Benchmarks
The results behind each suggestion, by bookmaker and league.
Historical direction benchmarks
Benchmarks from 15 August 2026 · half-point lines only. Compare normal and reversed one-unit returns for each bookmaker, market and league.
Rows with the most historical matches appear first. This only changes the table order; it does not assign Free or VIP.
Normal follows the original model direction. Reversed takes the opposite side. The higher historical profit selects a direction to evaluate, including the smaller loss when both lost. A live pick still needs positive estimated return at its current odds.
| Bookmaker / league | Original model signal | Earlier matches | Normal | Reversed | Selected direction | Current picks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Shots · UnderAway teamEvidence18 reconstructed · 0 recorded-30019 · scraped | 18 | −2.30u-12.8% ROI | −1.27u-7.1% ROI | Reverse → OverHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Goal kicks · UnderHome teamEvidence15 reconstructed · 0 recorded-364 · scraped | 15 | −5.80u-38.7% ROI | +0.73u4.9% ROI | Reverse → OverHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Shots · OverHome teamEvidence15 reconstructed · 0 recorded-30018 · scraped | 15 | −4.10u-27.3% ROI | −0.33u-2.2% ROI | Reverse → UnderHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Goals · UnderAway teamEvidence14 reconstructed · 0 recorded53 · scraped | 14 | −5.80u-41.4% ROI | −1.96u-14.0% ROI | Reverse → OverHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Corners · UnderAway teamEvidence13 reconstructed · 0 recorded116 · scraped | 13 | −6.05u-46.5% ROI | +0.42u3.2% ROI | Reverse → OverHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Throw-ins · UnderMatch totalEvidence13 reconstructed · 0 recorded-158 · scraped | 13 | +0.20u1.5% ROI | −2.50u-19.2% ROI | Normal → UnderHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Throw-ins · UnderHome teamEvidence13 reconstructed · 0 recorded-159 · scraped | 13 | +3.30u25.4% ROI | −5.70u-43.8% ROI | Normal → UnderHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Shots on target · UnderAway teamEvidence12 reconstructed · 0 recorded169 · scraped | 12 | +1.90u15.8% ROI | −3.64u-30.3% ROI | Normal → UnderHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Throw-ins · UnderAway teamEvidence12 reconstructed · 0 recorded-160 · scraped | 12 | −4.45u-37.1% ROI | +1.95u16.2% ROI | Reverse → OverHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Goal kicks · UnderMatch totalEvidence11 reconstructed · 0 recorded-361 · scraped | 11 | +1.60u14.5% ROI | −3.17u-28.8% ROI | Normal → UnderHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Goal kicks · UnderHome teamEvidence11 reconstructed · 0 recordedcrocobet-export · scraped | 11 | −4.65u-42.3% ROI | +0.38u3.5% ROI | Reverse → OverHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Shots · UnderAway teamEvidence11 reconstructed · 0 recordedcrocobet-export · scraped | 11 | +2.40u21.8% ROI | −3.37u-30.6% ROI | Normal → UnderHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Shots · OverHome teamEvidence10 reconstructed · 0 recordedcrocobet-export · scraped | 10 | −2.45u-24.5% ROI | −0.89u-8.9% ROI | Reverse → UnderHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Throw-ins · UnderMatch totalEvidence10 reconstructed · 0 recordedcrocobet-export · scraped | 10 | +3.90u39.0% ROI | −5.20u-52.0% ROI | Normal → UnderHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Fouls · UnderMatch totalEvidence9 reconstructed · 0 recorded161 · scraped | 9 | +0.50u5.6% ROI | −0.35u-3.9% ROI | Normal → UnderHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Goals · UnderAway teamEvidence9 reconstructed · 0 recordedcrocobet-export · scraped | 9 | −0.89u-9.9% ROI | +0.16u1.8% ROI | Reverse → OverHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Goals · UnderHome teamEvidence9 reconstructed · 0 recorded52 · scraped | 9 | −2.85u-31.7% ROI | +0.16u1.8% ROI | Reverse → OverHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Goals · UnderHome teamEvidence9 reconstructed · 0 recordedcrocobet-export · scraped | 9 | +2.40u26.7% ROI | −2.56u-28.4% ROI | Normal → UnderHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Shots on target · OverHome teamEvidence9 reconstructed · 0 recorded168 · scraped | 9 | +3.00u33.3% ROI | −3.50u-38.9% ROI | Normal → OverHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Corners · UnderAway teamEvidence8 reconstructed · 0 recordedcrocobet-export · scraped | 8 | +6.95u86.9% ROI | −3.31u-41.4% ROI | Normal → UnderHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Corners · OverHome teamEvidence8 reconstructed · 0 