Predictions

Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.

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Bookmakers, markets and sorting

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

18 matches
GenoavSüdtirolCoppa Italia1 historical estimate

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 25.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.45
Closing odds2.45

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 25.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance51.8%EV+27.0%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 25.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance51.8%EV+27.0%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 25.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance51.8%EV+8.9%
Rayo VallecanovEspanyolLaLiga1 historical estimate

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 26.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.20
Closing odds2.20

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 26.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance55.9%EV+23.1%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 26.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance55.9%EV+11.9%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 26.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance55.9%EV+9.1%
AFC AjaxvWillem II TilburgEredivisie3 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 19.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 19.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance56.8%EV+13.5%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 19.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance56.8%EV+10.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 19.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance56.8%EV+5.0%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 34.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.85
Closing odds2.85

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 34.5
    Reference odds2.85
    Closing odds2.85
    Model chance52.3%EV+49.0%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 34.5
    Reference odds2.70
    Closing odds2.70
    Model chance52.3%EV+41.2%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 33.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance58.1%EV+27.9%

Shots · AFC Ajax total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 23.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.27
Closing odds2.27

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 23.5
    Reference odds2.27
    Closing odds2.27
    Model chance74.8%EV+69.8%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 23.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance74.8%EV+57.1%
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 23.5
    Reference odds1.97
    Closing odds1.97
    Model chance74.8%EV+47.4%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 23.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance74.8%EV+38.4%
Deportivo AlavésvValenciaLaLiga2 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 26.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance51.3%EV+18.1%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance51.3%EV+18.1%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance51.3%EV+18.1%
  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 26.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance66.0%EV+31.9%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 25.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.35
Closing odds2.35

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 25.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance53.1%EV+24.8%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 25.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance53.1%EV+22.1%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 25.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance53.1%EV+22.1%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 25.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance53.1%EV+19.5%
Peterborough UnitedvBarnsleyEFL Cup1 historical estimate

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 27.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.65
Closing odds2.65

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds2.65
    Closing odds2.65
    Model chance55.9%EV+48.1%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds2.50
    Closing odds2.50
    Model chance55.9%EV+39.7%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance55.9%EV+31.4%
MotherwellvAberdeenScottish Premiership2 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 24.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.50
Closing odds2.50

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.50
    Closing odds2.50
    Model chance56.2%EV+40.4%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 25.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance63.6%EV+27.3%

Throw-ins · Motherwell total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 20.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 20.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance57.6%EV+20.9%
HibernianvKilmarnockScottish Premiership3 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 22.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.25
Closing odds2.25

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance59.6%EV+34.1%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance59.6%EV+19.1%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 27.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.02
Closing odds2.02

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds2.02
    Closing odds2.02
    Model chance54.1%EV+9.2%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance54.1%EV+5.4%

Shots · Hibernian total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 18.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.45
Closing odds2.45

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 18.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance52.4%EV+28.4%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 18.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance52.4%EV+28.4%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 17.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance60.6%EV+21.3%
Falkirk FCvHeart of MidlothianScottish Premiership1 historical estimate

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 23.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.50
Closing odds2.50

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds2.50
    Closing odds2.50
    Model chance50.7%EV+26.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance58.5%EV+16.9%
Bristol CityvLincoln CityChampionship1 historical estimate

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 26.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.02
Closing odds2.02

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.02
    Closing odds2.02
    Model chance55.1%EV+11.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance55.1%EV+7.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance55.1%EV+1.9%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance55.1%EV+1.9%
MiddlesbroughvMillwallChampionship2 historical estimates

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 30.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds3.35
Closing odds3.35

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 30.5
    Reference odds3.35
    Closing odds3.35
    Model chance54.2%EV+81.5%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 30.5
    Reference odds2.70
    Closing odds2.70
    Model chance54.2%EV+46.2%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance66.3%EV+39.3%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance66.3%EV+32.6%

Shots · Middlesbrough total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 17.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.45
Closing odds2.45

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 19.5
    Reference odds3.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance58.7%EV+75.9%
  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 17.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance73.7%EV+80.5%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 17.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance73.7%EV+51.0%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 16.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance80.2%EV+60.3%
West Ham UnitedvFulhamEFL Cup2 historical estimates

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 28.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.35
Closing odds2.35

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance56.0%EV+31.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance56.0%EV+28.9%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance56.0%EV+28.9%
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance62.1%EV+24.3%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance56.0%EV+12.0%

Throw-ins · West Ham United total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 16.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.15
Closing odds2.15

