Predictions
Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.
Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.
3 picks shown with Crocobet prices. Recorded performance covers all suggestions for the selected tier and markets.
Board
Matches
Levante UDvAthletic ClubLaLiga1 pick· 0 available
No longer qualifies in the evaluated publication snapshot
- Model chance at recommendation
- 55.3%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.81
- Expected value at recommendation
- +10.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 55.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.81. Expected value at recommendation: +10.6%.
At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 68 settled picksand +1.5% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
Model chance55.3%EV+10.6%Odds up+0.05At recommendation2.00Current odds2.055 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveCurrentover 1.5
Model chance33.4%EV-31.5%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Current odds2.057 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiCurrentover 1.5
Model chance33.4%EV-29.9%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Current odds2.104 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetCurrentover 1.5
Model chance33.4%EV-34.9%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Current odds1.956 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetCurrentover 1.5
Model chance33.4%EV-29.9%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Current odds2.107 bookmaker lines available.
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Recommendation record
Recorded 17 Oct, 06:58: over 1.5 at 2.00 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 10:29. The original pick remains in the results.
FC Bayern MünchenvArsenalUEFA Champions League1 pick· 0 available
No longer qualifies in the evaluated publication snapshot
- Model chance at recommendation
- 59.4%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.69
- Expected value at recommendation
- +14.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 59.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.69. Expected value at recommendation: +14.1%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 190 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
Model chance59.4%EV+14.1%Odds down−0.20At recommendation1.92Current odds1.726 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetCurrentunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Current odds1.905 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetCurrentunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Current odds1.905 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetCurrentunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Current odds1.7211 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 17 Oct, 19:20: under 5.5 at 1.92 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 01:24. The original pick remains in the results.
Montevideo City TorquevAtlético MineiroCONMEBOL Sudamericana1 pick· 0 available
No longer qualifies in the evaluated publication snapshot
- Model chance at recommendation
- 55.6%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.80
- Expected value at recommendation
- +16.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 55.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +16.9%.
At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 68 settled picksand +1.5% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
Model chance55.6%EV+16.9%Odds down−0.10At recommendation2.10Current odds2.005 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveCurrentover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Current odds2.005 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiCurrentover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Current odds2.174 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetCurrentover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Current odds2.005 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetCurrentover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Current odds2.155 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 17 Oct, 07:00: over 1.5 at 2.10 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 10:29. The original pick remains in the results.
Selected day
Wed, 21 Oct 2026
No settled results yet. 0 active suggestions across 3 listed matches.
All dates
Overall results
One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (1,895 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 28 Sept 2026 – 19 Oct 2026.
How to read this board
A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.
Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.
Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.
Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.
Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.