Predictions

Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.

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Bookmakers, markets and sorting

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

46 picks shown with Betlive prices. Recorded performance covers all suggestions for the selected tier and markets.

Board

Matches

19 matches
AD CeutavReal Sociedad BLaLiga 23 historical estimates

Cards · AD Ceuta total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 2.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.05
Closing odds2.05

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance51.8%EV+6.1%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance51.8%EV+3.5%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance51.8%EV+3.5%

Cards · Real Sociedad B total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 2.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.05
Closing odds2.05

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance56.5%EV+15.8%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds2.02
    Closing odds2.02
    Model chance56.5%EV+14.1%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance56.5%EV+13.0%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance56.5%EV+4.5%

Corners · AD Ceuta total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance56.1%EV+17.9%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance56.1%EV+15.0%
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance56.1%EV+12.3%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance56.1%EV+12.3%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance56.1%EV+9.4%
South AfricaSouth AfricavGuineaGuineaAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.2 historical estimates

Cards · South Africa total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.50
Closing odds2.50

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.50
    Closing odds2.50
    Model chance62.8%EV+56.9%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance62.8%EV+47.5%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance62.8%EV+44.3%

Corners · South Africa total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
BetMGM UKreference price
Reference odds2.07
Closing odds2.07

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKreference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.07
    Closing odds2.07
    Model chance58.3%EV+20.8%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance58.3%EV+10.8%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance58.3%EV+7.9%
KenyaKenyavEritreaEritreaAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.1 historical estimate

Cards · Eritrea total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.25
Closing odds2.25

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance69.0%EV+55.2%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance69.0%EV+44.9%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance69.0%EV+44.9%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance69.0%EV+38.0%
SloveniaSloveniavScotlandScotlandUEFA Nations League2 historical estimates

Corners · Slovenia total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 3.5
Paddy Powerreference price
Reference odds2.70
Closing odds2.70

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Paddy Powerreference priceClosing estimateunder 3.5
    Reference odds2.70
    Closing odds2.70
    Model chance52.4%EV+41.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    Reference odds2.60
    Closing odds2.60
    Model chance52.4%EV+36.3%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    Reference odds2.60
    Closing odds2.60
    Model chance52.4%EV+36.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
    Reference odds2.55
    Closing odds2.55
    Model chance52.4%EV+33.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance52.4%EV+28.5%

Goal kicks · Scotland total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 7.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.85
Closing odds1.85

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 7.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance56.0%EV+3.5%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 7.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance56.0%EV+3.5%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 7.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Model chance56.0%EV+0.8%
GranadavFC AndorraLaLiga 23 historical estimates

Goal kicks · FC Andorra total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 7.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.45
Closing odds2.45

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 7.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance55.0%EV+34.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 7.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance55.0%EV+29.2%

Offsides · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 3.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.85
Closing odds1.85

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 3.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance57.4%EV+6.3%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance57.4%EV+6.3%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 27.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.52
Closing odds2.52

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds2.52
    Closing odds2.52
    Model chance51.1%EV+28.8%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance51.1%EV+20.1%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance57.8%EV+12.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance57.8%EV+12.7%
Faroe IslandsFaroe IslandsvKazakhstanKazakhstanUEFA Nations League4 historical estimates

Cards · Kazakhstan total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 2.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance56.4%EV+12.9%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance56.4%EV+7.2%

Offsides · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 2.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds1.90
Closing odds1.90

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateover 2.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance61.2%EV+16.4%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance61.2%EV+13.3%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance61.2%EV+13.3%

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 44.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.65
Closing odds2.65

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 44.5
    Reference odds2.65
    Closing odds2.65
    Model chance53.9%EV+42.8%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 43.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance58.3%EV+34.1%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 43.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance58.3%EV+28.2%

Throw-ins · Faroe Islands total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 22.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateover 22.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance50.0%EV+5.1%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 22.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance50.0%EV+2.6%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 22.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance50.0%EV+0.1%
San MarinoSan MarinovFinlandFinlandUEFA Nations League3 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 23.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds3.05
Closing odds3.05

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds3.05
    Closing odds3.05
    Model chance54.6%EV+66.5%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds2.95
    Closing odds2.95
    Model chance54.6%EV+61.1%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds2.85
    Closing odds2.85
    Model chance54.6%EV+55.6%

Fouls · Finland total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 11.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.95
Closing odds2.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 11.5
    Reference odds2.95
    Closing odds2.95
    Model chance64.4%EV+90.1%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 12.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance73.4%EV+65.2%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 12.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance73.4%EV+65.2%

Offsides · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 2.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.85
Closing odds1.85

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 2.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance65.4%EV+20.9%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance65.4%EV+20.9%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Model chance65.4%EV+17.7%
IcelandIcelandvEstoniaEstoniaUEFA Nations League3 historical estimates

Goal kicks · Estonia total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 10.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.85
Closing odds1.85

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 10.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance56.4%EV+4.3%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 10.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance56.4%EV+4.3%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Model chance56.4%EV+1.5%

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 36.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.30
Closing odds2.30

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 38.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance55.0%EV+29.3%
  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 36.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance64.6%EV+48.6%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 38.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance55.0%EV+21.1%

Throw-ins · Iceland total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 20.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 20.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance56.4%EV+10.0%
BulgariaBulgariavLuxembourgLuxembourgUEFA Nations League2 historical estimates

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 19.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 19.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance52.7%EV+2.8%

Throw-ins · Bulgaria total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 21.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 21.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance50.7%EV+1.5%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 21.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance50.7%EV+1.5%
CD TenerifevCádizLaLiga 21 historical estimate