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 16.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Model chance55.4%EV+19.2%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 16.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance55.4%EV+10.8%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 16.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance55.4%EV+5.3%
LiverpoolvTottenham HotspurEFL Cup3 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 20.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.50
Closing odds2.50

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 20.5
    Reference odds2.50
    Closing odds2.50
    Model chance51.8%EV+29.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 20.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance51.8%EV+26.9%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 20.5
    Reference odds2.40
    Closing odds2.40
    Model chance51.8%EV+24.3%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 29.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.95
Closing odds2.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateover 29.5
    Reference odds2.95
    Closing odds2.95
    Model chance50.5%EV+49.1%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 29.5
    Reference odds2.85
    Closing odds2.85
    Model chance50.5%EV+44.0%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 29.5
    Reference odds2.75
    Closing odds2.75
    Model chance50.5%EV+39.0%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 29.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance50.5%EV+13.7%

Shots · Liverpool total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 15.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateover 15.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance50.3%EV+0.6%
ReadingvBrentfordEFL Cup3 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 21.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds1.85
Closing odds1.85

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 20.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance51.0%EV+7.0%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 20.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance51.0%EV+4.5%
  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 21.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance58.7%EV+8.5%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 29.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.85
Closing odds2.85

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 29.5
    Reference odds2.85
    Closing odds2.85
    Model chance54.4%EV+54.9%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 29.5
    Reference odds2.85
    Closing odds2.85
    Model chance54.4%EV+54.9%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 29.5
    Reference odds2.75
    Closing odds2.75
    Model chance54.4%EV+49.5%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance71.9%EV+43.8%

Shots · Reading total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 9.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.05
Closing odds2.05

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance59.6%EV+22.1%
Ipswich TownvArsenalEFL Cup2 historical estimates

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 26.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.65
Closing odds2.65

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.65
    Closing odds2.65
    Model chance55.0%EV+45.8%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.65
    Closing odds2.65
    Model chance55.0%EV+45.8%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.55
    Closing odds2.55
    Model chance55.0%EV+40.3%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.17
    Closing odds2.17
    Model chance55.0%EV+19.4%

Shots · Ipswich Town total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 8.5
BetMGM UKreference price
Reference odds2.15
Closing odds2.15

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKreference priceClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Model chance60.6%EV+30.2%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds2.12
    Closing odds2.12
    Model chance60.6%EV+28.4%
ElchevReal MadridLaLiga3 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 23.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.45
Closing odds2.45

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance80.3%EV+96.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance80.3%EV+96.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance80.3%EV+88.6%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds2.17
    Closing odds2.17
    Model chance80.3%EV+74.2%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 31.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.85
Closing odds2.85

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365Closing estimateover 29.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance66.2%EV+26.3%
  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 31.5
    Reference odds2.85
    Closing odds2.85
    Model chance54.0%EV+53.9%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 31.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance54.0%EV+32.3%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 31.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance54.0%EV+26.9%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 31.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance54.0%EV+18.8%

Shots · Elche total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 10.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.20
Closing odds2.20

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 10.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance51.3%EV+13.0%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.5
    Reference odds2.02
    Closing odds2.02
    Model chance51.3%EV+3.7%
Vasco da GamavIndependiente Santa FeCONMEBOL Sudamericana3 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 22.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.95
Closing odds2.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds2.95
    Closing odds2.95
    Model chance69.2%EV+104.0%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds2.60
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance75.3%EV+95.9%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds1.97
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance75.3%EV+48.4%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 27.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.32
Closing odds2.32

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds2.32
    Closing odds2.32
    Model chance50.6%EV+17.3%
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance56.9%EV+13.7%

Shots · Vasco da Gama total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 17.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 17.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance51.1%EV+2.2%
PlatensevFluminenseCONMEBOL Libertadores2 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 24.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.20
Closing odds2.20

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance74.9%EV+64.8%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance74.9%EV+57.4%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance74.9%EV+57.4%

Throw-ins · Platense total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 20.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds1.85
Closing odds1.85

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateover 20.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance54.3%EV+0.4%
LondrinavPonte PretaBrasileirão Série B1 historical estimate

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 30.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 30.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance63.8%EV+24.3%

Selected day

Tue, 15 Sept 2026

Results for selected markets and tier

Historical estimates for this date are shown below. They are excluded from recorded results.

36 historical estimates shown below. Their calculated returns appear only in the calendar and all-date display totals.

All dates

Overall results

1,329 settled picks

One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (544 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 4 Oct 2026 – 20 Oct 2026. Totals follow your selected tier and market filters.

ROI+3.7%
Profit+49.68 u
W / L655 / 674
Avg odds2.24
How to read this board

A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.

Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.

Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.

Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.

Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.

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