Predictions

Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.

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Bookmakers, markets and sorting

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

8 matches
TorinovRomaSerie A2 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 22.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.90
Closing odds2.90

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds2.90
    Closing odds2.90
    Model chance54.3%EV+57.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds2.85
    Closing odds2.85
    Model chance54.3%EV+54.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds2.75
    Closing odds2.75
    Model chance54.3%EV+49.3%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance69.4%EV+49.1%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 26.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.40
Closing odds2.40

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.40
    Closing odds2.40
    Model chance53.0%EV+27.2%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance53.0%EV+24.5%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance53.0%EV+21.9%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.22
    Closing odds2.22
    Model chance53.0%EV+17.6%
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 24.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance66.3%EV+26.5%
Gaziantep FKvFenerbahçeTrendyol Süper Lig3 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 25.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.60
Closing odds2.60

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 25.5
    Reference odds2.60
    Closing odds2.60
    Model chance53.3%EV+38.7%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 25.5
    Reference odds1.97
    Closing odds1.97
    Model chance53.3%EV+5.1%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 30.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.85
Closing odds2.85

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 30.5
    Reference odds2.85
    Closing odds2.85
    Model chance50.4%EV+43.7%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 30.5
    Reference odds2.70
    Closing odds2.70
    Model chance50.4%EV+36.2%

Shots · Gaziantep FK total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 13.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds3.30
Closing odds3.30

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 13.5
    Reference odds3.30
    Closing odds3.30
    Model chance51.9%EV+71.2%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 11.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance71.5%EV+46.6%
Rio AvevCF Estrela AmadoraLiga Portugal Betclic2 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 23.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.80
Closing odds2.80

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds2.80
    Closing odds2.80
    Model chance55.1%EV+54.4%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance62.6%EV+47.0%

Shots · Rio Ave total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 12.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.97
Closing odds1.97

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 12.5
    Reference odds1.97
    Closing odds1.97
    Model chance51.1%EV+0.7%
Celta Vigo BvEibarLaLiga 21 historical estimate

Throw-ins · Celta Vigo B total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 16.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 16.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance54.9%EV+7.0%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 16.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance54.9%EV+1.5%
IntervUdineseSerie A3 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 22.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.02
Closing odds2.02

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 21.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance55.6%EV+14.0%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 21.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance55.6%EV+14.0%
  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds2.02
    Closing odds2.02
    Model chance63.6%EV+28.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 21.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance55.6%EV+11.3%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 28.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.12
Closing odds2.12

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds2.12
    Closing odds2.12
    Model chance53.2%EV+12.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance53.2%EV+9.0%
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance53.2%EV+6.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance53.2%EV+6.3%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance53.2%EV+6.3%

Shots · Inter total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 20.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.65
Closing odds2.65

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 20.5
    Reference odds2.65
    Closing odds2.65
    Model chance56.4%EV+49.5%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 20.5
    Reference odds2.55
    Closing odds2.55
    Model chance56.4%EV+43.8%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 20.5
    Reference odds2.37
    Closing odds2.37
    Model chance56.4%EV+33.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 19.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance64.1%EV+40.9%
MoreirensevMarítimoLiga Portugal Betclic1 historical estimate

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 26.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.05
Closing odds2.05

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 26.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance50.3%EV+3.1%
Sporting BragavEstoril PraiaLiga Portugal Betclic2 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 23.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.45
Closing odds2.45

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance58.9%EV+44.2%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance58.9%EV+38.3%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance58.9%EV+38.3%

Shots · Sporting Braga total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 14.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.30
Closing odds2.30

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 14.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance51.0%EV+17.4%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 13.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance60.9%EV+15.6%
BahiavRemoBrasileirão Série A3 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 24.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance63.6%EV+33.6%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 29.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.60
Closing odds2.60

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 29.5
    Reference odds2.60
    Closing odds2.60
    Model chance56.5%EV+47.0%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 29.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance56.5%EV+24.4%

Shots · Bahia total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 18.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.50
Closing odds2.50

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 18.5
    Reference odds2.50
    Closing odds2.50
    Model chance60.7%EV+51.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 17.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance68.7%EV+27.1%
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 17.5
    Reference odds1.82
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance68.7%EV+25.0%

Selected day

Mon, 14 Sept 2026

Results for selected markets and tier

Historical estimates for this date are shown below. They are excluded from recorded results.

17 historical estimates shown below. Their calculated returns appear only in the calendar and all-date display totals.

All dates

Overall results

1,315 settled picks

One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (544 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 4 Oct 2026 – 19 Oct 2026. Totals follow your selected tier and market filters.

ROI+3.9%
Profit+51.61 u
W / L649 / 666
Avg odds2.24
How to read this board

A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.

Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.

Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.

Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.

Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.

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