Predictions
Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.
10 picks shown with Paddy Power prices. Recorded performance covers all suggestions for the selected tier and markets.
Board
Matches
FiorentinavNapoliSerie A1 historical estimate
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
- Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 3.5Model chance65.9%EV+45.1%Reference odds2.20Closing odds2.20
FC TwentevPSV EindhovenEredivisie1 historical estimate
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
- Paddy Powerreference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5Model chance59.1%EV+30.0%Reference odds2.20Closing odds2.20
BournemouthvLiverpoolPremier League1 historical estimate
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
- Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5Model chance60.1%EV+28.5%Reference odds2.14Closing odds2.14
Atlético MadridvReal MadridLaLiga1 historical estimate
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
- Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5Model chance55.6%EV+23.5%Reference odds2.22Closing odds2.22
FulhamvManchester UnitedPremier League1 historical estimate
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
- Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5Model chance62.0%EV+31.4%Reference odds2.12Closing odds2.12
JuventusvAtalantaSerie A1 historical estimate
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
- Kambireference priceClosing estimateunder 5.5Model chance59.8%EV+26.7%Reference odds2.12Closing odds2.12
Deportivo La CoruñavReal BetisLaLiga1 historical estimate
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
- Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5Model chance56.1%EV+12.3%Reference odds2.00Closing odds2.00
CorinthiansvFluminenseBrasileirão Série A1 historical estimate
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
- Bet365reference priceClosing estimateunder 5.5Model chance60.5%EV+27.1%Reference odds2.10Closing odds2.10
ValenciavReal SociedadLaLiga1 historical estimate
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
- Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5Model chance59.1%EV+15.3%Reference odds1.95Closing odds1.95
AthleticovBahiaBrasileirão Série A1 historical estimate
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
- Paddy Powerreference priceClosing estimateunder 5.5Model chance56.2%EV+20.9%Reference odds2.15Closing odds2.15
Selected day
Sun, 20 Sept 2026
Historical estimates for this date are shown below. They are excluded from recorded results.
10 historical estimates shown below. Their calculated returns appear only in the calendar and all-date display totals.
All dates
Overall results
One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (1,974 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 28 Sept 2026 – 18 Oct 2026.
How to read this board
A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.
Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.
Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.
Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.
Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.