Corners · CD Tenerife total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.80
Closing odds2.80

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.80
    Closing odds2.80
    Model chance53.4%EV+49.6%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.60
    Closing odds2.60
    Model chance53.4%EV+38.9%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.50
    Closing odds2.50
    Model chance53.4%EV+33.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.50
    Closing odds2.50
    Model chance53.4%EV+33.6%
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance70.2%EV+40.4%
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds1.89
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance70.2%EV+32.6%
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds1.89
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance70.2%EV+32.6%
Celta Vigo BvCE SabadellLaLiga 22 historical estimates

Offsides · Celta Vigo B total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.25
Closing odds2.25

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance62.4%EV+40.5%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance62.4%EV+37.4%

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 39.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 39.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance52.0%EV+1.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 39.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance52.0%EV+1.4%
AlbaniaAlbaniavBelarusBelarusUEFA Nations League2 historical estimates

Corners · Albania total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.80
Closing odds2.80

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance73.3%EV+46.7%
  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.80
    Closing odds2.80
    Model chance57.6%EV+61.2%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.70
    Closing odds2.70
    Model chance57.6%EV+55.4%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.70
    Closing odds2.70
    Model chance57.6%EV+55.4%
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance57.6%EV+41.0%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance57.6%EV+41.0%
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance57.6%EV+41.0%

Goal kicks · Belarus total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 7.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.45
Closing odds2.45

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 7.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance56.6%EV+38.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 7.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance56.6%EV+30.2%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 8.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance69.5%EV+25.0%
North MacedoniaNorth MacedoniavSwitzerlandSwitzerlandUEFA Nations League3 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 23.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.85
Closing odds1.85

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance54.8%EV+1.3%

Goal kicks · Switzerland total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 5.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance56.7%EV+19.1%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance56.7%EV+16.3%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Model chance56.7%EV+2.1%

Offsides · North Macedonia total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.90
Closing odds1.90

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance59.5%EV+13.1%
EnglandEnglandvSpainSpainUEFA Nations League3 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 20.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds3.15
Closing odds3.15

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 20.5
    Reference odds3.15
    Closing odds3.15
    Model chance50.4%EV+58.9%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 20.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance50.4%EV+16.0%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 20.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance50.4%EV+13.5%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 21.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance57.3%EV+17.4%

Fouls · Spain total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 11.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.35
Closing odds2.35

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 10.5
    Reference odds2.75
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance52.8%EV+45.3%
  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 11.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance63.1%EV+48.4%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 11.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance63.1%EV+29.4%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 11.5
    Reference odds1.97
    Closing odds1.97
    Model chance63.1%EV+24.4%

Offsides · England total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance50.9%EV+1.8%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance50.9%EV+1.8%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance50.9%EV+1.8%
SlovakiaSlovakiavMoldovaMoldovaUEFA Nations League3 historical estimates

Goal kicks · Slovakia total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 5.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance61.6%EV+23.2%

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 38.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.65
Closing odds2.65

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 38.5
    Reference odds2.65
    Closing odds2.65
    Model chance58.0%EV+53.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 37.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance62.7%EV+47.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 37.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance62.7%EV+38.0%

Throw-ins · Slovakia total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 21.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.55
Closing odds2.55

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 21.5
    Reference odds2.55
    Closing odds2.55
    Model chance57.6%EV+46.8%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 20.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance64.6%EV+35.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 19.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance71.2%EV+31.8%
Czech RepublicCzechiavCroatiaCroatiaUEFA Nations League2 historical estimates

Offsides · Czechia total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.15
Closing odds2.15

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Model chance56.0%EV+20.3%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Model chance56.0%EV+20.3%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance56.0%EV+17.5%

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 8.5
Kambireference price
Reference odds2.14
Closing odds2.14

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambireference priceClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds2.14
    Closing odds2.14
    Model chance50.6%EV+8.3%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance50.6%EV+6.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance50.6%EV+1.3%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance50.6%EV+1.3%
CanadaCanadavChileChileInternational Friendly Games4 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 24.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.50
Closing odds2.50

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.50
    Closing odds2.50
    Model chance61.5%EV+53.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 25.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance67.0%EV+34.0%

Fouls · Chile total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 12.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.45
Closing odds2.45

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 12.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance60.3%EV+47.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 13.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance68.9%EV+27.5%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 20.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 20.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance54.4%EV+14.2%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 20.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance54.4%EV+6.0%

Shots · Canada total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 12.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.50
Closing odds2.50

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 12.5
    Reference odds2.50
    Closing odds2.50
    Model chance50.9%EV+27.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 12.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance50.9%EV+19.7%
Atlanta UnitedvNew York City FCMLS1 historical estimate

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 24.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.97
Closing odds1.97

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds1.97
    Closing odds1.97
    Model chance67.6%EV+33.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance53.1%EV+3.6%
MexicoMexicovColombiaColombiaInternational Friendly Games2 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 23.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.35
Closing odds2.35

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance51.4%EV+20.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance57.3%EV+14.6%

Goal kicks · Mexico total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 6.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance52.6%EV+2.6%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance52.6%EV+2.6%

Selected day

Sat, 26 Sept 2026

Recorded results · all bookmaker options

Historical estimates for this date are shown below. They are excluded from recorded results.

46 historical estimates shown below. Their calculated returns appear only in the calendar and all-date display totals.

All dates

Overall results

5,086 settled picks

One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (1,895 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 28 Sept 2026 – 19 Oct 2026.

ROI+2.6%
Profit+133.59 u
W / L2,499 / 2,587
Avg odds2.15
How to read this board

A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.

Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.

Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.

Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.

Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.

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