Predictions

Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

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Matches

11 matches
Atlético MadridvOsasunaLaLiga3 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 23.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.97
Closing odds1.97

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds1.97
    Closing odds1.97
    Model chance55.2%EV+8.8%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 26.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance52.8%EV+10.9%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance52.8%EV+8.2%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance52.8%EV+8.2%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance52.8%EV+5.6%

Shots · Atlético Madrid total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 16.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds1.91
Closing odds1.91

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateover 16.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance55.4%EV+5.8%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 16.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance55.4%EV+5.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 16.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance55.4%EV+2.5%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 16.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance55.4%EV+2.5%
Deportivo La CoruñavSevillaLaLiga2 historical estimates

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 22.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds1.91
Closing odds1.91

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveClosing estimateover 24.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance50.3%EV+15.6%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 24.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance50.3%EV+15.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 24.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance50.3%EV+13.1%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 23.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance57.6%EV+12.2%
  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateover 22.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance64.7%EV+23.5%

Throw-ins · Deportivo La Coruña total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 17.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 17.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance56.7%EV+10.6%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 17.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance56.7%EV+7.8%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 17.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance56.7%EV+7.8%
EvertonvWolverhamptonEFL Cup1 historical estimate

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 27.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.35
Closing odds2.35

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance54.8%EV+28.9%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance54.8%EV+28.9%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance54.8%EV+26.1%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds2.07
    Closing odds2.07
    Model chance54.8%EV+13.5%
Fleetwood TownvSheffield UnitedEFL Cup1 historical estimate

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 27.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.70
Closing odds2.70

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds2.70
    Closing odds2.70
    Model chance52.5%EV+41.8%
Hapoel Be'er ShevavGNK Dinamo ZagrebUEFA Europa League3 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 25.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 25.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance54.6%EV+6.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 25.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance54.6%EV+3.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 25.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance54.6%EV+3.7%

Shots · Hapoel Be'er Sheva total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 10.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 10.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance56.9%EV+19.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance56.9%EV+16.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance56.9%EV+13.9%

Throw-ins · Hapoel Be'er Sheva total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 18.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.90
Closing odds1.90

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 18.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance54.3%EV+3.2%
Coventry CityvAston VillaEFL Cup3 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 22.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.85
Closing odds1.85

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 21.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance52.5%EV+10.2%
  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance60.0%EV+10.9%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance60.0%EV+10.9%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance60.0%EV+10.9%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 26.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.75
Closing odds2.75

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.75
    Closing odds2.75
    Model chance57.1%EV+57.0%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.75
    Closing odds2.75
    Model chance57.1%EV+57.0%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.70
    Closing odds2.70
    Model chance57.1%EV+54.1%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance57.1%EV+14.1%

Throw-ins · Coventry City total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 15.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.20
Closing odds2.20

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 15.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance74.0%EV+62.9%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 15.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance74.0%EV+55.5%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 15.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance74.0%EV+48.1%
Bayer 04 LeverkusenvNK CeljeUEFA Europa League1 historical estimate

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 20.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.22
Closing odds2.22

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 20.5
    Reference odds2.22
    Closing odds2.22
    Model chance54.1%EV+20.2%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 20.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance54.1%EV+13.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 20.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance54.1%EV+11.0%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 21.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance61.8%EV+14.3%
Manchester UnitedvBrighton & Hove AlbionEFL Cup1 historical estimate

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 30.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.65
Closing odds2.65

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 30.5
    Reference odds2.65
    Closing odds2.65
    Model chance51.0%EV+35.3%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 30.5
    Reference odds2.65
    Closing odds2.65
    Model chance51.0%EV+35.3%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 30.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance51.0%EV+7.2%
BarcelonavRacing de SantanderLaLiga3 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 19.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds3.10
Closing odds3.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 18.5
    Reference odds3.15
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance50.9%EV+60.3%
  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 19.5
    Reference odds3.10
    Closing odds3.10
    Model chance59.6%EV+84.8%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 21.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance75.0%EV+83.7%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 21.5
    Reference odds2.27
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance75.0%EV+70.2%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 33.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds3.20
Closing odds3.20

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 33.5
    Reference odds3.20
    Closing odds3.20
    Model chance64.9%EV+107.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 31.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance75.3%EV+77.0%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 31.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance75.3%EV+73.2%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 31.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance75.3%EV+73.2%

Shots · Barcelona total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 24.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.65
Closing odds2.65

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveClosing estimateover 25.5
    Reference odds2.75
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance69.5%EV+91.3%
  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 24.5
    Reference odds2.65
    Closing odds2.65
    Model chance75.4%EV+99.8%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 24.5
    Reference odds2.57
    Closing odds2.57
    Model chance75.4%EV+93.8%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 23.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance80.7%EV+73.4%
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 21.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance89.1%EV+70.0%
Atlético MineirovSantosCONMEBOL Sudamericana1 historical estimate

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 23.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.02
Closing odds2.02

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds2.02
    Closing odds2.02
    Model chance77.7%EV+56.9%
BotafogovGrêmioBrasileirão Série A2 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 25.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.97
Closing odds1.97

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 25.5
    Reference odds1.97
    Closing odds1.97
    Model chance53.9%EV+6.1%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 29.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.15
Closing odds2.15

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 29.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Model chance51.7%EV+11.2%

Selected day

Wed, 16 Sept 2026

Results for selected markets and tier

Historical estimates for this date are shown below. They are excluded from recorded results.

21 historical estimates shown below. Their calculated returns appear only in the calendar and all-date display totals.

All dates

Overall results

1,358 settled picks

One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (544 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 4 Oct 2026 – 20 Oct 2026. Totals follow your selected tier and market filters.

ROI+3.0%
Profit+41.13 u
W / L666 / 692
Avg odds2.23
How to read this board

A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.

Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.

Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.

Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.

Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.

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