Predictions

Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

9 matches
OFI CretevTSG HoffenheimUEFA Europa League1 historical estimate

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 24.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.07
Closing odds2.07

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance52.4%EV+28.3%
  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.07
    Closing odds2.07
    Model chance66.5%EV+37.8%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance52.4%EV+7.4%
Real BetisvGetafeLaLiga3 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 24.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.55
Closing odds2.55

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.55
    Closing odds2.55
    Model chance56.7%EV+44.5%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance56.7%EV+38.9%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.40
    Closing odds2.40
    Model chance56.7%EV+36.0%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 25.5
    Reference odds2.22
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance64.1%EV+42.2%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 27.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.85
Closing odds2.85

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds2.85
    Closing odds2.85
    Model chance50.3%EV+43.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds2.75
    Closing odds2.75
    Model chance50.3%EV+38.2%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance50.3%EV+0.5%

Shots · Real Betis total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 15.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 15.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance57.3%EV+20.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 15.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance57.3%EV+14.5%
Manchester CityvNorwich CityEFL Cup3 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 19.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.60
Closing odds2.60

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 19.5
    Reference odds2.60
    Closing odds2.60
    Model chance57.4%EV+49.2%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 19.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance57.4%EV+40.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 19.5
    Reference odds2.40
    Closing odds2.40
    Model chance57.4%EV+37.7%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 30.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.55
Closing odds2.55

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 30.5
    Reference odds2.55
    Closing odds2.55
    Model chance52.1%EV+32.9%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 30.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance52.1%EV+27.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 30.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance52.1%EV+27.7%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 30.5
    Reference odds2.40
    Closing odds2.40
    Model chance52.1%EV+25.0%

Shots · Manchester City total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 20.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.30
Closing odds2.30

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 23.5
    Reference odds2.95
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance54.6%EV+61.1%
  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 20.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance74.5%EV+71.2%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 20.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance74.5%EV+63.8%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 20.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance74.5%EV+63.8%
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 20.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance74.5%EV+42.1%
Lillestrøm SKvTorreenseUEFA Europa League1 historical estimate

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 25.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.25
Closing odds2.25

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 25.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance54.0%EV+21.4%
JuventusvNEC NijmegenUEFA Europa League1 historical estimate

Shots · Juventus total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 18.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds1.85
Closing odds1.85

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 18.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance54.7%EV+1.2%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 18.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance54.7%EV+1.2%
Crystal PalacevLech PoznańUEFA Europa League1 historical estimate

Shots · Crystal Palace total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 15.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds1.91
Closing odds1.91

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateover 15.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance62.6%EV+19.6%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 16.5
    Reference odds2.17
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance54.0%EV+17.3%
MálagavVillarrealLaLiga2 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 22.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.05
Closing odds2.05

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance58.6%EV+20.1%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 25.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds1.91
Closing odds1.91

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance51.2%EV+5.0%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.02
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance51.2%EV+3.4%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance51.2%EV+2.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance51.2%EV+2.4%
  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateover 25.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance58.1%EV+11.0%
Montevideo City TorquevCiencianoCONMEBOL Sudamericana3 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 23.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.25
Closing odds2.25

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 21.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance56.5%EV+30.0%
  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance70.3%EV+58.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 21.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance56.5%EV+18.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance63.7%EV+14.7%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 26.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance53.0%EV+3.3%

Throw-ins · Montevideo City Torque total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 22.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.97
Closing odds1.97

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 23.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance52.2%EV+9.6%
  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 22.5
    Reference odds1.97
    Closing odds1.97
    Model chance59.0%EV+16.3%
FlamengovIndependiente del ValleCONMEBOL Libertadores3 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 20.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.85
Closing odds1.85

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 20.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance54.4%EV+0.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 20.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance54.4%EV+0.7%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 26.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance60.3%EV+17.6%

Shots · Flamengo total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 17.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateover 17.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance58.5%EV+14.0%

Selected day

Thu, 17 Sept 2026

Results for selected markets and tier

Historical estimates for this date are shown below. They are excluded from recorded results.

18 historical estimates shown below. Their calculated returns appear only in the calendar and all-date display totals.

All dates

Overall results

1,329 settled picks

One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (544 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 4 Oct 2026 – 20 Oct 2026. Totals follow your selected tier and market filters.

ROI+3.7%
Profit+49.68 u
W / L655 / 674
Avg odds2.24
How to read this board

A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.

Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.

Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.

Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.

Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.

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