recorded115 · scraped | 8 | −2.75u-34.4% ROI | −0.22u-2.7% ROI | Reverse → UnderHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Corners · UnderHome teamEvidence8 reconstructed · 0 recorded115 · scraped | 8 | −1.40u-17.5% ROI | −0.75u-9.4% ROI | Reverse → OverHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Fouls · UnderHome teamEvidence8 reconstructed · 0 recorded162 · scraped | 8 | −0.35u-4.4% ROI | +0.28u3.5% ROI | Reverse → OverHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Goal kicks · UnderAway teamEvidence8 reconstructed · 0 recorded-365 · scraped | 8 | +7.00u87.5% ROI | −5.05u-63.1% ROI | Normal → UnderHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Offsides · OverMatch totalEvidence8 reconstructed · 0 recordedcrocobet-export · scraped | 8 | −1.35u-16.9% ROI | −2.82u-35.3% ROI | Normal → OverHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Offsides · UnderHome teamEvidence8 reconstructed · 0 recorded165 · scraped | 8 | +9.45u118.1% ROI | −3.77u-47.1% ROI | Normal → UnderHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Shots · OverMatch totalEvidence8 reconstructed · 0 recorded-30017 · scraped | 8 | +3.20u40.0% ROI | −2.62u-32.8% ROI | Normal → OverHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Throw-ins · UnderAway teamEvidence8 reconstructed · 0 recordedcrocobet-export · scraped | 8 | +7.50u93.8% ROI | −8.00u-100.0% ROI | Normal → UnderHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Fouls · UnderAway teamEvidence7 reconstructed · 0 recorded163 · scraped | 7 | +4.40u62.9% ROI | −2.20u-31.4% ROI | Normal → UnderHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Fouls · UnderAway teamEvidence7 reconstructed · 0 recordedcrocobet-export · scraped | 7 | +6.10u87.1% ROI | −4.50u-64.3% ROI | Normal → UnderHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Fouls · UnderHome teamEvidence7 reconstructed · 0 recordedcrocobet-export · scraped | 7 | +1.75u25.0% ROI | −3.10u-44.3% ROI | Normal → UnderHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Goal kicks · OverAway teamEvidence7 reconstructed · 0 recorded-365 · scraped | 7 | +0.60u8.6% ROI | −1.15u-16.4% ROI | Normal → OverHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Goals · UnderMatch totalEvidence7 reconstructed · 0 recorded8 · scraped | 7 | −7.00u-100.0% ROI | +1.57u22.4% ROI | Reverse → OverHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Offsides · UnderAway teamEvidence7 reconstructed · 0 recorded166 · scraped | 7 | +4.30u61.4% ROI | −3.77u-53.9% ROI | Normal → UnderHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Offsides · UnderMatch totalEvidence7 reconstructed · 0 recorded164 · scraped | 7 | +2.90u41.4% ROI | −2.64u-37.7% ROI | Normal → UnderHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Shots on target · UnderAway teamEvidence7 reconstructed · 0 recordedcrocobet-export · scraped | 7 | −0.65u-9.3% ROI | −1.47u-21.0% ROI | Normal → UnderHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Shots on target · OverHome teamEvidence7 reconstructed · 0 recordedcrocobet-export · scraped | 7 | −1.60u-22.9% ROI | −0.39u-5.6% ROI | Reverse → UnderHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Corners · UnderHome teamEvidence6 reconstructed · 0 recordedcrocobet-export · scraped | 6 | −1.25u-20.8% ROI | −0.04u-0.7% ROI | Reverse → OverHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Fouls · OverMatch totalEvidence6 reconstructed · 0 recorded161 · scraped | 6 | +8.35u139.2% ROI | −4.75u-79.2% ROI | Normal → OverHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
| CrocobetLigue 1 | Fouls · OverHome teamEvidence6 reconstructed · 0 recorded162 · scraped | 6 | +2.60u43.3% ROI | −3.32u-55.3% ROI | Normal → OverHigher earlier return | No current Free picks |
How to read this evidence
A cell needs 5 distinct earlier matches. Higher return selects normal or reversed, including the smaller loss. This qualifies a direction for monitoring; lineup, contract and current-edge checks follow.
Reconstructed history is labelled separately from genuinely recorded pre-match signals. Published prediction returns have their own record.
Each benchmark row is historical evidence for a bookmaker, league and market. It has no fixed Free or VIP tier. Tiers are assigned to live picks using the estimated return at the available odds. Top 50% of approved live market groups, ranked by estimated return.
Market groups are ranked together at each evaluation. The VIP share is rounded up to a whole group, so a small approved pool may leave no Free groups. Monitoring alerts use a provisional ranking that can change at confirmation.
Release 20261019-live-v4 · measured 20/10/2026, 08:56:50