Predictions Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.
Public beta 18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research Independence, method & limitations We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.
An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.
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Simulated performance does not predict real-world profit. Models can be wrong, odds can change, and historical results can overstate an apparent advantage. Gambling can cause financial harm and addiction. Get support
0 Free available0 VIP available7 Recorded Free1 Recorded VIP
Match day · Loading… Bookmaker filters price options; results use the recorded picks.
Today * Est. = historical estimate
Browse the full month W / L picksEst. = historical estimate
Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 — — 31 — — W / L picksEst. = historical estimate
W / L picksEst. = historical estimate
W / L picksEst. = historical estimate
Picks Daily results Overall results Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.
8 picks shown with Kambi prices. Recorded performance covers all suggestions for the selected tier and markets.
12:45 Sweden v Romania 2 historical estimates under 1.5
Liderbet reference price
Reference odds 2.25
→ Closing odds 2.25
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Liderbet reference price Closing estimate under 1.5 Reference odds 2.25
→ Closing odds 2.25
Model chance 50.4%EV +13.3%Superbet Closing estimate under 1.5 Reference odds 2.25
→ Closing odds 2.25
Model chance 50.4%EV +13.3%Kambi Closing estimate under 1.5 Reference odds 2.10
→ Closing odds 2.10
Model chance 50.4%EV +5.8%Crocobet Closing estimate under 1.5 Reference odds 2.00
→ Closing odds 2.00
Model chance 50.4%EV +0.7%over 16.5
Crocobet reference price
Reference odds 3.10
→ Closing odds 3.10
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Crocobet reference price Closing estimate over 16.5 Reference odds 3.10
→ Closing odds 3.10
Model chance 56.9%EV +76.5%Betlive Closing estimate over 16.5 Reference odds 2.75
→ Closing odds 2.75
Model chance 56.9%EV +56.6%Superbet Closing estimate over 15.5 Reference odds 2.05
→ Closing odds —
Different lines · no price comparison Model chance 65.1%EV +33.5%Kambi Closing estimate over 16.5 Reference odds 1.92
→ Closing odds 1.92
Model chance 56.9%EV +9.3%Liderbet Closing estimate over 14.5 Reference odds 1.90
→ Closing odds —
Different lines · no price comparison Model chance 72.8%EV +38.4%12:45 Italy v Belgium 1 historical estimate under 4.5
Paddy Power reference price
Reference odds 2.20
→ Closing odds 2.20
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Paddy Power reference price Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.20
→ Closing odds 2.20
Model chance 51.6%EV +13.6%Bet365 Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.10
→ Closing odds 2.10
Model chance 51.6%EV +8.4%Betlive Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.10
→ Closing odds 2.10
Model chance 51.6%EV +8.4%Liderbet Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.10
→ Closing odds 2.10
Model chance 51.6%EV +8.4%Superbet Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.10
→ Closing odds 2.10
Model chance 51.6%EV +8.4%Kambi Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.04
→ Closing odds 2.04
Model chance 51.6%EV +5.3%Crocobet Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.00
→ Closing odds 2.00
Model chance 51.6%EV +3.2%12:45 Hungary v Ukraine 1 historical estimate under 4.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 2.17
→ Closing odds 2.17
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Superbet reference price Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.17
→ Closing odds 2.17
Model chance 57.4%EV +24.6%Betlive Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.05
→ Closing odds 2.05
Model chance 57.4%EV +17.7%Liderbet Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.05
→ Closing odds 2.05
Model chance 57.4%EV +17.7%Paddy Power Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.05
→ Closing odds 2.05
Model chance 57.4%EV +17.7%Crocobet Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.00
→ Closing odds 2.00
Model chance 57.4%EV +14.9%Kambi Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 1.91
→ Closing odds 1.91
Model chance 57.4%EV +9.7%BetMGM UK Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 1.86
→ Closing odds 1.86
Model chance 57.4%EV +6.8%13:00 Egypt v Angola 1 historical estimate under 5.5
BetMGM UK reference price
Reference odds 1.91
→ Closing odds 1.91
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
BetMGM UK reference price Closing estimate under 5.5 Reference odds 1.91
→ Closing odds 1.91
Model chance 65.8%EV +25.7%Kambi Closing estimate under 5.5 Reference odds 1.91
→ Closing odds 1.91
Model chance 65.8%EV +25.7%Superbet Closing estimate under 5.5 Reference odds 1.90
→ Closing odds 1.90
Model chance 65.8%EV +25.0%13:00 Algeria v Zambia 1 historical estimate under 5.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 2.42
→ Closing odds 2.42
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Superbet reference price Closing estimate under 5.5 Reference odds 2.42
→ Closing odds 2.42
Model chance 52.7%EV +27.6%Betlive Closing estimate under 5.5 Reference odds 2.35
→ Closing odds 2.35
Model chance 52.7%EV +23.9%Crocobet Closing estimate under 5.5 Reference odds 2.35
→ Closing odds 2.35
Model chance 52.7%EV +23.9%Liderbet Closing estimate under 5.5 Reference odds 2.35
→ Closing odds 2.35
Model chance 52.7%EV +23.9%Kambi Closing estimate under 5.5 Reference odds 2.25
→ Closing odds 2.25
Model chance 52.7%EV +18.6%13:00 Mali v Cape Verde 1 historical estimate under 4.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 2.05
→ Closing odds 2.05
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Superbet reference price Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.05
→ Closing odds 2.05
Model chance 64.2%EV +31.6%Liderbet Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.00
→ Closing odds 2.00
Model chance 64.2%EV +28.4%Betlive Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 1.95
→ Closing odds 1.95
Model chance 64.2%EV +25.2%Crocobet Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 1.95
→ Closing odds 1.95
Model chance 64.2%EV +25.2%BetMGM UK Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 1.85
→ Closing odds 1.85
Model chance 64.2%EV +18.8%Kambi Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 1.85
→ Closing odds 1.85
Model chance 64.2%EV +18.8%13:00 Morocco v Gabon 1 historical estimate under 7.5
BetMGM UK reference price
Reference odds 1.86
→ Closing odds 1.86
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
BetMGM UK reference price Closing estimate under 7.5 Reference odds 1.86
→ Closing odds 1.86
Model chance 62.3%EV +15.9%Kambi Closing estimate under 7.5 Reference odds 1.86
→ Closing odds 1.86
Model chance 62.3%EV +15.9%Selected day
Fri, 25 Sept 2026 Recorded results · all bookmaker options Historical estimates for this date are shown below. They are excluded from recorded results.
8 historical estimates shown below. Their calculated returns appear only in the calendar and all-date display totals.
One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (1,895 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 28 Sept 2026 – 20 Oct 2026.
ROI +2.6%
Profit +143.96 u
W / L 2,704 / 2,754
Avg odds 2.13
How to read this board A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.
Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.
Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.
Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.
Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.
Swedenv
RomaniaUEFA Nations League2 historical estimates
Italyv
BelgiumUEFA Nations League1 historical estimate
Hungaryv
UkraineUEFA Nations League1 historical estimate
Egyptv
AngolaAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.1 historical estimate
Algeriav
ZambiaAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.1 historical estimate
Maliv
Cape VerdeAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.1 historical estimate
Moroccov
GabonAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.1 historical estimate