 12.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 12.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance56.0%EV+17.5%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 12.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance56.0%EV+17.5%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 12.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance56.0%EV+11.9%

Offsides · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 3.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 3.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance60.0%EV+25.9%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance60.0%EV+19.9%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance60.0%EV+13.9%

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 9.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.20
Closing odds2.20

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance57.0%EV+25.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance57.0%EV+19.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance57.0%EV+19.6%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance57.0%EV+16.8%

Shots on target · Espanyol total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 5.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.30
Closing odds2.30

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 5.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance50.3%EV+15.7%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Model chance50.3%EV+8.2%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Model chance50.3%EV+8.2%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
    Reference odds2.07
    Closing odds2.07
    Model chance50.3%EV+4.1%
Bristol CityvWatfordChampionship1 historical estimate

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 8.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds1.91
Closing odds1.91

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance56.5%EV+7.8%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Model chance56.5%EV+1.6%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Model chance56.5%EV+1.6%
Central CórdobavDefensa y JusticiaLiga Profesional de Fútbol1 historical estimate

Corners · Central Córdoba total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance56.5%EV+13.1%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance56.5%EV+10.2%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance56.5%EV+10.2%
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance56.5%EV+7.9%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance56.5%EV+7.4%
CearávNovorizontinoBrasileirão Série B3 historical estimates

Cards · Ceará total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 2.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance61.6%EV+29.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance61.6%EV+29.4%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance61.6%EV+26.3%

Cards · Novorizontino total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 2.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.92
Closing odds1.92

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds1.92
    Closing odds1.92
    Model chance67.1%EV+28.7%

Fouls · Novorizontino total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 13.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds1.80
Closing odds1.80

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 13.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Model chance56.2%EV+1.1%
New York City FCvNew York Red BullsMLS6 historical estimates

Cards · New York Red Bulls total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 2.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.88
Closing odds1.88

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds1.88
    Closing odds1.88
    Model chance66.7%EV+25.4%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance66.7%EV+23.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance66.7%EV+23.4%

Fouls · New York Red Bulls total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 12.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 12.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance63.4%EV+26.8%

Goal kicks · New York City FC total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 6.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.07
Closing odds2.07

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds2.07
    Closing odds2.07
    Model chance51.2%EV+5.9%

Goal kicks · New York Red Bulls total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 7.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.97
Closing odds1.97

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 7.5
    Reference odds1.97
    Closing odds1.97
    Model chance52.5%EV+3.3%

Offsides · New York City FC total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 2.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance64.7%EV+26.3%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance64.7%EV+26.3%

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 9.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance53.7%EV+4.8%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance53.7%EV+2.1%
Racing ClubvSarmientoLiga Profesional de Fútbol3 historical estimates

Cards · Sarmiento total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 2.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.20
Closing odds2.20

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance53.8%EV+18.4%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance53.8%EV+13.1%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance53.8%EV+5.0%

Corners · Racing Club total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 5.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.90
Closing odds1.90

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance56.1%EV+6.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance56.1%EV+6.6%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Model chance56.1%EV+1.0%

Fouls · Sarmiento total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 12.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.92
Closing odds1.92

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 12.5
    Reference odds1.92
    Closing odds1.92
    Model chance56.4%EV+8.3%
Club PueblavAtlante FCLiga MX, Apertura1 historical estimate

Fouls · Atlante FC total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 12.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.85
Closing odds1.85

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 12.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance55.2%EV+2.0%
FC JuárezvTigres UANLLiga MX, Apertura3 historical estimates

Cards · FC Juárez total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 2.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds1.85
Closing odds1.85

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance65.6%EV+21.4%

Fouls · Tigres UANL total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 13.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.80
Closing odds1.80

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 13.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Model chance59.1%EV+6.3%

Shots on target · FC Juárez total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 3.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 3.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance53.5%EV+4.3%
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance53.5%EV+2.1%

Selected day

Fri, 18 Sept 2026

Results for selected markets and tier

Historical estimates for this date are shown below. They are excluded from recorded results.

63 historical estimates shown below. Their calculated returns appear only in the calendar and all-date display totals.

All dates

Overall results

3,773 settled picks

One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (1,351 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 28 Sept 2026 – 19 Oct 2026. Totals follow your selected tier and market filters.

ROI+2.1%
Profit+81.30 u
W / L1,851 / 1,922
Avg odds2.12
How to read this board

A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.

Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.

Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.

Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.

Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.

Drag to move this button. Its position is remembered.